1
00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:02,000
All right, hey there. 
This is Brom Constant and you're

2
00:00:02,000 --> 00:00:03,480
listening to Bitcoin for 
Millennials. 

3
00:00:03,480 --> 00:00:05,920
Together with my guests on this 
podcast, I go on a journey to 

4
00:00:05,920 --> 00:00:08,560
discover how our current 
financial system works, why it's

5
00:00:08,560 --> 00:00:11,280
flawed, and why Bitcoin is the 
most relevant technology that 

6
00:00:11,280 --> 00:00:14,480
you should understand and adopt.
In this episode, I'm joined by 

7
00:00:14,480 --> 00:00:16,560
Fred Krueger. 
He's a Bitcoin investor, 

8
00:00:16,560 --> 00:00:18,800
professional trader and 
entrepreneur with 10 successful 

9
00:00:18,800 --> 00:00:20,600
exits. 
He holds a math PhD from 

10
00:00:20,600 --> 00:00:23,800
Stanford and is a Wall Street 
veteran, having worked there in 

11
00:00:23,800 --> 00:00:25,640
the 80s and 90s. 
He shares his opinions on 

12
00:00:25,640 --> 00:00:28,680
Bitcoin on his popular X and 
recently created YouTube channel

13
00:00:28,960 --> 00:00:31,360
and never shies away of a 
discussion with other investors,

14
00:00:31,360 --> 00:00:33,360
so I'm happy to talk with him 
today. 

15
00:00:33,360 --> 00:00:35,680
Welcome, Fred. 
Thank you, Bram. 

16
00:00:36,800 --> 00:00:38,400
Awesome. 
Yeah. 

17
00:00:38,400 --> 00:00:40,160
Thank you. 
Yeah, it's awesome to meet 

18
00:00:40,160 --> 00:00:42,040
people that I just know from 
Twitter. 

19
00:00:42,040 --> 00:00:43,960
So that's always, that's always 
fun. 

20
00:00:45,200 --> 00:00:45,680
Same. 
Yeah. 

21
00:00:45,680 --> 00:00:48,280
So I have some questions for 
you. 

22
00:00:48,320 --> 00:00:51,800
But first I wanted to ask, like,
how do you experience talking 

23
00:00:52,120 --> 00:00:54,640
about Bitcoin with your 
generational peers? 

24
00:00:54,640 --> 00:00:56,400
Like, do you still try to 
educate them? 

25
00:00:56,400 --> 00:00:58,280
Like what's What's your 
experience there? 

26
00:00:59,600 --> 00:01:04,720
I mean most of them have given 
up on do not are not open to the

27
00:01:04,760 --> 00:01:10,560
idea of Bitcoin. 
So I would say most people that 

28
00:01:10,560 --> 00:01:14,600
I worked with on Wall Street, 
very few of them have any 

29
00:01:14,600 --> 00:01:17,920
interest at all. 
And then and most people think 

30
00:01:17,920 --> 00:01:23,280
it's just some kind of Ponzi 
scheme and it's bullshit, 

31
00:01:23,280 --> 00:01:26,160
basically. 
That's kind of what most people 

32
00:01:26,160 --> 00:01:29,800
think in my my age bracket. 
But there are some notable 

33
00:01:29,800 --> 00:01:30,880
exceptions, right? 
But. 

34
00:01:32,200 --> 00:01:34,560
We have Larry Lapard, right, I 
think. 

35
00:01:34,760 --> 00:01:35,800
Yeah, yeah. 
Yeah. 

36
00:01:36,080 --> 00:01:42,080
Well, for example, Larry, Larry,
I mean is he's very rare that 

37
00:01:42,080 --> 00:01:44,960
people coming from the gold 
background transition to 

38
00:01:44,960 --> 00:01:49,800
Bitcoin. 
I think most people kind of and 

39
00:01:49,800 --> 00:01:53,880
once they they're into gold for 
20 years, they stay with gold. 

40
00:01:54,120 --> 00:01:56,680
They they they don't transition.
Yeah. 

41
00:01:57,000 --> 00:02:01,680
So I would say, but I just think
in general people who have done 

42
00:02:01,760 --> 00:02:09,160
well in the kind of the Fiat 
world, right they they, you know

43
00:02:09,160 --> 00:02:12,760
they stay in the Fiat world and 
it's it's kind of rare to kind 

44
00:02:12,760 --> 00:02:15,520
of change your mindset. 
Yeah. 

45
00:02:15,600 --> 00:02:18,440
Now Larry Fink has changed his 
mindset on Bitcoin. 

46
00:02:19,320 --> 00:02:20,520
But yeah. 
I think so, yeah. 

47
00:02:21,080 --> 00:02:24,120
Yeah. 
It's not impossible, right? 

48
00:02:24,120 --> 00:02:29,400
But there's definitely, there's 
definitely, it's definitely not 

49
00:02:29,400 --> 00:02:33,640
the the the normal thing. 
Yeah, yeah, I agree. 

50
00:02:33,640 --> 00:02:38,120
I I tweeted before like for me 
people well also like Greg Foss.

51
00:02:38,120 --> 00:02:42,240
You know, I think Greg has in 
his bio like 35 years in a risk 

52
00:02:42,240 --> 00:02:44,160
chair. 
He, he says, right, right. 

53
00:02:44,720 --> 00:02:48,960
And then I think, well, I'm 35, 
you know, what do I know? 

54
00:02:49,120 --> 00:02:52,680
It's then like kind of my, my 
take there, right like that that

55
00:02:53,120 --> 00:02:55,440
I find it so interesting that 
that like what you said, like 

56
00:02:55,440 --> 00:02:58,000
people who've been in that world
for a very long time, the fact 

57
00:02:58,000 --> 00:03:01,920
that they can turn around almost
to 180, right. 

58
00:03:01,920 --> 00:03:05,600
And adopt Bitcoin. 
I think for me personally that's

59
00:03:05,600 --> 00:03:08,040
a really big signal because it's
a really big like personal 

60
00:03:08,040 --> 00:03:11,480
challenge as you said, You know,
like it's it's difficult to do. 

61
00:03:12,240 --> 00:03:13,960
Yeah. 
And I, but I think a lot of, a 

62
00:03:14,000 --> 00:03:18,520
lot of them, even if they are 
accepting of it, they're 

63
00:03:18,520 --> 00:03:22,040
accepting of it to the, you 
know, 5% of their portfolio kind

64
00:03:22,040 --> 00:03:23,600
of accepting of it. 
You know what I mean? 

65
00:03:23,600 --> 00:03:26,560
They're not, they're not full on
bitcoiners. 

66
00:03:27,040 --> 00:03:29,840
Yeah. 
So I think it's really tough. 

67
00:03:30,320 --> 00:03:33,880
You know, when you've made it's 
it's it's it's easier when you 

68
00:03:33,880 --> 00:03:35,560
haven't made a lot of money, 
right. 

69
00:03:35,560 --> 00:03:39,160
But when you've made a bunch of 
money for you to send millions 

70
00:03:39,160 --> 00:03:42,000
of dollars to Coinbase to buy 
Bitcoin, yeah. 

71
00:03:42,920 --> 00:03:44,560
As well. 
You know, that's just it's a 

72
00:03:44,560 --> 00:03:48,120
tough thing. 
I I did it, but it's it's tough 

73
00:03:48,160 --> 00:03:50,720
you know what I mean? 
Like it's it's tough getting 

74
00:03:50,720 --> 00:03:53,880
there. 
It's a lot easier if you're, you

75
00:03:53,880 --> 00:03:58,560
know, if you bought it sort of 
cheaply and you just saved and 

76
00:03:58,560 --> 00:04:03,800
and it went up, you know? 
And so how do you now look back 

77
00:04:03,800 --> 00:04:08,760
on like your Wall Street career 
and and now that you understand 

78
00:04:08,760 --> 00:04:11,960
and know about Bitcoin, like how
how do you look back, but also 

79
00:04:11,960 --> 00:04:14,800
how did you get introduced to to
Bitcoin? 

80
00:04:15,640 --> 00:04:19,480
Well, I mean, I got into, I 
bought my first Bitcoin in 2013,

81
00:04:19,640 --> 00:04:22,200
right? 
So I I saw it. 

82
00:04:22,360 --> 00:04:26,320
You know, I'm a tech guy, so I 
I, I saw it pretty early and I 

83
00:04:26,320 --> 00:04:30,040
bought some, but I didn't think 
of it as being any more than 

84
00:04:30,040 --> 00:04:33,440
just kind of a joke, really, you
know, sort of like, OK, this is 

85
00:04:33,440 --> 00:04:36,640
some kind of sort of 
interesting, vaguely vaguely 

86
00:04:36,640 --> 00:04:38,600
interesting thing. 
I'll buy a few. 

87
00:04:38,600 --> 00:04:42,360
It's see how it goes. 
I bought it and then I sold it, 

88
00:04:42,440 --> 00:04:44,400
you know, so. 
Same same. 

89
00:04:45,080 --> 00:04:48,000
Yeah, yeah. 
So, like, I didn't really think 

90
00:04:48,080 --> 00:04:52,080
of it as being, you know, like I
thought the chance of it taking 

91
00:04:52,080 --> 00:05:01,440
off was pretty low, you know, 
and it really took for me until 

92
00:05:01,440 --> 00:05:06,800
2019 before I really kind of, 
you know, kind of got it, I 

93
00:05:06,800 --> 00:05:09,600
would say, you know, and I 
certainly, you know, I've been 

94
00:05:09,920 --> 00:05:12,720
around it. 
I knew people around it, friends

95
00:05:12,720 --> 00:05:15,960
of mine were into it. 
But like, it didn't sort of 

96
00:05:15,960 --> 00:05:20,280
click for me personally to the 
point where, OK, I'm going to, 

97
00:05:20,280 --> 00:05:22,920
I'm actually going to go out and
buy a bunch of this thing, you 

98
00:05:22,920 --> 00:05:25,240
know what I mean? 
Like that and I think that's a 

99
00:05:25,240 --> 00:05:28,680
personal thing. 
It's just like who you talk to, 

100
00:05:28,680 --> 00:05:30,840
what it what, what it clicks for
you. 

101
00:05:30,960 --> 00:05:34,120
A lot of people have different 
you know roads into it, right. 

102
00:05:34,120 --> 00:05:37,720
It might be some kind of 
economic thing like you think 

103
00:05:37,720 --> 00:05:40,200
that inflation is going to take 
over. 

104
00:05:40,760 --> 00:05:46,040
That wasn't really it for me but
you know I just I I sort of got 

105
00:05:46,040 --> 00:05:50,120
it in 2013 I mean 2019 that's 
that's kind of and then you know

106
00:05:50,120 --> 00:05:53,480
after that I was I was sort of 
orange peeled and I added more 

107
00:05:53,920 --> 00:05:59,040
but you know sort of like you 
know right around you know a 

108
00:05:59,040 --> 00:06:00,760
little bit one year before 
sailor. 

109
00:06:02,400 --> 00:06:04,760
You know, you beat Sailor. 
Yeah. 

110
00:06:05,280 --> 00:06:08,720
Well, I have the same path I 
think like and that is also what

111
00:06:08,720 --> 00:06:11,840
I like to, you know, explore 
also in this podcast because as 

112
00:06:11,840 --> 00:06:14,400
you said, it's this personal 
discovery, right? 

113
00:06:14,400 --> 00:06:17,240
Like you, I I am also into 
Bitcoin from 2013. 

114
00:06:17,240 --> 00:06:20,200
I bought at 400. 
I sold at 4000, You know, I felt

115
00:06:20,200 --> 00:06:22,760
great. 
But now I have less Bitcoin than

116
00:06:22,760 --> 00:06:26,280
before, you know? 
And I saw all tweets of myself 

117
00:06:26,280 --> 00:06:30,000
tweeting when it went to $100, I
saw myself tweet. 

118
00:06:30,000 --> 00:06:34,000
It was a a digital commodity. 
And I was like, damn, I got it. 

119
00:06:34,000 --> 00:06:37,080
But I didn't get it, you know, 
like I I understood it to some 

120
00:06:37,080 --> 00:06:38,240
degree, but I didn't. 
Well, I think. 

121
00:06:38,240 --> 00:06:42,600
The big, the big thing for me, 
which is, you know, I it it. 

122
00:06:42,720 --> 00:06:46,800
I was really concerned right up 
till 2018 that something else 

123
00:06:46,800 --> 00:06:50,080
was going to win, you know, 
because I think that everybody 

124
00:06:50,080 --> 00:06:54,640
in tech always sort of has this 
mentality that, you know, 

125
00:06:55,040 --> 00:06:58,360
Myspace is going to get 
displaced by Facebook, that AOL 

126
00:06:58,360 --> 00:07:00,640
is going to get displaced by 
Yahoo, which is going to get 

127
00:07:00,640 --> 00:07:04,440
displaced by Google. 
So we don't, we think of it as 

128
00:07:04,440 --> 00:07:06,840
just pure technology and you're 
always sort of thinking, well, 

129
00:07:06,840 --> 00:07:09,480
there's something better that's 
going to come along. 

130
00:07:09,480 --> 00:07:13,080
You know, why would I bet on 
this particular thing? 

131
00:07:13,080 --> 00:07:16,880
When there's something you know,
this is slow, expensive. 

132
00:07:16,920 --> 00:07:19,400
Maybe there's going to be fast 
and cheap that comes along, you 

133
00:07:19,400 --> 00:07:23,040
know? 
So I was really of that opinion 

134
00:07:23,040 --> 00:07:26,320
that fast and cheap would win 
over slow and expensive. 

135
00:07:26,760 --> 00:07:29,600
Yeah, well, TCPIP didn't get 
replaced, right? 

136
00:07:29,600 --> 00:07:34,480
Like it's more on that level. 
Yeah, I mean, but there's a lot 

137
00:07:34,480 --> 00:07:36,600
of other crypto currencies, 
right? 

138
00:07:36,840 --> 00:07:41,040
So you know, there wasn't a lot 
of TCPIP. 

139
00:07:41,840 --> 00:07:42,920
That's true. 
You know what I mean? 

140
00:07:42,920 --> 00:07:44,240
Yeah, that's that's true. 
Yeah. 

141
00:07:44,360 --> 00:07:46,440
But you do see the difference 
now, right? 

142
00:07:47,120 --> 00:07:47,760
Like you. 
Yeah. 

143
00:07:48,680 --> 00:07:50,520
Yeah. 
So I I definitely think that 

144
00:07:50,520 --> 00:07:53,440
that's, that's, and I think 
still a lot of people on Wall 

145
00:07:53,440 --> 00:07:57,920
Street, just fundamentally, even
if they say they're pro Bitcoin 

146
00:07:58,240 --> 00:08:01,480
fundamentally they may be like, 
well, wait a second, maybe 

147
00:08:01,560 --> 00:08:05,800
Solana is going to take over 
Avalanche or something. 

148
00:08:05,800 --> 00:08:08,800
You know, you, you know, they 
really fundamentally they're 

149
00:08:08,800 --> 00:08:10,920
open to that idea. 
Yeah. 

150
00:08:11,520 --> 00:08:15,560
I think that takes time to 
understand as to like which 

151
00:08:15,560 --> 00:08:17,280
layer does this belong to, 
right? 

152
00:08:17,280 --> 00:08:21,000
Should I look at this as as a 
technology or as a startup 

153
00:08:21,000 --> 00:08:24,320
creating a token that is fueling
a certain ecosystem? 

154
00:08:24,320 --> 00:08:27,000
Or is Bitcoin just a totally 
different? 

155
00:08:27,760 --> 00:08:29,840
Right. 
I mean, I think it's sort of, I 

156
00:08:29,840 --> 00:08:32,960
think if you think of this thing
as payment, as a payment 

157
00:08:32,960 --> 00:08:35,440
technology, you're missing it, 
right? 

158
00:08:35,440 --> 00:08:37,080
You will miss it. 
You will miss exactly. 

159
00:08:37,760 --> 00:08:41,320
You will miss the what it is 
right is you're like, OK, well 

160
00:08:42,280 --> 00:08:45,200
Venmo does really well. 
You know Venmo does pretty good.

161
00:08:45,360 --> 00:08:49,440
It's it's it's it works. 
PayPal works, you know. 

162
00:08:50,880 --> 00:08:56,120
You know and maybe stablecoins 
are better than you know than 

163
00:08:56,120 --> 00:09:01,880
using Bitcoin because you know 
stablecoins is the dollar. 

164
00:09:01,880 --> 00:09:05,360
It's, you know, if you're in 
Venezuela, the dollar seems 

165
00:09:05,360 --> 00:09:06,720
pretty good. 
Do you know what I mean? 

166
00:09:07,200 --> 00:09:11,880
So I think that the, the problem
is I think payment tech you, you

167
00:09:11,880 --> 00:09:16,280
miss, you miss it. 
And I think the hard thing is 

168
00:09:16,280 --> 00:09:21,000
realizing that it actually is a 
new form of money and it's, you 

169
00:09:21,000 --> 00:09:23,680
know, it's a new, it's a new 
unit of account. 

170
00:09:24,000 --> 00:09:31,560
And that's really the hard part 
because you know I think it it's

171
00:09:31,560 --> 00:09:34,840
a very counter intuitive that 
that that we even why do we need

172
00:09:34,840 --> 00:09:40,040
a new unit of account, you know,
like that's it's not clear like 

173
00:09:40,040 --> 00:09:42,920
living in America in particular 
or Netherlands, right. 

174
00:09:43,680 --> 00:09:48,160
Why do I need to start? 
You know, going from, you know, 

175
00:09:48,160 --> 00:09:52,880
the Euro to this weird unit of 
account called Bitcoin. 

176
00:09:53,000 --> 00:09:55,960
You know why? 
You know, hey there, thanks so 

177
00:09:55,960 --> 00:09:57,280
much for listening to this 
episode. 

178
00:09:57,320 --> 00:09:59,920
I just really want to ask you 
for a quick favor. 

179
00:10:00,200 --> 00:10:03,760
Over the last few months, I've 
seen that only 75% of people who

180
00:10:03,760 --> 00:10:06,520
listen to this podcast or watch 
it on YouTube are actually 

181
00:10:06,520 --> 00:10:08,240
subscribed. 
The most important thing I'm 

182
00:10:08,240 --> 00:10:11,000
currently focusing on, next to 
hopefully giving you interesting

183
00:10:11,000 --> 00:10:14,440
conversations is growing this 
podcast subscriber base so I can

184
00:10:14,440 --> 00:10:16,200
continue with it into the 
future. 

185
00:10:16,560 --> 00:10:18,960
I want to thank everyone who's 
been viewing and listening to 

186
00:10:18,960 --> 00:10:21,840
Bitcoin for millennials leaving 
comments here and sending me 

187
00:10:21,840 --> 00:10:23,320
DMS. 
It's been super, super 

188
00:10:23,320 --> 00:10:24,760
motivating. 
So thank you so much. 

189
00:10:25,080 --> 00:10:27,920
So I really want to ask you to 
please hit the subscribe button 

190
00:10:27,920 --> 00:10:31,200
on YouTube or follow me on your 
favorite podcasting app if you 

191
00:10:31,200 --> 00:10:34,200
are enjoying this podcast. 
Thanks again for joining me on 

192
00:10:34,200 --> 00:10:36,400
this journey. 
Now back to the conversation. 

193
00:10:36,800 --> 00:10:38,680
Well that was actually my my 
next question. 

194
00:10:38,680 --> 00:10:40,600
Like what? 
What do you think is the main 

195
00:10:40,920 --> 00:10:43,520
thing people need to learn 
before they can understand 

196
00:10:43,520 --> 00:10:46,240
Bitcoin? 
Is it that the money that they 

197
00:10:46,240 --> 00:10:50,400
are forced to use is not really 
designed to work for them? 

198
00:10:50,400 --> 00:10:52,960
Or like what's what would you 
say there? 

199
00:10:53,080 --> 00:10:57,640
Look, I thought about it. 
Now my thesis is this is that I 

200
00:10:57,640 --> 00:11:01,960
think there's a couple things 
that Bitcoin does much better 

201
00:11:01,960 --> 00:11:06,040
than regular money, right? 
And the first thing I think it 

202
00:11:06,040 --> 00:11:13,600
does is it's, it allows your 
money to be held in custody by 

203
00:11:13,600 --> 00:11:16,840
yourself and and and moved 
wherever you want, right. 

204
00:11:17,360 --> 00:11:22,360
And you know, if you have EUR 
and you move to America, your 

205
00:11:22,360 --> 00:11:26,480
euros are basically useless. 
You know, they, you know, we do 

206
00:11:26,480 --> 00:11:28,520
not accept the euro over here, 
right? 

207
00:11:29,200 --> 00:11:33,760
Yeah, the dollar, if my dollars 
in in Netherlands are pretty 

208
00:11:33,760 --> 00:11:38,600
useless, you know, But Bitcoin 
is this, this unit where I can 

209
00:11:38,600 --> 00:11:45,560
hold my my Bitcoin in a wallet 
and I can take that wallet 

210
00:11:45,560 --> 00:11:47,200
anywhere I want in the world, 
right. 

211
00:11:47,800 --> 00:11:50,080
And that's a fundamentally new 
thing. 

212
00:11:50,280 --> 00:11:52,360
And I think that's. 
I think that's actually the 

213
00:11:52,360 --> 00:11:56,560
killer app of Bitcoin, right, Is
that it's sort of it it it's 

214
00:11:56,560 --> 00:12:00,200
money that you can transfer, you
can hold and you can move around

215
00:12:00,440 --> 00:12:02,960
the world, right? 
That's the first thing. 

216
00:12:02,960 --> 00:12:06,200
I think it's just and no, no, 
nothing has it. 

217
00:12:06,200 --> 00:12:09,280
Because Fiat really has to be 
stored in the bank account, 

218
00:12:09,360 --> 00:12:12,000
right? 
And then there's some third 

219
00:12:12,000 --> 00:12:17,520
party that's kind of gating it. 
Bitcoin can be stored, you know,

220
00:12:18,480 --> 00:12:22,120
just in a wallet, right? 
And so that's the first thing. 

221
00:12:22,120 --> 00:12:27,120
The second thing is, you know I 
can send Bitcoin anywhere to 

222
00:12:27,120 --> 00:12:31,960
anybody, anywhere in the world 
without an intermediary either, 

223
00:12:31,960 --> 00:12:33,920
right. 
So I don't need a a checkbook to

224
00:12:33,920 --> 00:12:36,040
send it. 
I don't need a wire to send it. 

225
00:12:36,280 --> 00:12:38,360
I can send it to anybody in the 
world. 

226
00:12:38,720 --> 00:12:42,760
And again that's a that's a 
really new thing right now. 

227
00:12:42,760 --> 00:12:45,920
Other cryptocurrencies have that
capability as they have the 

228
00:12:45,920 --> 00:12:50,200
capability of the wallet, right.
But I would think those two 

229
00:12:50,200 --> 00:12:54,680
things are the thing that are 
that are the the biggest 

230
00:12:55,840 --> 00:12:59,400
capabilities of of of of crypto 
in general, right. 

231
00:12:59,560 --> 00:13:03,360
And then the third thing is you 
know this sort of finite supply,

232
00:13:03,360 --> 00:13:06,000
right. 
So you know it cannot be 

233
00:13:06,000 --> 00:13:10,160
debased. 
And I think between those 

234
00:13:10,160 --> 00:13:13,280
things, I think you have 
something that is extremely 

235
00:13:13,280 --> 00:13:19,120
powerful and it's extremely 
powerful for for people to keep 

236
00:13:19,120 --> 00:13:21,720
their money out of the reach of 
the government. 

237
00:13:22,680 --> 00:13:26,560
And that I think is the biggest,
that's the use, that's the core 

238
00:13:26,560 --> 00:13:31,760
driver of bitcoins growth #1 
driver is I want to take my 

239
00:13:31,760 --> 00:13:35,240
money and I want to move it 
outside of the banking system. 

240
00:13:35,760 --> 00:13:39,880
I want to move it outside of the
government system and. 

241
00:13:39,880 --> 00:13:43,800
How how much do you think people
should understand that? 

242
00:13:44,920 --> 00:13:47,680
Like what you said, the finite 
supply but also the issuance, 

243
00:13:47,680 --> 00:13:50,200
right? 
It cannot be debased like that. 

244
00:13:50,200 --> 00:13:53,720
They have to understand how that
is enforced, right? 

245
00:13:53,720 --> 00:13:58,560
With all the incentives within 
the miners and and. 

246
00:13:58,560 --> 00:13:59,800
Right. 
So I think there's sort of two 

247
00:13:59,800 --> 00:14:02,160
things, right? 
One is understanding crypto in 

248
00:14:02,160 --> 00:14:06,040
general, right? 
Because Bitcoin works the same 

249
00:14:06,040 --> 00:14:08,240
as all other cryptos, more or 
less, right? 

250
00:14:08,240 --> 00:14:11,280
Whether it's Ethereum or 
anything, right? 

251
00:14:11,280 --> 00:14:12,720
You have a wallet. 
Usage. 

252
00:14:13,560 --> 00:14:15,360
Yes, in terms of the usage, 
right. 

253
00:14:16,040 --> 00:14:18,240
And then there, then, then 
there's also. 

254
00:14:18,240 --> 00:14:20,520
Why is this particular 1 
special? 

255
00:14:21,320 --> 00:14:25,400
Right, yes, exactly. 
That that's that's really the. 

256
00:14:25,400 --> 00:14:30,160
So the first thing is just can 
do you understand wallets? 

257
00:14:30,200 --> 00:14:32,760
And do you understand see 
phrases and do you do you 

258
00:14:32,760 --> 00:14:35,760
understand those things? 
Now that's a that's the first 

259
00:14:35,760 --> 00:14:38,000
step, right. 
So people have to get over that 

260
00:14:38,000 --> 00:14:40,120
hump. 
Not obvious, right? 

261
00:14:40,120 --> 00:14:43,280
Because like, people don't 
understand where is my Bitcoin? 

262
00:14:43,280 --> 00:14:46,520
Is it stored inside the Ledger 
somewhere? 

263
00:14:46,520 --> 00:14:49,400
Is it like people? 
People don't understand that, 

264
00:14:49,400 --> 00:14:50,960
right? 
They have a hard time even 

265
00:14:50,960 --> 00:14:53,200
understanding what it is that it
is. 

266
00:14:53,480 --> 00:14:57,880
Comparing it to an existing 
experience right there. 

267
00:14:58,040 --> 00:15:00,360
Yeah. 
Their concept is my. 

268
00:15:00,400 --> 00:15:03,600
The money I see in my. 
Banking concept is the wallet is

269
00:15:03,600 --> 00:15:08,040
the wallet, You know, yeah, this
wallet has, well, I don't have 

270
00:15:08,040 --> 00:15:11,000
any dollars in this wallet, but 
it has, it can't have dollars. 

271
00:15:11,000 --> 00:15:14,120
So if they leave, they're either
in the wallet, they're out out 

272
00:15:14,120 --> 00:15:16,520
of the wallet, but they're 
they're not in two wallets at 

273
00:15:16,520 --> 00:15:20,240
the same time, right. 
That that that doesn't exist 

274
00:15:20,240 --> 00:15:24,320
with with cash, right. 
It's in one wallet, but Bitcoin 

275
00:15:24,320 --> 00:15:26,200
can be in three wallets at the 
same time. 

276
00:15:26,200 --> 00:15:30,400
So, you know, I think that's 
from a conceptual layer, 

277
00:15:30,560 --> 00:15:33,320
conceptual level. 
People, a lot of people just 

278
00:15:33,320 --> 00:15:37,080
don't understand that. 
And I think it takes a while to 

279
00:15:37,080 --> 00:15:39,480
really understand that. 
To be honest. 

280
00:15:39,480 --> 00:15:42,680
I don't, you know, I think a lot
of and and Bitcoin is 

281
00:15:42,680 --> 00:15:49,160
particularly particularly tricky
because they change the ad, you 

282
00:15:49,160 --> 00:15:52,880
change the addresses, you know 
the the setup of Bitcoin's a 

283
00:15:52,880 --> 00:15:58,080
little odd, you know, I would 
say, yeah, there's. 

284
00:15:58,440 --> 00:16:00,840
There's so many layers to 
understanding as to why. 

285
00:16:00,840 --> 00:16:05,520
There's a lot of features work 
to to what Bitcoin is, right. 

286
00:16:06,280 --> 00:16:09,440
So I think, you know, it takes a
certain takes a while. 

287
00:16:09,440 --> 00:16:13,200
But then there's then there's 
sort of the, OK, well, why is 

288
00:16:13,200 --> 00:16:16,280
this? 
Why is this thing, why is this 

289
00:16:16,280 --> 00:16:18,480
different from say, Solana? 
Right. 

290
00:16:19,000 --> 00:16:22,240
Well, there's no, there's no 
company behind it. 

291
00:16:22,240 --> 00:16:25,320
There's no Solana Foundation. 
Bitcoin, there is kind of 

292
00:16:25,320 --> 00:16:29,720
Bitcoin Foundation, but there 
there's no foundation that's in 

293
00:16:29,720 --> 00:16:32,640
charge of Bitcoin, right. 
So there's nobody who says, 

294
00:16:32,640 --> 00:16:35,080
well, you know, we're going to 
change the rules of Bitcoin. 

295
00:16:35,080 --> 00:16:38,280
We're going to do this. 
So that's another whole layer 

296
00:16:38,280 --> 00:16:43,120
that I think people get really 
they have a hard time with. 

297
00:16:43,240 --> 00:16:49,040
And and I think, you know, I 
mean I'm honestly not that many 

298
00:16:49,040 --> 00:16:51,120
people really understand it to 
be honest. 

299
00:16:51,200 --> 00:16:54,800
But but they understand that 
they they do understand that the

300
00:16:54,800 --> 00:16:57,720
price is going up and they 
understand that people are 

301
00:16:57,720 --> 00:17:02,520
saying this is the one And so 
you know and they listen to 

302
00:17:02,520 --> 00:17:05,880
people like you and me, you know
and and they're they're like, 

303
00:17:05,880 --> 00:17:09,640
OK, these guys seem to be 
passionate about it. 

304
00:17:09,640 --> 00:17:13,720
They seem to they seem to you 
know be articulating that this 

305
00:17:13,720 --> 00:17:16,480
is different from some other 
cryptocurrency. 

306
00:17:17,079 --> 00:17:21,119
So you know. 
And so why do you? 

307
00:17:21,599 --> 00:17:25,640
How would you explain why this 
is such a big concept and the 

308
00:17:25,640 --> 00:17:27,040
future of money? 
Like what? 

309
00:17:27,040 --> 00:17:29,320
Why should people pay attention?
I saw you tweet. 

310
00:17:29,320 --> 00:17:32,720
You know, like something along 
the lines and I'm maybe 

311
00:17:32,720 --> 00:17:36,320
butchering, but you know, like 
you have to pay attention, like 

312
00:17:36,320 --> 00:17:38,520
you cannot miss this. 
Like if you're missing this, now

313
00:17:38,520 --> 00:17:41,480
it's just your own like. 
Right. 

314
00:17:41,480 --> 00:17:47,760
Well, look, I mean attention, 
you know, you know, it's it if 

315
00:17:47,760 --> 00:17:50,560
we're right, right, if we 
bitcoiners are right. 

316
00:17:50,640 --> 00:17:52,880
And I think I think we are 
right. 

317
00:17:52,880 --> 00:17:57,720
But like, you know, if this is 
going to become the future world

318
00:17:57,720 --> 00:18:05,240
money, right then if you don't 
get involved at year 15 of the 

319
00:18:05,240 --> 00:18:10,080
future of world money, you kind 
of missed pretty much the 

320
00:18:10,080 --> 00:18:13,760
biggest thing that that that's 
going to change the world 

321
00:18:13,760 --> 00:18:17,120
economy. 
You know, going forward, I I 

322
00:18:17,120 --> 00:18:19,600
don't see anything that's going 
to be bigger than that, right. 

323
00:18:19,600 --> 00:18:25,160
Because if if if the entire 
money supply changes to to a 

324
00:18:25,160 --> 00:18:28,560
world where we're running 
Bitcoin and if that happens 

325
00:18:28,560 --> 00:18:34,520
within the next, say 20 years, 
well, the difference between you

326
00:18:34,520 --> 00:18:37,880
not getting involved now and 
getting involved 20 years from 

327
00:18:37,880 --> 00:18:43,560
now is, I mean it's it's going 
to mean completely night or day 

328
00:18:43,600 --> 00:18:46,560
as to kind of whether you 
retire, for example. 

329
00:18:46,560 --> 00:18:50,880
You know what I mean? 
You still may retire, but you 

330
00:18:50,880 --> 00:18:54,400
know, it's an amazing 
opportunity, right? 

331
00:18:55,200 --> 00:18:57,160
What? 
I wanted to say not as 

332
00:18:57,160 --> 00:18:59,800
advertised. 
Not as advertised. 

333
00:18:59,960 --> 00:19:03,400
You could still survive. 
I mean, I I think you'll do 

334
00:19:03,400 --> 00:19:06,960
fine. 
But like you know it it it's 

335
00:19:06,960 --> 00:19:11,240
probably the single biggest 
wealth creation event for 

336
00:19:11,400 --> 00:19:16,040
people, especially your age, is 
there's going to be one decision

337
00:19:16,040 --> 00:19:19,440
did did they did they get orange
spilled or not? 

338
00:19:19,960 --> 00:19:22,920
Yeah, so. 
Why do you think it's so hard 

339
00:19:22,920 --> 00:19:24,800
for people? 
I totally agree. 

340
00:19:24,800 --> 00:19:28,920
What I sometimes think is the 
fact that we are living in a 

341
00:19:28,920 --> 00:19:33,040
time where something so big is 
developing. 

342
00:19:33,400 --> 00:19:38,200
That's already hard for people 
to like get right, like big, big

343
00:19:38,280 --> 00:19:40,840
things that happened in history.
They are history. 

344
00:19:40,840 --> 00:19:44,640
We read about them right. 
They seem far away from us. 

345
00:19:44,640 --> 00:19:46,200
We we seem far removed from 
that. 

346
00:19:46,200 --> 00:19:49,000
But the fact that we are 
actually living through it, I 

347
00:19:49,000 --> 00:19:52,600
think sometimes that's also what
drives people to kind of like 

348
00:19:52,600 --> 00:19:55,360
ignoring it or saying, like, 
yeah, well, you're talking in 

349
00:19:55,360 --> 00:19:58,680
this big way that doesn't really
make sense, right? 

350
00:19:58,680 --> 00:20:01,520
They cannot just, they cannot, 
They are not able to wrap their 

351
00:20:01,520 --> 00:20:05,720
head around the fact that this 
is the invention of a new, 

352
00:20:05,720 --> 00:20:08,440
better money basically, right. 
And something. 

353
00:20:08,440 --> 00:20:13,280
That creates the cornerstone of 
kind of, you know, government, 

354
00:20:13,280 --> 00:20:15,360
economics, business, everything,
right. 

355
00:20:15,680 --> 00:20:19,120
So you know, that's The thing is
like you said, well, So what 

356
00:20:19,120 --> 00:20:21,520
money. 
OK, so it's like a new PayPal, 

357
00:20:22,240 --> 00:20:25,120
OK, that does that's not going 
to change the world, right? 

358
00:20:25,120 --> 00:20:27,440
A new PayPal is not going to 
change the world, right. 

359
00:20:27,880 --> 00:20:34,280
But a new thing where 
everybody's going to be stuck to

360
00:20:34,280 --> 00:20:37,840
the system of like really honest
money, where governments can't 

361
00:20:37,840 --> 00:20:43,040
print and where, you know, 
everybody who does go into debt 

362
00:20:43,640 --> 00:20:47,160
is going to you just can't keep 
on racking up debts forever 

363
00:20:47,160 --> 00:20:49,600
either. 
That's fundamentally going to 

364
00:20:49,600 --> 00:20:56,280
change everything. 
So I think it's it's hard to I 

365
00:20:56,280 --> 00:20:58,680
think you can understand that 
it's going to happen. 

366
00:20:59,080 --> 00:21:05,280
But I think it's so it's it's so
revolutionary that I think most 

367
00:21:05,280 --> 00:21:08,080
people think, yeah, it can't 
possibly happen, but not in my 

368
00:21:08,080 --> 00:21:09,960
lifetime, right? 
Exactly, yeah. 

369
00:21:10,360 --> 00:21:11,640
Yeah. 
I mean, they're like, yeah. 

370
00:21:12,320 --> 00:21:17,440
And and I think, you know, you 
know, I was having this 

371
00:21:17,440 --> 00:21:21,400
conversation on spaces with 
some, some people from Europe, 

372
00:21:21,400 --> 00:21:24,440
from England. 
And they're like, well, you 

373
00:21:24,440 --> 00:21:28,720
know, people, a lot of people in
Europe sort of believe that the 

374
00:21:28,720 --> 00:21:30,760
government's going to take care 
of them, right? 

375
00:21:31,440 --> 00:21:33,840
Like the government's going to 
provide my pension, the 

376
00:21:33,840 --> 00:21:36,040
government's going to do this, 
government's going to take care 

377
00:21:36,040 --> 00:21:39,120
of me. 
And you know, I think that's 

378
00:21:39,120 --> 00:21:40,920
probably an incorrect 
assumption. 

379
00:21:41,120 --> 00:21:43,440
You know, we're seeing that in 
the same thing in the US You 

380
00:21:43,440 --> 00:21:46,440
know, government's going to pay 
pay for my Social Security. 

381
00:21:46,800 --> 00:21:48,080
No, the government's not going 
to. 

382
00:21:48,840 --> 00:21:50,600
There will not be any Social 
Security. 

383
00:21:50,600 --> 00:21:54,320
You don't. 
That's just a lie, you know, for

384
00:21:54,360 --> 00:21:57,040
the next. 
In America for the next 300 

385
00:21:57,040 --> 00:22:01,320
years probably or so maybe. 
Sorry, in America probably for 

386
00:22:01,320 --> 00:22:04,480
for the next 3-4 hundred years 
if you look at you know how many

387
00:22:04,480 --> 00:22:06,360
trillion of unfunded 
liabilities. 

388
00:22:06,360 --> 00:22:08,440
Yeah, I mean, they can't. 
Well, they can't pay it. 

389
00:22:08,440 --> 00:22:10,720
That's never going to be and 
they can't. 

390
00:22:11,160 --> 00:22:14,480
And those Medicare benefits and 
the Social Security benefits are

391
00:22:14,480 --> 00:22:17,440
not they. 
They do not have money for that.

392
00:22:18,320 --> 00:22:21,680
And so the system is kind of 
bankrupt, but we're all 

393
00:22:21,680 --> 00:22:25,840
pretending that it's not. 
And so there's got to be, 

394
00:22:25,880 --> 00:22:30,520
there's got to be a fundamental 
change to the system and that 

395
00:22:30,520 --> 00:22:33,600
change is coming and and 
bitcoin's going to be part of 

396
00:22:33,600 --> 00:22:37,880
that change, right. 
So it it's a really big change 

397
00:22:37,880 --> 00:22:40,360
and I think a lot of people 
would rather, you know, it's a 

398
00:22:40,360 --> 00:22:43,320
little bit like thinking about 
your your own death, right. 

399
00:22:43,720 --> 00:22:47,080
It's not particularly pleasant 
thinking that you're not going 

400
00:22:47,080 --> 00:22:50,680
to be around, you know, 100 
years from now, but you're not 

401
00:22:50,680 --> 00:22:52,760
going to be around 100 years 
from now, you know what I mean? 

402
00:22:53,360 --> 00:22:55,000
And. 
It doesn't make it less true, 

403
00:22:55,200 --> 00:22:56,680
right? 
So you're feeling about? 

404
00:22:56,720 --> 00:23:01,080
It doesn't make it feel you're 
exactly there's nobody has ever 

405
00:23:01,080 --> 00:23:05,040
lived beyond 123 years old 
that's the maximum a human being

406
00:23:05,200 --> 00:23:09,040
And you know we've had you know 
10 billion of us going to walk 

407
00:23:09,040 --> 00:23:12,960
the earth and nobody's lived 
beyond 123 that we that's in 

408
00:23:12,960 --> 00:23:15,600
recorded history. 
And look I think we're going to 

409
00:23:16,440 --> 00:23:25,720
this system is also going to 
fail and and you know I if not 

410
00:23:25,720 --> 00:23:29,560
thinking about it doesn't 
doesn't make it not happen so 

411
00:23:29,600 --> 00:23:34,480
it's going to happen and and 
kind of bitcoins your solution. 

412
00:23:34,520 --> 00:23:38,560
You know and you know it's just 
a question of how much do you 

413
00:23:38,560 --> 00:23:41,640
want to hedge your bets. 
Maybe you maybe you sort of say 

414
00:23:42,200 --> 00:23:44,760
well OK Freddie kind of 10% 
believe you. 

415
00:23:44,760 --> 00:23:48,040
OK great. 
Well 10%'s probably probably 

416
00:23:48,040 --> 00:23:50,880
enough. 
You don't you don't need to be 

417
00:23:50,880 --> 00:23:54,600
100% believer you know you just 
you need to be a little bit of a

418
00:23:54,600 --> 00:23:57,240
believer. 
You know, we're still 

419
00:23:57,240 --> 00:24:01,680
sufficiently early that if you 
kind of believe a little bit, I 

420
00:24:01,680 --> 00:24:05,360
think you're going to be OK You 
don't have to put all your eggs 

421
00:24:05,360 --> 00:24:10,880
in the Bitcoin basket, but you 
know it it it really makes no 

422
00:24:10,880 --> 00:24:12,800
sense to have no coins, I think,
at this. 

423
00:24:12,880 --> 00:24:19,480
Point I think the fact that this
is so big, combined with the 

424
00:24:19,480 --> 00:24:23,680
weird perception of people that 
it's too late and all these 

425
00:24:23,680 --> 00:24:26,920
things that I think that makes a
lot of people not pay attention,

426
00:24:26,920 --> 00:24:29,120
right? 
Like well, because Brahm and 

427
00:24:29,120 --> 00:24:31,320
Fred are talking about it, yeah,
they're only talking about it 

428
00:24:31,320 --> 00:24:33,160
because they have Bitcoin, by 
the way. 

429
00:24:33,280 --> 00:24:37,120
I always then think, right, Of 
course that is my skin in the 

430
00:24:37,120 --> 00:24:38,680
game. 
It would be weird if I didn't 

431
00:24:38,680 --> 00:24:40,880
have Bitcoin and talked about 
how good Bitcoin was, but 

432
00:24:40,920 --> 00:24:45,280
anyway, but the point is more 
like people think they are too 

433
00:24:45,280 --> 00:24:48,040
late, but how are you too late 
to a new money, right? 

434
00:24:48,040 --> 00:24:50,040
And that's kind of ties into 
like how big? 

435
00:24:50,320 --> 00:24:52,400
You think look how far can you 
zoom out. 

436
00:24:53,360 --> 00:24:57,920
I think part of The thing is 
like you you it's it's hard 

437
00:24:57,920 --> 00:25:02,400
without looking at sort of 
quantitative numbers of how how 

438
00:25:02,600 --> 00:25:05,400
how much this is catching on. 
You know and that's one of the 

439
00:25:05,400 --> 00:25:09,040
things I've been kind of doing 
on Twitter recently is I've I 

440
00:25:09,040 --> 00:25:12,880
really, you know I really been 
focusing on kind of trying to 

441
00:25:12,880 --> 00:25:17,920
explain to people about these 
power laws and not not just 

442
00:25:17,920 --> 00:25:21,840
about power laws of price but 
like power laws of adoption, 

443
00:25:21,840 --> 00:25:24,880
right. 
So you know Bitcoin at the end 

444
00:25:24,880 --> 00:25:28,480
of the day it is growing almost 
exponentially. 

445
00:25:28,800 --> 00:25:31,280
It's it's growing like a weed. 
OK. 

446
00:25:32,120 --> 00:25:40,600
And and basically, you know, 25%
a year, there's more Bitcoin 

447
00:25:40,600 --> 00:25:43,360
users every year. 
And it doesn't matter whether 

448
00:25:43,360 --> 00:25:47,240
bitcoin's going price is going 
up or down, the usage is 

449
00:25:47,240 --> 00:25:49,760
increasing, right. 
And there's all these ways of 

450
00:25:49,760 --> 00:25:52,040
measuring that. 
You can measure people who have 

451
00:25:52,040 --> 00:25:57,080
one Bitcoin or people who have 
110th of a Bitcoin or addresses 

452
00:25:57,080 --> 00:26:01,760
that have 100th of a Bitcoin or 
even addresses that have 10 

453
00:26:01,760 --> 00:26:05,040
Bitcoin. 
And you see these these things 

454
00:26:05,040 --> 00:26:09,000
are growing at a sort of a 
geometric rate, right? 

455
00:26:09,560 --> 00:26:14,800
And so there's, you know, it 
really is, there is no 

456
00:26:14,960 --> 00:26:18,080
uncertainty about it. 
It's just this thing's growing. 

457
00:26:18,720 --> 00:26:21,680
It's sort of like population 
growth in a country like, you 

458
00:26:21,680 --> 00:26:24,600
know, India, right? 
Population growth in Netherlands

459
00:26:24,600 --> 00:26:29,000
is not growing, but population 
in India is growing or Mexico 

460
00:26:29,320 --> 00:26:31,560
it's growing every year. 
It's growing at you know 

461
00:26:31,560 --> 00:26:37,600
whatever 7% a year and you know 
I think the we're dealing with 

462
00:26:37,600 --> 00:26:41,360
sort of an inevitability of the 
growth and adoption of Bitcoin 

463
00:26:42,080 --> 00:26:45,200
that that's that's the that's 
really the basis. 

464
00:26:45,200 --> 00:26:48,920
Now this is also growing in 
terms of price. 

465
00:26:48,920 --> 00:26:54,120
It's also growing in a very 
consistent way, but it's a 

466
00:26:54,120 --> 00:26:59,400
little harder to really 
appreciate and understand that 

467
00:26:59,400 --> 00:27:04,920
because it's happening in this 
logarithmic kind of way and we 

468
00:27:04,920 --> 00:27:07,480
have very bad intuition for 
logarithmic growth. 

469
00:27:09,160 --> 00:27:11,160
Can you explain a bit on that? 
Like what's? 

470
00:27:11,320 --> 00:27:15,480
The main thing to understand, 
let's just say if people like if

471
00:27:15,480 --> 00:27:18,400
you ask most people who are not 
in Bitcoin, or even people who 

472
00:27:18,400 --> 00:27:22,920
are in Bitcoin, you say explain,
explain the price of Bitcoin, 

473
00:27:22,920 --> 00:27:26,840
they'd be like, well there was 
back in the day, a long, long 

474
00:27:26,840 --> 00:27:29,720
time ago, Bitcoin was really 
cheap, right? 

475
00:27:29,920 --> 00:27:33,640
Like you were saying, right? 
You know, 2013, it was like a 

476
00:27:33,640 --> 00:27:37,160
couple $100, right? 
You can buy Bitcoin for $200, 

477
00:27:37,160 --> 00:27:40,800
right? 
And then so there was this 

478
00:27:40,800 --> 00:27:42,720
prehistory where it was very 
cheap. 

479
00:27:43,240 --> 00:27:48,920
And then in 2017 it kind of went
from $1000 to $20,000, right? 

480
00:27:49,120 --> 00:27:52,400
Almost 20,000. 
Then it crashed and then it was 

481
00:27:52,400 --> 00:27:57,440
like dead. 
And then it went in late 2020 it

482
00:27:57,600 --> 00:28:02,840
rose again from the dead and 
then it went to $60,000 and then

483
00:28:02,840 --> 00:28:07,120
it stayed there for about a 
year, went down and went back 

484
00:28:07,120 --> 00:28:10,720
up. 
It hit 60,069 thousand in the 

485
00:28:10,720 --> 00:28:15,000
second peak, then it crashed and
then it did nothing for three 

486
00:28:15,000 --> 00:28:18,160
years it died and then last year
it went back up. 

487
00:28:18,880 --> 00:28:22,720
Well that doesn't sound like a 
like a straight line at all, 

488
00:28:22,720 --> 00:28:25,560
right. 
Like that's that's not, that's 

489
00:28:25,560 --> 00:28:28,960
sort of like sounds like a very 
risky kind of investment that 

490
00:28:29,680 --> 00:28:31,640
probably too risky for most 
people, right. 

491
00:28:31,640 --> 00:28:33,440
Like especially somebody my age,
right. 

492
00:28:33,440 --> 00:28:36,640
They'd be like yeah, I don't 
need that that sounds like way 

493
00:28:36,640 --> 00:28:41,720
too much volatile just complete 
risky casino, you know. 

494
00:28:43,920 --> 00:28:47,360
But if you look at it on 
logarithmic space and you say, 

495
00:28:47,360 --> 00:28:51,120
great, let's look at the 
logarithm of Bitcoin price, 

496
00:28:51,160 --> 00:28:54,760
right, which the logarithm is, 
is a a good way that you can put

497
00:28:54,760 --> 00:28:59,240
a a graph of Bitcoin price over 
a very wide time scale, right. 

498
00:28:59,640 --> 00:29:03,800
So from when Bitcoin was at 
$0.10, right? 

499
00:29:03,800 --> 00:29:09,280
So the logarithm is -1 at $0.10,
right to right now where 

500
00:29:09,840 --> 00:29:13,920
Bitcoin, let's say it's roughly 
$100,000, not quite 100,000 yet,

501
00:29:14,400 --> 00:29:18,800
but you know 100,000 would be 10
to the power 6, the logarithm of

502
00:29:18,800 --> 00:29:22,920
it in base 5:50. 
So you went from -1 to +6, 

503
00:29:23,200 --> 00:29:25,960
right? 
So you look at that And now the 

504
00:29:26,200 --> 00:29:30,960
trick is look at time also on a 
logarithmic basis. 

505
00:29:31,720 --> 00:29:38,840
So look at time starting at the 
genesis block and 15 years from 

506
00:29:38,840 --> 00:29:42,320
that, from there, so 10 years. 
That left, that's one, right? 

507
00:29:42,320 --> 00:29:46,680
Because 10 to the power of 110 
to the power one is 10, right. 

508
00:29:47,840 --> 00:29:50,960
And so you know, you start at 
zero, you go to a little bit 

509
00:29:50,960 --> 00:29:57,160
beyond one, Now you're at, you 
know, 1.4, right, 1.3, you know.

510
00:29:57,600 --> 00:30:02,480
And so if you look at time that 
way and logarithm price, now you

511
00:30:02,480 --> 00:30:05,000
see, whoa, it's a complete 
straight line. 

512
00:30:05,720 --> 00:30:08,160
Yeah, it's very clear. 
Once you see it. 

513
00:30:08,240 --> 00:30:12,160
You're like, I can't Unsee that 
it's completely a straight line.

514
00:30:12,560 --> 00:30:15,920
And now it wobbles around the 
straight line, but it's very 

515
00:30:15,920 --> 00:30:17,760
clear that it's growing 
linearly. 

516
00:30:18,480 --> 00:30:20,360
Not possible that it's random, 
right. 

517
00:30:20,920 --> 00:30:23,080
Yeah. 
And I think, you know, there's 

518
00:30:23,080 --> 00:30:26,640
not, you know, not that many 
people have seen that graph, 

519
00:30:26,880 --> 00:30:28,920
including not that many 
bitcoiners, right. 

520
00:30:29,640 --> 00:30:34,800
Yeah. 
And so once you see that graph, 

521
00:30:34,800 --> 00:30:38,240
you're like, oh, hmm, that's 
odd. 

522
00:30:38,880 --> 00:30:43,560
Why is this thing that went up 
from $0.10 to 100,000? 

523
00:30:44,080 --> 00:30:46,840
So it went up 7 orders of 
magnitude, right? 

524
00:30:47,640 --> 00:30:50,760
How? 
How could something like grow up

525
00:30:50,760 --> 00:30:55,360
in such a consistent way? 
And the answer is it's a power 

526
00:30:55,360 --> 00:30:57,240
law. 
It's it's a it's part of these 

527
00:30:57,240 --> 00:31:01,920
power laws that exist in nature 
all over the place, right? 

528
00:31:01,920 --> 00:31:02,960
Yeah. 
And. 

529
00:31:02,960 --> 00:31:05,920
So, yeah, sorry to ask you a 
question about it. 

530
00:31:05,920 --> 00:31:10,680
Like I'm, I'm talking to 
Giovanni in two days, so that's 

531
00:31:10,680 --> 00:31:12,640
great. 
So we'll dive deeper, but I 

532
00:31:12,640 --> 00:31:15,840
think the essence of the power 
law is like, I think there's 

533
00:31:15,840 --> 00:31:18,960
there's a great example and I 
want to say it correctly, but I 

534
00:31:19,000 --> 00:31:23,800
think it's like the like how the
size of the heart of an animal 

535
00:31:23,800 --> 00:31:27,000
is correlated to its weight or 
its size in a certain way, 

536
00:31:27,000 --> 00:31:29,560
right, like that. 
Eventually, So if you look at. 

537
00:31:29,560 --> 00:31:33,120
Stuff like that. 
The mass, the mass of an element

538
00:31:33,400 --> 00:31:36,360
of an the mass of an animal, 
right. 

539
00:31:36,960 --> 00:31:40,760
Measured in kilograms, right. 
Yeah, and you measure the 

540
00:31:40,760 --> 00:31:44,960
logarithm of the mass of an 
animal, and on the other axis, 

541
00:31:45,440 --> 00:31:49,200
you put the metabolic rate, 
which is how much energy does 

542
00:31:49,440 --> 00:31:51,840
that animal need to stay alive, 
right? 

543
00:31:53,120 --> 00:31:56,200
Well, it turns out you need 100 
watts to stay alive. 

544
00:31:57,960 --> 00:32:01,760
So you you require, you and I 
both require about the same 

545
00:32:01,760 --> 00:32:05,640
amount of energy as a light bulb
to keep going, right? 

546
00:32:06,560 --> 00:32:09,760
And all this food is just to 
produce 100 watts. 

547
00:32:09,760 --> 00:32:11,000
That's it. 
That's what we did. 

548
00:32:11,840 --> 00:32:15,800
But if you look at that relative
to time, you'll see that it's 

549
00:32:15,800 --> 00:32:20,600
the three quarter power. 
So it's a sublinear growth, 

550
00:32:20,800 --> 00:32:24,920
right. 
It's a sublinear power law and 

551
00:32:25,920 --> 00:32:30,680
that so if you can, if you 
double the size of the animal, 

552
00:32:31,520 --> 00:32:37,520
you do not double the, you only 
have to you only increase the a 

553
00:32:37,520 --> 00:32:42,720
metabolic rate by 75%, right. 
So the bigger the animal, the 

554
00:32:42,720 --> 00:32:46,400
more efficient it is. 
And it it actually, it works 

555
00:32:46,400 --> 00:32:51,400
for, you know, even like 
bacteria all the way up to like 

556
00:32:51,440 --> 00:32:53,560
blue whales, yeah. 
And there's. 

557
00:32:54,000 --> 00:32:56,320
Also, I guess a line. 
Yeah. 

558
00:32:56,400 --> 00:32:59,520
And there's also examples of how
cities grow in their GDP. 

559
00:32:59,520 --> 00:33:04,280
Or yeah, but even number of 
patents per capita, for example,

560
00:33:04,280 --> 00:33:05,480
things like that. 
Right. 

561
00:33:05,520 --> 00:33:08,280
Wow. 
But yeah, and so the the the 

562
00:33:08,280 --> 00:33:12,240
biggest question I have there, I
think what I like about it. 

563
00:33:12,640 --> 00:33:15,360
And it's also why I started 
talking to Giovanni. 

564
00:33:15,360 --> 00:33:17,640
I saw his post on Reddit and 
then I. 

565
00:33:17,640 --> 00:33:19,000
Went happy that you're talking 
to. 

566
00:33:19,160 --> 00:33:22,120
Him I went down to power law 
rabbit hole which was 

567
00:33:22,880 --> 00:33:26,560
fascinating so. 
But what I find difficult with 

568
00:33:26,560 --> 00:33:30,400
Bitcoin and I hope to formulate 
the question right like I see it

569
00:33:30,400 --> 00:33:32,800
as of course it's a network 
growing right. 

570
00:33:32,800 --> 00:33:36,160
It's a network of participants 
growing. 

571
00:33:36,160 --> 00:33:40,280
So it's kind of like similar to 
perhaps kind of like Moore's law

572
00:33:41,200 --> 00:33:44,120
type type ish. 
But where? 

573
00:33:44,160 --> 00:33:46,800
Where does the power law of 
Bitcoin come from? 

574
00:33:46,800 --> 00:33:50,040
Is that because it's basically 
like a mind virus, it's like a 

575
00:33:50,040 --> 00:33:54,280
social adoption thing? 
Is it the human behavior type of

576
00:33:54,520 --> 00:34:02,080
element there or is it because 
Bitcoin is so rooted in in math 

577
00:34:02,080 --> 00:34:06,040
and physics as well, like just 
how how that is engineered does,

578
00:34:06,240 --> 00:34:08,639
does it make any sense to 
identify those two or like how? 

579
00:34:08,639 --> 00:34:10,040
How do you see that? 
Because that's why. 

580
00:34:11,000 --> 00:34:13,560
Why? 
Why would the number of patents 

581
00:34:13,600 --> 00:34:14,800
per user? 
Why? 

582
00:34:15,040 --> 00:34:18,719
Why would the number of patents 
increase sub linearly with the 

583
00:34:18,719 --> 00:34:23,360
amount of users it does? 
OK, sorry, it's super linearly. 

584
00:34:23,360 --> 00:34:25,560
So the amount of patents grows 
by 20%. 

585
00:34:26,800 --> 00:34:28,719
It's true, It's a fact. 
It's a fact, right? 

586
00:34:28,840 --> 00:34:31,000
Why is that so? 
Why? 

587
00:34:31,000 --> 00:34:33,320
Why do these numbers show up? 
I don't know. 

588
00:34:33,679 --> 00:34:35,760
It's just a normal growth kind 
of curve. 

589
00:34:35,800 --> 00:34:38,560
Everything has. 
Either they grow sub linearly or

590
00:34:38,560 --> 00:34:41,080
super linearly at some rate, 
yeah. 

591
00:34:41,360 --> 00:34:44,440
But is it irrelevant then to 
talk about this human behavior? 

592
00:34:44,440 --> 00:34:46,840
Because the one thing I think 
about with the power loss of 

593
00:34:46,840 --> 00:34:51,480
Bitcoin, right, let's say the in
this bull run we go to 500 K 

594
00:34:51,480 --> 00:34:54,840
plus, right? 
There will be a bigger number of

595
00:34:54,840 --> 00:34:58,240
people that will pay attention 
to Bitcoin because of that than 

596
00:34:58,520 --> 00:35:03,720
the amount of people that did 
at, you know, $0.10 to $10 or 

597
00:35:03,720 --> 00:35:06,280
whatever. 
Probably not, but there will be,

598
00:35:06,280 --> 00:35:07,360
but. 
That's the point. 

599
00:35:07,600 --> 00:35:10,520
That's the point, right? 
Not on a percentage basis, 

600
00:35:10,520 --> 00:35:11,480
right. 
Exactly. 

601
00:35:11,760 --> 00:35:13,760
Yeah. 
So actually what these power 

602
00:35:13,760 --> 00:35:17,120
laws suggest is that there's 
nothing new under the sun, 

603
00:35:17,120 --> 00:35:18,920
right. 
So and everybody's like, well 

604
00:35:18,920 --> 00:35:22,680
ETFs are big, Fred, like I'm 
like, well, so was Mount Docks 

605
00:35:22,680 --> 00:35:26,240
when it came out, right. 
That was a big thing for Bitcoin

606
00:35:26,240 --> 00:35:30,600
to have an exchange, right. 
It's you know what I mean or but

607
00:35:30,640 --> 00:35:32,600
at that. 
Point within that context, with 

608
00:35:32,600 --> 00:35:34,320
that amount of users, you say 
like percent. 

609
00:35:34,320 --> 00:35:36,640
So it's not about the absolute 
numbers, it's more about the 

610
00:35:36,640 --> 00:35:39,560
percentages. 
It's a look, all these things 

611
00:35:39,560 --> 00:35:43,000
there's there. 
It doesn't really matter that 

612
00:35:43,320 --> 00:35:48,080
there is now ETFs or. 
It seems like that. 

613
00:35:48,400 --> 00:35:52,640
It's just a general function of 
time that doesn't depend on 

614
00:35:52,640 --> 00:35:54,920
anything else. 
There's only one variable in it,

615
00:35:54,920 --> 00:35:57,440
which is time. 
That's the only variable. 

616
00:35:57,840 --> 00:35:59,480
Yeah. 
So basically nothing else. 

617
00:36:00,200 --> 00:36:01,800
Yeah. 
So this is what Jeff Booth says,

618
00:36:01,800 --> 00:36:03,000
right? 
As long as it stays 

619
00:36:03,000 --> 00:36:06,280
decentralized and secure, it 
will be chugging along and 

620
00:36:06,280 --> 00:36:10,240
people will adopt it as it goes,
basically. 

621
00:36:10,240 --> 00:36:14,880
Yeah, I mean it's there's 
nothing, there's nothing you or 

622
00:36:14,880 --> 00:36:19,960
I can do that's going to change 
that or or anybody else or ETFs 

623
00:36:19,960 --> 00:36:22,800
or it's just a normal growth 
pattern, right. 

624
00:36:23,760 --> 00:36:27,920
And I feel like you know the 
question is, is sort of why is 

625
00:36:27,920 --> 00:36:30,440
it a power law? 
Well, because I think it's kind 

626
00:36:30,440 --> 00:36:33,200
of a natural type phenomenon, 
right. 

627
00:36:33,640 --> 00:36:37,920
It's a, it's a network type 
thing, but it's it's like cities

628
00:36:37,920 --> 00:36:41,360
or networks or you know animals 
or networks. 

629
00:36:41,360 --> 00:36:44,080
We're networks of cells, right. 
That's kind of what we are. 

630
00:36:44,080 --> 00:36:46,680
We're, you know, we have, we 
have all these little cells that

631
00:36:46,680 --> 00:36:51,520
make us up trillions of them. 
And for those cells, we we don't

632
00:36:51,520 --> 00:36:53,400
exist, right. 
They're just like they're doing 

633
00:36:53,400 --> 00:36:54,720
their own thing. 
Exactly. 

634
00:36:54,840 --> 00:36:58,200
And that's true. 
You know, and so Bitcoin itself 

635
00:36:58,480 --> 00:37:04,000
is, you know, the growth of 
Bitcoin as as a store of value 

636
00:37:04,000 --> 00:37:10,560
and stuff is, is it's just, it's
clearly has its own clear path 

637
00:37:12,360 --> 00:37:16,240
and other other cryptocurrencies
don't, right. 

638
00:37:16,240 --> 00:37:21,480
So if you look at Litecoin, for 
example, the price of Litecoin 

639
00:37:21,480 --> 00:37:24,880
is not a power law. 
OK, Right. 

640
00:37:24,880 --> 00:37:28,960
And I mean the price of 
Litecoin, Litecoin was is lower 

641
00:37:28,960 --> 00:37:31,800
than it was in 2017 right now. 
Yeah. 

642
00:37:32,920 --> 00:37:35,480
And would you agree? 
That Litecoin is not growing as 

643
00:37:35,480 --> 00:37:37,400
a power law. 
So yeah, you know. 

644
00:37:37,680 --> 00:37:41,400
But would you agree then? 
Do you agree then that the price

645
00:37:41,400 --> 00:37:44,760
is like a proxy of the adoption 
also or not? 

646
00:37:45,760 --> 00:37:49,480
I think, yeah, I think there's 
all there's there's, that's the 

647
00:37:49,480 --> 00:37:54,000
crazy thing, which is that the 
price of Bitcoin was known to be

648
00:37:54,000 --> 00:38:02,960
a power law first, right? 
But then, you know, the hash 

649
00:38:02,960 --> 00:38:05,360
rate of Bitcoin is also a power 
law. 

650
00:38:06,280 --> 00:38:10,880
And furthermore the the amount 
of the usage of Bitcoin's a 

651
00:38:10,880 --> 00:38:12,640
power law. 
So there's all the, there's 

652
00:38:12,640 --> 00:38:14,840
power loss everywhere in 
Bitcoin. 

653
00:38:15,200 --> 00:38:19,680
It's not just prop price, it's 
there's all all kinds of power 

654
00:38:19,680 --> 00:38:21,440
laws. 
In fact, there's even power laws

655
00:38:21,480 --> 00:38:24,160
of power laws. 
So if you look at the amount of 

656
00:38:24,160 --> 00:38:31,040
Bitcoin that the growth rate of 
Bitcoin for Bitcoin wallets, 

657
00:38:31,040 --> 00:38:34,720
having one Bitcoin, 110th of a 
Bitcoin, 100th of a Bitcoin, 

658
00:38:34,720 --> 00:38:38,960
etcetera, that's also a power 
law of of Bitcoin. 

659
00:38:39,960 --> 00:38:42,840
What I'm just trying to say is 
there's all these intrinsic 

660
00:38:42,840 --> 00:38:46,040
power laws which just tell you 
that you're looking at a 

661
00:38:46,040 --> 00:38:49,560
network, you're looking at this 
growth of a network. 

662
00:38:49,560 --> 00:38:51,400
And there's a lot of different 
ways you can look at it. 

663
00:38:51,960 --> 00:38:54,720
And there's power laws at every 
single one of those points, 

664
00:38:54,720 --> 00:38:56,360
right? 
Whether it's Ashray, whether 

665
00:38:56,360 --> 00:39:00,000
it's usage, whether it's price, 
it's all connected. 

666
00:39:00,560 --> 00:39:03,600
And so what's the biggest 
difference with like the classic

667
00:39:03,600 --> 00:39:06,840
S curve of of technology 
adoption than here like is that 

668
00:39:06,840 --> 00:39:09,000
something we should let go? 
I mean, there's people that. 

669
00:39:09,120 --> 00:39:11,800
Don't follow. 
I mean it's probably ultimately 

670
00:39:11,800 --> 00:39:15,280
going to be an S curve, right, 
But we're still in the very 

671
00:39:15,280 --> 00:39:21,200
early phases, right. 
So you know, I would say roughly

672
00:39:21,200 --> 00:39:27,680
Speaking of kind of like how 
close are we to the end 1%, you 

673
00:39:27,680 --> 00:39:28,200
know? 
Yeah. 

674
00:39:28,920 --> 00:39:31,000
Yeah. 
We are at 1%, you mean, Yeah. 

675
00:39:31,520 --> 00:39:34,560
Maybe, maybe not even 1%, right?
So I. 

676
00:39:34,600 --> 00:39:35,600
Agree with. 
I agree. 

677
00:39:35,600 --> 00:39:38,400
So when you look at. 
Too early to talk about S curve 

678
00:39:38,400 --> 00:39:39,840
adoption then, but. 
Right. 

679
00:39:39,840 --> 00:39:43,600
Well, a friend of mine, Steven 
Paranoid, He's, you know, he's 

680
00:39:43,600 --> 00:39:46,920
an astrophysicist, right? 
And he's actually even model 

681
00:39:46,920 --> 00:39:50,720
like S curves that actually look
like power laws in the very 

682
00:39:50,720 --> 00:39:54,360
early phase, they're identical 
to power laws and then they turn

683
00:39:54,360 --> 00:39:58,080
into S curves, right. 
So you can model these things 

684
00:39:58,080 --> 00:40:02,480
with an S curve. 
But realistically we're probably

685
00:40:02,480 --> 00:40:06,320
10 years away from the S curve 
stuff even starting to become an

686
00:40:06,320 --> 00:40:09,360
S You know it looks, it looks 
like that and then it sort of 

687
00:40:09,800 --> 00:40:12,000
has an inflection point, it 
bends, right. 

688
00:40:12,760 --> 00:40:15,480
But we're not to that, we're not
even to the, we're still in the 

689
00:40:15,480 --> 00:40:22,880
very early phases, you know, so 
we're 1% of the way in, I mean 

690
00:40:22,880 --> 00:40:24,320
realistically. 
Yeah. 

691
00:40:24,640 --> 00:40:28,720
And probably in terms of time 
where, you know, we probably 

692
00:40:28,720 --> 00:40:35,320
have at least one decade before 
we stop power law growth at all.

693
00:40:36,560 --> 00:40:38,640
OK. 
So we're going to grow pretty 

694
00:40:38,640 --> 00:40:41,320
much exponentially for the next 
decade. 

695
00:40:42,160 --> 00:40:44,000
I mean very close to 
exponential. 

696
00:40:45,400 --> 00:40:48,000
And would this be your main 
argument against people who say 

697
00:40:48,000 --> 00:40:50,680
you know Bitcoin is too volatile
for to be a predictable, 

698
00:40:50,760 --> 00:40:53,400
predictable store value? 
It kind of depends on what your 

699
00:40:53,400 --> 00:40:55,040
time frame is then, right? 
If. 

700
00:40:55,040 --> 00:40:57,160
No, I mean, I think it's sort of
like this. 

701
00:40:57,160 --> 00:41:02,480
It's sort of like, here's the 
thing, let's if you took, if 

702
00:41:02,480 --> 00:41:10,480
you, if you're looking at an 
asset that is sort of growing at

703
00:41:10,480 --> 00:41:15,200
some linear rate, right, and it 
is oscillating around this 

704
00:41:15,200 --> 00:41:20,800
linear rate, I would say, yeah, 
it's way too volatile, right? 

705
00:41:21,120 --> 00:41:25,880
Like why would I want an asset 
if I said, OK, I'm going to, you

706
00:41:25,880 --> 00:41:29,360
can either invest in something 
that's going to go up 10% a year

707
00:41:29,640 --> 00:41:33,120
almost guaranteed, right? 
Or you can get an asset that's 

708
00:41:33,120 --> 00:41:39,760
going to grow 40% a year ±4040%.
Now you're like, well, I'll take

709
00:41:39,760 --> 00:41:42,040
the 10%. 
I'll take the 10% for sure, 

710
00:41:42,040 --> 00:41:44,680
right? 
Like my house on the canals in 

711
00:41:44,680 --> 00:41:47,000
Netherlands, right? 
That thing's probably going to 

712
00:41:47,000 --> 00:41:49,840
grow up 10% a year, maybe 7%, 
right? 

713
00:41:50,400 --> 00:41:53,320
That sounds a lot safer than 
something that's going to might 

714
00:41:53,320 --> 00:41:56,760
go down 40%, right? 
But that's not the correct way 

715
00:41:56,760 --> 00:41:59,520
of looking at it. 
It's not like it's a linear 

716
00:41:59,520 --> 00:42:03,200
thing that's going to be, it's 
actually an exponential thing, 

717
00:42:03,280 --> 00:42:07,920
right? 
So because it's exponential, not

718
00:42:07,920 --> 00:42:11,560
linear, right? 
It's not just volatility around 

719
00:42:11,560 --> 00:42:15,520
a linear path, it's volatility 
around an exponential path. 

720
00:42:16,080 --> 00:42:21,320
So if somebody said, well, you 
have this exponential asset 

721
00:42:21,400 --> 00:42:25,600
which has some volatility around
an exponential path, do you want

722
00:42:25,600 --> 00:42:27,840
that you should be like, of 
course I want that. 

723
00:42:27,840 --> 00:42:30,880
It's great. 
This thing is going to be in the

724
00:42:30,880 --> 00:42:34,120
next Microsoft, right? 
I'm buying Microsoft in 1986. 

725
00:42:34,200 --> 00:42:36,360
Great. 
Like I don't care what the 

726
00:42:36,360 --> 00:42:39,920
volatility is, if I buy 
Microsoft at 8 and around 86, 

727
00:42:40,560 --> 00:42:45,200
you know, Microsoft went up you 
know, 3000 times from 1986 till 

728
00:42:45,200 --> 00:42:50,560
now, you know, so Bitcoin is, 
is, is, it's on a very high 

729
00:42:50,560 --> 00:42:54,160
growth trajectory, right. 
And it's not just a linear 

730
00:42:54,160 --> 00:42:58,560
growth, it's it's going to grow 
a lot compounded really high, 

731
00:42:58,720 --> 00:43:02,800
right. 
So, you know, this is something 

732
00:43:02,800 --> 00:43:06,360
that's going to go up 10X20X 
from where we are now. 

733
00:43:07,560 --> 00:43:11,320
And so because it's going to go 
up 10X20X, you're going to get a

734
00:43:11,320 --> 00:43:14,920
massive amount of volatility 
because it's growing at the 

735
00:43:14,920 --> 00:43:19,960
Super linear way, you know, not 
just even X ^2, it's growing at 

736
00:43:19,960 --> 00:43:24,400
X to the power 6. 
So you know, if you see 

737
00:43:24,400 --> 00:43:27,520
something that's growing at X to
the power six, you absolutely 

738
00:43:27,520 --> 00:43:29,280
should own that thing. 
Yeah. 

739
00:43:29,840 --> 00:43:32,120
So what's? 
You, you just have to get it in 

740
00:43:32,120 --> 00:43:34,000
your head. 
This thing's growing at X to the

741
00:43:34,000 --> 00:43:36,760
power of 6. 
OK, I'm going to own that way, 

742
00:43:36,960 --> 00:43:37,440
you know? 
Yeah. 

743
00:43:38,080 --> 00:43:41,720
That's, that's huge. 
So what do you think about then 

744
00:43:41,720 --> 00:43:44,280
last question about this, like 
people talk a lot about, you 

745
00:43:44,280 --> 00:43:46,520
know, diminishing returns. 
Like if they look at the 

746
00:43:46,520 --> 00:43:51,320
previous cycles you see like 
there was like third, I don't 

747
00:43:51,320 --> 00:43:57,160
know, X 1000% up, then X 100% 
up, then like 110% up. 

748
00:43:57,160 --> 00:44:01,320
Now is that going to go down? 
Because like in my mind, I think

749
00:44:02,200 --> 00:44:06,120
I, I, I think that I don't know 
if they were going to go down. 

750
00:44:06,120 --> 00:44:09,240
Because at one point, if the 
adoption grows and people 

751
00:44:09,240 --> 00:44:13,720
understand what this is, my 
logical reasoning is less people

752
00:44:13,720 --> 00:44:17,400
will sell into, you know, the 
boot, you know, the boom and 

753
00:44:17,400 --> 00:44:22,240
bust that I mean, I can. 
Tell you what, statistically 

754
00:44:22,240 --> 00:44:26,120
it's doing right? 
Statistically, the volatility, 

755
00:44:26,520 --> 00:44:30,880
well, it's growing in an 
exponential rate, the the a 

756
00:44:30,880 --> 00:44:33,880
quasi exponential rate. 
So power law is very similar to 

757
00:44:33,880 --> 00:44:39,600
an exponential rate except the 
exponential curve is growing 

758
00:44:39,600 --> 00:44:43,000
down. 
So in 2017 the growth rate was 

759
00:44:43,000 --> 00:44:46,480
100%. 
Now the growth rate's like 45%, 

760
00:44:47,880 --> 00:44:51,080
OK. 
In 20 years the growth rate will

761
00:44:51,080 --> 00:44:53,400
be 20%. 
That's kind of what the, the 

762
00:44:53,400 --> 00:44:56,640
power law tells you. 
So it's still going to be 30% 

763
00:44:56,640 --> 00:45:02,640
growth in you know in 10 years. 
So it's still so. 

764
00:45:03,160 --> 00:45:06,200
So it's still going to be a 
very, very high growth thing for

765
00:45:06,200 --> 00:45:09,680
10 years. 
You know you you're getting a 

766
00:45:09,680 --> 00:45:12,920
very, very high growth thing. 
The volatility is going down a 

767
00:45:12,920 --> 00:45:15,480
little bit, but not that much, 
right. 

768
00:45:15,480 --> 00:45:22,640
So the volatility has gone from 
.3 in log terms to .25, not even

769
00:45:22,640 --> 00:45:26,720
that much. 
So I think that realistically we

770
00:45:26,720 --> 00:45:34,240
can expect, you know, high, high
volatility and high growth for 

771
00:45:34,240 --> 00:45:37,480
the next decade. 
And by the way, because we're 

772
00:45:37,480 --> 00:45:42,760
now looking at these numbers on 
a much bigger scale, you know, I

773
00:45:42,760 --> 00:45:45,400
think it's going to look like 
it's going to be crazy. 

774
00:45:45,400 --> 00:45:48,560
I mean, it's going to be like 
Bitcoin went from 500,000 to 

775
00:45:48,560 --> 00:45:52,080
200,000, you know what I mean? 
That's going to appear like 

776
00:45:52,080 --> 00:45:54,680
people are just not going to get
their their heads around that 

777
00:45:55,480 --> 00:45:58,920
because it's going to seem so 
crazy going from 500,000 to 

778
00:45:58,920 --> 00:46:01,800
200,000. 
But that's only, you know, 

779
00:46:01,800 --> 00:46:04,520
that's one standard deviation, 
right? 

780
00:46:05,200 --> 00:46:08,520
That's like 1 standard deviation
is I dropped by half. 

781
00:46:09,360 --> 00:46:12,280
OK. 
That's not not terrible. 

782
00:46:12,360 --> 00:46:16,000
You know what I mean? 
Especially if I if I overshot on

783
00:46:16,000 --> 00:46:19,520
the upside, I might go from 
500,000 to 125,000. 

784
00:46:20,040 --> 00:46:22,600
Yeah, I think that's what 
Giovanni says too, right? 

785
00:46:22,600 --> 00:46:29,240
Like his downside is like half 
of the of of the trend line and 

786
00:46:29,240 --> 00:46:32,560
his upside is like 1.5 ish or 
something, right? 

787
00:46:32,560 --> 00:46:33,680
Yeah. 
Yeah. 

788
00:46:33,680 --> 00:46:36,920
But I mean, we could go, you 
know, we could go well above the

789
00:46:36,920 --> 00:46:39,800
trend line, right? 
We could go two times and 

790
00:46:40,080 --> 00:46:44,320
there's twice we've gone 2X the 
trend line, which then puts a 

791
00:46:44,360 --> 00:46:50,080
downside to 75% drop, right. 
So you could go down, you know, 

792
00:46:50,080 --> 00:46:54,640
you could go up conceivably to 
500,000 then drop to 125,000. 

793
00:46:57,000 --> 00:47:00,720
It's really hard to get an 
intuitive number without looking

794
00:47:00,720 --> 00:47:03,920
at the the actual math and 
looking at the thing in in log 

795
00:47:03,920 --> 00:47:06,560
space. 
Your intuition will be wrong all

796
00:47:06,560 --> 00:47:09,640
the time. 
Yeah, I think this is a great 

797
00:47:09,880 --> 00:47:16,000
tool to help you remember what 
this is, right, to emphasize 

798
00:47:16,000 --> 00:47:18,360
what this is, because I think 
you can study Bitcoin and you 

799
00:47:18,360 --> 00:47:20,920
get to a certain understanding. 
I mean, this is what I do like, 

800
00:47:20,920 --> 00:47:24,360
I I still feel it when the price
goes down a bit, but then I just

801
00:47:24,360 --> 00:47:27,400
reiterate like, oh, this is the 
stuff I know and nothing's 

802
00:47:27,400 --> 00:47:29,160
changed, right? 
Like nothing fundamentally. 

803
00:47:29,160 --> 00:47:31,440
Changed it's sort of like. 
This is the same thing. 

804
00:47:31,960 --> 00:47:35,280
If you learn to fly a plane, you
you have to learn to trust the 

805
00:47:35,280 --> 00:47:39,120
instruments a little bit. 
You know what I mean or driving 

806
00:47:39,120 --> 00:47:42,080
a car you you know you're you 
look at the speedometer you look

807
00:47:42,080 --> 00:47:46,680
at like the RPM you sort of see 
you have to like trust a little 

808
00:47:46,680 --> 00:47:52,880
bit and like OK this is this is 
what I the past behavior. 

809
00:47:52,880 --> 00:47:58,160
This is what I expect. 
Now I I have to learn to trust 

810
00:47:58,160 --> 00:48:03,000
the instruments a little bit and
I think that's that's where 

811
00:48:03,000 --> 00:48:06,280
you're going to get freaked out.
If you, if you don't have any 

812
00:48:06,280 --> 00:48:09,640
basis for this stuff, you're 
just going to, you're just going

813
00:48:09,640 --> 00:48:13,720
to be like, OK, went down a lot.
Looks like it's going to 0. 

814
00:48:13,880 --> 00:48:17,160
I'm out. 
Yeah, all right. 

815
00:48:18,400 --> 00:48:21,240
I have another. 
I have another subject I I saw 

816
00:48:21,320 --> 00:48:26,240
you tweet about gold and you 
know, some people argue against 

817
00:48:26,240 --> 00:48:28,800
Bitcoin and say, you know, at 
least you can hold gold 

818
00:48:28,800 --> 00:48:31,080
physically and you can store it 
physically. 

819
00:48:31,080 --> 00:48:32,600
Like, you cannot do that with 
Bitcoin. 

820
00:48:32,600 --> 00:48:37,640
Like, I would argue that Bitcoin
is like metaphysical, you know, 

821
00:48:37,640 --> 00:48:41,120
But in fact it's also tangible 
because you know it. 

822
00:48:41,400 --> 00:48:44,320
It's verifiably, it's just math.
And the fact that letters and 

823
00:48:44,320 --> 00:48:47,400
numbers represent all the 
Bitcoin there is, like in some 

824
00:48:47,400 --> 00:48:50,200
way it is tangible. 
And I can write down a private 

825
00:48:50,200 --> 00:48:54,880
key with a pen on the paper and 
that can represent real like you

826
00:48:54,880 --> 00:48:56,520
can hold a billion dollars in 
your hands. 

827
00:48:56,520 --> 00:48:59,600
Like how how do you view this 
when people say this like I I? 

828
00:48:59,880 --> 00:49:03,120
Mean I It just seems to me the 
person who said that is is the 

829
00:49:03,120 --> 00:49:06,280
head of Goldman Sachs's wealth 
management unit. 

830
00:49:07,320 --> 00:49:11,000
So it's like something is wrong 
if she thinks that you can't 

831
00:49:11,000 --> 00:49:14,200
hold Bitcoin. 
It just to me it's like it's 

832
00:49:14,200 --> 00:49:18,960
insane that somebody who has 
that position right who's 

833
00:49:18,960 --> 00:49:23,880
advising literally trillions of 
dollars of money that is that 

834
00:49:23,880 --> 00:49:27,080
she does not understand even 
that you can hold Bitcoin in a 

835
00:49:27,080 --> 00:49:31,040
wallet. 
Yeah, well, it's, you know, it's

836
00:49:32,080 --> 00:49:38,840
it's the amount of of just lack 
of understanding is just 

837
00:49:38,840 --> 00:49:42,400
unbelievable to me, you know? 
Is this, is this, as a Wall 

838
00:49:42,400 --> 00:49:46,240
Street veteran, is this on 
purpose? 

839
00:49:46,240 --> 00:49:49,280
Like, do they not understand? 
Like, I I agree, right. 

840
00:49:49,280 --> 00:49:52,880
Like if this is your life, if 
this is your work and there's a 

841
00:49:52,880 --> 00:49:56,800
new form of money. 
Yeah, that is adopted by your 

842
00:49:56,800 --> 00:49:59,960
biggest competitors in a sense. 
How? 

843
00:49:59,960 --> 00:50:03,280
How I I can I I mean, I worked 
in Treadfy as well. 

844
00:50:03,280 --> 00:50:06,360
I cannot imagine there's a 
research team researching this, 

845
00:50:06,440 --> 00:50:09,440
right? 
Like, are they so ignorant? 

846
00:50:09,840 --> 00:50:11,400
Yeah. 
Really. 

847
00:50:11,800 --> 00:50:16,720
Or is this this is just show 
look like what? 

848
00:50:16,720 --> 00:50:18,160
Else would I say, that's what I 
mean. 

849
00:50:18,240 --> 00:50:22,600
You know, there's a lot of 
people who who don't, they don't

850
00:50:22,600 --> 00:50:25,920
like to get their hands dirty. 
You know, I'll tell you a funny 

851
00:50:25,920 --> 00:50:29,760
story. 
I sold a company to a social 

852
00:50:29,760 --> 00:50:34,480
network to Viacom, OK. 
And it was a pretty significant,

853
00:50:34,560 --> 00:50:40,200
you know, amount of money like 
mid 8 figures, you know and you 

854
00:50:40,200 --> 00:50:44,120
know, and I talked to the CFO of
Viacom, Viacom's MTV, right. 

855
00:50:44,840 --> 00:50:47,240
And I'm like, have you ever 
tried our product? 

856
00:50:47,280 --> 00:50:52,400
And he's like, no. 
I got like, I'm like he goes, 

857
00:50:52,400 --> 00:50:55,000
no, I don't do that. 
I don't actually try things. 

858
00:50:55,160 --> 00:50:58,920
And I'm like, I know, but I've 
been, I've been like, in due 

859
00:50:58,920 --> 00:51:00,960
diligence for like 6 months with
you. 

860
00:51:01,720 --> 00:51:05,040
We do all these meetings. 
You do this, you know, dozens of

861
00:51:05,040 --> 00:51:08,280
lawyers, all this stuff. 
You we've worked on, all these 

862
00:51:08,280 --> 00:51:11,440
fine prints of this. 
Have you never even actually 

863
00:51:11,440 --> 00:51:13,800
created a profile? 
I don't care if it's a real one 

864
00:51:13,800 --> 00:51:17,160
under your own name or whatever,
but have you, you know, no, 

865
00:51:17,160 --> 00:51:18,400
absolutely not. 
I don't. 

866
00:51:18,480 --> 00:51:20,680
I'm not a guy doing social 
networking. 

867
00:51:21,560 --> 00:51:23,960
And I think the same thing is 
true for Goldman Sachs. 

868
00:51:23,960 --> 00:51:28,920
I mean I guarantee you that 
woman has not created a Bitcoin 

869
00:51:28,920 --> 00:51:31,520
wallet. 
Now she can pontificate all she 

870
00:51:31,520 --> 00:51:35,840
wants about Bitcoin wallets, but
she doesn't know what a Bitcoin 

871
00:51:36,040 --> 00:51:39,680
wallet is. 
She's never actually stored 

872
00:51:39,680 --> 00:51:41,520
Bitcoin. 
Otherwise she wouldn't be saying

873
00:51:41,520 --> 00:51:48,240
that she it's a it's a it's 
typical you know I I'll leave 

874
00:51:48,240 --> 00:51:50,680
that to some younger people 
they'll they'll do the actual 

875
00:51:50,680 --> 00:51:52,360
work. 
I'll just look at read some 

876
00:51:52,360 --> 00:51:55,440
article and I'll make some 
statements. 

877
00:51:55,840 --> 00:51:57,400
Yeah. 
So but how? 

878
00:51:58,160 --> 00:52:00,240
Yeah. 
Well, how do you view BlackRock 

879
00:52:00,240 --> 00:52:04,080
getting into this? 
Like my idea here is I I kind of

880
00:52:04,080 --> 00:52:08,200
see the the the Bitcoin adoption
of well, at least a part of Wall

881
00:52:08,200 --> 00:52:11,840
Street kind of like a Trojan 
horse in a sense. 

882
00:52:11,840 --> 00:52:16,080
Like for me, it's very 
fascinating that a huge winner 

883
00:52:16,080 --> 00:52:22,000
of the Fiat financial system, 
you know, is already one leg 

884
00:52:22,000 --> 00:52:24,680
into this new money system. 
I mean, like, usually the 

885
00:52:24,680 --> 00:52:27,920
winners move last, right? 
They cash, they milk their cash 

886
00:52:27,920 --> 00:52:31,480
cow and then they move on kind 
of like, well, this Goldman 

887
00:52:31,480 --> 00:52:35,640
Sachs lady or Vanguard, right? 
Like these people, they they're 

888
00:52:35,640 --> 00:52:41,000
just pushing this away. 
But I think that's what's 

889
00:52:41,040 --> 00:52:42,760
British huddle. 
I heard him once say, like, if 

890
00:52:42,760 --> 00:52:46,600
you don't think there's like a 
team of 50 people figuring out 

891
00:52:46,600 --> 00:52:49,280
what this Bitcoin thing is for 
the past two years, you're five 

892
00:52:49,280 --> 00:52:51,680
years at BlackRock. 
You know you're crazy. 

893
00:52:51,680 --> 00:52:55,040
And I definitely agree. 
Like, they totally understand 

894
00:52:55,040 --> 00:52:57,280
what this is. 
Of course they can make money 

895
00:52:57,280 --> 00:52:59,680
off it, so they make a product 
for it, etc. 

896
00:53:00,120 --> 00:53:04,960
But still, the fact that they 
actually moved here for me is a 

897
00:53:04,960 --> 00:53:08,480
very big signal because the 
winners usually move last, 

898
00:53:08,680 --> 00:53:10,400
right. 
So how do you see this 

899
00:53:10,400 --> 00:53:14,200
comparison to like these these 
firms that don't move and 

900
00:53:14,200 --> 00:53:16,040
actually talk against it and 
these other firms? 

901
00:53:16,040 --> 00:53:18,120
Well, if you hear Larry Fink 
talk as. 

902
00:53:18,120 --> 00:53:21,200
Well, totally. 
Well, especially if you listen 

903
00:53:21,200 --> 00:53:25,080
to him talk like five years ago.
Exactly. 

904
00:53:25,080 --> 00:53:26,240
Yes. 
Right. 

905
00:53:26,520 --> 00:53:32,320
Because he completely has 180. 
You know, apparently it's some 

906
00:53:32,320 --> 00:53:36,280
young guy working at BlackRock 
who who weren't spelled in. 

907
00:53:36,880 --> 00:53:41,720
Yeah, you know, yeah, exactly. 
Yeah. 

908
00:53:41,880 --> 00:53:46,640
You know, look, I think it's, 
you know, it is like this with 

909
00:53:46,640 --> 00:53:50,000
somebody, you know, it's a 
personal thing. 

910
00:53:50,000 --> 00:53:52,480
You know, I think Larry Fink 
personally got it. 

911
00:53:52,560 --> 00:53:56,040
You know, he personally 
understood this stuff, whereas I

912
00:53:56,040 --> 00:53:59,080
don't think he personally 
understood it five years ago, 

913
00:53:59,200 --> 00:54:02,800
you know what I mean? 
So I do think I do think he he 

914
00:54:02,800 --> 00:54:06,600
he was orange filled in the in 
the kind of conventional sense 

915
00:54:07,360 --> 00:54:12,320
and he was like ah hmm OK and 
not just for Bitcoin right. 

916
00:54:12,320 --> 00:54:16,080
But I think like you know he he 
has this idea of tokenization 

917
00:54:16,080 --> 00:54:22,600
and you know stocks also on you 
know on on the blockchain which 

918
00:54:22,600 --> 00:54:26,080
you know I I don't think even is
a bad idea long longer term. 

919
00:54:26,080 --> 00:54:31,680
But what I'm saying is like, I 
think, I think he, he realized 

920
00:54:31,720 --> 00:54:36,960
that this is, this is, this is 
the future and he better get on 

921
00:54:36,960 --> 00:54:42,680
board and own the future, yeah, 
before somebody else decides to 

922
00:54:42,680 --> 00:54:47,480
do it to him, so. 
Well, maybe easier in some sense

923
00:54:47,480 --> 00:54:51,960
for him that he's the founder of
this firm, of course. 

924
00:54:51,960 --> 00:54:54,640
And then, you know, the woman at
Goldman Sachs or the CEO of 

925
00:54:54,640 --> 00:54:57,320
Thank Art is not. 
So maybe there's also a 

926
00:54:57,320 --> 00:55:00,080
different kind of like structure
there of course as to. 

927
00:55:00,120 --> 00:55:04,080
I mean, I've met Larry Fink. 
I mean I I actually worked for 

928
00:55:04,080 --> 00:55:08,240
him for a day, you know, so back
in the day, so yeah. 

929
00:55:08,320 --> 00:55:13,760
So look, I mean he's he's a 
very, very smart guy and you 

930
00:55:13,760 --> 00:55:20,800
know he is, he is, he's a 
visionary, not just and he's a 

931
00:55:20,800 --> 00:55:23,320
visionary. 
He was a visionary in terms of 

932
00:55:23,880 --> 00:55:29,520
financialization of assets you 
know creating the first CMO that

933
00:55:29,520 --> 00:55:32,480
was that was an absolutely 
masterful move. 

934
00:55:32,480 --> 00:55:36,440
You know doing that with Lunari,
it was at Solomon at the time 

935
00:55:36,440 --> 00:55:43,520
where I was and you know and 
then embracing ETFs you know and

936
00:55:43,520 --> 00:55:46,400
buying I shares, he bought I 
shares from Barclay, right. 

937
00:55:47,200 --> 00:55:54,720
So you know that was seeing that
ETFs were the future was was you

938
00:55:54,720 --> 00:56:00,400
know critical right. 
And so I think you know it it's 

939
00:56:00,440 --> 00:56:03,840
it's it's similar to Bezos 
realizing that e-commerce is 

940
00:56:03,840 --> 00:56:07,520
going to be huge, right. 
But when he did, I think, you 

941
00:56:07,520 --> 00:56:11,560
know, I think he has the right 
view of wait a second, what's 

942
00:56:11,560 --> 00:56:14,520
the most important thing? 
ETFs are the most important 

943
00:56:14,520 --> 00:56:14,800
thing. 
Boom. 

944
00:56:15,240 --> 00:56:19,240
I'm going to, I'm going to get 
an ETF, I'm going to provide 

945
00:56:19,840 --> 00:56:23,040
super low cost friction ETFs for
everything. 

946
00:56:24,640 --> 00:56:26,520
Brilliant. 
So I mean that's, you know, he, 

947
00:56:26,520 --> 00:56:29,040
he, he, he saw that he did that,
right. 

948
00:56:29,640 --> 00:56:32,680
And that's what kind of 
BlackRock made its mark really, 

949
00:56:32,680 --> 00:56:38,360
you know, as, you know the ETF 
Superstore, right? 

950
00:56:39,160 --> 00:56:43,080
Well, and if you keep on this 
view of of that you have of 

951
00:56:43,080 --> 00:56:46,080
Larry Fink like I have AI. 
Don't know if it's a strange 

952
00:56:46,120 --> 00:56:48,680
theory, but I have a certain 
theory and maybe it's too big 

953
00:56:48,680 --> 00:56:52,560
and it doesn't make sense. 
But what I'm thinking from my 

954
00:56:52,560 --> 00:56:55,280
point of view, but I think you 
can add to this like the, the, 

955
00:56:55,640 --> 00:56:58,320
you know, the speculative attack
story of George Soros and the 

956
00:56:58,320 --> 00:57:03,120
Bank of England, right? 
Larry Fink knows what's up with 

957
00:57:03,120 --> 00:57:05,240
the dollar, I assume. 
Right. 

958
00:57:05,280 --> 00:57:06,600
He totally understands this, 
right? 

959
00:57:07,000 --> 00:57:09,560
Would you say, could this 
already be like some sort of 

960
00:57:09,560 --> 00:57:13,160
speculative attack on the dollar
in a sense that he has this like

961
00:57:13,440 --> 00:57:19,520
one leg in this new money system
that let's say when the dollar 

962
00:57:19,520 --> 00:57:22,760
actually breaks, that he is 
already with one leg in a 

963
00:57:22,760 --> 00:57:25,880
certain lifeboat, which also 
gives him a certain amount of 

964
00:57:26,280 --> 00:57:28,880
influence, right. 
I mean, yesterday we saw the US 

965
00:57:28,880 --> 00:57:31,960
government again sell 30,000 
Bitcoin like they're they're, 

966
00:57:31,960 --> 00:57:33,080
they're selling it like. 
Crazy. 

967
00:57:33,520 --> 00:57:34,880
Could this be? 
Something like that. 

968
00:57:35,560 --> 00:57:37,960
Look, he knows more than anybody
else, right? 

969
00:57:37,960 --> 00:57:40,440
Because kind of when QE 
happened, right? 

970
00:57:40,440 --> 00:57:46,680
And then when when you know the 
latest kind of, you know, the 

971
00:57:46,680 --> 00:57:49,560
latest version of QE came, they 
said hey BlackRock, you're going

972
00:57:49,560 --> 00:57:51,640
to do all the bond buying for 
us, right. 

973
00:57:53,160 --> 00:57:57,920
And so he, he's got the front 
row seat so he sees the problem 

974
00:57:58,640 --> 00:58:02,040
way before we do and and much 
closer than we do. 

975
00:58:02,760 --> 00:58:05,560
So, yeah, I I don't, I don't 
know if he's trying to attack 

976
00:58:05,560 --> 00:58:10,040
the dollar so much as I think he
has a better view of kind of the

977
00:58:10,040 --> 00:58:14,040
problems in the current system 
than than anybody. 

978
00:58:14,760 --> 00:58:23,240
And and I think you know, I 
think he realizes that this is 

979
00:58:23,240 --> 00:58:28,240
going to be a very, very 
significant asset class for the 

980
00:58:28,240 --> 00:58:32,360
next 10 years. 
I think that these guys think 10

981
00:58:32,360 --> 00:58:35,640
years in advance. 
You know and I think sort of 

982
00:58:35,640 --> 00:58:38,600
like the Japanese used to do 
those you know five year plans 

983
00:58:38,600 --> 00:58:41,640
and stuff, I think they've now 
shifted. 

984
00:58:41,720 --> 00:58:45,720
They're like, OK, Bitcoin and 
and crypto, right. 

985
00:58:45,720 --> 00:58:49,720
I think he's definitely thinking
both and, you know, 

986
00:58:49,720 --> 00:58:54,480
tokenization, you know, let's, 
let's see, you know, if they 

987
00:58:54,480 --> 00:58:58,440
don't allow ETH this year, fine.
We'll just wait until next year 

988
00:58:58,440 --> 00:59:00,520
or two years from now when they,
you know, maybe it's the new 

989
00:59:00,520 --> 00:59:03,280
head of the SEC, maybe it's the 
new president, whatever it is, 

990
00:59:03,960 --> 00:59:10,720
Yeah, but I definitely think 
that, I mean, I think he's in it

991
00:59:10,720 --> 00:59:13,000
for the long game, right. 
And. 

992
00:59:13,760 --> 00:59:18,920
And so, yeah, yeah, I think it 
may perhaps attack It was a was 

993
00:59:18,920 --> 00:59:20,200
a not. 
Really attack? 

994
00:59:20,200 --> 00:59:21,880
Too hard word was a too hard 
word. 

995
00:59:21,880 --> 00:59:26,480
But it's it's it is a certain 
strategy against it, I'd say if 

996
00:59:26,480 --> 00:59:29,800
you adopt this new money, right.
But it's just interesting to 

997
00:59:29,800 --> 00:59:31,240
think about. 
I think it's just interesting he

998
00:59:31,240 --> 00:59:35,920
moved anyway. 
So yeah, for me, that's a big. 

999
00:59:36,080 --> 00:59:40,080
I definitely think that if you 
had any question about whether 

1000
00:59:40,080 --> 00:59:44,640
it's going to be, is Bitcoin 
going to survive, the fact that 

1001
00:59:44,680 --> 00:59:49,680
BlackRock has put their, you 
know, their stake in the ground 

1002
00:59:49,920 --> 00:59:52,480
tells you that 100% is going to 
survive. 

1003
00:59:52,680 --> 00:59:55,280
Like, yeah, there's no doubt in 
my mind, right? 

1004
00:59:55,400 --> 00:59:57,920
Yeah. 
I agree and this is also how I 

1005
00:59:57,920 --> 01:00:01,040
always saw Bitcoin. 
It's an well, it was an 

1006
01:00:01,040 --> 01:00:05,840
experiment I'd say and it would 
go to 0 or it would be like the 

1007
01:00:05,840 --> 01:00:09,400
black hole value type theory and
it's not going to. 

1008
01:00:10,320 --> 01:00:12,440
To 0 anymore. 
So I agree with that. 

1009
01:00:12,440 --> 01:00:15,600
But yeah, I think the outlook 
should be long, right? 

1010
01:00:15,600 --> 01:00:17,240
You should have like a long term
vision. 

1011
01:00:17,240 --> 01:00:19,760
And that's actually, I want to 
ask you a question about this 

1012
01:00:19,760 --> 01:00:22,760
because I saw you tweeted 
something that I really agreed 

1013
01:00:22,760 --> 01:00:26,960
with and you said I was a tread 
fight, Deegan like a degenerate.

1014
01:00:26,960 --> 01:00:30,680
Then slowly I kicked the habit 
and instead of trading or making

1015
01:00:30,680 --> 01:00:32,760
bets I moved into long term 
investing. 

1016
01:00:33,400 --> 01:00:36,800
I also saw that you had like a 
crypto related project before 

1017
01:00:36,800 --> 01:00:40,040
with a token. 
I mean I made a crypto market 

1018
01:00:40,040 --> 01:00:42,760
research platform that that 
failed before. 

1019
01:00:42,760 --> 01:00:45,320
You know like like we dabbled 
around in this too. 

1020
01:00:45,320 --> 01:00:50,840
But how did you move from being 
a Deegan, A degenerate to be 

1021
01:00:50,840 --> 01:00:52,520
like a long term investor? 
Etcetera. 

1022
01:00:52,520 --> 01:00:57,240
You know, I, I don't know for 
crypto, you know, called Lynx. 

1023
01:00:57,240 --> 01:01:03,120
And so I was very and I was 
convinced back in 2018-2019 that

1024
01:01:03,120 --> 01:01:07,760
you know if the sort of the 
multi coin Solana type thesis 

1025
01:01:07,760 --> 01:01:11,400
fast, super fast blah blah blah 
is is good. 

1026
01:01:12,000 --> 01:01:16,400
I'm still not anti token or anti
any of these things. 

1027
01:01:16,400 --> 01:01:22,400
I think you know I'm not I just 
think that I'm I'm sort of a I'm

1028
01:01:22,400 --> 01:01:26,680
a Bitcoin maximalist in that I 
think no other coin is going to 

1029
01:01:27,240 --> 01:01:30,880
is going to be money, right. 
There's no, there's no 

1030
01:01:30,880 --> 01:01:36,680
possibility that, you know, 
people start, you know, having 

1031
01:01:37,680 --> 01:01:40,560
prices in ETH in the next 10 
years. 

1032
01:01:40,560 --> 01:01:44,280
You know, that's that's nobody's
going to do oil settlements in 

1033
01:01:44,280 --> 01:01:45,680
ETH. 
So it's not going to happen, 

1034
01:01:45,680 --> 01:01:48,040
right? 
Or or Solana or anything else, 

1035
01:01:48,040 --> 01:01:49,760
right. 
Those are not going to become 

1036
01:01:49,760 --> 01:01:52,400
world money. 
They are going to be useful. 

1037
01:01:52,400 --> 01:01:54,680
There's a lot of use for some 
things like this. 

1038
01:01:55,800 --> 01:01:59,000
They're just not money, right? 
And so the way I look at it is, 

1039
01:02:01,400 --> 01:02:05,040
you know, a lot of these things 
are actually useful for. 

1040
01:02:05,040 --> 01:02:08,280
I mean, even NFTS are quite 
people like them, right? 

1041
01:02:08,280 --> 01:02:10,560
They're they're useful. 
They can be. 

1042
01:02:10,600 --> 01:02:14,080
They can be used for art. 
They can be used for, for a lot 

1043
01:02:14,080 --> 01:02:16,000
of things potentially, right. 
We're still at the very 

1044
01:02:16,000 --> 01:02:18,520
beginning of that. 
You know, like Larry thinks 

1045
01:02:18,520 --> 01:02:22,440
there's enough tokenization. 
You know, I have a friend who's 

1046
01:02:22,440 --> 01:02:27,760
doing, you know, a property 
thing, Natalie from Propy, 

1047
01:02:27,840 --> 01:02:30,000
right? 
She's doing, you know real 

1048
01:02:30,000 --> 01:02:32,640
estate on the blockchain. 
Yeah, it's still very early 

1049
01:02:32,640 --> 01:02:35,720
days, but she's doing it. 
She's, you know they they've had

1050
01:02:36,600 --> 01:02:39,160
apartment buildings or houses 
that have been sold, you know 

1051
01:02:39,200 --> 01:02:43,480
entirely, entirely the whole, 
the whole chain of command is 

1052
01:02:43,480 --> 01:02:46,160
you know title everything on on 
blockchain. 

1053
01:02:46,760 --> 01:02:51,280
So I'm not anti token and I 
think, you know a lot of people 

1054
01:02:51,280 --> 01:02:53,760
are saying, well Fred, you're a 
maxi, you can't support other 

1055
01:02:53,760 --> 01:02:54,920
tokens. 
No, you can. 

1056
01:02:55,400 --> 01:02:58,960
It's just I I just don't think 
they're going to compete for 

1057
01:02:58,960 --> 01:02:59,920
money. 
Right. 

1058
01:03:01,080 --> 01:03:03,760
That's a different thing. 
They're different thing and it's

1059
01:03:03,760 --> 01:03:08,480
this much smaller thing, right. 
Like to me, like creating a new 

1060
01:03:08,480 --> 01:03:10,680
form of money for the entire 
planet. 

1061
01:03:11,040 --> 01:03:17,160
Well, that's, you know, that's 
$100 trillion prize right now. 

1062
01:03:17,160 --> 01:03:23,000
Creating a token for NFTSI don't
know, maybe that's a couple 100 

1063
01:03:23,000 --> 01:03:24,680
million. 
Maybe, you know, like if you're,

1064
01:03:24,920 --> 01:03:27,240
if you're lucky, like Open C you
know what I mean? 

1065
01:03:28,600 --> 01:03:31,400
It's not to say it's bad you can
certainly do it. 

1066
01:03:33,280 --> 01:03:36,920
But I I I think it's not I think
the you know you have to look at

1067
01:03:36,920 --> 01:03:41,280
what's where is the eye on the 
price you know so I think you 

1068
01:03:41,280 --> 01:03:49,320
know and and I think the the the
big the big prize is Bitcoin 

1069
01:03:49,440 --> 01:03:51,240
right. 
That's the prize is money. 

1070
01:03:51,560 --> 01:03:57,560
Now if you have a 5% of your 
money is spread around a bunch 

1071
01:03:57,560 --> 01:03:59,840
of stuff, you buy some NFTS for 
art. 

1072
01:04:00,120 --> 01:04:02,000
Do whatever you want. 
Fine, great. 

1073
01:04:02,000 --> 01:04:03,160
Do that. 
You know what I mean? 

1074
01:04:03,600 --> 01:04:07,480
Like I'm not. 
I'm not a a maximalist in the 

1075
01:04:07,520 --> 01:04:10,440
kind of Spanish Inquisition 
sense of the word. 

1076
01:04:10,480 --> 01:04:14,320
You know, I I don't, I don't 
want to like, sorry man, you 

1077
01:04:14,320 --> 01:04:20,720
bought an NFT bad. 
Like, no, buy a buy a little, 

1078
01:04:20,720 --> 01:04:23,080
eat. 
So what, You know, use Meta Mac.

1079
01:04:23,080 --> 01:04:24,440
It's not the end of the world, 
right? 

1080
01:04:25,360 --> 01:04:32,120
But I I don't think it's, it's a
great use of your money to 

1081
01:04:32,120 --> 01:04:35,440
invest, especially if somebody 
doesn't own any Bitcoin, if 

1082
01:04:35,440 --> 01:04:37,840
they're buying some meme coin or
something else. 

1083
01:04:39,040 --> 01:04:42,120
It's kind of a mistake right 
now, you know? 

1084
01:04:42,120 --> 01:04:45,560
If if you own a lot of Bitcoin 
and you're also like playing 

1085
01:04:45,560 --> 01:04:46,960
around, you want to do something
else. 

1086
01:04:48,120 --> 01:04:50,680
You want to buy Dogecoin? 
Fine, buy Dogecoin. 

1087
01:04:50,680 --> 01:04:52,920
You know what I mean? 
Like, have fun. 

1088
01:04:52,920 --> 01:04:55,040
You know, like it. 
It should. 

1089
01:04:55,040 --> 01:04:57,680
You might view it in. 
You should view it in different 

1090
01:04:57,680 --> 01:04:59,080
ways I think. 
Like you have to view in 

1091
01:04:59,080 --> 01:05:02,040
different ways. 
And also it's like and the other

1092
01:05:02,040 --> 01:05:04,920
part of being a D Gen. is trying
to time Bitcoin. 

1093
01:05:05,000 --> 01:05:07,240
Like really bad idea. 
I don't know. 

1094
01:05:07,880 --> 01:05:11,240
Yeah, I agree. 
You know, like trying trying to 

1095
01:05:11,760 --> 01:05:16,960
buy and sell Bitcoin constantly 
is just not a good idea. 

1096
01:05:17,880 --> 01:05:20,720
Why do you think people are so 
degenerate with their money or 

1097
01:05:20,720 --> 01:05:24,600
like on this gambling? 
Five in a sense, like why? 

1098
01:05:26,360 --> 01:05:30,160
Why is? 
That I think, I think people 

1099
01:05:30,160 --> 01:05:34,280
seem to think that they can 
outsmart the market. 

1100
01:05:34,440 --> 01:05:38,480
You know, and and I think it's, 
I think it's a combination of 

1101
01:05:38,480 --> 01:05:42,080
greed and fear. 
You know, I think people, people

1102
01:05:42,080 --> 01:05:47,840
think, oh, I'm going to be able 
to sell Bitcoin and then buy it 

1103
01:05:47,840 --> 01:05:51,760
back cheaper. 
Well, generally speaking. 

1104
01:05:52,120 --> 01:05:54,280
I did that twice. 
Yeah. 

1105
01:05:54,960 --> 01:05:56,560
Two times. 
Bad idea, yeah. 

1106
01:05:57,800 --> 01:05:59,320
Yeah, Well, there you go. 
Did you? 

1107
01:05:59,600 --> 01:06:00,560
Yeah. 
Yeah. 

1108
01:06:00,560 --> 01:06:05,200
So I mean, I think generally 
speaking, if you sell it, you're

1109
01:06:05,200 --> 01:06:07,400
probably not going to be able to
buy it back cheaper. 

1110
01:06:07,480 --> 01:06:11,640
You know, like you know, you you
probably think you will, but 

1111
01:06:12,120 --> 01:06:15,160
then it it'll go down, maybe 
it'll go down, but then you're 

1112
01:06:15,160 --> 01:06:18,040
going to be convinced yourself 
that you shouldn't buy it until 

1113
01:06:18,040 --> 01:06:20,160
it goes back up above where you 
bought it. 

1114
01:06:20,840 --> 01:06:24,320
And then you're going to be 
like, oh damn, yeah, you know, 

1115
01:06:24,320 --> 01:06:27,480
so I I just don't. 
I think psychologically it's 

1116
01:06:27,480 --> 01:06:32,680
it's it's it's a really bad idea
to kind of actively trade this 

1117
01:06:32,680 --> 01:06:35,080
stuff. 
I don't think it's a terrible 

1118
01:06:35,080 --> 01:06:38,680
idea to spend your Bitcoin. 
You know, like you know 

1119
01:06:39,000 --> 01:06:43,200
ultimately you ultimately you're
going to be spending it somehow,

1120
01:06:43,200 --> 01:06:45,240
right? 
You're going to be using it to 

1121
01:06:45,720 --> 01:06:49,600
to do something with it, right. 
But that's different than trying

1122
01:06:49,600 --> 01:06:51,720
to sell it and buy it back, 
right. 

1123
01:06:52,360 --> 01:06:55,800
So if if I'm like, OK, great. 
Now it's time for me to buy a 

1124
01:06:55,800 --> 01:06:59,400
house because I just got married
and and I needed to sell a 

1125
01:06:59,400 --> 01:07:01,280
little bit of my Bitcoin to buy 
the house. 

1126
01:07:01,560 --> 01:07:03,840
OK, Well, sell a little bit of 
Bitcoin. 

1127
01:07:03,840 --> 01:07:05,880
I mean you got to live. 
You got to, you know what I 

1128
01:07:05,880 --> 01:07:11,240
mean? 
I I I think that makes sense And

1129
01:07:11,800 --> 01:07:15,960
you know, I think make, you 
know, try to postpone it as much

1130
01:07:15,960 --> 01:07:18,200
as you can, but you know also 
you're going to live. 

1131
01:07:18,200 --> 01:07:20,440
You know you're not living 
forever anyways. 

1132
01:07:20,440 --> 01:07:22,600
You know so. 
That's true, but what would be 

1133
01:07:22,600 --> 01:07:25,800
your biggest, what would be your
biggest tip for someone? 

1134
01:07:25,800 --> 01:07:28,600
Like how can someone develop a 
this long term view and 

1135
01:07:28,600 --> 01:07:32,200
basically also like trust 
themselves with their 

1136
01:07:32,200 --> 01:07:34,680
understanding of what We're 
talking about Bitcoin, right? 

1137
01:07:34,680 --> 01:07:38,440
But at one point you, I think 
the goal. 

1138
01:07:38,520 --> 01:07:40,320
Is to get to it. 
Don't use leverage. 

1139
01:07:40,720 --> 01:07:42,400
Do not use leverage. 
Right. 

1140
01:07:43,120 --> 01:07:47,040
Yeah because if you're if you 
have too much of something, if 

1141
01:07:47,040 --> 01:07:50,600
you're using leverage I think 
you're going to you're 

1142
01:07:52,760 --> 01:07:56,400
psychologically you can you can 
get wrecked too easily. 

1143
01:07:56,760 --> 01:07:59,240
The second thing is I wouldn't 
put all your money in Bitcoin. 

1144
01:07:59,240 --> 01:08:04,480
And the reason I say that is I 
still think your best 

1145
01:08:04,760 --> 01:08:09,520
percentage, it the best for kind
of percentage of your asset, 

1146
01:08:09,680 --> 01:08:14,480
like even fully invested, to me,
I think that's like 70% Bitcoin,

1147
01:08:14,480 --> 01:08:16,120
you know what I mean? 
Like, even if I'm a young 

1148
01:08:16,120 --> 01:08:18,080
person, I would keep 30% in 
cash. 

1149
01:08:18,080 --> 01:08:21,200
I'd actually put it in like 
something super safe, like a 

1150
01:08:21,279 --> 01:08:25,200
bank account, you know? 
And the reason is, is that 

1151
01:08:25,319 --> 01:08:28,960
there's always unexpected things
in life. 

1152
01:08:28,960 --> 01:08:32,680
You know, like whether it's, you
know, you, you get sick, you get

1153
01:08:32,680 --> 01:08:36,279
hit by a car or something. 
You know something happens, You 

1154
01:08:36,279 --> 01:08:40,200
know you have a kid and the kid 
needs some operation or 

1155
01:08:40,200 --> 01:08:44,120
something, right. 
And or you lose your job, right.

1156
01:08:44,120 --> 01:08:47,040
And you have three months where 
you're not working right. 

1157
01:08:47,960 --> 01:08:54,240
I think I think a lot of, 
especially a lot of young people

1158
01:08:54,240 --> 01:08:58,720
underestimate those risks and 
those risks are real. 

1159
01:08:58,720 --> 01:09:05,800
So having cash that you can 
sell, that you can use beyond 

1160
01:09:05,800 --> 01:09:10,000
just Bitcoin is is good because 
you never know if if something 

1161
01:09:10,000 --> 01:09:15,880
happens like that and you get 
caught in like 2022, you're 

1162
01:09:15,880 --> 01:09:17,880
going to sell all your Bitcoin, 
right. 

1163
01:09:17,880 --> 01:09:20,319
To pay for it. 
Yeah, I agree. 

1164
01:09:20,600 --> 01:09:22,880
I don't think it's a great I I 
mean, I think you have to 

1165
01:09:22,880 --> 01:09:27,680
realize that things can, you 
know, things can happen and it's

1166
01:09:27,680 --> 01:09:30,080
good. 
And so, you know, one of the 

1167
01:09:30,080 --> 01:09:32,760
things that I've done in my life
is I've always had a very 

1168
01:09:32,760 --> 01:09:37,200
barbell strategy, you know, 
where I have some stuff that's 

1169
01:09:37,279 --> 01:09:39,960
very risky, like a start up, 
right. 

1170
01:09:41,479 --> 01:09:44,640
And you know that that's risky 
and takes cash. 

1171
01:09:44,760 --> 01:09:47,080
And then I have a lot of cash on
the side too. 

1172
01:09:47,640 --> 01:09:52,319
You know, just because you know,
I don't, I don't need to have, 

1173
01:09:53,240 --> 01:09:55,920
like if you're 70% in Bitcoin, 
you can have all the rest in 

1174
01:09:55,920 --> 01:09:58,520
cash, no problem. 
You don't need to invest the 

1175
01:09:58,520 --> 01:10:00,160
rest. 
Put the rest in the bank 

1176
01:10:00,160 --> 01:10:03,800
account, You know what I mean. 
Well, I'm at 9010, so. 

1177
01:10:04,040 --> 01:10:10,280
OK, well 9010 it it look, if you
can handle 9010 good. 

1178
01:10:10,280 --> 01:10:13,640
It's depends like if you have a 
job and you have everything else

1179
01:10:13,640 --> 01:10:15,520
you, you know 9010's probably 
OK. 

1180
01:10:15,920 --> 01:10:19,560
If you don't you know if you're 
just like counting on this 

1181
01:10:19,560 --> 01:10:22,000
Bitcoin. 
And I just think a lot of people

1182
01:10:22,000 --> 01:10:24,200
are cutting it a little too 
close to the edge. 

1183
01:10:24,280 --> 01:10:27,320
You know you have to it's a 
personal decision. 

1184
01:10:27,320 --> 01:10:31,440
But that's that's I think a tip 
that I would say is don't you 

1185
01:10:31,440 --> 01:10:34,160
know don't try to optimize too 
much. 

1186
01:10:34,480 --> 01:10:46,440
And and I would say I think 
these power laws and stuff are 

1187
01:10:46,480 --> 01:10:51,720
are are good for giving people a
little bit more perspective on 

1188
01:10:52,440 --> 01:11:01,360
like numbers not for trading so 
much but just like you know like

1189
01:11:01,920 --> 01:11:05,520
to give you a little bit of 
belief to reinforce your belief 

1190
01:11:05,520 --> 01:11:08,360
that wait a second if I wait 
five years is this thing really 

1191
01:11:08,360 --> 01:11:11,600
going to be much higher? 
Probably will, right. 

1192
01:11:11,600 --> 01:11:15,080
Probably it's going to be triple
where it is today, five or more 

1193
01:11:15,320 --> 01:11:21,280
and maybe quadruple, right. 
But like, you know, I think, I 

1194
01:11:21,280 --> 01:11:24,560
think a lot of that is just 
giving you the conviction that 

1195
01:11:24,560 --> 01:11:29,560
you need to hold something you 
know, because no matter what 

1196
01:11:29,560 --> 01:11:31,720
Bitcoin can go down 10% in a 
day. 

1197
01:11:31,720 --> 01:11:33,120
And we saw it the other day, 
right. 

1198
01:11:33,320 --> 01:11:35,600
Yeah. 
So you know things things can 

1199
01:11:35,600 --> 01:11:46,080
move a lot and and and and and 
not getting freaked out about it

1200
01:11:46,360 --> 01:11:52,200
is, is I think now having said 
that, I, you know, another tool 

1201
01:11:52,200 --> 01:11:54,640
is just, you know, dollar, 
dollar, cost, average. 

1202
01:11:54,640 --> 01:11:57,600
You know, like if you are, if 
you do have cash coming in 

1203
01:11:57,600 --> 01:12:01,680
regularly, well Greg, just plot 
that cash into Bitcoin, you 

1204
01:12:01,680 --> 01:12:04,720
know, yeah, that's another good 
tool because then you don't have

1205
01:12:04,720 --> 01:12:05,840
to think about it too much. 
Right. 

1206
01:12:05,840 --> 01:12:08,280
So it's like, oh, I just made 
$1000. 

1207
01:12:08,280 --> 01:12:09,760
Great. 
I'll just put put it in Bitcoin,

1208
01:12:09,760 --> 01:12:12,160
right? 
Yeah, just view it as a savings 

1209
01:12:12,160 --> 01:12:13,520
vehicle, right? 
Yeah, I think. 

1210
01:12:13,760 --> 01:12:15,480
Like a savings vehicle, right? 
Yeah. 

1211
01:12:16,200 --> 01:12:18,760
And I think that makes total 
sense for, especially for a 

1212
01:12:18,760 --> 01:12:22,160
young person right now. 
Like I think that's that's a lot

1213
01:12:22,160 --> 01:12:25,880
of, that's a good thing. 
And I would say the other thing 

1214
01:12:25,880 --> 01:12:29,400
is just, you know, and this is 
something I think you become 

1215
01:12:29,400 --> 01:12:33,840
more as a Bitcoin or you start 
realizing that having Bitcoin is

1216
01:12:33,840 --> 01:12:40,000
such a good thing to have that 
you, you know, you, you, you cut

1217
01:12:40,000 --> 01:12:43,200
down on sort of stupid expenses.
Yes. 

1218
01:12:43,520 --> 01:12:46,040
Right. 
Maybe I don't need a new car, 

1219
01:12:46,360 --> 01:12:50,080
you know. 
Maybe I can live in my current 

1220
01:12:50,200 --> 01:12:54,040
wherever I'm living without 
upgrading that, you know. 

1221
01:12:55,400 --> 01:12:57,560
Yeah. 
I mean, I think buying a house, 

1222
01:12:57,680 --> 01:13:01,920
for example, is probably a, you 
know, like, look, I own my 

1223
01:13:01,920 --> 01:13:07,960
house, but I wouldn't if I was 
doing it right now today, and I 

1224
01:13:07,960 --> 01:13:10,960
was, especially if I was 
younger, I would definitely rent

1225
01:13:10,960 --> 01:13:14,520
for five years as opposed to 
buying a house right now. 

1226
01:13:15,240 --> 01:13:19,200
Yeah, I think it's interesting. 
That, this, this is what a lot 

1227
01:13:19,200 --> 01:13:22,440
of people experience this more. 
They're kind of like this, this,

1228
01:13:22,440 --> 01:13:25,920
this frugality in some sense. 
They become more frugal, or at 

1229
01:13:25,920 --> 01:13:29,480
least more aware of what things 
cost or what is the value of 

1230
01:13:29,480 --> 01:13:33,040
something that I buy, like, does
it add value to my life? 

1231
01:13:33,040 --> 01:13:34,560
You know, stuff, stuff like 
that. 

1232
01:13:34,560 --> 01:13:35,440
You become more. 
Yeah. 

1233
01:13:35,440 --> 01:13:38,160
And there's one other thing I 
would say is start thinking in 

1234
01:13:38,160 --> 01:13:41,360
Bitcoin. 
Yeah, you know what I mean. 

1235
01:13:41,800 --> 01:13:44,320
Yeah, I. 
Don't think in terms of I have, 

1236
01:13:44,320 --> 01:13:47,760
you know, so much dollars, but 
just think I've got so much. 

1237
01:13:47,760 --> 01:13:51,760
I've got three Bitcoin, OK, I 
got, I got 3.1 Bitcoin. 

1238
01:13:51,760 --> 01:13:54,960
You know, I just, yeah, I want 
to get to 4, you know, like how 

1239
01:13:54,960 --> 01:13:57,600
do I get to 4? 
Like, you know, that's. 

1240
01:13:57,600 --> 01:14:00,880
Also if you think about that big
purchase right, if you put that 

1241
01:14:00,880 --> 01:14:04,720
in price that into Bitcoin. 
I would definitely think in 

1242
01:14:04,720 --> 01:14:07,240
Bitcoin. 
I think that that that is a 

1243
01:14:07,240 --> 01:14:14,520
significant hack to helping 
people, you know, and I think 

1244
01:14:14,520 --> 01:14:17,320
that's one of the big advantages
of Bitcoin relative to other 

1245
01:14:17,320 --> 01:14:20,520
things is nobody really thinks 
in Ethereum, but they don't 

1246
01:14:20,560 --> 01:14:23,320
think they're like, oh, I got so
much dollars of Ethereum, 

1247
01:14:23,320 --> 01:14:28,520
nobody, nobody thinks of like I 
got 20 ether, you know, or I 

1248
01:14:28,520 --> 01:14:34,600
got, I got, I got 10,000, you 
know, 4000 Solana, this is like 

1249
01:14:34,600 --> 01:14:36,680
got so much dollars worth of 
Solana, right. 

1250
01:14:36,680 --> 01:14:43,000
But like Bitcoin is different 
because you know, Bitcoin is it 

1251
01:14:43,000 --> 01:14:47,120
really is this unit you know the
units of Bitcoin. 

1252
01:14:47,120 --> 01:14:51,600
And and the other thing I would 
say is definitely and I know 

1253
01:14:51,600 --> 01:14:54,840
people, some people may not 
agree with this, but I would 

1254
01:14:54,840 --> 01:15:03,080
definitely get get used to 
bought sent not buying and 

1255
01:15:03,080 --> 01:15:07,600
selling, but get used to using 
Bitcoin wallets and transacting 

1256
01:15:07,600 --> 01:15:10,440
with Bitcoin even if it's small 
amounts. 

1257
01:15:11,600 --> 01:15:14,280
I think that's another thing I 
would I would recommend 

1258
01:15:14,280 --> 01:15:18,840
everybody do you know what I 
mean And you know use lightning,

1259
01:15:18,840 --> 01:15:23,720
use Bitcoin wallets. 
Just be don't just put it in one

1260
01:15:23,720 --> 01:15:28,080
thing and just forget about it. 
You know I think, you know I 

1261
01:15:28,080 --> 01:15:30,640
think getting involved a little 
bit and you don't have to go 

1262
01:15:30,640 --> 01:15:32,000
crazy. 
You know, you don't have to. 

1263
01:15:32,680 --> 01:15:37,280
You know, you don't have to go, 
you know, looking for the rest 

1264
01:15:37,280 --> 01:15:39,600
of one restaurant in your town 
that accepts Bitcoin. 

1265
01:15:39,600 --> 01:15:43,400
But it's it's not necessarily a 
bad idea to do that a little 

1266
01:15:43,400 --> 01:15:44,440
bit. 
You know what I mean? 

1267
01:15:45,000 --> 01:15:47,360
Well, it's fun to see the 
technology in action. 

1268
01:15:47,360 --> 01:15:49,440
I try. 
To use it, look it's just sort 

1269
01:15:49,440 --> 01:15:53,440
of like you need to remember 
it's it's one of these things is

1270
01:15:53,480 --> 01:15:57,200
if you don't exercise you lose 
muscle right? 

1271
01:15:58,400 --> 01:16:01,240
And I think it's useful. 
Like it's useful to actually do 

1272
01:16:01,240 --> 01:16:04,960
trades and send people Bitcoin 
and send a friend Bitcoin. 

1273
01:16:05,320 --> 01:16:07,280
I owe you some money here. 
I'll give you some Bitcoin. 

1274
01:16:07,280 --> 01:16:11,440
You know what I mean? 
Like I feel like people should 

1275
01:16:11,440 --> 01:16:14,920
remember this is a peer-to-peer 
transaction test, you know what 

1276
01:16:14,920 --> 01:16:18,200
I mean? 
So I you know I recommend people

1277
01:16:18,200 --> 01:16:21,160
in the US you know we have this 
cash app thing here and I say 

1278
01:16:21,600 --> 01:16:26,000
everybody should use cash app 
and you know get get in the mode

1279
01:16:26,000 --> 01:16:29,440
of stuff and you know you want 
to buy and look I I'm in favor 

1280
01:16:29,440 --> 01:16:31,400
of these ordinals and stuff. 
You know you want to buy an 

1281
01:16:31,400 --> 01:16:35,720
ordinal or something go do it. 
You know and and you don't don't

1282
01:16:35,720 --> 01:16:39,360
spend a lot of money but just 
you know get get a little bit 

1283
01:16:39,360 --> 01:16:42,520
used to things moving things in 
Bitcoin. 

1284
01:16:42,520 --> 01:16:46,200
You know get familiarize 
yourself with block you know 

1285
01:16:46,200 --> 01:16:50,280
mempool you know understand how 
Bitcoin works. 

1286
01:16:51,560 --> 01:16:56,680
And I think that I think that 
once you get in I think you 

1287
01:16:56,680 --> 01:17:00,760
really it's it you don't want to
go any other place. 

1288
01:17:00,760 --> 01:17:03,720
You know like you're you're like
I like the Bitcoin world. 

1289
01:17:03,720 --> 01:17:05,840
I like blocks. 
I like having a block You know 

1290
01:17:05,840 --> 01:17:08,360
what I mean? 
I like I like checking block 

1291
01:17:08,360 --> 01:17:14,000
times I like you know I like all
these things and all these 

1292
01:17:14,000 --> 01:17:15,760
things are part of Bitcoin to 
me. 

1293
01:17:16,640 --> 01:17:22,160
And I think, you know, being 
part of that world and really 

1294
01:17:22,160 --> 01:17:24,840
being into that world and really
understanding the difference 

1295
01:17:24,840 --> 01:17:28,800
between SegWit and taproot and 
these type of addresses and you 

1296
01:17:28,800 --> 01:17:33,160
know, all this stuff will help 
you become a better Bitcoin, you

1297
01:17:33,160 --> 01:17:34,600
know? 
Yeah, I agree. 

1298
01:17:34,960 --> 01:17:39,120
So I think that that's, you 
know, like I would use every 

1299
01:17:39,120 --> 01:17:42,200
single Lightning wallet that 
exists every. 

1300
01:17:42,400 --> 01:17:46,240
I would test out ten different 
wallets and you know you know 

1301
01:17:46,800 --> 01:17:48,800
try moving some money between 
them. 

1302
01:17:48,800 --> 01:17:53,960
You know, yeah try different, 
different custody solution. 

1303
01:17:53,960 --> 01:17:57,040
Don't just do one and then just 
leave it and let it sit for two 

1304
01:17:57,040 --> 01:18:01,560
years and then then realize you 
didn't actually store your words

1305
01:18:01,560 --> 01:18:05,680
properly or something, you know.
So I think this usage is very 

1306
01:18:05,680 --> 01:18:11,640
important and you know and join 
a bit Bitcoin meet up groups and

1307
01:18:11,680 --> 01:18:17,360
you know that that those things 
I think are important you know. 

1308
01:18:17,800 --> 01:18:21,040
And I actually got my 
hairdresser onto Bitcoin, so now

1309
01:18:21,040 --> 01:18:23,320
every time I go I pay him in 
Bitcoin. 

1310
01:18:23,320 --> 01:18:23,920
So. 
That's good. 

1311
01:18:23,960 --> 01:18:26,080
See, that's the thing. 
It's, it's and it's not. 

1312
01:18:26,480 --> 01:18:31,560
Look, even paying somebody on 
chain Bitcoin is not terrible. 

1313
01:18:31,840 --> 01:18:34,000
You know, it's not, you know, 
the fees are actually kind of 

1314
01:18:34,000 --> 01:18:35,680
reasonable right now. 
You know what I mean? 

1315
01:18:35,800 --> 01:18:36,640
So. 
Yeah, I agree. 

1316
01:18:37,120 --> 01:18:45,480
And so I I I'm, you know, I I 
think that I mean I love the 

1317
01:18:45,640 --> 01:18:47,600
Bitcoin. 
I love the whole ecosystem of 

1318
01:18:47,600 --> 01:18:49,360
Bitcoin. 
So I'm like there's nothing 

1319
01:18:49,360 --> 01:18:52,280
about any of the part of it that
I don't like you know. 

1320
01:18:53,000 --> 01:18:58,040
And so, but I, I, I know there's
a lot of people who, well, for 

1321
01:18:58,040 --> 01:19:03,280
example, we were doing this with
a space and you know this this 

1322
01:19:03,280 --> 01:19:09,240
guy Gary Cardone, he we had this
bet and he lost this bet and 

1323
01:19:09,240 --> 01:19:13,000
this Bitcoin Beagle guy won. 
And then Gary's like, OK, he 

1324
01:19:13,000 --> 01:19:15,160
goes, OK, you're paying 100,000 
Sats. 

1325
01:19:15,160 --> 01:19:18,200
And he's like, I don't know how 
to send 100,000 Sats. 

1326
01:19:18,200 --> 01:19:22,040
I'm like, wait a second. 
Like, you got you have Bitcoin, 

1327
01:19:22,040 --> 01:19:22,960
right? 
And he goes, yeah, well, 

1328
01:19:22,960 --> 01:19:27,720
Coinbase, you know, I don't 
like, OK, you got to learn how 

1329
01:19:27,720 --> 01:19:32,400
to send Bitcoin. 
Like you, you don't know how to 

1330
01:19:32,400 --> 01:19:34,040
send Bitcoin. 
You're not a Bitcoiner. 

1331
01:19:34,040 --> 01:19:36,800
I mean, you're what are you 
doing on a Bitcoin space? 

1332
01:19:37,560 --> 01:19:41,320
You know, talking about Bitcoin 
for hours on the end when you 

1333
01:19:41,320 --> 01:19:46,600
actually can't, If you can't 
send somebody 100,000 sats like 

1334
01:19:46,600 --> 01:19:50,640
that, you you need to, you need 
to do your homework a little 

1335
01:19:50,640 --> 01:19:51,880
bit, you know what I mean? 
So. 

1336
01:19:52,840 --> 01:19:55,960
Well, I think it's it's the 
summary is like study Bitcoin in

1337
01:19:55,960 --> 01:19:59,480
breadth and and depth, right. 
And you, you try everything out 

1338
01:19:59,480 --> 01:20:02,760
And I think that's also well, 
for me, it's what's fun. 

1339
01:20:02,760 --> 01:20:04,320
It's like I'm learning every 
day. 

1340
01:20:04,320 --> 01:20:07,280
Still, this is such a, it's such
a huge thing. 

1341
01:20:07,280 --> 01:20:09,480
And so every every day there's a
new. 

1342
01:20:10,240 --> 01:20:13,600
New topic to learn or or a thing
to try out, So that's always 

1343
01:20:14,240 --> 01:20:17,040
just very rewarding. 
A lot of cool tools out there 

1344
01:20:17,040 --> 01:20:19,560
and there's a lot of you know 
there's a lot of there's a lot 

1345
01:20:19,560 --> 01:20:23,320
of good projects and cool tools 
and and you know it's it's 

1346
01:20:23,320 --> 01:20:26,840
interesting too and and I think 
that you know part of it is if 

1347
01:20:26,840 --> 01:20:30,280
you stay interested in these 
things you become a better 

1348
01:20:30,800 --> 01:20:35,280
holder of the stuff because it's
like OK this this is kind of 

1349
01:20:35,280 --> 01:20:38,960
what I'm this is all relates to 
my passion which is this 

1350
01:20:38,960 --> 01:20:40,240
Bitcoin, right. 
Yeah. 

1351
01:20:40,440 --> 01:20:42,760
So that's what I think. 
All right. 

1352
01:20:42,760 --> 01:20:45,560
All right. 
Fred, to wrap up the last 

1353
01:20:45,560 --> 01:20:49,320
question and I ask everyone the 
same question, what is a core 

1354
01:20:49,320 --> 01:20:54,600
belief you will never let go? 
A core belief that I will never 

1355
01:20:54,600 --> 01:21:02,720
let go. 
A core belief about Bitcoin? 

1356
01:21:03,800 --> 01:21:12,640
Anything. 
OK, I think my core belief is 

1357
01:21:12,680 --> 01:21:16,080
that you really need to do it 
yourself and you need to. 

1358
01:21:16,120 --> 01:21:20,600
You need to be hands on and you 
have to make up your own mind 

1359
01:21:21,680 --> 01:21:27,480
and not accept other people's 
opinion, but just make up your 

1360
01:21:27,480 --> 01:21:31,440
own mind about these things like
you. 

1361
01:21:32,400 --> 01:21:36,320
It's not good enough to to be 
like, well, Sailor said it, you 

1362
01:21:36,320 --> 01:21:41,600
know, or so and so said it, or 
Fred said it, or Fred said power

1363
01:21:41,600 --> 01:21:44,080
law. 
Like no, you should, you should 

1364
01:21:44,200 --> 01:21:47,720
100% convince yourself of 
whatever you're thinking. 

1365
01:21:48,480 --> 01:21:50,920
But you have to go through all 
the work yourself and you have 

1366
01:21:50,920 --> 01:21:54,360
to convince yourself and you 
should make up your own mind 

1367
01:21:54,360 --> 01:21:56,520
because that's the only way 
you're going to have really 

1368
01:21:56,520 --> 01:22:00,280
strong convictions, I think. 
I love that, Yeah. 

1369
01:22:00,280 --> 01:22:02,720
Now that's that's kind of what? 
Couldn't agree more. 

1370
01:22:02,800 --> 01:22:05,680
I'd say, yeah. 
Well, this is also what Bitcoin 

1371
01:22:05,680 --> 01:22:08,000
invites you to do, right? 
I think that's the whole point. 

1372
01:22:08,000 --> 01:22:11,880
Like, you don't have to believe 
what people like us say about 

1373
01:22:11,880 --> 01:22:15,280
Bitcoin. 
The entire idea is that we 

1374
01:22:15,280 --> 01:22:18,960
invite you so you can study it 
because it's so transparent that

1375
01:22:19,520 --> 01:22:22,080
you don't have to believe us. 
That's the entire point, right? 

1376
01:22:22,080 --> 01:22:23,840
But you have to do that work as 
you said. 

1377
01:22:23,840 --> 01:22:27,560
Well that's that's why I love it
so much because it's it's it's 

1378
01:22:27,560 --> 01:22:30,280
just it. 
Well, from my perspective it's 

1379
01:22:30,280 --> 01:22:35,240
so mathematical. 
It's just so transparent and and

1380
01:22:35,240 --> 01:22:39,480
you know I love that every 
little thing is like like even 

1381
01:22:39,520 --> 01:22:42,240
even in Ethereum they're not 
even sure how many ether there 

1382
01:22:42,240 --> 01:22:44,160
are. 
Nobody's even sure, like, 

1383
01:22:44,760 --> 01:22:46,600
something's wrong with that 
system. 

1384
01:22:46,600 --> 01:22:49,360
Right when they can't even tell 
you how many there is, you know,

1385
01:22:49,400 --> 01:22:50,880
and. 
They're changing it again. 

1386
01:22:50,880 --> 01:22:51,920
Well and. 
They're changing. 

1387
01:22:52,240 --> 01:22:55,560
Like, I don't know, Like, to me 
there's something fundamentally 

1388
01:22:55,560 --> 01:22:58,920
wrong. 
But Bitcoin is so it's black and

1389
01:22:58,920 --> 01:23:03,080
white and you know, there's 
there's no sort of real 

1390
01:23:03,080 --> 01:23:05,280
mysteries there. 
It's all, you know, it's it's 

1391
01:23:05,520 --> 01:23:10,960
it's, you know there's there's 
mysteries as to why it's working

1392
01:23:10,960 --> 01:23:13,680
the way it is. 
And you know, like it is kind 

1393
01:23:13,680 --> 01:23:16,480
of, it's almost feels like it's 
an alien force. 

1394
01:23:16,480 --> 01:23:19,280
You know, it's like this thing 
was created and it's just 

1395
01:23:19,280 --> 01:23:23,960
working so well and it's taking 
out of the world in such a way I

1396
01:23:23,960 --> 01:23:27,080
don't know why that is exactly 
what why is it so? 

1397
01:23:27,200 --> 01:23:31,960
You know, it just seems like it 
was just it was created once one

1398
01:23:31,960 --> 01:23:35,720
code changed a little bit, but 
not much, you know. 

1399
01:23:36,160 --> 01:23:40,280
Yeah, I think it's because it it
just works it. 

1400
01:23:40,280 --> 01:23:43,360
Sounds so stupid. 
But it works and everyone can 

1401
01:23:43,360 --> 01:23:45,600
check it out. 
And I think maybe to add to what

1402
01:23:45,600 --> 01:23:47,960
you said, like if you're 
studying Bitcoin, like one of 

1403
01:23:47,960 --> 01:23:51,280
the things to keep an eye on 
this, you know, the halving 

1404
01:23:51,280 --> 01:23:54,760
that's coming up, that's not 
just like, oh, the, you know, 

1405
01:23:54,760 --> 01:23:56,520
the block rewards are split in 
half. 

1406
01:23:56,520 --> 01:24:00,600
But this is actually like a 
celebration of the the fact that

1407
01:24:00,600 --> 01:24:04,880
we can trust the rules that are 
set out for this monetary 

1408
01:24:04,880 --> 01:24:07,080
system, right. 
If the halving happens on the 

1409
01:24:07,080 --> 01:24:10,280
day that we predict, that 
actually shows you that the 

1410
01:24:10,280 --> 01:24:15,760
monetary policy of this system 
is true and enforced and adopted

1411
01:24:15,760 --> 01:24:18,640
by everyone who uses it, right? 
That's the entire point. 

1412
01:24:19,200 --> 01:24:23,360
And yeah, I think that that's a 
nice illustration of I think 

1413
01:24:23,360 --> 01:24:27,120
what we studied and now believe 
in so well. 

1414
01:24:27,120 --> 01:24:30,560
Bram, it's been a great talking 
to you and you know, if I'm ever

1415
01:24:30,560 --> 01:24:32,640
in Netherlands, I'll look you 
up. 

1416
01:24:33,480 --> 01:24:35,920
Hit me up. 
Yeah, and if you're ever in LA, 

1417
01:24:36,600 --> 01:24:38,560
come, come by. 
Let's do it. 

1418
01:24:38,560 --> 01:24:41,680
Well, thanks so much for your 
time in this conversation and 

1419
01:24:41,760 --> 01:24:43,360
we'll stay in touch. 
OK. 

1420
01:24:43,480 --> 01:24:44,840
Thanks, Bram. 
Thank you. 

1421
01:24:45,480 --> 01:24:48,240
I hope you enjoyed this episode.
If you did, it would be amazing 

1422
01:24:48,240 --> 01:24:51,080
if you could rate, review and 
subscribe on the podcast 

1423
01:24:51,080 --> 01:24:54,000
platform of your choice. 
It will help us educate more 

1424
01:24:54,000 --> 01:24:56,120
millennials on the importance of
Bitcoin. 

1425
01:24:56,360 --> 01:24:58,160
You can follow and connect with 
me on Twitter. 

1426
01:24:58,160 --> 01:25:02,760
I'm Bram K that's at BR AM K and
if you are or know someone who 

1427
01:25:02,760 --> 01:25:05,360
has an interesting perspective 
on Bitcoin that's worth sharing,

1428
01:25:05,360 --> 01:25:07,680
hit me up. 
I read and reply to every single

1429
01:25:07,680 --> 01:25:09,560
message. 
I appreciate your support and 

1430
01:25:09,560 --> 01:25:11,240
hope you'll be here for the next
episode. 

1431
01:25:11,560 --> 01:25:12,800
Thanks for listening. 
Bye.

