You're listening to the Back Home Network presented by Home
Field Apparel. Welcome back to Crimson Cask, El
Clavio joining me here. It is Crimson Cash Time.
Yes, I'm hosting Crimson Cash, Scott.
Still in the Galapagos and I'm on vacation here this week so I
get the pleasure of for the first time in a while Co hosting
with James Turner. As we talk through the betting
wines from last week from this week, we talked about what we're
expecting out of the IU game and much more beyond that.
James, good to see you as always.
How you doing? Always a pleasure.
Galen, happy to have you on. Yeah, I don't know what Scott's
doing down there. I think there's some sort of
scientific research study or something.
I think it might be like, if you remember the movie The Freshman,
where you know they're smuggling lizards into New Jersey.
I think that Scott's doing something like that with
Galapagos turtles. But I'm not totally sure.
Like, I don't want to cast aspersions or doubts on what he
might actually be doing. But I think it involves some
kind of illicit transportation of of of of endangered species.
It's it's interesting. That does sound like a lot of
fun. Yeah.
That makes him Matthew Broderick, though, so I don't
know. It does.
That's true. Who does that make?
Penelope and Miller, then? I'm curious.
His wife. Perhaps, yeah, that's a great
point actually. Then you can be Brando.
Great. Thank you.
See everything worked out that that means you're Bruno.
You're Bruno Kirby. This is awesome.
So this has been Crimson Cash Your home for 90s obscure movie
trivia. That is a truly obscure movie
anyway, before we get launched. Let's talk about home field
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Home field apparel.com, your place to go for the finest in
college fashions. All right.
James, last week you gave the audience some advice on what
they should be doing gambling wise.
We're going to stay off your NFL bets 'cause I know that those
were not good, but let's talk about the the IU Michigan
numbers. What did you have there?
How did that go and what else did you want to talk about from
last week? We had Michigan covering.
Obviously, way to go out on a limb, that's great.
Kind of a no brainer there. Our big bet of the week was Ohio
State to cover that 19 1/2 at Purdue and that covered with
ease and there was never really any doubt in that game, did you?
Did you? Did you count the 40 yard field
goal that the non football playing student hit in Purdue's
favor for that line? No, we did not.
OK, so you know if you take that they still cover even and
Rutgers to get a money line victory for one of our parlay
bets but they weren't able to cover and we missed our teaser
parlay for the week. So we're hoping to get back at
it this. We've got two teaser parlays
that coming at you at the end of.
The show so awesome. Pick around.
It should be good. Let's start off this week.
Then we've got Rutgers, Indiana. This has been a a line that's
moved quite a bit since it first launched As Rutgers, I think
started off, it was either at 2, 1/2 or three and it's moved all
the way to five. What are you seeing in this game
in terms of where the numbers currently are at?
What do you like the most? That 2 1/2 three?
I'm suspect that ever actually existed because I couldn't get
it. I had an alert that the second
this line dropped to get a notification and I did and I got
it at four points when it came out.
Now going to five, four is a great #5's a great number.
Either of them are fine. I think you're going to cover
with ease here with Rutgers. I this is a perfect opportunity
for IU. Like if I if I did not watch IU
football as I'm guessing most people in the country do not, I
would see it as I go oh a home dog getting over a field goal.
I'm that looks tasty. I think I'm going to jump on
that. Unfortunately I have been
watching every snap of IU football this year and I think
we're about to see them fold like a House of Cards here.
I I I I think I saw them teetering in that second-half
against Michigan and some of the post game comments don't sound
like the troops are ready to rally.
So I unfortunately see Rutgers really taking it to him.
It's interesting because S&P plus the prediction on that
right now is Rutgers by 9:00. So it it does feel even you know
now what I'm seeing now is plus 5 1/2 on some of the sports
books. Pro Football Focus has that as
as what they're seeing. The one interesting thing here
that I I'm curious your thoughts of the over under on this game
is 39 1/2 right now over Unders. I've I've really tried to stay
away from with IU so far this season.
In large part because I just don't think you can count on
them scoring now. Right now.
I I guess it depends on the books you're looking at.
As I look at some of these others, I've seen it at 40, it
opened at 42, 1/2, so it's in that 39 and a half 40 range
right now. What are your feelings on that?
Is that one you would just stay away from?
Or do you have a feeling one way or the other, if I had to pick
go under 40 1/2, I'm going to stay away from it?
I agree with you. I don't think IU can do their
part, but there's a chance Rutgers could do their part and
and that worries me a little bit.
I mean, Rutgers put up 21 points in eight minutes last week
against Michigan State. When was the last game IU put up
21 points? Was that the Akron game?
So you know, that concerns me. So I'm I stay away from the IU
over unders. I got bit on that early in the
year against Louisville and I'm just staying away from them.
I think it's it's wise on on your part with that and I I
think you've got easy money on the spread here.
Why fuck around with the total? And actually, the the last time
Indiana scored 21 points or more in a Big 10 game was that
Michigan State game last November.
So it's been a little while since Indiana.
Same game as well, right? Yeah.
Well, yeah, exactly. So anything else from this game
or do you want to move on to the rest of the Big 10 slate?
Yeah. I think if IU is hanging around
I in at a money line decent odds might want to put some extra on
there because IU is not a second-half team and and I think
when you see, I think what you'll see is halfway through
the second quarter you'll start to see the coaching make a
difference. Shawna will have things figured
out. And the College of Coaches Tom
Allen his assemble. Yeah, it's it's interesting
because I mean if you remember last year Rutgers went down 14
nothing to this Indiana team and then came back and won that game
and I think covered pretty handy.
I don't remember exactly what the spread was in that one, but
it was it was a game that. Indiana had a lead in and then,
you know, not only couldn't hold it, but also ended up losing the
spread as well. So yeah, it's going to be
interesting to watch as all that comes across.
All right, let's leave the Indiana, Rutgers game.
What else we got on the slate? Let's start off with the big one
that everybody's been focusing on, Penn State, Ohio State.
This has not been a great series for Penn State under James
Franklin. Right now, the line that I'm
seeing is Ohio State -4 1/2. What are you seeing out of this
game? This line has gone towards Ohio
State. Penn State was getting more
points earlier in the week. I like Penn State plus 4 1/2.
I wouldn't bet it any lower than three, although there is a
chance they get outright win this game.
But I think the angle here is on the over under 45. 1/2 is where
that's set at. I definitely think this goes
over that Penn State is putting up points in bunches.
I mean, they put up 63 points last week.
They're definitely going to be able to score.
Ohio State we know can score. I like the over here.
Yeah, it's interesting because it's dropped like 3 1/2 points
since it went up and it was closer to 50 at the beginning of
things. So yeah, it's a, it's an
interesting line. And I think that, you know, a
lot of this is really dependent on what Ohio State's going to be
able to do from a defensive perspective.
Weather looks fine though on Saturday.
I mean a slight chance of rain, but the wind isn't too bad.
It's going to be 57 degrees in Columbus, so that won't play
that much of an impact on things.
Next game. Out of the slate we've got
Northwestern and Nebraska. Northwestern has been really bad
this year, but they are still three and three on the season.
Nebraska is kind of in this weird mode right now where I'm
not sure what to expect out of them, but they are pretty big
favorite in this game, 12 points.
It's too much. Northwestern not a great
football team, but they're scrappy.
They beat Nebraska last year outright when as 12 1/2 point
dogs. So that's just too many points
for a Nebraska team that doesn't really wow you.
I'm going to stay away from it, but if I was going to bet this,
I'd take those points. Another interesting over under
this is another one that started it started at 44.
It's dropped to 40 1/2, but most books, yeah, that's even down
from where it was this morning, so yeah.
Yeah. All right, so we're staying away
from Northwestern Nebraska. Next one.
This has been a topic that people been talking about on
social media all week. Minnesota versus Iowa.
Oh yeah. Oh, James got excited on this
one. This over under is at 31.
Iowa's a 3 1/2 point favorite right now in this game.
They've actually lost a couple of points off of that line.
What do you see in here? If we kick off at 31, we will
have the lowest over under total line in the history of college
football. That's outstanding.
The the previous two, We're Iowa.
We're both Iowa games obviously, but they both also went under
the total. All right now hear me out.
I'm not allowed to bet over unders when Scott is the host,
but Scott is not here this week. So we get to take over 31 points
Iowa. Minnesota.
Wow. That see I'm I was curious where
you're going to go with this. What what I find interesting is
those previous two over unders, it being Iowa games and and and
there they this game is fascinating because Minnesota
has been really. Rickety in a lot of what they've
done so far this season so I would not be shocked if this
went under actually, because Iowa's just not going to need to
score in this game. But yes, you have my permission
to bet the over unders. I I will take the leash off of
you this week for this one. Well, Iowa may not need to
score. They may just look into scoring.
This Minnesota defense is really bad, so I think they're going to
look into some offensive scores, which they don't normally get.
And I guarantee they're going to get a pick six off of this
Minnesota quarterback. If you want to bet a prop bet,
have fun with that Iowa interception return for a
touchdown. Find that.
All right, the other 330? Kick in the Big 10.
We've got a really intriguing game now based upon what
happened last week, Wisconsin at Illinois.
Wisconsin quarterback Tanner Mordecai broke his hand.
He's out. Illinois, who was kind of left
for dead, waltzes into state or not State, College, College Park
and beats Maryland by a field goal as time expires.
Wisconsin opened at 3 1/2. They're down to 2 1/2 Illinois
looking a little frisky but one and six against the spreads so
far this season. What are your thoughts?
We're taking a dog. We're taking Illinois to win on
the money line here. Give me the home team against a
a new quarterback. They're well coached.
They do nothing flashy on offense.
I mean they if they are the least flashy offense you'll ever
see, but they don't turn the ball over and their defense is
fairly solid. I think Wisconsin will
eventually get things rolling, but that's bad news for them
losing Mordecai. So give me the Illini to win
outright. I also like the under 42 here.
I kind of feel. Regretful that I didn't grab,
you know, Illinois plus 3 1/2 when this first came out.
I just wasn't paying attention. The money line is still a pretty
decent value you're going to get.
I think plus one O 8 is what I'm saying on the money line right
now for Illinois. So you're going to get a little
bit of positive money on that one.
But I like that pick. I think that's a good pick.
And I think it's going to be interesting because again, this
is, you know, it's Bilima versus his old team and it's a
Wisconsin team that's having a little bit of an identity crisis
right now. So, well, you know, I told you
earlier, I love home dogs. Even even when the home field
advantage is so bad that you're in champagne, right in the fake
Memorial Stadium? Yes.
Or whatever they're calling it. Did they have that burned down?
They've tried. They failed.
All right, the big one. And this, this last game in the
Big 10 took on different meaning today.
Michigan at Michigan State. The I don't know if you've seen
the revelations yet, but apparently the Big 10
conferences approached Michigan State and told them there's
credible evidence that Michigan has been putting coaches or
somebody in the stands to steal offensive signs or or play call
signs from other teams in the conference.
They actually. Apparently Michigan State was
entertaining the thought of like, not playing the game at
all. They are going to play the game.
They decided to go ahead and do that line right now.
Is Michigan -24. What you thinking?
So they did the bill, Belichick. Thing they did?
Yes. Oh, OK Well, This is why I love
Jim Harbaugh and why I wish he was I US football coach.
Because the guy wants to freaking win.
He doesn't care who loves him. All he cares about is winning
football games 24 in a rivalry game.
OK, so Michigan State always, always plays Michigan.
Tough in this game and I want to take I have 24 1/2 available.
I'm hesitant I would take the 24 1/2 Michigan State, but I don't
feel good about it. They got a young quarterback and
not a great offensive line and this could be a bloodbath, but
the rivalry factor makes me want to take all those points.
Yeah, it's interesting because with this series.
Michigan State's won several games against Michigan, which
sticks in the craw of Jim Harbaugh.
You had the fight in the tunnel last year.
There's a lot of bad blood that might spill over even more and
Michigan State doesn't have a lot to play for at this point.
You kind of saw that in that Rutgers game last week where
they end up losing. So yeah, it's AII would teeter
on this one as well. But I I kind of like where your
head's at overall. All right.
So that's that's our big 10 slate for this week and and just
to. You know, just thinking about
how what would say, what would what is your best or most
confident bet Of all of the games that we've talked about
through this mix. Rutgers.
Yeah, covering IUI when that I don't normally place large bets,
the 2nd that four point line came out, I placed a large bet.
I just thought the line looked ridiculous.
After I placed the bet, I went and looked at the S&P prediction
and I felt much, much better. Yeah.
So that that's the one I feel most confident.
Getting five points of value there, it's hard to argue
against. All right, let's move out West.
No Colorado line this week, unfortunately.
Deion Sanders in the Buffs are off.
But there is Ausc game. We've got Utah, USC coming up
this weekend. This line has gone US CS
direction. It opened at 5 1/2.
It's now USC -7. Utah still ranked ahead of USC,
but still with some offensive issues.
What do we got here? Offensive issues against US CS
defense. One of them's got to give and
it's going to be US CS defense. That defense is about as bad as
that defense is as bad as I use offense.
So to put that in perspective for folks who haven't seen them
play, that's how bad I think US CS defense is.
Give me the Utes to cover here. I wouldn't be surprised they
pull the upset. There you go.
All right, so Utes plus seven in that game, this, since we're
talking over, under, is the over under on that 154 1/2 at this
point? Yeah, USC over unders have been
killing me this year, so I'm staying away from those now.
I'm just going spreads on them. And Caleb Williams, by the way,
seems like a very unlikable fellow.
You know, You hear him and you hear Mike peddicks.
And there's one you definitely want to root for, to win the
Heisman. Yeah, I'll just throw that out
there. One of them is not asking for
equity from whatever NFL team drafts him.
So you know. Yeah, exactly.
My favorite was when Caleb Williams said step in my 12 1/2
shoe. Like 12 1/2.
Come on, do we need the half? Also just a quick Michael
Peddicks update, Washington. Right now, -26 1/2 against
Arizona State. That Arizona State team's been
real bad this whole year. I do worry a little bit in that
game about a let down effect after that big win against
Oregon last week. So I I might be tempted to avoid
taking Wiscottara Washington and the points in this one.
Look at maybe like some Pennix props.
Last week we had over 3 1/2 touchdowns and that was like at
plus 125 or something like that or plus 1/20 and that hit.
So maybe look at appendix proper too, if you want to watch the
Washington game. I think it'd be worth the the
entertainment. It's a late night game too.
If you need something to fall asleep to 10:30 PM, kick here in
the Eastern Time zone. All right.
Let's get to our wrap up here. We've got what do we got?
Give me this, give me the segments here at the end.
What are we doing? All right, we've got the teaser
parlay of the week, All right, This is our Big 10.
Only one. And then I've got.
I've got another teaser from outside the Big 10.
All right, So we're gonna take three of our bets that we just
made. We're gonna take Rutgers and we
tease it and we're gonna get a point and 1/2 with Rutgers.
That's the no brainer. We're gonna take Penn State,
where we're gonna be getting 10 1/2 points at Ohio Stadium, and
we're going to take that Iowa over where we'll have 25 1/2 is
the number we have to be if that doesn't hit.
Immediately at my mind immediately went to 20 to 3 as
being I know. And as soon as as soon as I said
it, I go, oh shit, wonder what the cash out is on that because
I've already placed this bat. So I OK, I don't feel great
about that one, but this one I love.
OK, we have. University of Louisiana, Monroe,
we're gonna take them on a tease.
And so they're getting 23 points now against Georgia Southern.
We're gonna take Missouri and South Carolina, and we're gonna
take the over in that game and we're gonna tease that down to
54 points and we're gonna take Tennessee Volunteers getting 15
1/2 now at Alabama. So I really like that one.
I I think that's a pretty good one from outside the Big 10.
Well, overall that sounds pretty intriguing.
I think I actually, I like both of those.
Look, I think realistically if they're Iowa, Minnesota's a
rivalry game, I wouldn't be shocked if there were some
points scored in that going back to that previous one.
But but I also like that mix of what you just lined up.
I mean, I think it's, it's a little little esoteric, some
things coming in from different areas there, but I like all of
those individual bets. So that certainly makes sense.
And as usual, I will post all of these on X for anybody following
Crimson Cast 26 O. You can check them out there.
Let me let me finish off any any end of season award props or
champion or like you know CFP props that you like at this
point. We saw this week.
Obviously Michael Pennix has swung into the lead a bit in the
Heisman chase. Lot of people have been saying,
OK, that that looks like the guy to beat.
Anything on that front you're looking at and saying this is,
this is really something that I wouldn't jump on at this point.
Right now the Heisman odds looks like the most recent ones off of
BET. MGM Pennix is at -145, Dylan
Gabriel, JJ McCarthy are both plus 1000, and then you got
Jaden Daniels and Jordan Travis at plus 1300.
Yeah, none of that gets my nipples hard, I'm going to be
honest with you. I mean, the Penex number is not
great 'cause, I mean, look, he goes out and has one shit
performance or blows his knee out, then you're out and it's
not great odds. You know McCarthy.
No, you know, I mean he's putting up decent numbers, but
do you think of JJ McCarthy as some prolific college football
quarterback? Not really, you know, So I I
don't like the Heisman bets now. If Penn State beats Ohio State
this weekend, I might be looking at some Penn State, well,
national championship. And this is what I was going to
say right now, or I guess this was as of two days ago.
I don't think these have changed too much.
But if you look on the plus side in odds to make the College
Football Playoff right now, there's three teams that are in
minus territory. Georgia's at -195, Michigan's at
-155 and Florida State's at -150.
You get past that. There's basically two different
groups of teams that look like they have a realistic shot.
Who? Which of these do you like?
Let me give you the first group. Washington's at plus 125,
Oklahoma's at plus 160. Ohio State's at plus one.
Seventy of those three. Is there one you feel like you
get the best value for there? I think Oklahoma has the easiest
path to get to get there. So, I mean, if if I were betting
it, I would Who's more likely to lose a game and and who are they
playing? Ohio State by far has the
tougher schedule of any of those teams and Washington would be a
close second. And Oklahoma, I think.
I think they'll probably walk through another Big 12
championship as they slide on out the door.
Yeah. And then that next group will
finish up with this. You've got Texas at plus 240,
Penn State at plus 250 and Alabama at +400, I mean.
All of those have some intriguing elements to them.
Texas feels like a bit that feels like weird odds given the
where they are right now in the standings.
Penn State at 250's kind of intriguing.
And I mean Alabama at plus 400 people.
They look like a team that you're ready to shovel dirt on
and say they're done, but they're still in pretty good
shape in the SEC West at this stage.
Yeah. So I mean, I like those odds for
Bammer. I think Penn State of that group
probably has the best shot because they control their own
destiny at this point and and that's a good football.
I've seen them play and I've seen Alabama play and I've seen
Texas play. Penn State's the best of those
teams. So you know, they may have Ohio
State and Michigan still on deck and that's a big problem.
But you know, Bama's got every game in the SEC is difficult.
Ish. Yeah.
Well, unless you're playing Vanderbilt.
I was gonna say, yeah, not all of them are that difficult, but
yeah, Auburn. But you know, Auburn's a rivalry
game for them, you know, so, you know, you kind of throw those
things out. I do kind of like Penn State.
I'm tempted to toss a little on them on the money line this
week. I just got a feeling this might
be the time. They break the hex.
They've lost five straight, at least to them.
I know that. So I.
What do we really need? I think in the big 10 we need.
We need the Triangle to happen. We need Penn State to beat Ohio
State, Ohio State to beat Michigan and Michigan to beat
Penn State. Just so we have a gigantic mess
at the end of the year in the Big 10 E and somebody feels
aggrieved as they head into the the Big 10 title game.
Or don't, as the case may be. I would love nothing more than
that because I want to see, like Air Force in the College
Football Playoff. They're still undefeated and it
could happen. They can stay undefeated, you
know? That's what I want to see.
I want to see total chaos. I want to see, you know, the
whole system just up in flames because it's just more
entertaining that way because I don't have a dog in the fight.
I don't have any odds on Air Force in the College Football
Playoffs, sadly. We'll find those though.
Anyway, Thanks James. As always, a pleasure.
Another great episode of Crimson Cash and we folks like to make
money. This is the guy to listen to.
We'll hopefully we'll do this again at some point soon.
I might have to elbow Scott out every once in a while on
hosting. Well, thanks for hopping on to
help us out this week Galen. Really appreciate it.
Always a blast talking to you, buddy.
Absolutely. All right, folks.
James Turner here for Crimson Cash.
That'll wrap up this week's episode.
Be sure to tune in every week as James gives you the betting
lines across the Big 10. And with IU football and
elsewhere, We'll catch you folks on the flip side.
Thanks for joining us. Bring back the Bison.
So long, everybody.