1 00:00:06,720 --> 00:00:09,920 You're listening to the Back Home Network presented by Home 2 00:00:09,920 --> 00:00:22,640 Field Apparel. Yeah, it's pretty simple. 3 00:00:22,640 --> 00:00:24,720 I win. Google me. 4 00:00:25,080 --> 00:00:27,360 Jared, you better yell. Show me the money. 5 00:00:29,840 --> 00:00:32,640 Show me. The money play that, me and his 6 00:00:32,640 --> 00:00:36,440 money, you get nothing, you lose. 7 00:00:36,920 --> 00:00:44,000 Good day, Sir. Oh my gosh, new intro video new. 8 00:00:44,000 --> 00:00:47,680 Season. Crimson Cash is back, James. 9 00:00:47,680 --> 00:00:49,960 What's up, man? Hey, how's it going Scott? 10 00:00:49,960 --> 00:00:52,760 Happy to be back. Love the new intro video, That's 11 00:00:52,760 --> 00:00:54,200 fantastic. That's awesome. 12 00:00:54,200 --> 00:00:55,720 We'll still kind of mess with it a little bit. 13 00:00:56,480 --> 00:00:59,080 Hit us up on Twitter. James, you're kind of our 14 00:00:59,080 --> 00:01:01,040 Twitter. I I'm a Twitter like I look at 15 00:01:01,040 --> 00:01:02,200 stuff. I don't just I don't tweet 16 00:01:02,200 --> 00:01:05,080 enough, but I'm I'm a Crimson cast 317. 17 00:01:05,080 --> 00:01:07,400 You're Crimson cast 260 on Twitter. 18 00:01:07,400 --> 00:01:08,960 Hit either of us up or both of us. 19 00:01:08,960 --> 00:01:11,160 If you have clips you want to add there, we can make that a 20 00:01:11,160 --> 00:01:13,080 dynamic intro. We can change it all the time. 21 00:01:13,200 --> 00:01:14,680 But I love, I love what we have so far. 22 00:01:15,120 --> 00:01:19,200 Yeah, I absolutely love anybody listening, watching. 23 00:01:19,840 --> 00:01:21,760 Feel free to chime in. We love to hear that kind of 24 00:01:21,760 --> 00:01:25,200 stuff. So you, how's how you been, man? 25 00:01:25,200 --> 00:01:26,640 It's been an entire like offseason. 26 00:01:26,640 --> 00:01:27,600 I haven't talked to you in a while. 27 00:01:27,920 --> 00:01:30,600 It has. I'm ready for some football, as 28 00:01:30,840 --> 00:01:36,320 Hank Williams junior would say. You know, I'm, I haven't enjoyed 29 00:01:36,320 --> 00:01:40,160 betting baseball on a daily basis cause baseball is a fickle 30 00:01:40,160 --> 00:01:44,760 fickle mistress and the Brewers will just win, you know, forever 31 00:01:44,760 --> 00:01:46,720 and ever. Although I have been betting on 32 00:01:46,720 --> 00:01:49,280 the Brewers who have like the longest win streak in like the 33 00:01:49,280 --> 00:01:52,800 history of baseball it seems like as a Cubs fan. 34 00:01:52,800 --> 00:01:57,120 So it's been a brutal summer and I'm ready to get back to it. 35 00:01:57,120 --> 00:02:00,360 Loved basketball season. The Pacers were great to watch, 36 00:02:00,360 --> 00:02:04,920 made a lot of money on them. Man, if Tyrese doesn't go down, 37 00:02:05,680 --> 00:02:07,600 would have made a lot more money on them. 38 00:02:07,920 --> 00:02:12,520 So but that's unfortunate. But that's part of being a 39 00:02:12,520 --> 00:02:14,240 Patriots fan is you're used to that. 40 00:02:14,240 --> 00:02:17,880 So, so yeah. But I'm happy to be back. 41 00:02:18,960 --> 00:02:21,280 Well, welcome back and you put some work in. 42 00:02:21,280 --> 00:02:25,480 My friend you. You did an entire breakdown of 43 00:02:25,480 --> 00:02:28,960 every single Big 10 team and so we are going to go through that 44 00:02:29,040 --> 00:02:31,040 right now. I have it up here. 45 00:02:31,040 --> 00:02:33,480 Do you care if I show it on video for those who are? 46 00:02:33,480 --> 00:02:36,880 Watching on video. It'll, it'll show a lot of the 47 00:02:36,880 --> 00:02:38,360 teams. It's, it's a full Excel 48 00:02:38,360 --> 00:02:39,240 spreadsheet. So I don't want to. 49 00:02:39,240 --> 00:02:41,520 I mean, I can do it one by one if you want, or I can I just 50 00:02:41,520 --> 00:02:43,400 show the whole thing and we can kind of start talking through 51 00:02:43,400 --> 00:02:44,960 it. Yeah, whatever. 52 00:02:45,160 --> 00:02:46,760 Show the whole thing, I don't care. 53 00:02:47,320 --> 00:02:49,880 So it will be, it will be tough for people's eyes, maybe. 54 00:02:50,280 --> 00:02:51,600 Yeah. So do you want to start? 55 00:02:52,280 --> 00:02:57,280 Maybe let's go back, let's go lowest you did in alphabetical 56 00:02:57,280 --> 00:02:59,080 order. Let's start with Wisconsin and 57 00:02:59,080 --> 00:03:01,520 work our way back up to Indiana, Illinois. 58 00:03:01,520 --> 00:03:04,640 So we save Indiana to the end. OK, sounds good. 59 00:03:04,960 --> 00:03:07,640 All right, man, so you you start us off Wisconsin. 60 00:03:07,640 --> 00:03:10,560 So what what we're doing here is we're looking at the season 61 00:03:10,560 --> 00:03:13,200 prediction. Again, we're just a big 10 focus 62 00:03:13,200 --> 00:03:15,160 podcast here. We're here to make you some 63 00:03:15,160 --> 00:03:16,720 money. Show me the money. 64 00:03:17,080 --> 00:03:20,560 And what we're looking at this year is just a season over the 65 00:03:20,560 --> 00:03:23,040 season over under. And what James did is he went 66 00:03:23,040 --> 00:03:25,640 and predicted how he thought each team was going to do 67 00:03:25,680 --> 00:03:27,720 through their schedules. He put in the work so you don't 68 00:03:27,720 --> 00:03:30,920 have to, so you can listen to this pod and make yourself some 69 00:03:30,920 --> 00:03:32,080 money. So basically he's trying to 70 00:03:32,080 --> 00:03:36,960 figure out whether a team is going to be over or under, what 71 00:03:36,960 --> 00:03:40,640 the current prediction over under is right now for each 72 00:03:40,640 --> 00:03:43,200 team. So like with Wisconsin, and I 73 00:03:43,200 --> 00:03:45,200 promise I'll let you talk here in a SEC, Wisconsin, they're 74 00:03:45,200 --> 00:03:47,560 over under for the season is at 5 1/2 wins. 75 00:03:47,960 --> 00:03:51,000 So if if they if they win five games, you should be betting the 76 00:03:51,000 --> 00:03:52,960 under. If they win six games, they 77 00:03:52,960 --> 00:03:56,080 should be betting the over. What James is trying to do is 78 00:03:56,080 --> 00:03:58,080 figure out what the best bet is for each one. 79 00:03:58,080 --> 00:04:00,960 There's a couple, I will say this, there's a couple that are 80 00:04:00,960 --> 00:04:05,280 like you have three games off where you are three games 81 00:04:05,280 --> 00:04:07,520 different than what the current over under is. 82 00:04:07,920 --> 00:04:10,240 And those are those are ones that you should bet if you 83 00:04:10,240 --> 00:04:11,640 believe what James is talking about. 84 00:04:11,640 --> 00:04:13,280 South James, kick us off with Wisconsin. 85 00:04:13,880 --> 00:04:17,760 OK, I don't think Wisconsin's going to be great this year. 86 00:04:18,240 --> 00:04:20,200 They've got an over under of five and a half. 87 00:04:20,360 --> 00:04:22,960 I have them going under with only five wins. 88 00:04:23,520 --> 00:04:26,920 They start off the first three games for most of the Big 10 89 00:04:26,920 --> 00:04:31,200 teams are pretty much gimmies. I don't have a lot of Big 10 non 90 00:04:31,200 --> 00:04:34,200 conference losses, but Wisconsin's got one because they 91 00:04:34,200 --> 00:04:36,920 chose to schedule. Alabama probably should have 92 00:04:36,920 --> 00:04:38,400 knocked that game off the schedule. 93 00:04:39,000 --> 00:04:41,880 And when it comes to the Big 10 schedule, it's a brutal 1 for 94 00:04:41,880 --> 00:04:43,000 them. They've got Michigan, they've 95 00:04:43,000 --> 00:04:46,200 got Ohio State, they've got Oregon, and they've got Iowa all 96 00:04:46,200 --> 00:04:49,080 in a row. And that doesn't even factor in 97 00:04:49,080 --> 00:04:51,000 the fact they've got to travel to Bloomington. 98 00:04:51,920 --> 00:04:54,320 I've got them getting an upset win over Illinois. 99 00:04:54,760 --> 00:04:56,800 One of the things I tried to do, and the reason I did this 100 00:04:56,800 --> 00:05:01,360 spreadsheet is so that I could make sure that, you know, I 101 00:05:01,360 --> 00:05:03,320 didn't just look at the team and go, oh, they've got, you know, 102 00:05:03,640 --> 00:05:06,560 five wins this year. And then, you know, they play 103 00:05:06,560 --> 00:05:10,040 another team who I say got six wins, but I've got them both 104 00:05:10,040 --> 00:05:12,480 winning the same game against each other or something like 105 00:05:12,480 --> 00:05:13,560 that. So I've made sure that that 106 00:05:13,560 --> 00:05:17,840 doesn't happen what I went through doing this, but I I 107 00:05:17,880 --> 00:05:21,360 don't see how they're going to get over 5 1/2 wins with this 108 00:05:21,360 --> 00:05:25,120 brutal schedule they have unless they're just a tremendously 109 00:05:25,120 --> 00:05:27,960 improved team from last year. And I just don't see that right 110 00:05:27,960 --> 00:05:29,560 now. So for those of you guys 111 00:05:29,560 --> 00:05:33,080 watching on video, you can see the schedule right here kind of 112 00:05:33,080 --> 00:05:35,200 going through that. So you have Wisconsin at 5:00 113 00:05:35,200 --> 00:05:36,880 and 7:00 their over unders 5 1/2. 114 00:05:36,880 --> 00:05:38,480 That's a that's a tight bet, man. 115 00:05:38,480 --> 00:05:41,160 Like I I'd be any of these that are like right on the edge. 116 00:05:41,200 --> 00:05:44,600 I'd be curious. That'd be tough to bet, but I, 117 00:05:44,600 --> 00:05:48,040 you know, 'cause I, I could maybe see them winning one of 118 00:05:48,040 --> 00:05:50,360 those games you have lost. So I I would this would be a 119 00:05:50,360 --> 00:05:54,080 stay away from me. Yeah, I I would not. 120 00:05:54,200 --> 00:05:55,880 I'm not putting any money on this all. 121 00:05:56,440 --> 00:05:58,440 Right. So Next up you have Washington. 122 00:06:00,360 --> 00:06:02,840 Yeah. I don't know really what to make 123 00:06:02,840 --> 00:06:04,280 of them. I think they'll probably be 124 00:06:04,480 --> 00:06:09,600 around kind of what they were last year, which is around seven 125 00:06:09,600 --> 00:06:14,040 wins, which is they're at 7 1/2. I have them slightly under the 126 00:06:14,040 --> 00:06:17,240 losses. You know, I had Wisconsin 127 00:06:17,240 --> 00:06:20,400 beating them. It's a that game's at Camp 128 00:06:20,400 --> 00:06:22,400 Randall. You know, you never know. 129 00:06:22,400 --> 00:06:24,560 That's one of those ones where either one of those could kind 130 00:06:24,560 --> 00:06:29,040 of swing either way. I think Maryland, Rutgers are 131 00:06:29,040 --> 00:06:30,680 probably easy games for Washington. 132 00:06:31,760 --> 00:06:33,280 And you know, they're going to lose to Ohio State. 133 00:06:33,280 --> 00:06:36,280 They're not going to beat Michigan and they're definitely 134 00:06:36,280 --> 00:06:40,800 not going to beat Oregon. So yeah, I, I don't like, I 135 00:06:40,800 --> 00:06:43,160 don't like, I'm not going to bet it, but I like the under. 136 00:06:43,920 --> 00:06:46,400 OK. Next up we have USC. 137 00:06:47,120 --> 00:06:50,800 They're over under 7 1/2. Yeah, I have them going over 138 00:06:50,800 --> 00:06:55,440 here. Just kind of depends on how this 139 00:06:55,440 --> 00:06:58,600 team shakes out. The defense was pretty bad last 140 00:06:58,600 --> 00:07:02,000 year. And can the offense generate 141 00:07:02,000 --> 00:07:05,360 enough against some of the Big 10 big boys? 142 00:07:05,400 --> 00:07:09,360 And I'm that Michigan game one specifically I'm looking at 143 00:07:09,800 --> 00:07:13,160 that's going to be pretty much where this over under hinges on. 144 00:07:14,040 --> 00:07:16,080 I think they're going to be able to take care of Northwestern 145 00:07:16,080 --> 00:07:19,240 Nebraska. You know, UCLA is a rivalry 146 00:07:19,240 --> 00:07:21,400 game, but they seem to have a better team than them. 147 00:07:22,200 --> 00:07:24,520 They could pick up a win at Iowa. 148 00:07:24,680 --> 00:07:28,720 I guess that's always possible, but I something about USC 149 00:07:28,720 --> 00:07:32,920 heading to Iowa in November. I just don't like that, so 150 00:07:32,920 --> 00:07:35,480 that's why I picked that. So I think they'll go over. 151 00:07:35,520 --> 00:07:38,520 There's some wiggle room there, but not enough for me. 152 00:07:39,320 --> 00:07:41,280 I don't know, man, I kind of like the over here 'cause you 153 00:07:41,280 --> 00:07:43,600 look at it like they're, they're probably going to start four and 154 00:07:43,600 --> 00:07:46,320 O, they're going to, they're going to have some wind in their 155 00:07:46,320 --> 00:07:47,640 sails. Like, you know, that could be a 156 00:07:47,640 --> 00:07:50,640 game against Illinois where Illinois just lost Indiana. 157 00:07:51,840 --> 00:07:55,840 You know, I, I could see them going two and one in those 158 00:07:55,840 --> 00:07:57,600 Illinois, Michigan, Notre Dame games. 159 00:07:59,600 --> 00:08:01,240 You know, there, there could be a world where they just, they 160 00:08:01,240 --> 00:08:03,960 just kind of get on a roll. Their schedule's relatively 161 00:08:03,960 --> 00:08:06,760 easy. So I, I kind of like, I like the 162 00:08:06,760 --> 00:08:08,720 over here as well. I'm going to mark that down. 163 00:08:09,040 --> 00:08:12,880 That is one of the ones that I'm going to bet I'm I like that. 164 00:08:13,200 --> 00:08:17,080 That assumes they learned how to tackle in the past offseason, so 165 00:08:17,080 --> 00:08:18,120 yeah. But I mean, at some point Link 166 00:08:18,120 --> 00:08:20,080 O'Reilly is a good coach. Like he's he should be a good 167 00:08:20,080 --> 00:08:22,240 coach and should be able to get stuff done, you would think. 168 00:08:23,560 --> 00:08:24,880 You would think. Yeah. 169 00:08:25,640 --> 00:08:27,440 All right. Next up, I'm gonna try and do 170 00:08:27,440 --> 00:08:30,280 this on the fly. We have UCLA. 171 00:08:31,880 --> 00:08:34,960 All right, are you pulling that up here or do I need to pull it 172 00:08:34,960 --> 00:08:37,679 up? There we go All right, another 173 00:08:37,679 --> 00:08:39,520 team that has a non conference game. 174 00:08:39,520 --> 00:08:42,840 I think they're gonna lose cause Utah just seems to have a more 175 00:08:42,840 --> 00:08:47,440 solid program overall, which makes me think that they're 176 00:08:47,440 --> 00:08:49,160 probably going to go pretty much under here. 177 00:08:49,160 --> 00:08:51,400 In fact, I think they're a game and a half under. 178 00:08:51,880 --> 00:08:54,760 They're set at 5 1/2 and I've only got them getting four wins. 179 00:08:55,240 --> 00:08:57,640 You tell me where the other two wins are coming from here. 180 00:08:57,640 --> 00:08:59,960 Are they going to beat Northwestern at Northwestern? 181 00:09:00,240 --> 00:09:02,680 Maybe, maybe. Are they, are they going to beat 182 00:09:02,680 --> 00:09:03,520 Penn State? No. 183 00:09:03,600 --> 00:09:05,360 Indiana, No. Ohio State. 184 00:09:05,360 --> 00:09:07,920 No. You know, I mean, and then they 185 00:09:08,440 --> 00:09:11,000 Nebraska, Washington, USC, what's that they? 186 00:09:11,040 --> 00:09:13,760 Could lose to Michigan State. They could lose the Michigan 187 00:09:13,760 --> 00:09:17,120 State very easily. So, you know, it's one of those 188 00:09:17,120 --> 00:09:20,280 things where, I mean, a lot would have to break for them to 189 00:09:20,320 --> 00:09:23,240 get this over. I actually do like the season 190 00:09:23,240 --> 00:09:26,600 under for them. I'm I'm writing it down on my 191 00:09:26,600 --> 00:09:28,120 sheet. I like the under as well. 192 00:09:29,000 --> 00:09:30,800 All right, Next up we have Rutgers. 193 00:09:31,160 --> 00:09:33,600 This is this is fun, by the way, just looking at the schedules 194 00:09:33,600 --> 00:09:35,760 and seeing how teams like, oh, like they could be forward. 195 00:09:35,760 --> 00:09:39,200 Just I, I enjoy this exercise, just kind of seeing where teams 196 00:09:39,200 --> 00:09:41,200 could be throughout the year. So anyway, Rutgers. 197 00:09:42,720 --> 00:09:47,320 Rutgers I, I have them winning against Iowa in their first Big 198 00:09:47,320 --> 00:09:50,240 10 game because it's like a Friday night game in Piscataway. 199 00:09:50,560 --> 00:09:53,080 And something makes me think, oh, they're gonna win this and 200 00:09:53,080 --> 00:09:55,120 they're gonna be 4 and O and you're gonna hear about, oh, is 201 00:09:55,120 --> 00:09:57,960 Rutgers this year's Indiana? And then they're gonna get curb 202 00:09:57,960 --> 00:10:00,280 stomped by the Gophers. So that's what I think's gonna 203 00:10:00,280 --> 00:10:02,880 happen with them. But they do have Purdue, so they 204 00:10:02,880 --> 00:10:04,960 will get another win somewhere along the ways. 205 00:10:06,400 --> 00:10:09,840 I just don't see them with the schedule they've got being able 206 00:10:09,840 --> 00:10:13,160 to pick up more than five wins, which is where I've got them at, 207 00:10:13,160 --> 00:10:14,920 which is under their 5 1/2 total. 208 00:10:16,040 --> 00:10:17,360 All right, Next up. This is fun. 209 00:10:18,080 --> 00:10:19,360 So yeah, I would stay away from that. 210 00:10:19,360 --> 00:10:22,240 That's just really close to it. Next up is Purdue. 211 00:10:23,280 --> 00:10:26,400 God, I'd love to bet the under, but it's like at 2 1/2. 212 00:10:26,560 --> 00:10:29,840 You're just assuming they have to go 2 and 10, which would be 213 00:10:29,840 --> 00:10:34,000 awesome, and it's very possible. But anyway, go ahead. 214 00:10:34,280 --> 00:10:36,320 You can make a case they lose the Ball State. 215 00:10:36,800 --> 00:10:40,440 You can easily make that case. I have no idea what to expect 216 00:10:40,440 --> 00:10:43,360 from this Purdue team. They were so God awful last 217 00:10:43,360 --> 00:10:45,840 year. How many guys came over from 218 00:10:45,840 --> 00:10:48,320 UNLV? Is that gonna be a big deal? 219 00:10:48,560 --> 00:10:51,760 Who knows? You know, I don't think they're 220 00:10:51,760 --> 00:10:54,760 gonna win. I mean, more than Ball State in 221 00:10:54,760 --> 00:10:56,120 Southern Illinois, there's no chance. 222 00:10:56,200 --> 00:11:01,160 So I who they gonna beat Northwestern maybe? 223 00:11:02,840 --> 00:11:05,880 Yeah, that's probably the only that may be the only winnable 224 00:11:05,880 --> 00:11:09,160 game on their schedule besides Ball State and Southern 225 00:11:09,160 --> 00:11:11,280 Illinois. The the the only game with a 226 00:11:11,280 --> 00:11:13,920 probably competitive. Are you, are you able to do 227 00:11:13,920 --> 00:11:17,200 adjusted win totals like I, I guess, I guess the odds wouldn't 228 00:11:17,200 --> 00:11:19,000 be good enough. But if you like, if you set the 229 00:11:19,400 --> 00:11:22,240 the under at 3 like can you can you do that here? 230 00:11:22,240 --> 00:11:25,240 Or are you just I'm curious? I don't know of any books that 231 00:11:25,400 --> 00:11:27,280 are doing that on the season over unders. 232 00:11:27,360 --> 00:11:31,320 Now you may have one book has it at, you know, 3 1/2 and 2 1/2. 233 00:11:31,320 --> 00:11:35,280 I don't see too many whole numbers on the season over 234 00:11:35,280 --> 00:11:36,200 unders. OK. 235 00:11:36,320 --> 00:11:39,000 Yeah, I if like if I could get it for 3 1/2, I would pound that 236 00:11:39,000 --> 00:11:41,240 all day long. But I think, yeah, 2 1/2. 237 00:11:41,240 --> 00:11:44,520 Is they know that I think 2 1/2, I think the under is actually 238 00:11:44,920 --> 00:11:47,960 it's, it's negative, yeah. So it's not. 239 00:11:48,000 --> 00:11:50,320 Only thing is, if you if you bought up to 3 1/2 at the odds 240 00:11:50,320 --> 00:11:51,880 would probably not even make any sense. 241 00:11:52,160 --> 00:11:53,600 Yeah. And and then it's like, yeah, if 242 00:11:53,600 --> 00:11:55,240 they beat Ball State, Southern Illinois and they beat 243 00:11:55,240 --> 00:11:57,600 Northwestern, you're like suddenly sweating the rest of 244 00:11:57,600 --> 00:11:59,560 the year. You're sweating that Rutgers 245 00:11:59,560 --> 00:12:01,960 game. Or I mean, worst case, it's 246 00:12:01,960 --> 00:12:04,480 like, let's say it's I don't think it's going to be, but if 247 00:12:04,480 --> 00:12:06,520 it's a tight game against Indiana, you're like, dude, this 248 00:12:06,520 --> 00:12:11,400 is the worst case scenario. I do not expect that to happen. 249 00:12:11,720 --> 00:12:13,640 I don't either, but just it wouldn't be fun. 250 00:12:13,960 --> 00:12:17,520 All right, Next up, similar in a different way here. 251 00:12:18,080 --> 00:12:22,320 Penn State, they're over under is 10 1/2 and they are right on 252 00:12:22,320 --> 00:12:24,160 that line like this. This is a question of do you 253 00:12:24,160 --> 00:12:27,600 think they can beat Ohio State or Oregon or can they go clean 254 00:12:27,600 --> 00:12:29,360 on everything else? But give us your thoughts. 255 00:12:29,720 --> 00:12:33,280 Well, I was generous to Penn State because last year, you'll 256 00:12:33,280 --> 00:12:38,240 know, I hailed them as frauds and I don't think James Franklin 257 00:12:38,240 --> 00:12:41,800 is a great coach, but somehow they get a shit ton of talent 258 00:12:41,800 --> 00:12:46,240 just to show up on campus, but not enough to beat Oregon or 259 00:12:46,240 --> 00:12:49,640 Ohio State. So I think I go to Ohio Stadium 260 00:12:49,640 --> 00:12:51,800 this year. I I don't see that happening. 261 00:12:51,800 --> 00:12:55,800 And being generous to them, I gave them the win against 262 00:12:55,800 --> 00:12:57,480 Indiana only because they're at home. 263 00:12:58,400 --> 00:13:02,720 So I I don't 10 1/2 is a salty number. 264 00:13:03,000 --> 00:13:06,080 I mean, I mean they that's pretty tough to do. 265 00:13:06,800 --> 00:13:09,440 So I would feel comfortable taking the under here. 266 00:13:10,520 --> 00:13:12,680 Penn State, I've been talking about them a lot with friends, 267 00:13:12,680 --> 00:13:15,600 'cause we said this last year, it's like it's unfair that 268 00:13:15,600 --> 00:13:19,320 Indiana's bar to cross was like, you have to win at Ohio State. 269 00:13:19,320 --> 00:13:21,440 Like GAIL and I talked about it. There's only a couple teams that 270 00:13:21,440 --> 00:13:24,920 have won at one at the Horseshoe in the Big 10 in the last 10 271 00:13:24,920 --> 00:13:26,160 years. Like it's a very small number 272 00:13:26,680 --> 00:13:29,880 this year. If Indiana loses at Oregon and 273 00:13:29,880 --> 00:13:32,640 loses at Penn State, I know there'll be some national talk 274 00:13:32,640 --> 00:13:35,360 of like, oh man, Indiana like frauds again, just saw schedule. 275 00:13:35,360 --> 00:13:38,360 It's like nobody says that about Penn State. 276 00:13:38,560 --> 00:13:40,600 But yet Penn State doesn't win top ten games either. 277 00:13:40,600 --> 00:13:43,680 Like the the fact that for Indiana to not be a fraud in 278 00:13:43,680 --> 00:13:47,280 some people's eyes, they have to win at Oregon or win at Penn 279 00:13:47,280 --> 00:13:50,400 State is absurd. Like that's a great year that 280 00:13:50,400 --> 00:13:52,920 would make Indiana 10 and two. And again, I just, I look at 281 00:13:52,920 --> 00:13:56,600 Penn State, they don't win top ten games games either, yet 282 00:13:57,000 --> 00:13:58,680 everyone just kisses their rear end. 283 00:13:58,720 --> 00:14:00,160 Everyone puts them in the top ten. 284 00:14:00,160 --> 00:14:01,400 Everyone's like, oh, they're a great team. 285 00:14:01,400 --> 00:14:04,240 Like you've never heard a lot of like all their frauds, they 286 00:14:04,240 --> 00:14:06,960 don't deserve to be there. It's like, yeah, they're, 287 00:14:06,960 --> 00:14:08,840 they're, I mean, you, you get some talk of like they just 288 00:14:08,840 --> 00:14:12,000 can't win the big game. But it it's they, they don't get 289 00:14:12,000 --> 00:14:16,320 the same kind of vitriol that Indiana does, and they won't the 290 00:14:16,400 --> 00:14:19,160 the the same vitriol Indiana will get this year if they don't 291 00:14:19,160 --> 00:14:21,240 win those two games will not be the same. 292 00:14:21,520 --> 00:14:24,560 If Penn State has that schedule, that that result that you showed 293 00:14:24,560 --> 00:14:27,440 right there, which is basically the same as Indiana, if they 294 00:14:27,440 --> 00:14:29,880 both go 10 and two and have the same results, I guarantee there 295 00:14:29,880 --> 00:14:32,560 will be more vitriol toward Indiana than Penn State. 296 00:14:33,360 --> 00:14:37,280 Yeah, without a doubt. All right, we'll go to the next 297 00:14:37,600 --> 00:14:40,040 next grouping. I need to add the image file, so 298 00:14:40,040 --> 00:14:42,800 I'm doing. I'm producing and putting stuff 299 00:14:42,800 --> 00:14:44,440 up on the same time. All right, here we go. 300 00:14:45,040 --> 00:14:47,920 Oregon, they're over. Under is 10 1/2. 301 00:14:49,840 --> 00:14:51,760 Dude, James, you got them going clean. 302 00:14:52,280 --> 00:14:54,480 I don't think they lose. I think this is it. 303 00:14:54,640 --> 00:14:57,400 I mean, look at this schedule as a gift from the gods. 304 00:14:57,760 --> 00:15:00,040 Penn State and Indiana are their two toughest games. 305 00:15:01,760 --> 00:15:05,480 And interesting side note, they have a bye week before the 306 00:15:05,480 --> 00:15:09,280 Indiana game, so they play Penn State and then they've got a bye 307 00:15:09,280 --> 00:15:12,320 before Indiana. So any, you know, residual like 308 00:15:12,360 --> 00:15:16,520 hangover or anything we think we might have gotten if they beat 309 00:15:16,520 --> 00:15:19,440 Penn State, we'll probably be nullified by that point. 310 00:15:20,320 --> 00:15:23,240 We played like 6 teams coming off a bye, it was insane. 311 00:15:23,480 --> 00:15:27,440 Yeah, so this is that doesn't bode well for the Hoosiers. 312 00:15:27,680 --> 00:15:31,440 I think Oregon is just more athletic than every team on that 313 00:15:31,440 --> 00:15:33,680 list. And so I don't think they're 314 00:15:33,680 --> 00:15:36,760 going to lose. I think they'll be the number 315 00:15:36,760 --> 00:15:39,280 one college, number one seed in the College Football Playoff. 316 00:15:41,520 --> 00:15:43,160 I'm I'm having a hard time disagreeing with you. 317 00:15:43,440 --> 00:15:44,760 I'm just I'm looking at their schedule. 318 00:15:45,400 --> 00:15:47,920 I mean, look at it. Yeah, I mean, I, I will say for 319 00:15:47,920 --> 00:15:50,800 next year, you should do an at you should give me the, the the 320 00:15:50,800 --> 00:15:53,480 road and away splits here so I know where people are different. 321 00:15:53,760 --> 00:15:57,000 So you should be like at so we can you know, hey, we're man, 322 00:15:57,040 --> 00:15:59,120 we're always getting better. Every year we get better. 323 00:15:59,560 --> 00:16:01,880 Hours I spread on this spreadsheet so. 324 00:16:02,680 --> 00:16:10,000 Well, 10 more minutes next year, maybe that USC game, maybe it I 325 00:16:10,160 --> 00:16:12,520 was like the the Iowa game, that's at Iowa, that could be 326 00:16:12,520 --> 00:16:14,440 tougher. That is at Iowa. 327 00:16:14,880 --> 00:16:17,320 I mean that that could be a rough one, but yeah, I'm with 328 00:16:17,320 --> 00:16:19,720 you, man. It, it could be all the way. 329 00:16:20,960 --> 00:16:24,800 So that's actually 10 1/2's, not a bad number then if you look at 330 00:16:24,920 --> 00:16:27,520 looking at this schedule because like they could. 331 00:16:27,520 --> 00:16:29,400 Lose. Yeah, they lost the. 332 00:16:29,720 --> 00:16:31,720 Penn State. No, I don't. 333 00:16:31,840 --> 00:16:34,560 I mean, if it was the Penn State and Indiana, I mean, that would 334 00:16:34,560 --> 00:16:37,800 be the only way I see it. So I mean, that's kind of a 335 00:16:37,800 --> 00:16:40,360 like, if you think, if you think Indiana's going to win that 336 00:16:40,360 --> 00:16:45,960 game, then maybe you bet the under on Oregon as well. 337 00:16:48,960 --> 00:16:51,480 I don't know. I would take the Indiana over as 338 00:16:51,480 --> 00:16:54,240 opposed to the Oregon under. At that point, fair enough. 339 00:16:54,760 --> 00:16:56,320 All right. Next up, you have Ohio State. 340 00:16:56,720 --> 00:16:58,840 Ohio State you also have going pretty clean. 341 00:16:58,840 --> 00:17:01,760 Outside of a first loss, you haven't beaten Grambling. 342 00:17:01,840 --> 00:17:08,720 Explain yourself please. Yeah, this Texas game, I think 343 00:17:08,720 --> 00:17:10,319 that's going to be an Arch Manning show. 344 00:17:10,319 --> 00:17:13,760 So I don't like them winning that, but I just who, who are 345 00:17:13,760 --> 00:17:17,240 they going to lose to rest? You know, Penn State, I don't 346 00:17:17,240 --> 00:17:19,000 think so. That game's at Ohio Stadium. 347 00:17:19,119 --> 00:17:21,880 I mean, Michigan, 'cause they lose to Michigan every year, but 348 00:17:21,880 --> 00:17:25,880 at some point that's got to change. 10 1/2 this over under. 349 00:17:25,880 --> 00:17:29,680 I will not take this. I would not bet this, but I do 350 00:17:29,680 --> 00:17:32,440 think that it goes over. All right. 351 00:17:32,440 --> 00:17:34,720 Next up, we have a pretty big spread here. 352 00:17:35,360 --> 00:17:38,640 Northwestern, Northwestern over under is 3 1/2. 353 00:17:38,880 --> 00:17:42,360 You have them differently. Yeah, I think they win five 354 00:17:42,360 --> 00:17:44,520 games this year. And let's take a look at who I 355 00:17:44,520 --> 00:17:47,880 think they can be. Tulane, Western Illinois, 356 00:17:48,280 --> 00:17:52,880 University of Louisiana, Monroe, UCLA and Purdue. 357 00:17:53,520 --> 00:17:57,640 Now, I'd say four of those are pretty safe bets, and they're at 358 00:17:57,640 --> 00:18:00,680 3 1/2. So go ahead and give me the 359 00:18:00,680 --> 00:18:04,640 Cats. And and by the way, we talked 360 00:18:04,640 --> 00:18:07,000 about this you, you did check all this stuff. 361 00:18:07,000 --> 00:18:09,920 So you have like if you, if you have, you know, Northwestern 362 00:18:09,920 --> 00:18:11,960 beating Purdue, you don't have Purdue beating Northwestern. 363 00:18:11,960 --> 00:18:13,960 Like this is all all evened out right? 364 00:18:14,280 --> 00:18:14,840 Correct. A moon? 365 00:18:14,840 --> 00:18:17,280 No. OK, I gotta, I forgot. 366 00:18:17,280 --> 00:18:19,960 I have, I have team sounds from last year. 367 00:18:19,960 --> 00:18:22,840 I don't think I have, I don't think I have that one locked in 368 00:18:22,840 --> 00:18:24,720 there. I think we did a lot of ours 369 00:18:24,720 --> 00:18:27,040 already, but I will. I'm gonna get better at this. 370 00:18:27,160 --> 00:18:29,440 Have them locked in. All right, Next up we have 371 00:18:29,480 --> 00:18:33,040 Nebraska over under 7 1/2. Surprising because they're such 372 00:18:33,040 --> 00:18:35,040 a media darling. They normally are like A7, you 373 00:18:35,040 --> 00:18:39,320 know, nine win team, but 7 1/2. But you're you're a huge fan, 374 00:18:39,320 --> 00:18:40,960 Nebraska fan. You have them going 8 and 4. 375 00:18:42,000 --> 00:18:45,160 Yeah, I wanted her to go under. I really did. 376 00:18:45,400 --> 00:18:46,800 But then I looked at the schedule. 377 00:18:48,280 --> 00:18:51,960 I mean, they just don't have a tough schedule and they get 378 00:18:51,960 --> 00:18:56,160 Michigan at home and Michigan with this rookie QB, we haven't 379 00:18:56,160 --> 00:18:58,840 got to them yet. But I'm not completely sold on 380 00:18:58,840 --> 00:19:01,960 that idea yet. They just pretty much got a soft 381 00:19:01,960 --> 00:19:04,560 schedule. So yeah, eight wins seems very 382 00:19:04,560 --> 00:19:08,920 plausible. All right, Next up, I need to 383 00:19:09,560 --> 00:19:12,320 again do a little producing on the fly, but we're going to add 384 00:19:12,320 --> 00:19:14,400 our next image. Hopefully people are watching 385 00:19:14,400 --> 00:19:17,880 this online or on YouTube or on Spotify because we're putting 386 00:19:17,880 --> 00:19:20,640 some work in here, man. All right, Next up, we have, oh, 387 00:19:20,640 --> 00:19:21,960 I did Nebraska twice. My bad. 388 00:19:21,960 --> 00:19:26,000 We have Minnesota, Minnesota's over under is 7 1/2 and you have 389 00:19:26,000 --> 00:19:28,040 a discrepancy here, Discrepancy alert. 390 00:19:28,600 --> 00:19:29,960 I haven't been nine and three. That's. 391 00:19:30,720 --> 00:19:34,400 Wild row that boat, baby. Well, let's look at this, all 392 00:19:34,400 --> 00:19:38,960 right, Buffalo, Northwestern State, Cal and Rutgers to start 393 00:19:38,960 --> 00:19:40,440 the year. So that's a nice four and O 394 00:19:40,440 --> 00:19:43,160 cushion. They lose to Ohio State, they 395 00:19:43,160 --> 00:19:47,760 beat Purdue, I think they beat Nebraska, lose to Iowa, beat 396 00:19:47,760 --> 00:19:50,680 Michigan State, lose to Oregon, beat Northwestern, beat 397 00:19:50,680 --> 00:19:54,040 Wisconsin. So I mean, I think that's all 398 00:19:54,040 --> 00:19:58,520 plausible. Now, are all those wins going to 399 00:19:58,520 --> 00:20:01,160 happen? Probably not, but I think at 400 00:20:01,160 --> 00:20:02,400 least eight of them probably would. 401 00:20:02,400 --> 00:20:04,680 Then, you know, where do they, you know, maybe they trip up 402 00:20:04,680 --> 00:20:07,720 against Nebraska or Wisconsin or something. 403 00:20:07,720 --> 00:20:10,640 But I I think they're probably over. 404 00:20:11,840 --> 00:20:13,480 I think PJ Flex a good coach too. 405 00:20:14,080 --> 00:20:17,000 Yeah, I, I, I would kind of agree with that. 406 00:20:17,720 --> 00:20:21,880 All right, Next up you have Michigan State, a 5 1/2 line. 407 00:20:21,880 --> 00:20:24,840 This is 1. I talk about my buddy Robert on 408 00:20:24,840 --> 00:20:26,840 my street all the time. He's a Michigan State fan. 409 00:20:27,200 --> 00:20:29,560 We started talking football as we always do this time of year. 410 00:20:30,160 --> 00:20:32,960 And, you know, I, I actually think they're going to be 411 00:20:32,960 --> 00:20:34,280 better. I think their quarterback is 412 00:20:34,280 --> 00:20:35,880 pretty good. He's salty good. 413 00:20:36,720 --> 00:20:39,240 But Robert started like laying out there, like, give me your 414 00:20:39,240 --> 00:20:40,920 schedule, man. Like just let's talk it through. 415 00:20:41,600 --> 00:20:44,240 Just laying it out. I'm like, my God, their schedule 416 00:20:44,240 --> 00:20:46,480 is brutal. Like they might have pulled the 417 00:20:46,480 --> 00:20:49,600 worst hand in the Big 10 scheduling card. 418 00:20:50,160 --> 00:20:53,800 I think Michigan State could be better and could still go four 419 00:20:53,800 --> 00:20:56,560 and eight or three and nine just based on schedule alone. 420 00:20:57,920 --> 00:21:01,800 And at 5 1/2, I, I'm with you. I really like the under, but 421 00:21:01,800 --> 00:21:04,880 talk us through this. They have a brutal stretch. 422 00:21:05,160 --> 00:21:07,160 Brutal. And that assumes they can beat 423 00:21:07,160 --> 00:21:11,160 Boston College, right, right. Which, you know, I mean, which I 424 00:21:11,160 --> 00:21:13,760 I gave him, you know, the benefit of the doubt on that 425 00:21:13,760 --> 00:21:15,920 one. But I mean, you get, you know, 426 00:21:15,960 --> 00:21:20,040 USC, Nebraska, UCLA, Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Penn State, 427 00:21:20,040 --> 00:21:22,280 Iowa, I got to lose all those games in a row. 428 00:21:23,240 --> 00:21:24,720 I'm not a soul on the quarterback. 429 00:21:24,720 --> 00:21:28,080 I think he's got some great arm talent and he can he's pretty 430 00:21:28,080 --> 00:21:31,800 mobile, but I don't think he makes the best decisions on 431 00:21:31,800 --> 00:21:34,360 earth. And that team was just so bad 432 00:21:34,360 --> 00:21:36,800 last year. It's it's hard to envision them 433 00:21:36,800 --> 00:21:40,280 being much better against this kind of competition. 434 00:21:40,600 --> 00:21:44,840 So at 5 1/2, I really like this under I, I don't where are six 435 00:21:44,840 --> 00:21:46,160 wins here? Yeah. 436 00:21:46,560 --> 00:21:48,320 Where are those little people coming from, you know? 437 00:21:48,640 --> 00:21:50,280 I'm with you. You have them at 4:00 and 8:00. 438 00:21:50,800 --> 00:21:54,160 If you say like, let's say they beat Minnesota or they beat 439 00:21:54,160 --> 00:21:57,640 UCLA, which I think they could beat UCLA, it's like, OK, 440 00:21:57,640 --> 00:22:00,320 they're 5:00 and 7:00, give me the next win. 441 00:22:00,680 --> 00:22:02,120 Like where? Where is it coming from? 442 00:22:02,120 --> 00:22:04,040 It's not going to, you know, at Indiana. 443 00:22:04,040 --> 00:22:05,320 It's not going to be at Penn State. 444 00:22:05,400 --> 00:22:07,520 It's like Iowa. I think both of those are on the 445 00:22:07,520 --> 00:22:09,080 road. I guess it's just it's Penn 446 00:22:09,080 --> 00:22:11,280 State's they're playing home, but Iowa's at Iowa. 447 00:22:11,280 --> 00:22:12,400 Yeah. It's just a rough schedule. 448 00:22:12,400 --> 00:22:15,360 All right, Next up we have Michigan. 449 00:22:15,360 --> 00:22:18,760 Their over under is 8 1/2 and you have them at 8 and a fourth 450 00:22:19,360 --> 00:22:22,800 of an 8 and 4. Yeah, and I went back and forth 451 00:22:22,800 --> 00:22:24,640 on this one. I think I had them at 9:00 and 452 00:22:24,640 --> 00:22:27,520 3:00 at one point. But then I thought no, because I 453 00:22:27,920 --> 00:22:29,720 don't think they're going to win this Oklahoma game. 454 00:22:30,680 --> 00:22:33,600 That was where I kind of hinged on the over under for their 455 00:22:33,600 --> 00:22:37,960 season total. I think the rookie QB, the 456 00:22:37,960 --> 00:22:42,840 freshman QB is not going is not what you want playing Oklahoma. 457 00:22:42,920 --> 00:22:46,120 So I, I, I'm thinking they probably lose that game, if 458 00:22:46,720 --> 00:22:52,360 shockingly, a very soft Big 10 schedule where they've somehow 459 00:22:52,360 --> 00:22:57,480 managed to avoid Oregon, Penn State and Indiana. 460 00:22:58,480 --> 00:23:03,240 They do get Ohio State, which and that's at, you know, the Big 461 00:23:03,240 --> 00:23:05,440 House. You have Ryan Day finally 462 00:23:05,440 --> 00:23:07,200 winning that game. I do, yeah. 463 00:23:07,200 --> 00:23:12,000 I think this is the well, I mean, I'm very concerned about a 464 00:23:12,000 --> 00:23:14,160 freshman quarterback winning nine game. 465 00:23:14,160 --> 00:23:18,320 I just, I don't know who is this kid, you know, I mean, he's no 466 00:23:18,320 --> 00:23:24,960 Arch Manning, so. All right, Next up, let's go to 467 00:23:26,040 --> 00:23:30,120 our last image file. Some Michigan fans like his 468 00:23:30,120 --> 00:23:33,280 name's fucking this and that. And how do you not know? 469 00:23:33,880 --> 00:23:36,480 That's that's M go blog live on M go blog right now. 470 00:23:37,920 --> 00:23:40,920 All right, we have Maryland. I have a Maryland song here. 471 00:23:41,000 --> 00:23:43,200 I I I actually remember some of these. 472 00:23:43,200 --> 00:23:45,000 I have no idea what we did for Maryland. 473 00:23:45,000 --> 00:23:46,640 So. You have a Maryland song. 474 00:23:47,920 --> 00:23:52,480 That's what Maryland does. There we go. 475 00:23:53,000 --> 00:23:54,280 There we go. OK, great. 476 00:23:55,840 --> 00:24:02,080 I think they they have a tough go of it this year, 4 and a 477 00:24:02,080 --> 00:24:05,840 halfs, they're over under. I I mean, they could get to 5. 478 00:24:06,000 --> 00:24:09,120 I don't like it, but I'm not going to bet it. 479 00:24:10,640 --> 00:24:12,280 This is a middling football team. 480 00:24:12,280 --> 00:24:14,520 They're they're kind of the same boat as Michigan State. 481 00:24:14,800 --> 00:24:16,840 They're not good enough to beat the schedule they've been 482 00:24:16,840 --> 00:24:22,320 presented with, which as former Big 10 E people, we understand 483 00:24:22,320 --> 00:24:24,320 that so. I wouldn't touch this. 484 00:24:24,320 --> 00:24:25,760 I just, I don't know enough about Maryland. 485 00:24:25,760 --> 00:24:27,320 I don't care enough. I don't want money on them. 486 00:24:28,120 --> 00:24:30,760 Next up, you have Iowa. They're over under a 7 1/2. 487 00:24:30,880 --> 00:24:35,520 You have an 8:00 and 4:00. Yeah, I'm not huge on it. 488 00:24:36,480 --> 00:24:38,560 I wouldn't, you know, rush to bet this. 489 00:24:39,600 --> 00:24:44,200 This assumes a lot of things and it assumes mostly that they have 490 00:24:44,200 --> 00:24:48,320 a quarterback who's aware of the forward pass and an offensive 491 00:24:48,320 --> 00:24:52,040 coordinator who's also aware of the forward pass, which is a 492 00:24:52,040 --> 00:24:54,800 lot. But but the defense is always 493 00:24:54,800 --> 00:24:59,640 going to be solid and they've got a fairly tough schedule. 494 00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:02,760 So who knows how they're going to feel after losing 495 00:25:02,760 --> 00:25:04,720 back-to-back to Rutgers in Indiana. 496 00:25:05,120 --> 00:25:08,000 You know, I mean, because I haven't losing to Rutgers. 497 00:25:08,280 --> 00:25:11,040 So, you know, that's so they could be a nine and three team. 498 00:25:11,040 --> 00:25:13,960 You know, I kind of threw that in there, but they could all 499 00:25:14,360 --> 00:25:17,120 very easily use the lose the USC, which I haven't winning, 500 00:25:17,600 --> 00:25:19,840 but that's a home game in November, which I kind of talked 501 00:25:19,840 --> 00:25:22,240 about earlier. So this is one of those ones. 502 00:25:22,240 --> 00:25:24,600 I mean, I'm going to run to it, but I think they'll be better. 7 503 00:25:24,600 --> 00:25:29,360 1/2 wins. Yeah, I, I think so, although I 504 00:25:29,360 --> 00:25:34,680 mean, you have a very reasonable like win loss schedule there and 505 00:25:34,680 --> 00:25:37,240 that's I, I hate being one game away from that. 506 00:25:38,840 --> 00:25:41,400 It's it's tough and, and I was one of those teams where they're 507 00:25:41,400 --> 00:25:44,080 tough to play at home, but they, they can also just become a dog 508 00:25:44,120 --> 00:25:45,760 and just have zero offense going. 509 00:25:45,800 --> 00:25:47,600 I I would stay away from this as well. 510 00:25:48,760 --> 00:25:50,960 One of the ones I've already bet and I'll be betting and I'll 511 00:25:50,960 --> 00:25:56,760 continue to bet more Indiana. They come in at an 8 1/2 line. 512 00:25:58,080 --> 00:26:00,120 You have them at 10:00 and 2:00. I've not done my season 513 00:26:00,120 --> 00:26:04,400 prediction yet, but there's my text notification going off 514 00:26:04,400 --> 00:26:07,640 right in the background. But talk to us about this ten 515 00:26:07,640 --> 00:26:09,040 and two. Big over? 516 00:26:11,240 --> 00:26:13,720 Yeah, that Illinois game's a big one. 517 00:26:14,000 --> 00:26:18,960 Obviously, I think Illinois, they're up next, but I'll go 518 00:26:18,960 --> 00:26:22,040 ahead and talk about them now. I don't get it. 519 00:26:23,000 --> 00:26:26,960 I have them going over but I don't get why they're so hyped 520 00:26:26,960 --> 00:26:29,440 up. It's top Hanks and big. 521 00:26:29,720 --> 00:26:31,760 I don't get it. I don't get it. 522 00:26:32,080 --> 00:26:34,520 I don't care in a robot. That turns into a building. 523 00:26:34,520 --> 00:26:38,280 I don't get it. The quarterback, I mean, when 524 00:26:38,280 --> 00:26:41,120 did he become good? When, I mean, did Heather Dennis 525 00:26:41,120 --> 00:26:43,520 write an article about how good he was and then he became good? 526 00:26:44,920 --> 00:26:49,240 You know, I don't, I don't know this team, that team barely beat 527 00:26:49,240 --> 00:26:51,440 Purdue last year, for God's sakes. 528 00:26:52,280 --> 00:26:56,040 So yeah, I don't get it. OK. 529 00:26:56,240 --> 00:26:59,640 I think we went out Iowa, that's the big one. 530 00:26:59,800 --> 00:27:02,680 I'm also very concerned about. So this thing is already, you 531 00:27:02,680 --> 00:27:05,920 know, there's a couple of I think I'm comfortable beating 532 00:27:05,920 --> 00:27:08,160 Illinois. I at Iowa, I'm a little more 533 00:27:08,160 --> 00:27:13,360 concerned about I don't see any way we win at Oregon, but the 534 00:27:13,360 --> 00:27:15,280 rest of the Big 10 schedule I think is very winnable. 535 00:27:15,960 --> 00:27:24,720 And at Penn State, I don't see a scenario where we go in and pull 536 00:27:24,720 --> 00:27:26,080 off the upset. I just don't. 537 00:27:27,200 --> 00:27:30,520 But that's the, you know, lifelong Hoosier fan in me 538 00:27:30,520 --> 00:27:32,960 talking. So that could be why. 539 00:27:34,440 --> 00:27:37,240 And Signetti would slap that out of me if he saw me. 540 00:27:38,320 --> 00:27:40,520 So. So that's where I'm at on the 541 00:27:40,520 --> 00:27:45,320 Hoosiers, I think Odds of beating Penn State 30%. 542 00:27:45,320 --> 00:27:48,120 Odds of winning at Oregon, 10 to 15. 543 00:27:49,560 --> 00:27:53,960 Odds of beating Iowa 60 to 70. I'm in the same boat. 544 00:27:53,960 --> 00:27:56,240 I think we have a better chance at Penn State than we do at 545 00:27:56,240 --> 00:27:57,240 Oregon. I don't know why. 546 00:27:57,240 --> 00:27:59,760 I just, I think Oregon's a different type of athlete that 547 00:27:59,760 --> 00:28:03,360 we're not ready for. Oregon will be the best team we 548 00:28:03,360 --> 00:28:05,040 play all year. I and I don't even think it's 549 00:28:05,040 --> 00:28:08,360 going to be close. And it it does, it comes down to 550 00:28:08,360 --> 00:28:10,800 that Iowa game here. But even if you lose that Iowa 551 00:28:10,800 --> 00:28:13,720 game, you're still at 9:00 and 3:00 and then. 552 00:28:13,720 --> 00:28:15,840 It's like even 8 and 4 would be a great season. 553 00:28:16,240 --> 00:28:18,320 Yeah, I'm not going to be upset if we end up 8:00 and 4:00. 554 00:28:18,480 --> 00:28:20,680 Well I would be if I met the over like. 555 00:28:20,800 --> 00:28:23,160 From a betting. Perspective, I'm looking at it 556 00:28:23,480 --> 00:28:27,200 from a betting perspective, is that you have a game of slop to 557 00:28:27,200 --> 00:28:29,200 play around with there if you lose at Iowa. 558 00:28:29,480 --> 00:28:32,520 And there's also a world where if you lose those, like maybe 559 00:28:32,520 --> 00:28:36,360 you do beat Iowa, but you lose to Illinois or you lose to 560 00:28:36,440 --> 00:28:39,280 Wisconsin at home, but you're, you're able to pull off like I, 561 00:28:39,280 --> 00:28:42,560 I think there's a world where you might go 10 and two, nine 562 00:28:42,560 --> 00:28:45,680 and three, but it doesn't look the way we think it does because 563 00:28:45,680 --> 00:28:48,280 you drop 1 here, but then you pick one up somewhere else. 564 00:28:48,280 --> 00:28:52,400 So I, I like meant A2 game variance is pretty good at this 565 00:28:52,400 --> 00:28:54,800 point in the season. And so I like the over on 566 00:28:54,800 --> 00:29:00,080 Indiana a lot. Yeah, I don't have anything on 567 00:29:00,080 --> 00:29:04,960 it yet, but I will. I do have I did put a few bucks 568 00:29:04,960 --> 00:29:09,320 on Fernando Mendoza to win the Heisman at +5000 odds. 569 00:29:09,840 --> 00:29:13,200 I also have a bet on IU to make the College Football Playoff. 570 00:29:13,960 --> 00:29:16,600 So I remember when I put money on Penix to win the Heisman, I 571 00:29:16,600 --> 00:29:18,160 never thought I was crazy. And then we had that great 572 00:29:18,160 --> 00:29:21,760 season And then like the next year at Washington, I think I 573 00:29:21,760 --> 00:29:23,880 put money on it too. And it's like it, it's not bad. 574 00:29:23,880 --> 00:29:27,760 So Mendoza, I mean, I'll, I'll say this, if Indiana goes 10 and 575 00:29:27,760 --> 00:29:31,840 two and he has some great numbers, there's a, there's a 576 00:29:31,840 --> 00:29:36,680 Heisman candidacy there. No, they they need to go at 577 00:29:36,680 --> 00:29:39,360 least 11:00 and 1:00 because he'd have to win. 578 00:29:39,360 --> 00:29:42,720 He'd have to win. He'd have to win in Eugene or 579 00:29:42,720 --> 00:29:47,400 he'd have to win in Penn State. Like probably right to to be in 580 00:29:47,400 --> 00:29:49,480 that conversation. You got to win the big a big 581 00:29:49,480 --> 00:29:51,880 game on the road and kind of be the reason for it. 582 00:29:52,200 --> 00:29:56,160 Unless, unless we lose both those games like 56 to 52 or 583 00:29:56,160 --> 00:29:59,600 something where he just puts up a like it becomes a Josh Allen 584 00:29:59,600 --> 00:30:01,120 type thing where it's like, dude, man, he did everything he. 585 00:30:01,120 --> 00:30:04,400 Could, yeah, but that wouldn't be possible. 586 00:30:04,600 --> 00:30:06,520 So I mean, I don't know. There's an outside shot. 587 00:30:06,760 --> 00:30:10,240 That's why it's plus 5000, yeah. All right, well, man, this was 588 00:30:10,240 --> 00:30:12,240 fun. I have all right so you you 589 00:30:12,240 --> 00:30:14,200 don't like Illinois, but they're still one of your bigger 590 00:30:14,200 --> 00:30:15,840 variants teams. You still have them as an. 591 00:30:15,840 --> 00:30:17,520 Over. I do have them with the over, 592 00:30:17,520 --> 00:30:20,360 yeah, I think their defense was pretty good. 593 00:30:21,200 --> 00:30:24,360 And so that's kind of and I think their run game is decent. 594 00:30:24,440 --> 00:30:26,800 I'm still not sold on their quarterback, but the schedule is 595 00:30:26,800 --> 00:30:28,600 pretty easy for them. I want to pull that back in. 596 00:30:29,600 --> 00:30:31,520 They at it. Here's some games where I, I 597 00:30:31,520 --> 00:30:34,040 think the USC game that I have them winning, I think they could 598 00:30:34,040 --> 00:30:39,960 lose that. Maybe Washington would be the 599 00:30:39,960 --> 00:30:41,720 other one. I'd be concerned about that man. 600 00:30:43,120 --> 00:30:45,240 Yeah, I I think they're going to, they're going to get that 601 00:30:45,240 --> 00:30:46,720 over. I like that as a call. 602 00:30:47,040 --> 00:30:49,840 So all right, here are the ones that I have written down. 603 00:30:53,320 --> 00:30:56,760 All right, my list is complete. All right. 604 00:30:57,120 --> 00:31:02,160 The ones I'm going to bet are USC over, UCLA under, Oregon 605 00:31:02,160 --> 00:31:06,880 over, Northwestern over, Minnesota over, Michigan State 606 00:31:06,880 --> 00:31:11,320 under, sorry Robert, Indiana over, and Illinois over. 607 00:31:12,400 --> 00:31:16,040 I like those. I I think, you know, yeah, you 608 00:31:16,240 --> 00:31:19,320 know, I might do one where I parlay them all, which is kind 609 00:31:19,320 --> 00:31:27,640 of cheap. I might parlay the Indiana over, 610 00:31:28,040 --> 00:31:30,400 the Michigan State under, and the Oregon over. 611 00:31:30,400 --> 00:31:32,640 I think those are the ones I feel and maybe the Illinois over 612 00:31:32,800 --> 00:31:35,040 like. The the Oregon over I feel 613 00:31:35,040 --> 00:31:37,680 pretty comfortable with. Yeah, I'm going to be honest. 614 00:31:38,320 --> 00:31:41,200 Yeah. All right man, so. 615 00:31:41,200 --> 00:31:43,600 They want to bet the IU over. I'm just going to be honest. 616 00:31:44,080 --> 00:31:46,840 You're not no 'cause I'm gonna be pissy enough if they go 8:00 617 00:31:46,840 --> 00:31:50,720 and 4:00 that I don't want to add any fuel to the fire and be 618 00:31:50,720 --> 00:31:53,720 calling for Cignetti's head or something irrational by the end 619 00:31:53,880 --> 00:31:54,720 of the day. Or watch your mouth. 620 00:31:54,760 --> 00:31:57,760 How dare you? You could also just try and like 621 00:31:57,760 --> 00:31:59,800 bet the games on, you know, one-on-one basis. 622 00:31:59,800 --> 00:32:02,320 Like I, I bet Indiana's still going to probably be, it won't 623 00:32:02,320 --> 00:32:05,000 be the same run we had last year, but they're probably still 624 00:32:05,000 --> 00:32:06,960 going to be like an underdog going into Iowa. 625 00:32:07,120 --> 00:32:08,840 Like I, I think there's still going to be some really good 626 00:32:08,840 --> 00:32:10,560 value on the Hoosiers this year again. 627 00:32:11,040 --> 00:32:14,080 I think so too, yeah. And the 8 1/2 line shows it. 628 00:32:14,680 --> 00:32:19,720 And I think we may get some some nice like team totals, things 629 00:32:19,720 --> 00:32:23,200 like that to start the year. So the kind of kind of things 630 00:32:23,200 --> 00:32:25,240 that last year kind of worked for us, we'll kind of see if 631 00:32:25,240 --> 00:32:26,480 they're available again this year. 632 00:32:27,280 --> 00:32:30,360 Speaking of things that worked last year, we are bringing back, 633 00:32:30,360 --> 00:32:33,840 yeah. It's pretty simple. 634 00:32:33,920 --> 00:32:35,240 I win. Google me. 635 00:32:35,760 --> 00:32:38,360 The who's your hot streak? We're bringing that back, so 636 00:32:39,440 --> 00:32:42,960 we're going to start that Week 1 of Indiana's first game. 637 00:32:43,240 --> 00:32:46,280 Basically the way it works is Indiana's on a hot streak last 638 00:32:46,280 --> 00:32:51,360 year, so in so James had to bet Indiana to win money line, 639 00:32:51,440 --> 00:32:52,560 right? No. 640 00:32:52,560 --> 00:32:58,040 Is it just a bet on the bet on? The bet on the Hoosiers and then 641 00:32:58,240 --> 00:33:03,040 if you won that bet the next week you had to tack on another 642 00:33:03,040 --> 00:33:06,520 Big 10 bet in the parlay. So like week 1 is just IU, Week 643 00:33:06,520 --> 00:33:09,600 2 is a two team parlay, Week 3 is a three team parlay, Week 4 644 00:33:09,600 --> 00:33:13,040 we just see how far we can take it and then we reset again. 645 00:33:13,280 --> 00:33:15,320 But you have to win the Indiana bet first. 646 00:33:15,880 --> 00:33:18,200 I think we got, what, four or five weeks in a row at one 647 00:33:18,200 --> 00:33:19,680 point? We got like four or five weeks. 648 00:33:19,680 --> 00:33:20,960 Yeah. We you're, you're pretty hot 649 00:33:20,960 --> 00:33:23,920 last year. Yeah, so just like signeti you 650 00:33:23,920 --> 00:33:27,040 know fast things over unless every bet has a life of its own 651 00:33:27,040 --> 00:33:34,440 6 seconds of bet you know never hedge, sometimes hedge and then. 652 00:33:34,560 --> 00:33:37,520 We're also adding something else this year because you have a son 653 00:33:37,520 --> 00:33:40,440 in college. Yeah, my son is heading down to 654 00:33:40,480 --> 00:33:42,800 Purdue. He's going to be a freshman and 655 00:33:42,800 --> 00:33:45,360 he's leaving this weekend. And so each week I was going to 656 00:33:45,360 --> 00:33:48,760 send him some pizza money, but I thought instead of doing that, 657 00:33:48,760 --> 00:33:51,520 well, why don't we gamble it? And he can either get no pizza 658 00:33:51,520 --> 00:33:54,520 money or extra pizza money and we can all have a little fun 659 00:33:54,520 --> 00:33:57,240 with it. So each week my plan is to go on 660 00:33:57,240 --> 00:33:59,720 X and put out a couple games that we're going to use. 661 00:33:59,960 --> 00:34:04,200 And that's where you get you. The people get to choose what 662 00:34:04,200 --> 00:34:06,880 game we're going to put the pizza money on. 663 00:34:07,160 --> 00:34:09,400 So that's that's Keegan's pizza money. 664 00:34:10,040 --> 00:34:10,960 He gets pizza money. Yep. 665 00:34:11,080 --> 00:34:13,159 He gets pizza bet but he can't get so you'll. 666 00:34:13,159 --> 00:34:15,800 Find those of you interested. It will end up being mad 667 00:34:15,800 --> 00:34:18,120 mushroom cheese sticks I'm pretty sure so. 668 00:34:18,639 --> 00:34:23,560 Are you, are you going to? Is it Big 10 only or is this any 669 00:34:23,560 --> 00:34:26,400 game you'll you'll bet on? We should keep we'll we, we'll 670 00:34:26,400 --> 00:34:28,239 expand it. We'll try and just do big 10 671 00:34:28,239 --> 00:34:29,320 games. But if there's something else 672 00:34:29,320 --> 00:34:31,639 that looks tasty out there, I'm like tossed it in there's. 18 673 00:34:31,639 --> 00:34:33,239 teams out there, but it's just one bet. 674 00:34:33,239 --> 00:34:35,280 We're not doing paralyze like it's just one bet for him to get 675 00:34:35,280 --> 00:34:36,840 his. Piece it'll be like one bet 676 00:34:36,840 --> 00:34:37,840 yeah. So you'll. 677 00:34:37,960 --> 00:34:40,159 Yeah. OK, I I like that. 678 00:34:40,159 --> 00:34:40,719 I like. That a lot. 679 00:34:40,719 --> 00:34:43,120 Since he's doing Purdue, we might put the Boilers on there a 680 00:34:43,120 --> 00:34:45,520 time or two so. OK, OK. 681 00:34:45,520 --> 00:34:48,400 Well I mean force force him to root for a boiler loss. 682 00:34:48,400 --> 00:34:50,880 I love him to get his. Pizza, he's got a root for 683 00:34:50,880 --> 00:34:53,159 Purdue losses or pizza. I love it. 684 00:34:53,639 --> 00:34:57,520 I love it a lot. Well, James, it's we got like 2 685 00:34:57,520 --> 00:35:00,280 weeks until like 3 weeks until the first Big 10 games. 686 00:35:00,280 --> 00:35:02,560 This has been fun. Look forward to it and we're 687 00:35:02,560 --> 00:35:04,480 going to be again recording on Thursdays. 688 00:35:05,240 --> 00:35:10,760 Follow up with James on X. He is at Crimson Pass 260. 689 00:35:10,760 --> 00:35:14,400 I'm on there, Crimson cast 317. I will do a better job of 690 00:35:14,400 --> 00:35:18,120 looking at that this year and we'll look forward to a fun year 691 00:35:18,120 --> 00:35:21,520 and make some money and see the Hoosiers go 10 and two, maybe 692 00:35:21,520 --> 00:35:23,800 11:00 and 1:00. That'd be great. 693 00:35:23,840 --> 00:35:25,960 Maybe 12 and oh, who knows. We'll do a live show at the Big 694 00:35:25,960 --> 00:35:28,960 10 Championship Game. There's nothing stopping this 695 00:35:28,960 --> 00:35:32,640 team from going 12 and oh. Except for Penn State and. 696 00:35:32,640 --> 00:35:36,240 Oregon and Oregon for the the teams that are trying to beat. 697 00:35:36,480 --> 00:35:37,280 Them. Yeah, exactly. 698 00:35:37,720 --> 00:35:39,080 All right, James. Well, I appreciate it. 699 00:35:39,080 --> 00:35:41,280 It's been fun and looking forward to another fun year. 700 00:35:41,720 --> 00:35:45,120 Thank you all for listening and for for James. 701 00:35:45,200 --> 00:35:48,600 This is Scott for Crimson Cash signing off.