1 00:00:06,600 --> 00:00:09,800 You're listening to the Back Home Network presented by Home 2 00:00:09,800 --> 00:00:19,200 Field Apparel. Welcome back to Crimson Cast, 3 00:00:19,200 --> 00:00:22,360 GAIL and Clavio joining you. It is Friday, November 15th. 4 00:00:22,360 --> 00:00:25,760 It is a a much needed bye week for Indiana football. 5 00:00:26,520 --> 00:00:30,520 This rocket ship that we've been on with this IU football team 6 00:00:31,240 --> 00:00:33,800 with no plans on stopping anytime soon. 7 00:00:33,800 --> 00:00:37,720 But hey, even rocket ships need to rest for a week and regather 8 00:00:37,720 --> 00:00:39,960 themselves. So we decided to do something a 9 00:00:39,960 --> 00:00:43,840 little bit different since there's no preview of an Indiana 10 00:00:43,840 --> 00:00:46,200 game this weekend. But we're going to have our long 11 00:00:46,200 --> 00:00:51,280 time friend and occasional producer Matt Blaska joining us 12 00:00:51,280 --> 00:00:55,240 on the show to talk through what games are going on this weekend 13 00:00:55,240 --> 00:00:58,560 in college football, what IU fans should be rooting for and 14 00:00:58,560 --> 00:01:02,120 against, and how all of that affects the playoff picture as 15 00:01:02,120 --> 00:01:03,760 we move forward. Matt, good to have you on the 16 00:01:03,760 --> 00:01:04,760 show again. How you doing? 17 00:01:06,200 --> 00:01:10,480 I am doing great. Galen on my way to South Bend to 18 00:01:10,480 --> 00:01:12,000 check out one of the playoffs contenders. 19 00:01:12,520 --> 00:01:14,320 I like that you're doing advanced scouting. 20 00:01:14,320 --> 00:01:16,560 You're you're like the, you know, the Citrus Bowl committee 21 00:01:16,560 --> 00:01:18,920 that was here for IU last week. This is great. 22 00:01:18,920 --> 00:01:20,320 Yeah. We need more people like you 23 00:01:20,320 --> 00:01:23,480 doing this. Yeah, they really need my input 24 00:01:23,480 --> 00:01:27,440 on the Notre Dame schedule and and all that stuff, I guess, 25 00:01:27,600 --> 00:01:31,360 right? So we're just gonna, you and I 26 00:01:31,360 --> 00:01:34,440 were talking about this earlier in the week and, you know, we've 27 00:01:34,440 --> 00:01:37,680 been gaming out a lot of different scenarios and we've 28 00:01:37,680 --> 00:01:40,840 been hearing a ton of garbage on social media about, you know, 29 00:01:40,840 --> 00:01:43,680 Indiana's schedule being too weak and, and other teams. 30 00:01:43,680 --> 00:01:45,360 Oh, they're playing real teams. Whatever. 31 00:01:45,880 --> 00:01:48,280 We're, we'll dive into that a little bit more next week, But 32 00:01:48,440 --> 00:01:51,280 there's a lot of really fascinating games that are out 33 00:01:51,280 --> 00:01:56,280 there this weekend in college football that would have a, a, a 34 00:01:56,280 --> 00:02:01,560 very key element of, of, of impact on what Indiana's chances 35 00:02:01,560 --> 00:02:04,360 are not just to be in the playoff, but to host a game, 36 00:02:04,360 --> 00:02:07,640 which is really, I think what most IU fans are hoping for. 37 00:02:07,920 --> 00:02:10,720 So let's just kind of dive in and, and, you know, we'll take 38 00:02:10,720 --> 00:02:12,480 some of the easy fruit off the table. 39 00:02:12,480 --> 00:02:16,480 Like when you look at the roster of games this upcoming weekend, 40 00:02:16,480 --> 00:02:21,320 what what result do you think would be the most positive for 41 00:02:21,320 --> 00:02:24,200 Indiana of all of the plausible scenarios that are out there? 42 00:02:25,680 --> 00:02:28,280 So, yeah, I think there's a there's there's a bunch. 43 00:02:28,280 --> 00:02:34,960 And as you mentioned, the the striker schedule being an issue 44 00:02:35,560 --> 00:02:38,600 quote UN quote an issue, right. So if you're just looking at the 45 00:02:38,960 --> 00:02:43,520 Big 10 just to start here, you really want to see Michigan 46 00:02:43,520 --> 00:02:48,160 State, Nebraska and Maryland prevail because those are seeing 47 00:02:48,160 --> 00:02:54,080 that IUB and at the other contenders maybe not have played 48 00:02:54,080 --> 00:02:56,120 yet. So in terms of helping that's 49 00:02:56,640 --> 00:02:57,960 that's probably your starting point. 50 00:02:58,840 --> 00:03:03,200 But in terms of the bigger picture, and we're looking at 51 00:03:03,520 --> 00:03:07,720 like the game I'm going to, for example, you probably want Notre 52 00:03:07,720 --> 00:03:11,120 Dame to lose this weekend. Yeah, and that's probably a good 53 00:03:11,120 --> 00:03:13,960 one. But you also probably the bigger 54 00:03:13,960 --> 00:03:17,280 1 is probably the SEC is Georgia, Tennessee. 55 00:03:17,280 --> 00:03:20,560 You probably want Georgia to lose because that gives them 56 00:03:20,560 --> 00:03:22,560 three losses and that probably knocks them out. 57 00:03:24,240 --> 00:03:26,720 Yeah, I think that's the, that's probably the first thought you 58 00:03:26,720 --> 00:03:28,800 want to look at. Yeah, I mean, there's a couple 59 00:03:28,840 --> 00:03:32,640 in the SECI mean and, and I think that one is, is a big one. 60 00:03:32,640 --> 00:03:36,240 I I will say one thing real quick on the Big 10 side, you 61 00:03:36,240 --> 00:03:39,760 know, one of the interesting things is, you know, Indiana's 62 00:03:39,760 --> 00:03:42,960 beaten Washington, they've also beaten UCLA. 63 00:03:43,280 --> 00:03:46,680 Both of those teams are right around the same level in FPI 64 00:03:46,680 --> 00:03:51,720 right now. Washington's 48th and UCLA is 65 00:03:51,720 --> 00:03:54,440 57th. And it's interesting because, 66 00:03:54,480 --> 00:03:56,280 you know, Illinois has been held up as a good one. 67 00:03:56,280 --> 00:03:59,160 Illinois is actually ranked lower than UCLA and FPI right 68 00:03:59,160 --> 00:04:02,600 now, which I, I just, if you're looking for debate points with 69 00:04:02,600 --> 00:04:04,880 your SEC friends that that's one of them. 70 00:04:04,880 --> 00:04:08,240 But but those two teams, UCLA and Washington are playing 71 00:04:08,240 --> 00:04:11,600 tonight on Fox. I, you know, I would argue that 72 00:04:11,600 --> 00:04:14,720 you probably want Washington to win that game, that because they 73 00:04:14,720 --> 00:04:18,040 have a much better chance of getting higher in the rankings, 74 00:04:18,640 --> 00:04:20,120 I think. And, and certainly that would 75 00:04:20,120 --> 00:04:22,520 get them to bowl eligibility, which would be nice. 76 00:04:22,520 --> 00:04:24,840 It would also give them a winning record, which has been a 77 00:04:24,840 --> 00:04:26,480 point that's been held against Indiana. 78 00:04:27,240 --> 00:04:31,040 You bring up a great point about Michigan State winning at 79 00:04:31,040 --> 00:04:33,720 Illinois would get them to five and five and would at least get 80 00:04:33,720 --> 00:04:37,040 them at 500. Nebraska travels on the road to 81 00:04:37,040 --> 00:04:41,240 USC and, and Nebraska, you know, they're only one game away from 82 00:04:41,240 --> 00:04:43,480 bowl eligibility. That would be a big one. 83 00:04:43,840 --> 00:04:46,600 And they'd be 6:00 and 4:00. So they would be bowl eligible 84 00:04:46,600 --> 00:04:48,120 at that point. And then, as you mentioned, 85 00:04:48,120 --> 00:04:51,760 Maryland hosting Rutgers. Rutgers keep scaring people like 86 00:04:51,760 --> 00:04:54,840 no one expected them to beat Minnesota this past week, and 87 00:04:54,840 --> 00:04:56,680 yet they did. But this is really a game 88 00:04:56,680 --> 00:04:59,480 Maryland needs to win to get themselves back up to A500 89 00:04:59,480 --> 00:05:03,760 record. Yeah, and for for Indiana for 90 00:05:03,760 --> 00:05:08,880 specifically like Morgan hasn't they? 91 00:05:11,360 --> 00:05:12,760 Oh, we're losing Matt a little bit. 92 00:05:12,760 --> 00:05:15,000 Can you hear me, Matt? Yeah, I can hear you can. 93 00:05:15,000 --> 00:05:16,400 You hear me? Yeah, you were fading out there 94 00:05:16,400 --> 00:05:17,800 a second. We got you back now though. 95 00:05:19,000 --> 00:05:21,760 Sorry. And so I was going on the Penn 96 00:05:21,760 --> 00:05:25,160 State here with Penn State still has a OPS Yeah, Purdue this 97 00:05:25,160 --> 00:05:28,080 weekend. And you know, that's obviously 98 00:05:28,640 --> 00:05:31,080 not a big game, but like all these are going to matter when 99 00:05:31,080 --> 00:05:35,040 they're trying to parse up how maybe IUB 8 or 9C. 100 00:05:35,600 --> 00:05:37,960 So some of these games are going to matter in a different way. 101 00:05:38,240 --> 00:05:41,160 But in terms of the Big 10 picture and strength of 102 00:05:41,160 --> 00:05:44,680 schedule, where they really need some of these teams that I us 103 00:05:44,680 --> 00:05:47,440 played and be in compared to what Pence, compared to what 104 00:05:47,440 --> 00:05:52,040 Pence states be like USC. Yeah, yeah, it's so we'll we'll 105 00:05:52,040 --> 00:05:54,640 have to see what happens with all of that because, you know, 106 00:05:54,640 --> 00:05:58,120 you, you want obviously I us opponents to be better in the 107 00:05:58,120 --> 00:06:00,560 rankings than they have been up to this point. 108 00:06:01,000 --> 00:06:05,040 And you know, I think it's worth noting as much criticism as I 109 00:06:05,040 --> 00:06:07,600 use strength of schedules had, there was a great tweet earlier 110 00:06:07,600 --> 00:06:08,840 on today. It's like if you look at the 111 00:06:08,840 --> 00:06:12,040 schedule at the beginning of the year, you had the defending 112 00:06:12,040 --> 00:06:16,440 national champion, the defending runner up Ohio State, a Nebraska 113 00:06:16,440 --> 00:06:19,320 team that most people were picking to win like 8-9, maybe 114 00:06:19,320 --> 00:06:22,480 10 games. You add, you know, I mean, that 115 00:06:22,480 --> 00:06:26,280 there was a lot of meat on the bone with this Indiana schedule 116 00:06:26,280 --> 00:06:28,600 and and it just hasn't materialized. 117 00:06:28,600 --> 00:06:31,720 But that's hardly Indiana's fault that most of these teams 118 00:06:31,720 --> 00:06:34,040 just haven't lived up to the expectations that they had 119 00:06:34,040 --> 00:06:37,800 before the season started. Yeah, I mean, I made that point 120 00:06:37,800 --> 00:06:40,280 too. It's hard to really criticize 121 00:06:40,280 --> 00:06:44,760 them for scheduling when or the Big 10 for scheduling when a lot 122 00:06:44,760 --> 00:06:48,400 of these bigger teams, they expected Washington, MI, to be 123 00:06:48,400 --> 00:06:50,400 better and it just didn't work out that way. 124 00:06:50,400 --> 00:06:51,280 Right? Yeah. 125 00:06:51,440 --> 00:06:52,960 So there's nothing you can do about it. 126 00:06:53,680 --> 00:06:56,240 Let's talk a little bit about some of the games across the 127 00:06:56,240 --> 00:06:59,000 country that are worth zeroing in on. 128 00:06:59,000 --> 00:07:01,960 So you mentioned Tennessee versus Georgia, and you've 129 00:07:01,960 --> 00:07:05,560 looked pretty closely into this. I've gone back and forth about 130 00:07:05,960 --> 00:07:08,720 what would make the most sense. Georgia's the one team that I'm 131 00:07:08,720 --> 00:07:12,720 concerned probably maybe as the best chance of making the 132 00:07:12,720 --> 00:07:16,040 playoff as a three loss team. It would be really hard to 133 00:07:16,040 --> 00:07:20,440 justify any three loss team over a one loss team from the Big 10. 134 00:07:20,800 --> 00:07:23,360 But you know, the other thing about this match up that's 135 00:07:23,360 --> 00:07:26,640 interesting is like if Tennessee loses now, they've got two 136 00:07:26,640 --> 00:07:28,800 losses. You could see a situation where 137 00:07:28,800 --> 00:07:31,880 they just flip out of the bracket entirely and Georgia 138 00:07:31,880 --> 00:07:34,960 flips in and then Tennessee still has to go to Vanderbilt 139 00:07:34,960 --> 00:07:37,800 later, which is a game that they could very easily lose. 140 00:07:39,040 --> 00:07:43,600 Yeah, I mean, it seems like this entire game really slips on it, 141 00:07:43,640 --> 00:07:45,880 deco plays or not, right, like these two construction 142 00:07:45,880 --> 00:07:49,120 protocols. But in terms of what I want, 143 00:07:49,320 --> 00:07:51,560 you're right. Georgia is the one team with 144 00:07:51,560 --> 00:07:54,040 their schedule, the number one, check the schedule. 145 00:07:54,880 --> 00:07:58,000 If they lose this game, they could get in at 9, three. 146 00:07:58,960 --> 00:08:01,960 But like you also said here with Tennessee, they go to two 147 00:08:01,960 --> 00:08:05,880 losses. They still got Vandy last and 148 00:08:05,880 --> 00:08:08,760 and trust more cash. The one thing with that result 149 00:08:08,760 --> 00:08:13,840 with Georgia winning it, then it then create this potential 6/6 150 00:08:13,840 --> 00:08:19,040 and 2678 weight high and another game of double got is LSU 151 00:08:19,040 --> 00:08:22,640 Florida because LSU could play itself Canada's bracket which is 152 00:08:22,680 --> 00:08:24,320 crazy. Yeah, no, it really is. 153 00:08:24,320 --> 00:08:27,400 I mean, we thought L and this is kind of where you, you don't 154 00:08:27,400 --> 00:08:29,520 really know how it's going to be viewed. 155 00:08:29,520 --> 00:08:34,320 But the committee did not have LSU in the top 12. 156 00:08:34,799 --> 00:08:37,679 And everybody's like, oh, well, LSU is dead at this point, 157 00:08:37,679 --> 00:08:39,840 having lost that game and they're 22nd in the country. 158 00:08:39,840 --> 00:08:42,360 It would be a big scramble for them to get up. 159 00:08:42,480 --> 00:08:45,960 I'm, I'm not as worried like, you know, if LSU wins that game, 160 00:08:46,840 --> 00:08:49,560 you know, and moving forward, what we're looking at with LSU 161 00:08:49,560 --> 00:08:53,760 is a team that's got everything going against it essentially as 162 00:08:53,760 --> 00:08:58,160 they go into this final stretch. And they would not only have to 163 00:08:58,160 --> 00:09:01,320 win the remaining games they've got at Florida, Vanderbilt at 164 00:09:01,320 --> 00:09:04,480 home, Oklahoma at home. Hope that the tiebreakers work 165 00:09:04,480 --> 00:09:07,360 out for them. Then they'd have to win the SEC 166 00:09:07,360 --> 00:09:09,360 title. But that would give somebody 167 00:09:09,360 --> 00:09:13,200 else a probably a second or third loss, which, you know, LSU 168 00:09:13,200 --> 00:09:15,040 is getting in regardless if they win that game. 169 00:09:15,040 --> 00:09:16,280 And if they lose, they're not in it. 170 00:09:16,280 --> 00:09:19,160 Period. Yeah, yeah. 171 00:09:19,920 --> 00:09:24,160 I ran so many scenarios with LSU winning out and it's so weird 172 00:09:24,160 --> 00:09:27,640 how their tiebreakers worked out that there's a lot of them where 173 00:09:28,400 --> 00:09:32,960 if there's a six way tie, they're in and or in the big in 174 00:09:32,960 --> 00:09:35,480 the in the championship game. So it's like they're one of 175 00:09:35,480 --> 00:09:40,160 those NCAA tournament big, you know, big dealers, which again, 176 00:09:40,480 --> 00:09:43,520 as long as I you play the close game against Ohio State, it 177 00:09:43,520 --> 00:09:46,360 probably won't matter. But you don't want them stealing 178 00:09:46,360 --> 00:09:49,120 a spot and pushing everybody down a range, you know? 179 00:09:49,960 --> 00:09:52,640 Another game that's really interesting in the SEC and, and 180 00:09:52,640 --> 00:09:56,000 hasn't really gotten a lot of buzz is Texas, who's second in 181 00:09:56,000 --> 00:10:00,720 FPI traveling to Arkansas. And you know, Arkansas is five 182 00:10:00,720 --> 00:10:02,520 and four. But you know, they've had an 183 00:10:02,520 --> 00:10:06,400 interesting season so far in terms of, you know, they they've 184 00:10:06,400 --> 00:10:10,040 had some big wins. And you know, the Tennessee win 185 00:10:10,040 --> 00:10:11,760 obviously is one that people have looked at. 186 00:10:11,760 --> 00:10:15,520 They win that game 1914. But then I guess they've only 187 00:10:15,520 --> 00:10:17,880 had one big win because the rest of their games, like they lost 188 00:10:17,880 --> 00:10:22,600 to Oklahoma State, they lost to A&M, they lose to LSU, they get 189 00:10:22,600 --> 00:10:25,960 destroyed by Ole Miss. But they're hosting Texas. 190 00:10:26,600 --> 00:10:30,000 Texas really hasn't beaten anybody so far this season. 191 00:10:30,400 --> 00:10:34,160 And even though Texas right now is what, third in the College 192 00:10:34,160 --> 00:10:36,880 Football Playoff rankings, like they've got this game, which is 193 00:10:36,880 --> 00:10:39,160 not going to be easy and they have to travel to A&M. 194 00:10:40,040 --> 00:10:43,720 You know, they lose this game. That's that's a real problem for 195 00:10:43,720 --> 00:10:46,320 them as they head to the last couple of games of the season. 196 00:10:47,800 --> 00:10:50,200 Yeah, this is one of those games, the old, Yeah, with the 197 00:10:50,200 --> 00:10:52,120 old Southwest Conference, right. That's right. 198 00:10:53,720 --> 00:10:56,240 Arkansas has been waiting for this for a long time for them to 199 00:10:56,240 --> 00:10:59,440 come to play too, so you got to feel that they're going to 200 00:10:59,440 --> 00:11:01,560 actually give their best effort. I don't know a lot about the 201 00:11:01,560 --> 00:11:05,920 roster, but certainly in terms of what IU want, they want 202 00:11:05,920 --> 00:11:10,000 Arkansas to win this game. But is there is there a weird 203 00:11:10,000 --> 00:11:15,240 scenario where if Texas loses this game, BJ and M and is that 204 00:11:15,240 --> 00:11:18,040 better for their resume? I, I don't know, yeah. 205 00:11:18,280 --> 00:11:21,360 I mean, it'd be, it'd be weird at that point because it's like, 206 00:11:21,440 --> 00:11:25,000 you know, Texas, the winds that Texas has right now, Colorado 207 00:11:25,000 --> 00:11:29,680 State at Michigan, Texas, San Antonio, Louisiana, Monroe, 208 00:11:29,680 --> 00:11:35,160 Mississippi State, Oklahoma at Vanderbilt and Florida, again, 209 00:11:35,200 --> 00:11:37,040 not a lot of meat on the bone there. 210 00:11:37,240 --> 00:11:40,440 And I mean, even if you want to say that the Vanderbilt win is a 211 00:11:40,440 --> 00:11:45,320 big win at the end of the day, that's, that's a borderline, you 212 00:11:45,320 --> 00:11:48,680 know, team in the, in terms of bowl picture, it's a team that's 213 00:11:48,680 --> 00:11:52,360 39th in in FPI, they're six and four. 214 00:11:52,720 --> 00:11:55,800 And they could finish six and six if they lose that game or 215 00:11:56,000 --> 00:11:58,520 if, excuse me, if Vanderbilt ends up losing the last couple 216 00:11:58,520 --> 00:12:03,320 of games of the year. Yeah, I mean, the bandy thing is 217 00:12:03,320 --> 00:12:07,800 serving a certain great story. Six and four and have to have 218 00:12:07,800 --> 00:12:10,640 that big one against Nampa. They lose the last two. 219 00:12:10,640 --> 00:12:14,640 They're 500 teams, not a look, you look as good of a win, 220 00:12:14,920 --> 00:12:16,960 quote, UN quote on the way on the road by three. 221 00:12:18,160 --> 00:12:19,720 You know, I guess the team that's not that great. 222 00:12:19,720 --> 00:12:23,520 So yeah, Texas really needs to win, really needs to win out. 223 00:12:23,520 --> 00:12:25,920 Yeah, 'cause I mean it, 'cause it's not just that Vanderbilt 224 00:12:25,920 --> 00:12:27,920 plays Tennessee, they also have to play LSU. 225 00:12:27,920 --> 00:12:30,440 That's their last two games. So they're they're in a bit of 226 00:12:30,440 --> 00:12:33,920 trouble there. So that one again, it's like I, 227 00:12:34,320 --> 00:12:38,720 I kind of feel obviously I think you for IU, you want as many 228 00:12:38,720 --> 00:12:41,840 teams as possible to have at least one more loss than 229 00:12:41,840 --> 00:12:44,600 whatever Indiana has. And if, if Indiana doesn't lose 230 00:12:44,600 --> 00:12:48,600 a game, no problem. But if Indiana loses at Ohio 231 00:12:48,600 --> 00:12:51,440 State, you would really want most of those other contenders 232 00:12:51,440 --> 00:12:55,120 to have two losses. And this would be the most easy 233 00:12:55,120 --> 00:12:57,920 way to make sure that Texas has two losses would be just have 234 00:12:57,920 --> 00:12:59,560 them lose at Arkansas this weekend. 235 00:13:01,360 --> 00:13:03,440 You don't. Absolutely add it back if that 236 00:13:03,440 --> 00:13:06,520 were to happen and certainly that that's a bum checked it out 237 00:13:06,520 --> 00:13:07,800 all together. You would think, you know, they 238 00:13:07,840 --> 00:13:09,440 just did that to Georgia last week. 239 00:13:11,800 --> 00:13:15,920 Greg Sankey may have a, you know, fit about it, but it's 240 00:13:15,920 --> 00:13:18,280 certainly going to change the answer to the conference because 241 00:13:18,280 --> 00:13:20,120 then who is the best team of the FCC? 242 00:13:20,120 --> 00:13:23,560 And I don't think anybody knows at this point if it's not 5 or 243 00:13:23,560 --> 00:13:26,640 separated by a very small, you know, very small, small margin. 244 00:13:26,920 --> 00:13:30,400 Yeah, I mean, at that point it's like, well, maybe it's Alabama 245 00:13:30,400 --> 00:13:33,120 that's actually the best team in the conference at that point. 246 00:13:33,120 --> 00:13:35,440 And they have an easy game this week. 247 00:13:35,440 --> 00:13:38,480 They're playing Mercer, which that's such a bad game. 248 00:13:38,480 --> 00:13:41,160 It's not even on terrestrial television. 249 00:13:41,160 --> 00:13:44,280 It's streaming only, you know, but that's one that they'll win 250 00:13:44,280 --> 00:13:46,640 easily. And and then Alabama, of course, 251 00:13:46,960 --> 00:13:50,320 will, as they go down the stretch here, they've got 252 00:13:50,440 --> 00:13:52,640 they're at Oklahoma and then they got Auburn at home. 253 00:13:52,640 --> 00:13:54,440 They should win both of those games pretty easily. 254 00:13:54,440 --> 00:13:58,960 It kind of feels like, you know, if Georgia wins against 255 00:13:58,960 --> 00:14:02,680 Tennessee, that puts Georgia in a really good spot to make the 256 00:14:02,680 --> 00:14:05,680 SEC title game, I believe. And then if Alabama wins their 257 00:14:05,680 --> 00:14:08,760 last three, it it it feels like that might end up being the 258 00:14:08,760 --> 00:14:10,640 title game and less crazy stuff happens. 259 00:14:10,640 --> 00:14:12,560 Is is that your read on things at this point? 260 00:14:13,640 --> 00:14:16,760 Yeah, You know, just running a bunch of the scenarios, Georgia 261 00:14:16,760 --> 00:14:22,720 needs as huge ties as possible. So maybe like 3-4 weight, five 262 00:14:22,720 --> 00:14:26,800 points high, maybe at worse. Any of those 6-7 weight ties 263 00:14:27,280 --> 00:14:28,800 they're in, they're not making a certain. 264 00:14:29,360 --> 00:14:32,400 There's I think one scenario, but it's very going to be very 265 00:14:32,400 --> 00:14:36,640 tough where Bama's in really good shape if they went out like 266 00:14:36,640 --> 00:14:37,680 Bama's probably. Going to make it. 267 00:14:37,960 --> 00:14:41,520 Yeah. Let's look at, let's look at 268 00:14:41,520 --> 00:14:43,600 some of these other games. There's a few others that I 269 00:14:43,600 --> 00:14:46,120 think are really interesting to think about. 270 00:14:46,120 --> 00:14:50,920 So, you know, one of them is looking at what's going on with 271 00:14:51,240 --> 00:14:55,160 some of these ACC teams. And you've got Clemson, who's 272 00:14:55,160 --> 00:14:57,160 kind of knocked themselves out of the picture. 273 00:14:57,160 --> 00:15:00,240 They got to travel to PIT. That becomes basically a 274 00:15:00,240 --> 00:15:02,760 complete elimination game because either of those teams is 275 00:15:02,760 --> 00:15:04,680 going to come out of there with three losses. 276 00:15:05,080 --> 00:15:08,280 Clemson, it's probably like they lose a lot of tiebreakers in the 277 00:15:08,320 --> 00:15:10,960 ACC right now regardless, so they're not really in great 278 00:15:10,960 --> 00:15:13,200 shape from that perspective. This would take them out 279 00:15:13,200 --> 00:15:15,240 entirely though, if they go to Pittsburgh and lose. 280 00:15:16,280 --> 00:15:18,320 Yep, they go to Pitts, they're they're out. 281 00:15:19,200 --> 00:15:21,520 They're they're one game. They got the one lost. 282 00:15:21,600 --> 00:15:24,400 Preston's got zero now Miami's got 1. 283 00:15:24,400 --> 00:15:30,400 So they they need help. But a scenario that they really 284 00:15:30,640 --> 00:15:33,400 Clemson would need and obviously this isn't a Clemson want that 285 00:15:34,320 --> 00:15:36,600 win this game and obviously get that help. 286 00:15:36,640 --> 00:15:40,480 But for IU they would want Clemson to win today or if it 287 00:15:40,480 --> 00:15:44,080 has Cubs having to win but in South Carolina to be damaged the 288 00:15:44,080 --> 00:15:46,720 end of the season. So there's some scenarios that 289 00:15:46,720 --> 00:15:49,080 help IU and hurt IU with Clemson. 290 00:15:49,080 --> 00:15:51,400 But you're right for the most part, Clemson probably out 291 00:15:51,400 --> 00:15:54,480 anyway unless they go to Miami or SMU locks. 292 00:15:54,800 --> 00:15:58,280 Yeah, SMU playing Boston College this week. 293 00:15:58,280 --> 00:16:02,360 They'll be favored in that game and you know, SMU in pretty good 294 00:16:02,360 --> 00:16:05,560 shape along with Miami as long as they don't have any stumbles 295 00:16:05,560 --> 00:16:08,120 down the stretch here to make the ACC title game. 296 00:16:08,560 --> 00:16:12,080 SM US games are Boston College at Virginia, which of course 297 00:16:12,160 --> 00:16:14,920 Virginia's playing Notre Dame this week at the game you're 298 00:16:14,920 --> 00:16:18,200 going to and then Cal a a trickier schedule that I think 299 00:16:18,200 --> 00:16:19,800 then people are giving it credit for. 300 00:16:20,360 --> 00:16:23,200 And Boston College is in kind of some upheaval right now. 301 00:16:23,520 --> 00:16:26,040 They just had their quarterback go into the transfer portal 302 00:16:26,040 --> 00:16:29,040 because he got benched. But, you know, so and they have 303 00:16:29,040 --> 00:16:30,880 to travel to Dallas to play that game. 304 00:16:30,880 --> 00:16:35,000 So you feel like SMU is is in pretty good shape, at least for 305 00:16:35,000 --> 00:16:37,280 this week. Miami's an interesting 1. 306 00:16:37,960 --> 00:16:41,440 You know, in as much as they're, they're in a position where now 307 00:16:41,440 --> 00:16:43,920 they really can't afford to lose other games. 308 00:16:44,680 --> 00:16:47,160 I don't believe they're playing this week. 309 00:16:49,040 --> 00:16:51,120 You know, they are, they've they've got the buy this week, 310 00:16:51,120 --> 00:16:54,960 if I've read correctly. But then they've got a a closing 311 00:16:54,960 --> 00:16:57,640 sequence of Wake Forest and at Syracuse and Miami's been 312 00:16:57,640 --> 00:17:00,440 playing with fire all season. It finally burned them last 313 00:17:00,440 --> 00:17:03,240 week. But again, it's like I I've 314 00:17:03,240 --> 00:17:08,160 become less concerned about the ACC sniping a bid because one or 315 00:17:08,160 --> 00:17:10,760 of the other of those teams, if they meet in the ACC title game, 316 00:17:10,760 --> 00:17:13,560 is going to have a second loss, which would put them well behind 317 00:17:13,560 --> 00:17:19,359 IU in the pecking order. Yeah, I like, I I'm well with 318 00:17:19,359 --> 00:17:21,640 you. I mean, with with Miami here, 319 00:17:22,359 --> 00:17:25,440 everyone's putting them in 11 O1 playing SMU. 320 00:17:25,440 --> 00:17:29,760 But they have they have three or four games this year, the Cal 321 00:17:29,760 --> 00:17:33,200 game, the DS Tech game. They probably should have lost 322 00:17:33,200 --> 00:17:38,360 one of those, if not both. I trust SMU more to get to 323 00:17:38,600 --> 00:17:41,840 Charlotte. I think to Charlotte for the 324 00:17:41,840 --> 00:17:45,120 interstitial game. Yeah, the, the last team I 325 00:17:45,120 --> 00:17:47,480 wanted to talk about with you is the team that you're going to 326 00:17:47,480 --> 00:17:51,520 see, which is Notre Dame. So this Virginia team is not 327 00:17:51,520 --> 00:17:53,680 that great. I think they're like 67th and 328 00:17:53,680 --> 00:17:56,720 FPI. They they've had a very, you 329 00:17:56,800 --> 00:17:59,200 know, not terribly impressive season. 330 00:17:59,480 --> 00:18:02,680 You know, they they lose to Maryland and that was at a point 331 00:18:02,680 --> 00:18:04,240 where we thought, oh, Maryland might be really good. 332 00:18:04,240 --> 00:18:07,320 They just beat Virginia, they lose to Louisville, they lose to 333 00:18:07,320 --> 00:18:09,680 Clemson, they lose, they get blown out by North Carolina, but 334 00:18:09,680 --> 00:18:12,000 then they turn around and beat Pitt last week, which really 335 00:18:12,000 --> 00:18:13,440 knocked Pitt out of the equation. 336 00:18:13,760 --> 00:18:16,360 And that was on the road. So they go on the road again. 337 00:18:16,680 --> 00:18:19,400 And the thing about Notre Dame that's really fascinating is 338 00:18:19,400 --> 00:18:23,160 that Notre Dame has a a really sneakily difficult end of the 339 00:18:23,160 --> 00:18:25,440 schedule because they got this Virginia team that's clearly 340 00:18:25,440 --> 00:18:28,920 still got some life left in it. They've got Army next week and 341 00:18:28,920 --> 00:18:31,520 then they've got USC to close the regular season. 342 00:18:31,800 --> 00:18:34,920 Like, I mean, they're actually, if you look at the, the CFP 343 00:18:34,920 --> 00:18:38,760 college, the, the playoff predictor percentages, they 344 00:18:38,760 --> 00:18:40,560 don't have a very good percentage to make the playoff 345 00:18:40,560 --> 00:18:43,320 right now because I they're, they're not rated particularly 346 00:18:43,320 --> 00:18:45,720 highly in any of those games that, you know, there, there's 347 00:18:45,720 --> 00:18:48,520 a, the computers don't really like what they're seeing out of 348 00:18:48,520 --> 00:18:49,960 Notre Dame with some of these things. 349 00:18:51,160 --> 00:18:53,640 Which is interesting because they I know they just blew out 350 00:18:53,640 --> 00:18:58,280 Florida State, but really since the NIU lost, they really put it 351 00:18:58,280 --> 00:19:02,000 on most teams this year. So it's curious, but you're 352 00:19:02,000 --> 00:19:06,120 right. They with Virginia David Jekyll 353 00:19:06,120 --> 00:19:09,280 and Hyde all season. You know, Army America's team 354 00:19:09,320 --> 00:19:13,520 who's nobody shooting against RP next week or not, I don't know. 355 00:19:13,880 --> 00:19:20,160 And USC has even though four and five, they've had 414 losses. 356 00:19:20,160 --> 00:19:26,240 So and I believe it's not USC. So there's no, no easy game and 357 00:19:27,120 --> 00:19:29,720 they have one loss and they're done because you can't. 358 00:19:30,000 --> 00:19:32,080 You can't afford the NIU loss right now the way that you're 359 00:19:32,080 --> 00:19:34,480 shaking out, but you can't afford 2 losses. 360 00:19:35,040 --> 00:19:38,200 Yeah, it's interesting. If you look at the FBI top 25, 361 00:19:38,520 --> 00:19:42,720 there's one team in the FBI top 25 that has a losing record and 362 00:19:42,720 --> 00:19:45,600 it's USC. There's they're 18th in FBI 363 00:19:45,600 --> 00:19:49,800 despite being four and five. And again, it's because they've 364 00:19:49,920 --> 00:19:53,800 they've done all these close losses, but they still got a 70% 365 00:19:53,800 --> 00:19:56,320 chance to get to six wins. And in order to do that, they'd 366 00:19:56,320 --> 00:19:59,880 have to beat UCLA or to beat Nebraska, beat UCLA and then 367 00:19:59,880 --> 00:20:02,560 beat Notre Dame. But I think it's all entirely 368 00:20:02,560 --> 00:20:06,520 possible, and that's exactly the kind of scenario that's kind of 369 00:20:06,520 --> 00:20:10,680 a nightmare for Notre Dame, having to travel to take on AUSC 370 00:20:10,680 --> 00:20:13,520 team that might be playing for bowl eligibility at that point 371 00:20:13,520 --> 00:20:16,240 in the season. Yeah, no, you're right. 372 00:20:16,240 --> 00:20:19,320 And and for Notre Dame, they obviously we're not going to 373 00:20:19,320 --> 00:20:21,600 take any of these games lately obviously because because 374 00:20:21,600 --> 00:20:24,440 they're going for it. But you're US CS, probably the 375 00:20:24,440 --> 00:20:28,280 trickiest game, you know, hard to really see what Army is all 376 00:20:28,280 --> 00:20:30,640 about. Like they didn't the Dallas 377 00:20:30,640 --> 00:20:33,960 people on Navy triple option. That was a weird game, like like 378 00:20:33,960 --> 00:20:37,480 7 turnovers. But you're right, it's really 379 00:20:37,480 --> 00:20:41,400 tricky and and Notre Dame's not really going to move up I don't 380 00:20:41,400 --> 00:20:42,640 think. I think they thought things are 381 00:20:42,640 --> 00:20:46,200 going to play out and they'll probably be in that 8910 range. 382 00:20:46,200 --> 00:20:47,720 They're probably not going to go anywhere. 383 00:20:47,880 --> 00:20:51,280 Yeah, I mean, it's interesting because you know, Notre Dame 384 00:20:51,280 --> 00:20:55,360 right now is a 69% chance of making the playoff according to 385 00:20:55,360 --> 00:20:58,320 the predictor, which is only one percentage point better than 386 00:20:58,320 --> 00:21:04,760 Boise State at this stage. They are a 96% favorite against 387 00:21:04,760 --> 00:21:06,880 Virginia. They're an 89% favorite against 388 00:21:07,520 --> 00:21:10,160 Army. They're only a 69% favored 389 00:21:10,160 --> 00:21:14,600 against USC, But you know, those results have to stack on top of 390 00:21:14,600 --> 00:21:15,800 each other. And so it, it will be 391 00:21:15,800 --> 00:21:20,200 interesting to see how they fare in this because when you, when 392 00:21:20,200 --> 00:21:21,800 you look at what Notre Dame's done, you're right. 393 00:21:21,800 --> 00:21:23,160 I mean, they have been very impressive. 394 00:21:23,160 --> 00:21:26,520 They're very highly ranked in FPI And you know, they've been, 395 00:21:26,960 --> 00:21:29,960 but I, I do sometimes wonder because I feel like a lot of 396 00:21:29,960 --> 00:21:33,080 that has been built up. You know, they have a 66 to 397 00:21:33,080 --> 00:21:37,640 seven win over Purdue, They have a 49, seven win over Stanford. 398 00:21:37,800 --> 00:21:41,880 They have a 5114 win over Navy, a 52 to three win over Florida 399 00:21:41,880 --> 00:21:46,080 State. I mean, Navy, I think maybe a 400 00:21:46,080 --> 00:21:48,640 bit a bit overrated. The other three teams are, are 401 00:21:48,640 --> 00:21:52,160 pretty bad. And yeah, you, you so you do 402 00:21:52,400 --> 00:21:55,280 there is some interest there. I think in just like, how does 403 00:21:55,280 --> 00:21:57,600 how does Notre Dame sustain given that only one of these 404 00:21:57,600 --> 00:21:59,720 last three games is actually in South Bend? 405 00:22:01,240 --> 00:22:06,240 Right, yeah, they while they while they blown out these 406 00:22:06,240 --> 00:22:10,000 teams, they haven't been great team. 407 00:22:10,080 --> 00:22:13,800 But like I do give them credit for obviously getting off the 408 00:22:13,800 --> 00:22:15,880 mat after all the NIU stuff happened. 409 00:22:17,480 --> 00:22:20,720 But at this point, you know, like I said, they're going to 410 00:22:20,720 --> 00:22:22,760 win out. Otherwise they're going home. 411 00:22:22,760 --> 00:22:25,920 There's just no, I just don't see a path forward. 412 00:22:26,680 --> 00:22:29,840 It's SEC log jam at the backside. 413 00:22:30,800 --> 00:22:33,440 The the last conference we'll we'll talk about briefly here is 414 00:22:33,440 --> 00:22:35,560 the Big 12, which has become a mess. 415 00:22:35,560 --> 00:22:40,840 And, and it's interesting you look at BYU, who is still 416 00:22:40,840 --> 00:22:43,800 undefeated, still 9 and O is still kind of getting paired 417 00:22:43,800 --> 00:22:48,680 with IU in a bunch of things. But the problem for BYU is that 418 00:22:49,080 --> 00:22:53,440 this this closing run of games, while it, you know, if you if 419 00:22:53,440 --> 00:22:56,240 you just look at it straight away might not look that bad. 420 00:22:56,560 --> 00:23:00,320 The FBI doesn't like BYU very much in two of these games. 421 00:23:00,320 --> 00:23:03,360 I mean, they're playing a Kansas team that while they're they 422 00:23:03,360 --> 00:23:07,040 have a losing record, that's another team that's had just a 423 00:23:07,040 --> 00:23:09,680 ton of close losses. They're kind of like USC in some 424 00:23:09,680 --> 00:23:13,160 ways. BYU is only a 61% favored in 425 00:23:13,160 --> 00:23:14,960 that one. And then they got to travel next 426 00:23:14,960 --> 00:23:18,040 week to Arizona State. And that is rated as a toss up 427 00:23:18,040 --> 00:23:20,840 right now by FPI, which is kind of wild to think about. 428 00:23:22,160 --> 00:23:25,680 Yeah, I mean, if you look at their, I think, well, this past 429 00:23:25,680 --> 00:23:29,760 weekend, you know, the holding, the holding call and the holy 430 00:23:29,760 --> 00:23:34,560 war and then the people for the Oklahoma State, like very 431 00:23:34,560 --> 00:23:36,880 similar to Miami, they're playing with fire at this point. 432 00:23:37,960 --> 00:23:39,720 It's very serious. It's Kansas State now. 433 00:23:39,800 --> 00:23:43,000 Kansas, like you said, they've had these post losses and it's 434 00:23:43,000 --> 00:23:46,600 only 2 1/2 points, right. I think the last month I saw. 435 00:23:47,480 --> 00:23:53,640 Yeah, to your point, like I think BYU is, is is is on fumes 436 00:23:53,640 --> 00:23:55,640 right now. I mean, obviously if they get to 437 00:23:55,640 --> 00:23:58,440 12 and O and if they lose what happens? 438 00:23:58,440 --> 00:24:00,960 But like they they got to get to 12 and O. 439 00:24:01,160 --> 00:24:03,720 They do. And you know, it's funny, I've 440 00:24:03,920 --> 00:24:07,040 been using FPIA lot because it's a nice kind of neutral metric 441 00:24:07,040 --> 00:24:11,640 for a lot of these things. BYU is, despite being 9 and OBYU 442 00:24:11,640 --> 00:24:16,080 is 28th in FPI. They're below Florida, they're 443 00:24:16,080 --> 00:24:19,720 below Oklahoma, they're one spot ahead of a three and six Kansas 444 00:24:19,720 --> 00:24:22,640 team. And you know, it just it's a, 445 00:24:22,640 --> 00:24:26,360 it's a rough situation for BYU because as you said, like that, 446 00:24:26,520 --> 00:24:28,760 they've won all these games, but they've they've won them in a 447 00:24:28,760 --> 00:24:32,040 way that isn't very convincing. And that Utah game is a great 448 00:24:32,040 --> 00:24:36,200 example of that. And the problem that BYU has is 449 00:24:36,200 --> 00:24:40,280 that almost any loss is is going to be to a team that isn't in 450 00:24:40,280 --> 00:24:42,960 the playoff hunt. I mean, Iowa State, 7 and 2, 451 00:24:43,840 --> 00:24:46,960 Arizona State, seven and two. Kansas State is 7:00 and 2:00, 452 00:24:47,520 --> 00:24:49,520 Colorado's 7:00 and 2:00. But you know, they're really 453 00:24:49,520 --> 00:24:51,920 just on the fringes of the playoff thing and and probably 454 00:24:51,920 --> 00:24:54,280 not a serious contender. I don't know that they could 455 00:24:54,280 --> 00:24:57,920 lose to any of those teams in the Big 12 title game and 456 00:24:57,920 --> 00:25:00,000 actually have a legitimate argument for getting into the 457 00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:03,400 playoff at this point. Yeah, you're right. 458 00:25:03,480 --> 00:25:06,360 I mean, they're probably not. They're they're probably the TC 459 00:25:06,360 --> 00:25:11,080 unit, right, Probably like a 12 and O and kind of hope for 460 00:25:11,080 --> 00:25:13,480 everything to break like another, maybe another, another 461 00:25:13,480 --> 00:25:16,320 another day loss. Both will SEC losses. 462 00:25:16,320 --> 00:25:19,760 Like that's what's going to just to keep them in the mix cause 12 463 00:25:19,760 --> 00:25:23,040 and one may not get to be enough for them if you know if they get 464 00:25:23,040 --> 00:25:24,120 there as soon as they get there. Yeah. 465 00:25:25,680 --> 00:25:28,680 Well, anything else that that's that's coming to mind for you 466 00:25:28,680 --> 00:25:30,800 that you'd like to cover here? I mean, it, there's a lot of 467 00:25:30,800 --> 00:25:33,480 games to watch and obviously, I mean, there's some games we're 468 00:25:33,480 --> 00:25:35,920 not expecting a whole lot out of where I'm not expecting a whole 469 00:25:35,920 --> 00:25:37,840 lot out of the Ohio State Northwestern game. 470 00:25:37,840 --> 00:25:40,240 I I just don't think Northwestern is, is that that 471 00:25:40,240 --> 00:25:42,600 team this year? I'm not expecting anything out 472 00:25:42,600 --> 00:25:46,640 of Purdue, you know, but but any other games that you've got your 473 00:25:46,640 --> 00:25:48,600 eye on, that might have some implications. 474 00:25:49,960 --> 00:25:52,760 There's a sneaky game out West and this doesn't really affect 475 00:25:54,960 --> 00:25:59,000 the Hoosiers, but it affects maybe the ACP if Louisville 476 00:25:59,000 --> 00:26:02,560 travel to Stanford. Yeah, three-game going out West 477 00:26:02,600 --> 00:26:07,120 Louisville is there is there a big win if Louisville that game 478 00:26:07,680 --> 00:26:12,120 perk, you know that could really the ATC for 100% sure as not 479 00:26:12,120 --> 00:26:14,840 100%, but might be in A1 big league at this point. 480 00:26:15,400 --> 00:26:17,480 So maybe that's the only game we have really discussed. 481 00:26:17,480 --> 00:26:20,120 But I think we're at the point where we kind of have a good 482 00:26:20,160 --> 00:26:23,280 feeling that AT TS, probably A1 big league, but that would 483 00:26:23,280 --> 00:26:25,160 really hurt both those two top two teams. 484 00:26:25,600 --> 00:26:27,920 The other thing, and that's a, I'm glad you brought that one 485 00:26:27,920 --> 00:26:29,360 up. The other thing I think is worth 486 00:26:29,360 --> 00:26:32,520 noting is, you know, Boise State's got a tough one this 487 00:26:32,520 --> 00:26:37,840 week in the Mountain West is I think they're taking on, they're 488 00:26:37,840 --> 00:26:40,760 at, they're at San Jose State who's who's not a bad team this 489 00:26:40,760 --> 00:26:43,720 year. And what I think is going to be 490 00:26:43,720 --> 00:26:46,880 really fascinating is if you look at the rankings, you know, 491 00:26:46,880 --> 00:26:50,240 Boise State is, is 13th, but they are, you know, they are 492 00:26:50,240 --> 00:26:53,720 the, that's the highest rated conference champion projected 493 00:26:54,480 --> 00:26:56,920 outside of the top 4 conferences. 494 00:26:57,320 --> 00:26:59,800 And that team is going to be, you know, the 12th seed 495 00:26:59,800 --> 00:27:02,360 basically. But if you look down the list, 496 00:27:03,000 --> 00:27:07,680 you know, Army, who doesn't play this weekend out of the out of 497 00:27:07,680 --> 00:27:10,680 the American, they're nine and O and they're not that far back 498 00:27:11,000 --> 00:27:12,720 from Boise State in terms of the rankings. 499 00:27:12,720 --> 00:27:15,920 They're only 11 spots down. And if Boise State were to lose, 500 00:27:16,360 --> 00:27:18,560 well, now maybe they're right next to each other. 501 00:27:18,560 --> 00:27:22,440 And then you've now got Tulane, who's in the mix as well. 502 00:27:22,720 --> 00:27:25,960 You know, Tulane has come up. They were 25th in this most 503 00:27:25,960 --> 00:27:30,600 recent CFP ranking. And so now it's like, well, OK, 504 00:27:30,600 --> 00:27:33,600 is, is it a situation where, you know, we've just kind of 505 00:27:33,600 --> 00:27:36,160 penciled in the Mountain West champion within all of this. 506 00:27:36,360 --> 00:27:39,000 Maybe it's not them, but you're, you're dealing with you're 507 00:27:39,000 --> 00:27:42,840 dealing with, you know, a couple of different conferences now 508 00:27:42,840 --> 00:27:45,480 that are at least sniffing around that area. 509 00:27:45,760 --> 00:27:50,240 And I, I am really curious because Army and, and Tulane in 510 00:27:50,240 --> 00:27:52,800 the American Athletic Conference, you know, that's the 511 00:27:52,800 --> 00:27:55,200 other conference that could potentially snipe something. 512 00:27:55,200 --> 00:27:57,440 And importantly, they don't play each other. 513 00:27:57,640 --> 00:28:00,600 So they could match up as undefeated teams in the a the 514 00:28:00,600 --> 00:28:03,800 AAC championship game, which which would be a good win for 515 00:28:03,800 --> 00:28:06,880 whoever gets it and might be something that could Volt him 516 00:28:06,880 --> 00:28:10,280 over a Boise State team that you know doesn't complete the season 517 00:28:10,280 --> 00:28:14,400 with only one loss. You're right and and right now, 518 00:28:14,400 --> 00:28:17,720 like Tulane, they're only two losses out of power for a team. 519 00:28:17,720 --> 00:28:21,880 So like that's doesn't not going to hurt them as much, right. 520 00:28:23,400 --> 00:28:26,080 It's certainly going to Boise State drops one. 521 00:28:26,160 --> 00:28:29,280 It's going to make more an interesting conversation because 522 00:28:29,280 --> 00:28:31,680 Boise State would probably play UNL would probably play UNLV 523 00:28:31,680 --> 00:28:35,600 again, which would help them maybe a little bit. 524 00:28:35,600 --> 00:28:39,240 But you're right, you're looking at them 22 really good games, 525 00:28:39,640 --> 00:28:44,080 the AAC and the and the Mount W if Boise happens to drop and 526 00:28:44,080 --> 00:28:47,160 then it kind of all holds far who who gets that? 527 00:28:47,160 --> 00:28:50,080 Spot yeah, I mean, yeah, the other option in the Mountain 528 00:28:50,080 --> 00:28:52,840 West it's going to be interesting is you know so Boise 529 00:28:52,840 --> 00:28:56,640 State finishes off at San Jose State at Wyoming and then 530 00:28:56,640 --> 00:29:00,280 they've got Oregon State at the at the tail end of the season. 531 00:29:00,280 --> 00:29:02,120 Now Oregon State is not great this year. 532 00:29:02,120 --> 00:29:06,400 They're four and five, but those other two teams, you know, you 533 00:29:06,400 --> 00:29:09,360 know, are going to be an interesting challenge in as much 534 00:29:09,360 --> 00:29:12,800 as, you know, Wyoming is, is always a little bit tricky. 535 00:29:13,080 --> 00:29:16,160 They've you know, they're they're they're they're always 536 00:29:16,160 --> 00:29:17,280 kind of an interesting challenge. 537 00:29:17,280 --> 00:29:19,040 It feels like at weird times of the season. 538 00:29:19,280 --> 00:29:21,280 And then you've got the San Jose State game, but they don't play 539 00:29:21,280 --> 00:29:24,160 Colorado State, who's the other undefeated team right now. 540 00:29:24,320 --> 00:29:28,960 So maybe maybe it's UNOV or maybe it's not, you know, UNOV 541 00:29:28,960 --> 00:29:33,120 is just is in kind of this weird spot where they're, what are 542 00:29:33,120 --> 00:29:35,360 they three and one in the conference at this stage. 543 00:29:35,360 --> 00:29:38,520 But they don't get a chance to make up ground against either of 544 00:29:38,520 --> 00:29:40,640 the teams that they would need to catch at this point to make 545 00:29:40,640 --> 00:29:45,000 the title game. Yeah, I guess when they they 546 00:29:45,080 --> 00:29:47,200 made that schedule agreement, they took away that one 547 00:29:47,240 --> 00:29:50,120 conference game to play Washington State and Oregon 548 00:29:50,120 --> 00:29:52,440 State. So there's less data points and 549 00:29:52,440 --> 00:29:55,840 I forgot about, I forgot that they had that one less 550 00:29:55,840 --> 00:29:57,760 conference game. So UNLV may not even make it 551 00:29:57,760 --> 00:30:00,040 there. So here, point tolerance State, 552 00:30:00,040 --> 00:30:03,920 maybe that team has said yeah. And Colorado State is is not 553 00:30:04,760 --> 00:30:07,200 they're not up in the rankings. And so again, it's one of those 554 00:30:07,200 --> 00:30:11,040 things where Boise State perhaps gets dragged down by the teams 555 00:30:11,040 --> 00:30:14,080 they have to play. And ironically in the American 556 00:30:14,240 --> 00:30:17,040 army in Tulane will probably get the benefit of playing each 557 00:30:17,040 --> 00:30:19,120 other. You know, Tulane, obviously with 558 00:30:19,120 --> 00:30:21,760 the two losses, it's not as impressive, but they're still 559 00:30:21,760 --> 00:30:24,880 they were 25th in in the the last ranking. 560 00:30:24,920 --> 00:30:26,840 And that, and that really does matter at this point. 561 00:30:26,840 --> 00:30:32,000 So, well, Matt, this is this is a lot of fun and interesting 562 00:30:32,000 --> 00:30:33,720 stuff. And I think we'll do this again 563 00:30:33,720 --> 00:30:37,920 next week as we roll into that week's games because I think IU 564 00:30:37,920 --> 00:30:40,240 fans have got to be conscious about what's going on across the 565 00:30:40,240 --> 00:30:42,360 country. I still feel like IU is in good 566 00:30:42,360 --> 00:30:44,880 shape even with a loss to Ohio State. 567 00:30:45,520 --> 00:30:47,760 And largely the reason I feel that way is a lot of these 568 00:30:47,760 --> 00:30:51,520 things we've laid out here, results, as we saw last week, 569 00:30:51,640 --> 00:30:54,320 will start to go against the teams that Indiana's going up 570 00:30:54,320 --> 00:30:57,920 against for these things. And the fact that Indiana, you 571 00:30:57,920 --> 00:30:59,960 know, unless something catastrophic happens against 572 00:30:59,960 --> 00:31:04,320 Purdue, probably only has one loss as a possibility will 573 00:31:04,320 --> 00:31:07,480 really help down the stretch because others do not have that 574 00:31:07,480 --> 00:31:10,440 benefit at this stage. Yeah. 575 00:31:10,480 --> 00:31:15,040 I mean, assuming just the one loss it it it really comes down 576 00:31:15,040 --> 00:31:16,840 to where these things fall with feeding, right. 577 00:31:16,840 --> 00:31:19,800 So I mean, that's more probably what we're talking about of how 578 00:31:19,800 --> 00:31:23,680 things are going to fall like. And it really depends on what 579 00:31:23,720 --> 00:31:26,840 these results for really the FTCS really would would be those 580 00:31:26,880 --> 00:31:30,400 teams that would probably take that 5678, those home games. 581 00:31:30,760 --> 00:31:33,280 Yeah, going to be a lot of fun to watch. 582 00:31:33,280 --> 00:31:35,840 We'll keep an eye on it here at Crimson Cast Headquarters. 583 00:31:35,960 --> 00:31:39,000 Matt Blaska, thank you again for joining us on the show. 584 00:31:39,000 --> 00:31:42,200 A lot of fun and and really enjoyed get a chance to chat 585 00:31:42,200 --> 00:31:43,720 with you about that. Thanks to all you folks for 586 00:31:43,720 --> 00:31:45,720 listening and we'll have some content coming up next week. 587 00:31:45,720 --> 00:31:49,360 A ton of content as we get ready for Indiana and Ohio State. 588 00:31:49,360 --> 00:31:52,000 The big top five match up that'll be taking place in 589 00:31:52,000 --> 00:31:53,720 Columbus format. I'm Galen. 590 00:31:53,720 --> 00:31:55,200 This is Crimson cast. We'll catch you folks. 591 00:31:55,200 --> 00:31:58,360 On the flip side, bring back the bison stay never daunted. 592 00:31:59,000 --> 00:31:59,640 It's all on everybody.