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You're listening to the back 
home network, presented by home 

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field apparel. 
Welcome back to the bracket 

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racket. 
Yeah, I'm glad you're joining 

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you. 
Once again, it is go time for 

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the n-c-double-a tournament 
selection process as we are a 

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week away today. 
Sunday, March 5th from the draw.

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I'm recording this a 1050 in the
morning to start with here. 

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And that means that not only are
we only seven days away. 

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From the draw we're seven days 
and like seven hours away. 

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So, this is great. 
This is exactly the time period 

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that I look forward to every 
season. 

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As the conference tournaments 
start to wrap up. 

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We actually have had a couple 
decided already Southeast 

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Missouri State. 
Congratulations, you are 

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underway in an overtime over 
Tennessee Tech and Fairleigh 

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Dickinson. 
Congrats, I guess, as you want a

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semi-final, but you're in a 
conference that has teams. 

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Aren't eligible for the NCAA 
tournament. 

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So I think at this point unless 
there's some huge surprise in 

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another Conference tournament. 
We've got the two worst teams in

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the field. 
Now, we've got Fairleigh 

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Dickinson Southeast Missouri 
State, almost certain to be a 

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first for game in Dayton between
those two teams again unless we 

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get other upsets as they are 
both real bad. 

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So, anyway, we've got 68 teams 
to put in the field. 

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We've got two teams already in 
the field. 

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Old. 
And so now the next week will 

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help us decide the rest of those
and we're going to talk about it

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here we had some questions from 
you folks in basketball land 

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about what's going on with the 
brackets. 

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Am I you related stuff some 
general related stuff? 

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I'm going to walk through where 
I'm at bracket wise right now. 

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Answer those questions and look 
forward to the important games, 

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not just today, but in the next 
couple of days, as far as who's 

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going to get in and what's 
eating those teams end up having

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before that just a reminder, 
that the bracket racket is a And

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podcast of crimson cast and we 
are all part of the back home 

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network and the back home 
network is, of course, the place

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to go for some of the best 
podcasting that you're going to 

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find regarding IU Sports, of 
course assembly, call every 

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game. 
There there after the game win 

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or lose talking about what 
happened with the Hoosiers, 

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you've got to do the work 
podcast covering the women's 

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team tough loss yesterday in 
Minneapolis. 

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You've also got the Crimson cast
women's basketball show with 

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Amanda Foster, that comes out 
generally every Tuesday, 

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although Probably going to have 
a few more episodes coming up 

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here relatively soon. 
Be sure to check out the back 

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The regular social media World, 

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always a good, listen, whether 
it's coach, add Rania talking 

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through, what's been going on 
with IU on the floor, whether 

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it's interviews with assistant 
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Hoosiers, just a lot of really 
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I just put an order in. 
I had another gift certificate 

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waiting for me because I've 
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feel the Peril, so it's able to 
pick up some of their new 

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collection. 
I, it's funny like the we talked

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about this last time with Scott.
We've talked about it with some 

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others. 
Like we've all got our our color

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niches that we like to go for 
For and I've been missing a nice

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red hooded sweatshirt. 
So you SC collection drops, I'm 

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all over that right there. 
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All right let's I've right into 

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it, where we at right now, with 
the bracket I just put my most 

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recent one together, put it up 
on Twitter, so if you want to go

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check it out and see where 
everything's at. 

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I can tell you right now with 
Alabama's loss. 

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And with Kansas overall resume, 
I do have Kansas now is the 

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number one, overall seed, it's 
real tight, and I can easily see

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Alabama being the number one 
seed overall still. 

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But I also think it doesn't 
matter that much because 

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frankly, last week I had Kansas 
is the number two overall, All 

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seed in the true seed list and 
so that means essentially Kansas

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going in the Midwest and less 
something insane happens. 

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And Alabama's going to the South
and both of those teams are 

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pretty much locked into their 
first and second round sites, 

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Kansas in Des Moines and 
Alabama. 

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In Birmingham, I keep going back
and forth about the other two. 

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Number one seeds, I maintain 
that they're going to keep 

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Houston as the number three 
overall team in the seed list, 

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even though they don't have his 
impressive wins as the teams 

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around them. 
They've also only lost Games and

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I have a hard time seeing them 
losing the American tournament 

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and the committee just likes to 
reward those sorts of teams and 

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all the predictive numbers say 
Houston is maybe the best team 

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in the country regardless of 
wins or losses, and who they 

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played. 
So I've got Houston as the 

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number three overall and Purdue 
UCLA. 

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I've got them going back and 
forth at UCLA as my fourth. 

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Number one seed throughout the 
course of this week, but I 

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really did a close look at these
two teams and I think you can 

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make Humans for either is the 
fourth number one. 

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I went ahead and put Purdue back
in today as I just think they're

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slightly stronger, even with 
UCLA beating Arizona last night 

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at home. 
I'll give Purdue the nod but 

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that's going to be one of those 
where it could go either way it 

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really could. 
And I think Purdue definitely 

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needs to win today against 
Illinois at home on senior night

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or senior day or whatever it is 
there and probably needs to win 

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a couple of games in the Big 
Ten. 

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Tournament get themselves to the
title game. 

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Because UCLA probably going to 
run the table. 

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I think in the Pac-12 
tournament, they just look like 

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by far the strongest of the 
teams out there. 

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Looking more at the top of the 
bracket, my two seeds right now 

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UCLA as the top two seed, 
followed by Baylor, followed by 

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Texas, followed by Marquette. 
Again, this is a group and I 

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think you can throw frankly, 
Arizona Gonzaga and Kansas State

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and maybe even Yukon in the mix.
I think once you get past the 

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UCLA, I could see Arguments for 
Or against any of those teams is

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the twos. 
I think Baylor's got a slightly 

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more impressive overall resume 
than Texas right out just 

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slightly. 
And I think Marquette has 

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certainly superseded, what 
Arizona has done thus far? 

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I think they're better than 
Gonzaga, and I think that, you 

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know, their overall performance 
warrants a two seed more than 

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Kansas State or Yukon at this 
point. 

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So that's really how I have it 
set up. 

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It goes Baylor, Texas Marquette 
along with UCLA as the two seeds

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and then Arizona, Gonzaga Kansas
Eight Yukon. 

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As the three seats for seeds is 
really where it starts to get a 

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little bit messy right now, my 
four seeds are Xavier as the 

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13th. 
Overall, on the seed list. 

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Indiana is the 14th overall and 
that I've got Tennessee 15th and

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Miami 16th. 
The thing I'll note with all of 

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these is Tennessee is the 
biggest wild card. 

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I think if you go strictly off 
of resume and quality of wins 

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and overall strength, in terms 
of the net, you could Make an 

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argument for Tennessee, still 
being a two-seat. 

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But between the number of 
losses, they've sustained 

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lately, the injury situation 
that they're dealing with. 

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And this the fact that, you 
know, when you look at their 

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record in the SEC and you look 
at what they've done overall, I 

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just, I don't know if it's quite
as impressive right now and if, 

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you know you we hear a lot about
like, how do we judge these 

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teams? 
I just don't know if what 

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they've done, is actually worth,
even a three seed, at this 

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point, because you look at their
overall, Well resume, they are 

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great in the predictive 
statistics, they are still 

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there, S and B Pi, their third, 
and Sager, and their fifth in 

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can Palm like those are really 
good numbers but they're also 22

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and nine. 
There they've got a trojan 

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neutral winds which is fine but 
most of their best work away 

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from home happened a long time 
ago you know the last time they 

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won a road game against a team 
that's likely to be in the field

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was at Mississippi State on the 
17th of January. 

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And when they did that, At 
Mississippi, State wasn't in the

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field, you know, they've lost a 
lot of games lately, and the 

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games haven't been bad numbers 
wise, you know? 

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But you can only sustain so many
they in February and March, 

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they've lost it Florida. 
They've lost it Kentucky. 

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They've lost it Texas. 
A&M, they've lost now at Auburn,

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they lost by 10 to Auburn last 
night. 

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They lost at Vanderbilt. 
It's just when I look at that 

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team from my perspective, I'm 
like this team is not playing 

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very well. 
They're going to finish 11 and 7

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in the SEC which is Of itself, 
doesn't matter that much. 

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But what does matter is the 
overall body of work and it just

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feels like things have drifted 
away from Tennessee. 

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So I won't be shocked if there 
are three seed. 

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I'll be a little surprised if 
there are two, but I really 

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think they're going to land on 
the for line. 

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If not a little bit lower than 
that, five line for me, 

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Creighton st. 
Mary's Virginia San Diego State 

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and then I'll round it out with 
the sixth line, Kentucky. 

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TCU Texas A&M big win yesterday,
over Alabama and then I've got 

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Michigan State actually as the 
last 60 Michigan State's really 

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come on strong. 
They were hovering around the 

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910 part of the bracket for me, 
but they've made a lot of really

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positive strides here lately. 
I think as far as how their team

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looks and where they rank 
overall, I've got them. 

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Just slightly ahead of Duke who 
is my top 7 seed right now. 

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So looking at all of that 
jumping down to the bottom of 

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the bracket. 
This is, it's getting 

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progressively harder to suss out
exactly who's going to end up in

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the field and Again I'll go back
to what we've talked about many 

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times on this show and on 
Crimson cast regarding how this 

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process works. 
It is not one person sitting 

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there, trying to map out the 
whole field. 

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That's just not how the 
operation works. 

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It is a committee and the 
committee votes. 

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And so you get some results and 
some placements that don't 

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necessarily make sense in a 
vacuum, but do make sense. 

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If you think about it as hey, 
we've got eight teams, ranked 

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these eight teams and we're 
going to take the top four. 

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And see them or we're going to 
take the top four and those will

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be the last four teams in the 
tournament. 

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So, you know, when I look at it,
like the last four teams I have 

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in, as at large has right now, 
I've got pit, Missouri, 

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Providence and Mississippi 
State. 

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Those are the last four buys. 
And then the the last four in, 

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so, the teams that would go into
the play and games are North 

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Carolina State, Utah, State, and
Nevada, and Oklahoma State. 

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That's my reading right now. 
Why those teams, you know, it 

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really comes down to 
accommodate. 

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Nation of things. 
And, and when you look at the 

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teams that I've got, just on the
outside looking in, it's Arizona

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State, Penn State, North 
Carolina and Michigan. 

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Honestly, at this point, I could
see Arguments for all four of 

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those teams above any of the 
four that we put in in the last 

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four in. 
But I think the overall 

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Arguments for each of the teams 
I've got in right now is just 

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slightly stronger. 
Each of them are a little bit 

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different. 
You know, North Carolina state 

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is a team that has, they were in
much better shape. 

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Shape. 
And then they just, they had a 

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bunch of bad decisions. 
Probably the biggest bad 

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decision, was getting 
obliterated by Clemson on the 

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road, excuse me at home, on the 
25th of February, but North 

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Carolina State, they, you know, 
they've beaten Duke. 

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They wanted Virginia Tech, which
isn't that great of a thing, but

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overall, their resumes pretty 
good. 

224
00:11:59,800 --> 00:12:02,000
They really don't have a bad 
loss. 

225
00:12:02,400 --> 00:12:05,500
Although the loss they had at 
Syracuse is kind of hovering 

226
00:12:05,500 --> 00:12:08,200
around potentially dropping from
quad to to quad three. 

227
00:12:09,200 --> 00:12:11,700
They've got seven total quad 
one. 

228
00:12:11,900 --> 00:12:14,000
Got two victories. 
They've got seven wins away from

229
00:12:14,000 --> 00:12:17,600
home overall and their strength 
of schedule overall is 77th 

230
00:12:17,600 --> 00:12:21,500
which isn't that terrible? 
You look at Utah State, a 

231
00:12:21,500 --> 00:12:27,200
classic case of a team getting 
their resume pumped up by a 

232
00:12:27,200 --> 00:12:30,400
conference, that knows how to 
schedule properly Utah. 

233
00:12:30,400 --> 00:12:34,800
State only one win in Quad one 
and it actually just happened. 

234
00:12:34,800 --> 00:12:40,300
It was their win against Boise 
State on Saturday and you look 

235
00:12:40,300 --> 00:12:44,800
at them and they have really Lee
a bunch of quad 2 wins that look

236
00:12:44,800 --> 00:12:47,800
pretty good on paper. 
The big thing with Utah state 

237
00:12:47,800 --> 00:12:50,100
is, how much are they going to 
get punished for the, to quad 4 

238
00:12:50,100 --> 00:12:52,100
losses? 
They had at the end of December?

239
00:12:52,800 --> 00:12:55,400
That is the big open question, 
but the rest of their resume 

240
00:12:55,400 --> 00:13:00,100
looks really good, you know, 
they're their resume overall. 

241
00:13:00,100 --> 00:13:04,200
If you look at kpi, their 14th 
on resume, now, that's probably 

242
00:13:04,200 --> 00:13:08,800
a bit of a misleading statistic 
because strength of record has 

243
00:13:08,800 --> 00:13:11,600
them 38. 
The nitty-gritty report has them

244
00:13:11,600 --> 00:13:14,500
for Night there qualitative is, 
are kind of the opposite can 

245
00:13:14,500 --> 00:13:17,600
Palm loves Utah. 
State be Pi does not. 

246
00:13:17,800 --> 00:13:20,400
So they kind of are one of those
teams at twenty, four and seven.

247
00:13:20,400 --> 00:13:22,800
Overall a kind of lands in the 
middle of things. 

248
00:13:22,800 --> 00:13:24,400
They do have 10 wins away from 
home. 

249
00:13:25,300 --> 00:13:28,500
They just they feel like one of 
those teams kind of like Wyoming

250
00:13:28,500 --> 00:13:30,100
last year. 
That's going to get rewarded for

251
00:13:30,100 --> 00:13:33,400
an overall body of work rather 
than being rewarded specifically

252
00:13:33,400 --> 00:13:36,800
for big wins. 
Nevada was safely in my field 

253
00:13:36,800 --> 00:13:39,800
for a long time but they have 
suffered some some poor results 

254
00:13:39,800 --> 00:13:41,700
here lately including losing at 
home. 

255
00:13:41,800 --> 00:13:44,600
Home in overtime to you UNLV 
last night. 

256
00:13:44,600 --> 00:13:48,200
That's that's not good. 
And then losing at Wyoming last 

257
00:13:48,200 --> 00:13:49,700
week. 
Also not good. 

258
00:13:50,300 --> 00:13:53,500
So right now, I've dropped them 
all the way down to the second 

259
00:13:53,500 --> 00:13:55,900
to last team in and I wouldn't 
be shocked if they didn't make 

260
00:13:55,900 --> 00:13:58,400
it in at all. 
You know, they do have some good

261
00:13:58,400 --> 00:14:01,700
wins, but most of them are at 
home, San Diego State, Utah, 

262
00:14:01,700 --> 00:14:04,300
State Boise State. 
They also have a one-point win 

263
00:14:04,500 --> 00:14:09,200
at New Mexico and it's again, 
one of those teams where they 

264
00:14:09,208 --> 00:14:11,600
don't have the bottom feeder 
losses. 

265
00:14:11,600 --> 00:14:14,300
But To quad three losses now, 
and both of them happened in the

266
00:14:14,308 --> 00:14:16,900
last week. 
So you have to look at that and 

267
00:14:16,900 --> 00:14:19,000
say, like what's going on with 
this team? 

268
00:14:20,200 --> 00:14:23,000
I still have them slightly ahead
of the last team in the field 

269
00:14:23,000 --> 00:14:26,100
and it's a team that I had 
dropped out of my field. 

270
00:14:26,700 --> 00:14:29,600
A couple of weeks ago, I think 
they may have earned their way 

271
00:14:29,600 --> 00:14:31,400
back in, and that's Oklahoma 
State. 

272
00:14:31,400 --> 00:14:35,400
This is a tough one, you know? 
They've now swept, Iowa State. 

273
00:14:35,600 --> 00:14:38,000
They want at Texas Tech, they 
wanted Oklahoma. 

274
00:14:38,000 --> 00:14:40,400
Now, only three of those only of
those three games. 

275
00:14:40,400 --> 00:14:42,400
I think, only one of those teams
is making Get in, but those are 

276
00:14:42,400 --> 00:14:46,200
still really good wins. 
And then the question is like, 

277
00:14:46,200 --> 00:14:48,900
how much are we going to punish 
Oklahoma state for a one-point? 

278
00:14:48,900 --> 00:14:52,200
Tier 3 loss that happened the 
first week of the college 

279
00:14:52,200 --> 00:14:55,400
basketball season that was that 
loss of they had at home to 

280
00:14:55,400 --> 00:14:58,300
Southern Illinois. 
They've they're similar case to 

281
00:14:58,300 --> 00:15:00,600
West Virginia who is I think 
definitely earn their way into 

282
00:15:00,600 --> 00:15:03,700
the field. 
Oklahoma state looks okay. 

283
00:15:03,700 --> 00:15:05,400
On paper, certainly better than 
Nevada. 

284
00:15:05,400 --> 00:15:09,600
Does they just? 
I just, it's one of those games 

285
00:15:09,600 --> 00:15:11,700
and one of those teams where 
it's hard to say, for sure. 

286
00:15:11,800 --> 00:15:15,000
What the committee's going to 
look at and decide to do as far 

287
00:15:15,000 --> 00:15:17,500
as the team's out. 
Arizona state had a golden 

288
00:15:17,500 --> 00:15:21,200
opportunity to get themselves 
into the field last night and 

289
00:15:21,200 --> 00:15:27,800
they blew it as they end up 
losing against USC at home. 

290
00:15:27,800 --> 00:15:31,300
Excuse me, on the road by 3, 
that's not a bad loss per se, 

291
00:15:31,300 --> 00:15:33,900
but that's a team that 
desperately needed that win, 

292
00:15:33,900 --> 00:15:36,200
even though it would have just 
been a tear to Victory. 

293
00:15:36,300 --> 00:15:39,600
It would have been a game that 
sorry I guess. 

294
00:15:39,600 --> 00:15:41,100
That would have been a tier one 
victory that would have probably

295
00:15:41,100 --> 00:15:43,800
pushed him over the The Edge 
there right on the borderline. 

296
00:15:43,800 --> 00:15:45,200
As you know, they've done some 
good work. 

297
00:15:45,200 --> 00:15:48,200
They want ad Arizona. 
They won on a neutral Court 

298
00:15:48,200 --> 00:15:50,000
versus Creighton. 
They want a door again, they 

299
00:15:50,000 --> 00:15:52,700
want a Colorado, they beat 
Michigan on, a neutral floor, 

300
00:15:53,300 --> 00:15:56,300
pretty handily. 
So again, it's one of those 

301
00:15:56,300 --> 00:15:59,600
teams where I won't be shocked 
if they find their way in and I 

302
00:15:59,600 --> 00:16:02,100
keep going back and forth on 
whether they deserve to be in 

303
00:16:02,400 --> 00:16:04,800
Penn State is right there with 
them. 

304
00:16:04,900 --> 00:16:08,000
And Penn State, I know of 
interest to a lot of teams, 

305
00:16:08,300 --> 00:16:09,900
they've picked up some scallops 
as well. 

306
00:16:09,900 --> 00:16:12,700
I actually think Penn State and 
Arizona, State or Similar spots 

307
00:16:12,700 --> 00:16:15,900
here where Penn State's wanted 
Illinois they want at 

308
00:16:15,900 --> 00:16:17,800
Northwestern they wanted Ohio 
State. 

309
00:16:18,300 --> 00:16:22,500
You know they had what's a tier 
3 loss at home to Wisconsin but 

310
00:16:22,500 --> 00:16:26,000
it's hard to really like punish 
them too much for that. 

311
00:16:26,400 --> 00:16:29,100
They're big problem is they just
predictive is don't look that 

312
00:16:29,100 --> 00:16:31,000
great and their resumes kind of 
meth. 

313
00:16:31,800 --> 00:16:35,000
You know you get you get outside
of what they did in those games 

314
00:16:35,000 --> 00:16:38,100
and the rest of their winds, 
aren't that impressive that the 

315
00:16:38,100 --> 00:16:39,900
further away you get from quad 
one. 

316
00:16:40,700 --> 00:16:44,300
So I look at those two teams, I 
think, Arizona State probably 

317
00:16:44,300 --> 00:16:47,900
slightly gets the nod over Penn 
State but again it's closed and 

318
00:16:47,900 --> 00:16:50,800
again I wouldn't be shocked if 
either or both of those teams if

319
00:16:50,800 --> 00:16:52,900
they can string together a 
winner to in their conference 

320
00:16:52,900 --> 00:16:56,800
tournaments finds their way in 
the last two teams in my first 

321
00:16:56,800 --> 00:17:00,000
four out North Carolina. 
They again, very similar to 

322
00:17:00,000 --> 00:17:01,800
Arizona. 
State had a golden opportunity 

323
00:17:02,000 --> 00:17:03,800
to beat Duke at home. 
I think that would have put them

324
00:17:03,800 --> 00:17:05,300
in the field. 
I have them in the field. 

325
00:17:05,300 --> 00:17:08,400
Last time I took them back out. 
They just don't have any wins 

326
00:17:08,700 --> 00:17:11,900
and then Michigan. 
Still has a lot to play for. you

327
00:17:11,900 --> 00:17:13,900
know, if you're listening to 
this before the Indiana Michigan

328
00:17:13,900 --> 00:17:15,700
game, this is what should 
concern you because this 

329
00:17:15,700 --> 00:17:20,700
Michigan team is right on the 
borderline and a win on the road

330
00:17:20,700 --> 00:17:23,500
would probably push them fully 
into the field because that's 

331
00:17:23,500 --> 00:17:28,099
really, you know, they need one 
more kind of quad one style win,

332
00:17:28,099 --> 00:17:30,800
I think to separate themselves a
little bit from the teams around

333
00:17:30,800 --> 00:17:34,100
them and probably I would say 
push them ahead of a Oklahoma 

334
00:17:34,100 --> 00:17:39,000
State because their overall like
record is like a weaker version 

335
00:17:39,000 --> 00:17:42,600
of Oklahoma State's but I think 
that if they I were to pick up 

336
00:17:42,600 --> 00:17:45,900
another quad one Victory. 
They might be able to get past, 

337
00:17:46,100 --> 00:17:49,200
not just them, but also in 
Nevada, as well as the rest of 

338
00:17:49,208 --> 00:17:52,200
the teams that are kind of in 
that mix just outside the field.

339
00:17:52,200 --> 00:17:58,300
So so a lot going on today and 
certainly when you look at not 

340
00:17:58,300 --> 00:18:02,100
just seating but also selection,
you know, the big thing right 

341
00:18:02,100 --> 00:18:04,700
now. 
I think for a team like Indiana 

342
00:18:04,700 --> 00:18:11,000
is if you win today you're 
you're probably not going to do 

343
00:18:11,000 --> 00:18:13,800
a whole lot to Push yourself 
ahead of the other teams around 

344
00:18:13,800 --> 00:18:17,200
you in the seating process. 
But if you lose today, I think 

345
00:18:17,200 --> 00:18:21,100
you start to legitimately cause 
some questions about what is 

346
00:18:21,100 --> 00:18:22,700
this. 
Actually, a four seed, or is 

347
00:18:22,700 --> 00:18:25,300
this team? 
More of a five or even a six. 

348
00:18:25,300 --> 00:18:29,100
I have a hard time seeing them 
dropping below a 5 even if they 

349
00:18:29,100 --> 00:18:32,700
lose today. 
But the problem is like, now you

350
00:18:32,700 --> 00:18:34,800
put yourself in a position. 
If you're Indiana, where if you 

351
00:18:34,800 --> 00:18:38,900
lose today and results, don't go
your way, you're going to end up

352
00:18:38,900 --> 00:18:41,600
in the 89 game and that's not a 
great place to be. 

353
00:18:41,700 --> 00:18:44,600
Be because you could end up 
playing in Northwestern or 

354
00:18:44,600 --> 00:18:48,000
Rutgers, those are not great 
losses on neutral floors. 

355
00:18:48,000 --> 00:18:49,800
If you then turn around and lose
that one as well. 

356
00:18:49,800 --> 00:18:52,600
And now you've lost at that 
point three in a row. 

357
00:18:53,000 --> 00:18:55,000
If you were to lose that first 
round game in the Big Ten 

358
00:18:55,000 --> 00:18:58,400
tournament and that, that could 
drop you down to a six because 

359
00:18:58,400 --> 00:19:01,400
you're really at that point, 
you're thinking about people, I 

360
00:19:01,400 --> 00:19:03,700
think to some degree. 
Forget that if you look at the 

361
00:19:03,700 --> 00:19:08,600
top 25, that's essentially the 
if you were, if they were seated

362
00:19:08,600 --> 00:19:12,500
in a bracket that be your top 
six seed lines, All plus like 

363
00:19:12,500 --> 00:19:15,000
the top seven scene. 
So you could be ranked in the 

364
00:19:15,000 --> 00:19:19,600
top 25 and still be a six or a 
seven seed very easily. 

365
00:19:19,600 --> 00:19:23,200
And I think sometimes people 
view six and seven seeds is you 

366
00:19:23,208 --> 00:19:25,300
know, essentially being also-ran
style teams. 

367
00:19:25,300 --> 00:19:28,100
It's a pretty good teams there 
in terms of record that just 

368
00:19:28,100 --> 00:19:30,800
don't measure up because they 
don't win the games that matter 

369
00:19:31,300 --> 00:19:33,500
or their my resume just doesn't 
stack up. 

370
00:19:33,900 --> 00:19:35,500
So you know, any Anna wins this 
one. 

371
00:19:35,500 --> 00:19:37,300
It's a win against a borderline 
tournament. 

372
00:19:37,300 --> 00:19:41,600
Team, I probably doesn't move 
them ahead of a savior or a 

373
00:19:41,700 --> 00:19:43,500
Ticket. 
But a loss here. 

374
00:19:43,500 --> 00:19:46,600
I think, definitely could cause 
some problems for Indiana, if 

375
00:19:46,600 --> 00:19:49,000
they, they don't pick it up here
because then they find 

376
00:19:49,000 --> 00:19:51,200
themselves in a really tough 
situation. 

377
00:19:51,200 --> 00:19:55,100
Moving into the tournament 
itself, elsewhere in the Big Ten

378
00:19:56,100 --> 00:19:58,400
right now. 
There's just as you've seen, you

379
00:19:58,400 --> 00:20:01,100
know, the Big Ten, there's been 
a lot of talk about how they 

380
00:20:01,100 --> 00:20:04,300
are. 
There's a 7 way tie for second 

381
00:20:04,300 --> 00:20:07,000
place or whatever it is. 
Everybody's kind of mid as the 

382
00:20:07,000 --> 00:20:11,300
kids would say and that shows 
when you look at the seed list I

383
00:20:11,308 --> 00:20:15,400
mean Now as I go through the Big
Ten seating, I've got Purdue as 

384
00:20:15,400 --> 00:20:18,700
a one. 
I've got Indiana as a 4, and 

385
00:20:18,700 --> 00:20:21,600
then you get back past those 
teams and it's like, well, who 

386
00:20:21,600 --> 00:20:24,800
do we have left in the Big Ten? 
Well, the next team is Michigan 

387
00:20:24,800 --> 00:20:26,200
State. 
Who I've got is a 6, then I've 

388
00:20:26,200 --> 00:20:28,400
got Maryland as the last seven 
seed. 

389
00:20:28,700 --> 00:20:33,200
I've got Northwestern Iowa and 
Illinois, all is eight seeds. 

390
00:20:33,200 --> 00:20:35,700
That was fun to bracket. 
Let me tell you, I've got 

391
00:20:35,700 --> 00:20:38,600
Rutgers down on the tan line at 
this point because they've 

392
00:20:38,600 --> 00:20:41,500
really struggled losing that 
game to Minnesota. 

393
00:20:41,700 --> 00:20:44,400
Yeah, that was about as poorly 
timed to losses. 

394
00:20:44,400 --> 00:20:47,800
You could have if you were if 
your Rutgers, you know. 

395
00:20:47,800 --> 00:20:51,000
So essentially what I'm saying 
here is that the Big Ten has a 

396
00:20:51,000 --> 00:20:53,300
bunch of teams that have not 
distinguished themselves. 

397
00:20:53,300 --> 00:20:57,200
This is the last game day for 
people to do that but the 

398
00:20:57,200 --> 00:20:59,700
problem is a lot of these teams 
are in tough situations where 

399
00:20:59,700 --> 00:21:03,700
there it could very well lose. 
I mean Iowa, I'd be surprised if

400
00:21:03,700 --> 00:21:06,600
Iowa lost at home to Nebraska, I
really would. 

401
00:21:06,800 --> 00:21:09,900
But I wouldn't be shocked given 
how Mercurial this Iowa team has

402
00:21:09,900 --> 00:21:11,400
been over the course of the 
season. 

403
00:21:11,800 --> 00:21:13,300
Michigan, we talked about 
already. 

404
00:21:13,300 --> 00:21:15,400
They absolutely have to have 
this game in Indiana. 

405
00:21:15,400 --> 00:21:17,700
If they want to have a shot at 
getting into the NCAA 

406
00:21:17,700 --> 00:21:21,900
tournament, Maryland is played. 
So badly away from home and so 

407
00:21:21,900 --> 00:21:26,600
amazingly at home, you would 
have expected Maryland, having 

408
00:21:26,600 --> 00:21:29,300
played as well, as they had at 
home to go win at Ohio. 

409
00:21:29,300 --> 00:21:32,400
State earlier this week, though.
They didn't they lost that game?

410
00:21:32,600 --> 00:21:34,100
Now, they got to go to Penn 
State. 

411
00:21:34,100 --> 00:21:36,100
Who's right on the borderline of
the tournament. 

412
00:21:36,700 --> 00:21:38,500
Are they going to be able to win
at Penn State? 

413
00:21:39,200 --> 00:21:41,600
If they do, it would be the 
first time? 

414
00:21:41,700 --> 00:21:43,200
Time. 
It feels like in a while that 

415
00:21:43,200 --> 00:21:45,700
we've seen, Maryland actually do
something worthwhile away from 

416
00:21:45,700 --> 00:21:48,500
home against the decent team. 
So, Marilyn, who's right on the 

417
00:21:48,508 --> 00:21:51,400
borderline. 
There of a seven seed, they lose

418
00:21:51,400 --> 00:21:53,500
that game. 
That's certainly not going to 

419
00:21:53,500 --> 00:21:56,800
help them. 
Illinois, desperately needs to 

420
00:21:56,900 --> 00:22:00,100
get another win to demonstrate 
who they are, but they got to go

421
00:22:00,108 --> 00:22:03,500
to Purdue who weathered the 
Storm at Wisconsin. 

422
00:22:03,900 --> 00:22:06,700
And I think it's put themselves 
in a position where I have a 

423
00:22:06,708 --> 00:22:09,100
hard time seeing Illinois in 
that kind of an emotionally 

424
00:22:09,100 --> 00:22:11,500
charged environment going in and
winning North. 

425
00:22:11,700 --> 00:22:16,000
Australian Rutgers, you know, 
Rutgers has really the bottom 

426
00:22:16,000 --> 00:22:19,100
feels like it's falling out of 
Rutgers to a large degree and 

427
00:22:19,100 --> 00:22:23,600
it's kind of interesting because
as as much as we've heard people

428
00:22:23,600 --> 00:22:27,100
like, you know, Gio Baker 
chirping about like Indiana, not

429
00:22:27,100 --> 00:22:29,900
being tough. 
You look at this Rutgers team 

430
00:22:29,900 --> 00:22:32,700
and they have lost five of their
last seven. 

431
00:22:33,200 --> 00:22:35,800
And two of those were at home. 
One of them was to Nebraska by 

432
00:22:35,800 --> 00:22:37,400
10. 
One of them was to Michigan, 

433
00:22:38,200 --> 00:22:40,000
these are teams that are kind of
in contact. 

434
00:22:40,000 --> 00:22:41,500
They did turn around and win at 
Penn. 

435
00:22:41,600 --> 00:22:43,100
Eight. 
But then they turn around and 

436
00:22:43,100 --> 00:22:46,600
lost at Minnesota and now they 
have Northwestern at home. 

437
00:22:46,600 --> 00:22:48,900
Northwestern has struggled a 
little bit down the stretch 

438
00:22:48,900 --> 00:22:50,500
here. 
They've lost three in a row. 

439
00:22:51,300 --> 00:22:53,500
You know, Northwestern went from
looking like the odds-on 

440
00:22:53,500 --> 00:22:56,500
favorite to be the two-seat, 
Northwestern could potentially 

441
00:22:56,500 --> 00:22:59,600
be the nine seed if they lose. 
So both of these teams have a 

442
00:22:59,600 --> 00:23:05,200
lot to play for and I would say 
you know Rutgers honestly they 

443
00:23:05,200 --> 00:23:09,100
lose this game, they might be in
the first four conversation that

444
00:23:09,100 --> 00:23:14,300
that seems extreme, but If you 
look at Rutgers resume their, 

445
00:23:14,300 --> 00:23:16,400
it's one of the more 
schizophrenic teams that you've 

446
00:23:16,400 --> 00:23:20,400
seen because they're, you know, 
they won at Purdue. 

447
00:23:20,500 --> 00:23:22,700
That's one of the best wins of 
the Season away from home. 

448
00:23:22,700 --> 00:23:25,100
They want it Northwestern, they 
want it Penn State, but they've 

449
00:23:25,100 --> 00:23:28,800
lost to Nebraska Temple. 
And at Minnesota, those are all 

450
00:23:28,800 --> 00:23:31,800
tier 3 losses. 
They've only won four games away

451
00:23:31,800 --> 00:23:34,400
from home period and the 
tournament selection committee 

452
00:23:34,400 --> 00:23:35,500
really? 
Doesn't like that. 

453
00:23:36,100 --> 00:23:39,900
If they lose today at home, 
they'd be 10 and 10, 18 and 13 

454
00:23:40,300 --> 00:23:43,700
and You know would be a team 
that would have to win. 

455
00:23:43,700 --> 00:23:46,800
I think, their first round game 
in the Big Ten Tournament to to 

456
00:23:46,800 --> 00:23:48,700
avoid falling into the first 
four. 

457
00:23:49,100 --> 00:23:52,600
Northwestern is kind of the 
opposite in that they don't look

458
00:23:52,600 --> 00:23:56,000
that great on paper, they've 
certainly done enough to get 

459
00:23:56,000 --> 00:23:58,400
themselves into the field. 
But this is a team that before 

460
00:23:58,400 --> 00:24:00,700
this three-game losing streak, I
think, was knocking on the door 

461
00:24:00,700 --> 00:24:03,800
of a five seed. 
If they lose this game at 

462
00:24:03,800 --> 00:24:06,300
Rutgers, and they lose four in a
row, and they finished the 

463
00:24:06,300 --> 00:24:12,000
season. 20 and 11 and 11 and 9. 
Yeah, I think seven seed Seed, 

464
00:24:12,000 --> 00:24:14,000
maybe even 9 seed is on the 
cards. 

465
00:24:14,000 --> 00:24:17,000
So this is where the rubber hits
the road for a lot of these Big 

466
00:24:17,000 --> 00:24:20,000
Ten teams. 
If you're an IU fan with the Big

467
00:24:20,000 --> 00:24:23,000
Ten Tournament, you want to see 
this team, get the double by 

468
00:24:23,200 --> 00:24:26,600
just to minimize the damage. 
That might be caused by a loss, 

469
00:24:27,100 --> 00:24:30,000
and the reality that Indiana 
doesn't need to play extra games

470
00:24:30,000 --> 00:24:34,700
to maintain a protected seed, a 
top four seed in the NCAA 

471
00:24:34,700 --> 00:24:37,700
tournament. 
So if you're Indiana, if you're 

472
00:24:37,700 --> 00:24:41,200
Indiana fan, like what you're 
really rooting for today, you 

473
00:24:41,208 --> 00:24:44,900
know, the The ideal scenario 
would be Indiana, winning 

474
00:24:45,500 --> 00:24:49,400
Rutgers beating Northwestern and
Iowa losing to Nebraska. 

475
00:24:49,400 --> 00:24:52,500
And if that happens, Indiana is 
the two seed and Rutgers is the 

476
00:24:52,500 --> 00:24:56,300
3 seed, and let me tell you, 
sign me up for that scenario, 

477
00:24:56,900 --> 00:25:00,100
because at that point, if you're
Indiana, you get to play either 

478
00:25:00,100 --> 00:25:02,100
Michigan or Penn State on a 
neutral floor. 

479
00:25:02,300 --> 00:25:08,100
If Penn State wins their game 
obviously, you know, and that 

480
00:25:08,700 --> 00:25:11,100
that's big because I think both 
of those teams are beatable on 

481
00:25:11,100 --> 00:25:13,100
neutral. 
Hours and then it's going to be 

482
00:25:13,100 --> 00:25:18,600
Rutgers Maryland essentially in 
the other semifinal and that 

483
00:25:19,200 --> 00:25:21,000
this is one of the tricky. 
Things about the Big Ten 

484
00:25:21,000 --> 00:25:22,600
Tournament. 
Like you really want to avoid 

485
00:25:22,600 --> 00:25:28,600
being the three seed because the
three seed has to play at 9:00 

486
00:25:28,600 --> 00:25:33,200
eastern time on Friday, then 
they have to turn around and 

487
00:25:33,200 --> 00:25:37,000
play at 3:30 Eastern time on 
Saturday against a team that 

488
00:25:37,000 --> 00:25:40,500
played earlier in the day. 
And whoever the two-seat is, 

489
00:25:40,500 --> 00:25:43,100
it's kind of like, They want the
two seed protected, they 

490
00:25:43,100 --> 00:25:45,300
actually end up punishing the 
three seed more than they 

491
00:25:45,300 --> 00:25:48,300
should, I think in those sorts 
of matchups just with the 

492
00:25:48,300 --> 00:25:50,900
turnaround time. 
So if your eye you that's your 

493
00:25:50,900 --> 00:25:54,800
ultimate scenario. 
You want to see essentially 

494
00:25:55,100 --> 00:25:58,600
Nebraska win at Iowa, you want 
to see Penn State win at home 

495
00:25:58,600 --> 00:26:00,700
versus Maryland. 
Purdue one at home versus 

496
00:26:00,700 --> 00:26:04,400
Illinois and Rutgers win at home
versus Northwestern. 

497
00:26:05,100 --> 00:26:08,700
Now, if Iowa winds and 
everything else holds Iowa, is 

498
00:26:08,700 --> 00:26:12,500
the two seed. 
Rutgers is the 3iu is the That's

499
00:26:12,500 --> 00:26:13,700
not the worst thing in the 
world. 

500
00:26:13,700 --> 00:26:15,900
Except that, at that point I use
going to have to end up playing 

501
00:26:15,900 --> 00:26:19,700
probably Michigan State in the 
first game in the quarterfinals 

502
00:26:19,700 --> 00:26:21,600
on Friday. 
That's, that's, I would prefer 

503
00:26:21,600 --> 00:26:24,000
to avoid that. 
Frankly, if you swap out a 

504
00:26:24,008 --> 00:26:27,600
Northwestern Victory, not a 
whole lot changes, except then 

505
00:26:27,600 --> 00:26:29,800
northwestern's the 2 seed 
instead of Iowa. 

506
00:26:31,100 --> 00:26:33,700
The other variable worth noting 
in. 

507
00:26:33,700 --> 00:26:36,500
This would be Maryland winning 
at Penn State because that would

508
00:26:36,500 --> 00:26:40,300
be the thing that would shove 
Indiana down into the five seed 

509
00:26:40,300 --> 00:26:42,900
game. 
Now there's there might be a 

510
00:26:42,900 --> 00:26:46,200
positive there because Indiana 
then gets to play the winner in 

511
00:26:46,208 --> 00:26:50,100
Nebraska, Ohio State on Thursday
and then they play Maryland on a

512
00:26:50,108 --> 00:26:52,600
neutral floor in a game that 
wouldn't necessarily hurt them. 

513
00:26:53,100 --> 00:26:55,500
But I also think playing 
Maryland on a neutral floor, 

514
00:26:55,600 --> 00:26:57,900
would be better than having to 
play them on the road. 

515
00:26:58,100 --> 00:27:00,000
I think it's a winnable game for
Indiana. 

516
00:27:00,000 --> 00:27:04,500
So all that said, you know what 
the scenarios are for the most 

517
00:27:04,500 --> 00:27:06,300
part and we're going to find out
really quickly today. 

518
00:27:06,300 --> 00:27:08,000
What ends up happening in the 
Big Ten? 

519
00:27:08,300 --> 00:27:10,900
Let's tackle some questions here
on the bracket racket before we 

520
00:27:10,900 --> 00:27:12,200
wrap things. 
Zup. 

521
00:27:14,400 --> 00:27:19,900
Let's see, rolling through here.
We had had a question from al 

522
00:27:19,900 --> 00:27:22,300
Forno. 
Assuming we end up with a four 

523
00:27:22,300 --> 00:27:24,800
or five seed in the NCAA, which 
I think is a very good 

524
00:27:24,800 --> 00:27:28,800
assumption right now. 
What one seed, do we feel best 

525
00:27:28,800 --> 00:27:31,500
and worst about playing against?
This is a really interesting 

526
00:27:31,500 --> 00:27:33,300
question. 
I was thinking about this a lot,

527
00:27:34,100 --> 00:27:35,900
you know, because you look at 
the you're not going to play 

528
00:27:35,900 --> 00:27:39,100
Purdue, they're going to keep 
you away from Purdue's region if

529
00:27:39,100 --> 00:27:42,300
Purdue is the one seat so we do,
we'll take them out of the 

530
00:27:42,300 --> 00:27:44,700
equation and I'll go ahead and 
Sub UCLA in. 

531
00:27:44,700 --> 00:27:47,800
So we're basically talking about
Houston UCLA or Kansas. 

532
00:27:48,200 --> 00:27:50,000
I would really prefer not to 
play Kansas. 

533
00:27:50,000 --> 00:27:52,900
I think Kansas is an awesome 
team and obviously Indiana 

534
00:27:52,900 --> 00:27:55,600
already got boat raised by 
Kansas earlier this year. 

535
00:27:56,400 --> 00:27:58,300
You know, would they play as 
well? 

536
00:27:58,300 --> 00:28:01,800
And what I you play as badly on 
a neutral floor, probably know, 

537
00:28:01,800 --> 00:28:05,800
in both cases, but, you know, 
Kansas just has all the earmarks

538
00:28:05,800 --> 00:28:09,900
of a team that would give 
Indiana real trouble, you know? 

539
00:28:09,900 --> 00:28:12,600
Because they score really well, 
and they also defend really 

540
00:28:12,600 --> 00:28:14,800
well. 
And And they're not overly 

541
00:28:14,800 --> 00:28:20,100
reliant on outside shots and I 
just think that we already saw 

542
00:28:20,300 --> 00:28:23,200
Kansas and the way that they're 
able to play and how difficult 

543
00:28:23,200 --> 00:28:25,800
Indiana had in terms of trying 
to defend them. 

544
00:28:26,400 --> 00:28:28,400
So I'd really prefer to avoid 
playing Kansas. 

545
00:28:28,400 --> 00:28:31,000
I'm not overly worried about the
other one seeds. 

546
00:28:31,000 --> 00:28:37,900
I got to be honest with you so I
look at Alabama and Alabama is a

547
00:28:37,900 --> 00:28:43,000
team that if you really dig into
their resume deeply, You know, 

548
00:28:43,000 --> 00:28:46,400
their best win on the Year by 
far is that when at Houston back

549
00:28:46,400 --> 00:28:48,600
in the early December and they 
deserve a lot of credit for 

550
00:28:48,600 --> 00:28:50,800
that. 
And then you look at the rest of

551
00:28:50,800 --> 00:28:55,600
their schedule and the best team
they've beaten since then is 

552
00:28:55,600 --> 00:28:58,900
probably either Kentucky or 
Arkansas. 

553
00:29:00,300 --> 00:29:03,400
I mean, it's fascinating 
because, you know, they they 

554
00:29:03,400 --> 00:29:08,000
beat Auburn Auburn. 
Has almost beat them though. 

555
00:29:08,000 --> 00:29:10,700
They took them to overtime. 
They got taken over time by 

556
00:29:10,700 --> 00:29:14,200
South Carolina. 
They only beat Arkansas at home 

557
00:29:14,200 --> 00:29:17,900
by 3:00, they lost at Texas A&M.
They've really struggled these 

558
00:29:17,900 --> 00:29:20,800
last four games and obviously 
with the Brandon Miller 

559
00:29:21,300 --> 00:29:25,700
situation there and all the the 
how - the vibe is they just look

560
00:29:25,700 --> 00:29:27,700
like a team that suddenly really
struggling. 

561
00:29:28,100 --> 00:29:30,700
And even if you look at, you 
know, before that was taking 

562
00:29:30,700 --> 00:29:35,800
place, it's a team that really 
has, you know, they've risen in 

563
00:29:35,800 --> 00:29:38,600
the power rankings largely 
because of how dominant they've 

564
00:29:38,600 --> 00:29:41,700
been in so many games. 
They beat LSU by 50, you know at

565
00:29:41,700 --> 00:29:45,600
home. 
They beat Mizzou by by 21 points

566
00:29:45,600 --> 00:29:47,300
on the road and they've had a 
lot of games like that. 

567
00:29:47,300 --> 00:29:50,200
The be Vanderbilt by some 
ridiculous margin, like 56 

568
00:29:50,200 --> 00:29:53,400
points or something like that, 
57 points. 

569
00:29:53,700 --> 00:29:58,000
But I'm not, I don't know if I'm
that like obsessively worried 

570
00:29:58,000 --> 00:30:03,000
about them, in terms of what I, 
you be able to play against them

571
00:30:03,100 --> 00:30:05,400
defensively, it'd be a struggle.
And I you would certainly need 

572
00:30:05,400 --> 00:30:08,300
to hit shots from outside. 
And that is what Alabama is kind

573
00:30:08,300 --> 00:30:11,900
of trained to do. 
But I'm also not totally sure 

574
00:30:11,900 --> 00:30:14,600
about out this Alabama teams 
mentality and a big game. 

575
00:30:14,900 --> 00:30:18,600
So I would not be I think 
Indiana would still lose in a 

576
00:30:18,608 --> 00:30:21,600
game versus Alabama but I'm not 
terrified of Alabama. 

577
00:30:21,600 --> 00:30:26,300
Overall UCLA is kind of an 
interesting case because it's a 

578
00:30:26,300 --> 00:30:30,900
similar thing to what we've seen
with Alabama in terms of their 

579
00:30:30,900 --> 00:30:36,100
accomplishments until they beat 
Arizona at home last night, you 

580
00:30:36,100 --> 00:30:39,000
could make an argument that the 
best win that UCLA had on their 

581
00:30:39,000 --> 00:30:41,500
schedule was a 10-point neutral 
Court victory. 

582
00:30:42,200 --> 00:30:44,100
It's Marilyn. 
Excuse me against Kentucky now. 

583
00:30:44,100 --> 00:30:46,200
They did blow Maryland out at 
Maryland. 

584
00:30:46,800 --> 00:30:49,200
I just don't know what to make 
of Maryland at this point. 

585
00:30:49,200 --> 00:30:52,100
I just can't tell if they're if 
that's actually a great win or 

586
00:30:52,100 --> 00:30:54,800
if that's just an okay win and I
also think Kentucky's better 

587
00:30:54,800 --> 00:30:58,200
than Maryland overall as a team 
at this point, the rest of their

588
00:30:58,200 --> 00:31:00,800
wins. 
And they've done a miraculously 

589
00:31:00,800 --> 00:31:03,500
good job of playing a bunch of 
teams. 

590
00:31:03,800 --> 00:31:08,400
In the chem palmtop 150, they 
had very few games against 

591
00:31:08,500 --> 00:31:11,000
horrific teams. 
They had a lot of games against 

592
00:31:11,000 --> 00:31:13,700
very mid-level me, Joker sorts 
of teams and they won those 

593
00:31:13,700 --> 00:31:16,600
games very well. 
Plus they've got the, the Ken 

594
00:31:16,600 --> 00:31:20,600
pom Talisman of having a really 
efficient defense which always 

595
00:31:20,600 --> 00:31:24,500
inflates ratings beyond what 
they probably should be UCLA. 

596
00:31:24,500 --> 00:31:26,700
Does go through some stages 
where they struggle to score. 

597
00:31:26,700 --> 00:31:29,700
They're not a good shooting 
team, you know, their secret 

598
00:31:29,700 --> 00:31:31,200
sauces. 
They don't turn the ball over 

599
00:31:31,200 --> 00:31:33,300
and they rebound the ball very 
well offensively. 

600
00:31:34,900 --> 00:31:37,500
I think Indiana actually has 
some chances in a game, you 

601
00:31:37,500 --> 00:31:40,000
know, against UCLA. 
So, you know, if there was a 

602
00:31:40,000 --> 00:31:44,100
possibility of I, you find Our 
way into a game against UCLA in 

603
00:31:44,100 --> 00:31:46,500
a sweet 16 contest. 
I'd take that that would be, 

604
00:31:46,600 --> 00:31:49,200
that would be great. 
Houston is a really interesting 

605
00:31:49,200 --> 00:31:53,000
case as well because Houston's 
best win on the whole season is 

606
00:31:53,000 --> 00:31:56,900
a semi home win by five against 
Saint Mary's. 

607
00:31:57,100 --> 00:32:01,000
They won at Oregon. 
They lost at home to Alabama. 

608
00:32:01,100 --> 00:32:04,100
They lost at home to Temple. 
And then they did a beat a bunch

609
00:32:04,100 --> 00:32:05,900
of nothing teams in their own 
conference. 

610
00:32:06,400 --> 00:32:09,600
And I just, I don't know what to
make of them. 

611
00:32:09,600 --> 00:32:13,200
Their stats look amazing. 
They Have been incredibly 

612
00:32:13,200 --> 00:32:15,400
efficient, both offensively and 
defensively. 

613
00:32:15,800 --> 00:32:19,800
But again I'd be cautious. 
I think honestly if you're going

614
00:32:19,800 --> 00:32:22,700
to think about filling your 
bracket out, I would not pick 

615
00:32:22,700 --> 00:32:27,400
Houston to go terribly far 
because I think a lot of their 

616
00:32:27,400 --> 00:32:30,200
efficiency numbers are a product
of how slow they play. 

617
00:32:30,800 --> 00:32:34,900
And you know, I mean, now I say 
all that and this team did 

618
00:32:34,900 --> 00:32:39,100
almost the exact same thing last
year, their best win last year 

619
00:32:39,100 --> 00:32:42,800
was Oklahoma State on a neutral 
floor and yet, No, they get into

620
00:32:42,800 --> 00:32:44,800
the tournament as a 5 seat and 
they make it all the way to the 

621
00:32:44,800 --> 00:32:46,800
elite eight. 
You know they knock off Arizona,

622
00:32:47,100 --> 00:32:50,000
who was the one seed and you 
know they played Villanova 

623
00:32:50,000 --> 00:32:52,000
pretty tight and almost got to 
the final four. 

624
00:32:52,300 --> 00:32:53,900
You know, you could make an 
argument that the teams that 

625
00:32:53,900 --> 00:32:55,000
they played in the tournament 
last year. 

626
00:32:55,000 --> 00:32:58,000
Weren't that great? 
I mean, UAB Illinois, who they 

627
00:32:58,300 --> 00:33:01,400
beat by 15 but we know what 
Illinois was like last year. 

628
00:33:01,900 --> 00:33:06,500
And then Arizona, I'm not 
frightened of Houston, Houston's

629
00:33:06,600 --> 00:33:09,400
a very good team. 
I wouldn't be shocked if Indiana

630
00:33:09,400 --> 00:33:12,500
where they matched up against 
them were to lose But I just 

631
00:33:12,500 --> 00:33:16,200
again I look at their profile 
and I say, I think the right 

632
00:33:16,400 --> 00:33:20,800
team who can score consistently 
against Houston is going to be 

633
00:33:20,800 --> 00:33:23,600
able to do something against 
Houston, you know. 

634
00:33:23,600 --> 00:33:26,800
And you know again Houston and 
Alabama are very similar in that

635
00:33:27,000 --> 00:33:31,900
most of their approach has been 
just making it very hard for 

636
00:33:31,900 --> 00:33:36,700
other teams to shoot and shoot 
well, but I think that if I use 

637
00:33:36,700 --> 00:33:40,200
on and this is the case with IU 
in almost any game, it's not a 

638
00:33:40,200 --> 00:33:42,900
bridge too far. 
And by the way, Can take I you 

639
00:33:42,900 --> 00:33:46,800
out of this and you can sub in 
other teams, you know, it 

640
00:33:46,800 --> 00:33:48,700
doesn't have to be. 
Just I you I just know from I 

641
00:33:48,700 --> 00:33:51,000
use perspective since that was 
the question. 

642
00:33:51,300 --> 00:33:55,100
I wouldn't be too terribly 
concerned about those teams be, 

643
00:33:55,200 --> 00:33:59,000
you know, your you could lose 
them, no question, but they 

644
00:33:59,000 --> 00:34:01,600
don't feel insurmountable and 
honestly, none of the ones 

645
00:34:01,600 --> 00:34:05,700
seeds, look that insurmountable,
I think that this I wouldn't be 

646
00:34:05,700 --> 00:34:08,500
shocked to see multiple 45 
seeds, if they make it to the 

647
00:34:08,500 --> 00:34:11,699
Sweet 16. 
Be good enough to knock off some

648
00:34:11,699 --> 00:34:13,500
of these One seeds in that 
round. 

649
00:34:13,500 --> 00:34:15,100
So again it's not just an 
Indiana thing. 

650
00:34:15,100 --> 00:34:17,900
It's just like I think the Fear 
Factor for the top seeded teams 

651
00:34:18,199 --> 00:34:23,199
just feels a lot lower than it 
has been in the past as far as 

652
00:34:23,199 --> 00:34:25,699
other five seeds that Indiana 
might play. 

653
00:34:25,699 --> 00:34:27,699
Al said he doesn't want to see 
Kansas. 

654
00:34:27,699 --> 00:34:30,699
We agree on that Yukon. 
I would agree with that st. 

655
00:34:30,699 --> 00:34:33,900
Mary's or VCU? 
You know, if you look at the 

656
00:34:33,900 --> 00:34:38,300
teams that are in that general 
area of the bracket right now, 

657
00:34:39,000 --> 00:34:42,400
You're talking about the 
following, you know, the five 

658
00:34:42,400 --> 00:34:44,699
seeds. 
I have our Creighton st. 

659
00:34:44,699 --> 00:34:48,100
Mary's Virginia San Diego State.
I think all of those are a bit 

660
00:34:48,100 --> 00:34:52,500
of a struggle but honestly, the 
only one I'd be really terrified

661
00:34:52,500 --> 00:34:56,000
of out of that group is probably
Creighton at this point because 

662
00:34:56,000 --> 00:34:59,700
Creighton is somewhat 
undervalued seed wise because of

663
00:34:59,700 --> 00:35:02,800
how many games they lost earlier
in the season due to injuries. 

664
00:35:02,800 --> 00:35:06,400
You know, st. 
Mary's obviously Indiana got 

665
00:35:06,400 --> 00:35:09,000
destroyed by them in the 
tournament last year. 

666
00:35:09,200 --> 00:35:12,700
But I also think that I, you 
team was both exhausted and just

667
00:35:12,700 --> 00:35:15,500
kind of happy to be there and 
st. 

668
00:35:15,500 --> 00:35:17,300
Mary's felt like they had 
something to prove. 

669
00:35:17,700 --> 00:35:19,800
I think Indiana would come into 
that game with a much different 

670
00:35:19,800 --> 00:35:23,900
mentality and wouldn't have to 
have played too well, they 

671
00:35:23,900 --> 00:35:25,500
played st. 
Mary's two days earlier but so 

672
00:35:25,500 --> 00:35:27,000
would st. 
Mary's, in this case, whereas 

673
00:35:27,000 --> 00:35:29,100
last year st. 
Mary's got to just wait and 

674
00:35:29,100 --> 00:35:32,600
watch and figure things out. 
And Indiana was on short rest, 

675
00:35:32,600 --> 00:35:35,600
they both be on short rest in 
this Virginia. 

676
00:35:35,800 --> 00:35:38,900
That's a really interesting 
matchup I ever so slightly. 

677
00:35:39,000 --> 00:35:43,700
I'd like Indiana in that matchup
on a neutral floor, as again, 

678
00:35:43,700 --> 00:35:48,100
like I feel like Indiana in a 
slugfest we, you know, you would

679
00:35:48,100 --> 00:35:52,000
see them be able to score just 
enough points to Come Away with 

680
00:35:52,000 --> 00:35:57,300
a victory in that game. 
If you look at IU, you know, in 

681
00:35:57,300 --> 00:36:00,400
terms of like their overall. 
But I use so hard to figure out.

682
00:36:00,400 --> 00:36:04,000
That's the one thing about this 
Indiana team that is, is the 

683
00:36:04,000 --> 00:36:08,000
biggest struggle to me. 
I feel like you just don't know 

684
00:36:08,300 --> 00:36:10,800
what. 
Going to get out of I you on a 

685
00:36:10,808 --> 00:36:13,300
regular basis. 
And so you have to take 

686
00:36:13,300 --> 00:36:15,800
everything with a grain of salt,
including all of these matchups 

687
00:36:15,800 --> 00:36:22,400
that said Indiana, if you go to 
a Haslem metrics.com, which is 

688
00:36:22,400 --> 00:36:24,900
Eric Haslam site. 
He does a good job of 

689
00:36:24,900 --> 00:36:28,900
calculating kind of neutral 
Court matchup sorts of things 

690
00:36:28,900 --> 00:36:32,500
and he you know, he's ratings 
don't like Indiana. 

691
00:36:32,500 --> 00:36:36,400
But they like Virginia less. 
And I think that I you versus 

692
00:36:36,400 --> 00:36:39,400
Virginia that I think that score
predict projections, I You buy 

693
00:36:39,400 --> 00:36:41,400
one? 
It's like 65 64. 

694
00:36:41,800 --> 00:36:44,100
I think that's a reasonable 
matchup for IU. 

695
00:36:45,000 --> 00:36:48,200
You know, whereas the same site 
does not view the st. 

696
00:36:48,200 --> 00:36:50,200
Mary's game, I think is a 
reasonable matchup. 

697
00:36:50,200 --> 00:36:51,800
Let me double check the numbers 
here. 

698
00:36:53,000 --> 00:36:55,500
Yeah, they would have Indiana as
a five and a half. 

699
00:36:55,500 --> 00:36:58,200
Point Underdog on a neutral 
floor, against Saint. 

700
00:36:58,200 --> 00:37:01,600
Mary's, you look at the rest of 
the teams that are in that mix. 

701
00:37:01,600 --> 00:37:04,600
I mentioned Creighton. 
Again, I think that's a, that's 

702
00:37:04,600 --> 00:37:06,000
a game. 
Where Indiana probably goes in, 

703
00:37:06,000 --> 00:37:07,900
it is about a four point 
underdog. 

704
00:37:09,100 --> 00:37:13,100
San Diego State is kind of a 
curious case because they're 

705
00:37:13,800 --> 00:37:16,300
they're really well. 
Loved, by the power rankings. 

706
00:37:16,500 --> 00:37:19,300
Indiana would be about a three, 
three and a half Point Underdog 

707
00:37:19,300 --> 00:37:22,200
to San Diego State. 
But again, I'm not frightened of

708
00:37:22,200 --> 00:37:24,800
San Diego State. 
I don't think they've played 

709
00:37:25,100 --> 00:37:29,200
that great of a schedule and 
then, you know, even, you know, 

710
00:37:29,200 --> 00:37:32,400
if one of the six seeds climbs 
up that would be kind of an 

711
00:37:32,400 --> 00:37:35,600
interesting one like Indiana, 
Kentucky is a pretty even game. 

712
00:37:35,700 --> 00:37:38,100
There's an outside possibility 
that that could happen. 

713
00:37:38,400 --> 00:37:42,000
Indiana. 
Texas Christian is, you know, a 

714
00:37:42,000 --> 00:37:45,500
game that you look at the the 
power rankings of those teams 

715
00:37:45,500 --> 00:37:47,900
and it looks like Texas. 
Christian should be well ahead. 

716
00:37:48,000 --> 00:37:51,500
That's about a one point game. 
Essentially with TCU is a very 

717
00:37:51,500 --> 00:37:53,400
slight favorite. 
So I think in the end it 

718
00:37:53,408 --> 00:37:56,700
Compares well statistically 
overall against a lot of these 

719
00:37:56,700 --> 00:37:58,900
teams that they might be running
into Texas. 

720
00:37:58,900 --> 00:38:01,800
A&M's another one that's about a
one and a half Point margin in 

721
00:38:01,800 --> 00:38:05,600
favor of am so there's really 
not a whole lot of teams at that

722
00:38:05,600 --> 00:38:08,900
level. 
That frightened me if Indiana. 

723
00:38:09,000 --> 00:38:11,800
Plays up to, you know, the level
that you we think that they 

724
00:38:11,800 --> 00:38:15,500
could, if you look at the 
potential 12 or 13 seeds 

725
00:38:16,300 --> 00:38:20,200
Indiana's, rated as about a five
point favorite over Charleston 

726
00:38:20,400 --> 00:38:22,200
right now and I think that 
that's reasonable. 

727
00:38:22,200 --> 00:38:24,800
I don't think Charleston is 
nearly as good as their record 

728
00:38:24,800 --> 00:38:27,200
were indicate. 
Indiana Liberty is essentially a

729
00:38:27,207 --> 00:38:29,700
dead heat. 
So I would say avoid Liberty. 

730
00:38:29,700 --> 00:38:33,200
If you're Indiana as that's not 
a team that you want to see in 

731
00:38:33,200 --> 00:38:35,800
the first game, Indiana VCU 
Indiana's. 

732
00:38:35,800 --> 00:38:38,800
About a three point favorite in 
the in that match. 

733
00:38:39,000 --> 00:38:40,900
Ouch up. 
Indiana Oral Roberts Indiana's 

734
00:38:40,900 --> 00:38:43,100
about a two point favorite in 
that matchup. 

735
00:38:43,200 --> 00:38:45,800
You get down to the projected, 
13 seeds, which is really where 

736
00:38:45,800 --> 00:38:47,700
Indiana would be. 
Seeing those were all 12 seems 

737
00:38:47,700 --> 00:38:50,300
that I read off Indiana, be 
about a two and a half Point. 

738
00:38:50,300 --> 00:38:54,000
Favorite over Bradley, Indiana 
would be about a three point 

739
00:38:54,000 --> 00:38:57,900
favorite over, Yale Indiana, 
Iona, which is one that keeps 

740
00:38:57,900 --> 00:39:00,800
popping up as a potential 
matchup that people freak out 

741
00:39:00,800 --> 00:39:02,600
about mostly because of Rick 
Pitino. 

742
00:39:04,100 --> 00:39:06,100
I think people freaking out 
about that match up or way off 

743
00:39:06,100 --> 00:39:07,400
base. 
They Deanna would be rated by 

744
00:39:07,400 --> 00:39:09,700
about a five and a half point. 
In that game. 

745
00:39:09,700 --> 00:39:13,900
So don't be afraid of Iona, just
because of the coach and 

746
00:39:14,200 --> 00:39:16,200
Southern Miss is the other team 
that would be in that. 

747
00:39:16,200 --> 00:39:18,700
Mix and Indiana be about a 
seven-point favorite there. 

748
00:39:18,700 --> 00:39:23,200
So, you know, at this point, one
of the things to keep in mind is

749
00:39:23,200 --> 00:39:28,600
that as we get some bid, 
thief's, if we get any, you 

750
00:39:28,600 --> 00:39:33,000
know, the the teams that are in 
the 12 and 13 line can sometimes

751
00:39:33,000 --> 00:39:37,900
get worse because you end up 
with like low-level at large has

752
00:39:37,900 --> 00:39:41,000
as opposed to Level conference 
champions from smaller 

753
00:39:41,000 --> 00:39:46,200
conferences, you know, so if 
Yale gets knocked out in the ivy

754
00:39:46,200 --> 00:39:48,400
league, tournament by another 
team? 

755
00:39:49,100 --> 00:39:52,700
Well, now instead of it being 
like, you know, maybe maybe if 

756
00:39:52,700 --> 00:39:54,900
Yale gets knocked out and if I 
owned a gets knocked out, both 

757
00:39:54,900 --> 00:39:56,700
of which are very possible. 
Now you're talking about like 

758
00:39:56,700 --> 00:40:02,300
Utah Valley or Toledo or Furman 
being a 13 seed, that's good. 

759
00:40:02,400 --> 00:40:05,200
If you're Indiana like you know 
you actually want to root for 

760
00:40:05,200 --> 00:40:07,000
upsets in the conference 
tournaments. 

761
00:40:07,400 --> 00:40:08,800
You know. 
You want to root for Charleston.

762
00:40:09,000 --> 00:40:12,300
Lose our Liberty to lose or VCU 
Toulouse Oral Roberts to lose 

763
00:40:12,300 --> 00:40:16,500
because there's going to be 
worst teams put in at the 14/15 

764
00:40:16,500 --> 00:40:19,600
line, maybe even the 16 line and
that pushes teams, that would 

765
00:40:19,600 --> 00:40:23,700
normally be 15 seeds up to 14 
teams that are normally 14 seeds

766
00:40:23,700 --> 00:40:27,100
up to 13 teams, that would 
normally be 13, seeds up to 12 

767
00:40:27,100 --> 00:40:29,500
so on and so forth. 
It actually makes it easier on 

768
00:40:29,500 --> 00:40:33,000
the fours and the fives and even
the threes if you get a lot of 

769
00:40:33,000 --> 00:40:36,600
conference upsets. 
So that's if I'm an IU fan 

770
00:40:36,900 --> 00:40:38,800
outside of obviously, rooting 
for the team. 

771
00:40:38,900 --> 00:40:41,800
Team to beat Michigan today. 
You also want to root for some 

772
00:40:41,800 --> 00:40:43,500
upsets in these conference 
tournaments. 

773
00:40:43,800 --> 00:40:47,200
So good question. 
Overall, Al I appreciate you 

774
00:40:48,000 --> 00:40:50,300
giving us something to think 
about there. 

775
00:40:51,000 --> 00:40:53,300
A couple of other questions we 
had from a tournament 

776
00:40:53,300 --> 00:40:56,400
perspective we just got a 
question in from Adam Demery. 

777
00:40:57,600 --> 00:41:00,300
It feels like this week other 
teams have helped I you out with

778
00:41:00,300 --> 00:41:03,000
the wind today, do they move 
more towards the South Region? 

779
00:41:03,200 --> 00:41:06,100
This is the problem with trying 
to project the Region's you 

780
00:41:06,100 --> 00:41:08,200
know. 
So I ended up with I you in my 

781
00:41:08,200 --> 00:41:11,300
most recent Racket actually in 
the west. 

782
00:41:11,300 --> 00:41:14,300
And the reason I had them in the
west is that going through the 

783
00:41:14,300 --> 00:41:18,800
placement process Xavier 
dropping down to the four line 

784
00:41:19,300 --> 00:41:22,200
and, and Connecticut moving, you
know, up ahead of them. 

785
00:41:22,200 --> 00:41:24,400
I think I ended up with Xavier 
on the for line earlier but I 

786
00:41:24,408 --> 00:41:27,900
had Indiana ahead of Xavier if 
Xavier's ahead of Indiana. 

787
00:41:28,400 --> 00:41:31,200
It's more advantageous for them 
to be in the South Region from a

788
00:41:31,207 --> 00:41:33,800
geographical perspective so they
would get that first. 

789
00:41:34,100 --> 00:41:39,000
So you almost want to hope for 
Xavier to lose early in the the 

790
00:41:39,100 --> 00:41:42,200
in the Big East tournament or 
win and get themselves up to the

791
00:41:42,200 --> 00:41:44,000
three line. 
Because ultimately, with the 

792
00:41:44,000 --> 00:41:48,700
four seeds Xavier is going to be
plopped in the South as long as 

793
00:41:48,700 --> 00:41:50,700
there's not another biggie, 
steam ahead of them in the 

794
00:41:50,700 --> 00:41:55,500
South, but so it's tough to say,
like, the results kind of helped

795
00:41:55,500 --> 00:42:00,800
I you, but kind of didn't in 
that teams behind them, like TCU

796
00:42:01,300 --> 00:42:05,000
or, you know, there's a couple 
of others in that mix Creighton.

797
00:42:05,800 --> 00:42:08,500
You know, they didn't do enough 
to move ahead of Indiana. 

798
00:42:09,000 --> 00:42:11,100
But a lot of it really depends. 
Like, I ended up with a 

799
00:42:11,100 --> 00:42:13,800
bracketing process here, that 
put Marquette in the midwest 

800
00:42:13,800 --> 00:42:16,700
which means that Xavier ended up
going to the South and that end 

801
00:42:16,700 --> 00:42:19,600
up keeping Indiana out of the 
South, but it could go the other

802
00:42:19,600 --> 00:42:23,600
direction, if things really get 
screwed up and, you know, 

803
00:42:23,600 --> 00:42:27,400
suddenly you've got Kansas has 
the number one overall and 

804
00:42:27,400 --> 00:42:31,200
you've got Alabama as the to 
overall and they're in the South

805
00:42:31,200 --> 00:42:33,900
and Purdue isn't a one seed. 
You could see Purdue in the 

806
00:42:33,900 --> 00:42:36,900
South, which would mean that 
Indiana couldn't go to the 

807
00:42:36,900 --> 00:42:39,700
South. 
That's the kind of Back and 

808
00:42:39,700 --> 00:42:42,500
forth that ends up happening, 
not just with the results below 

809
00:42:42,600 --> 00:42:45,000
but with the results above, so I
think if you're Indiana you want

810
00:42:45,000 --> 00:42:48,500
to actually root for Purdue to 
win today and win a couple of 

811
00:42:48,500 --> 00:42:51,700
games or me at least one game, 
maybe in the Big Ten Tournament 

812
00:42:52,300 --> 00:42:55,300
with the idea that you want 
Purdue to be anywhere but the 

813
00:42:55,300 --> 00:42:59,500
South if you want I you to be in
the South and you know Purdue 

814
00:42:59,500 --> 00:43:02,000
being the last four seed and 
either having to go to the east 

815
00:43:02,000 --> 00:43:06,300
or go to the West beans that 
Indiana all the only restriction

816
00:43:06,300 --> 00:43:08,800
they have at this point would 
essentially be they couldn't. 

817
00:43:08,900 --> 00:43:13,500
Wherever Purdue is. 
And so that ultimately, you 

818
00:43:13,500 --> 00:43:17,600
know, lends itself to Purdue if 
they win today and they win 

819
00:43:17,600 --> 00:43:19,700
their first game of the Big Ten 
Tournament. 

820
00:43:19,700 --> 00:43:21,800
I think Indiana would be in 
pretty good shape. 

821
00:43:21,800 --> 00:43:25,500
As far as going to the four seed
in the South as long as there 

822
00:43:25,500 --> 00:43:27,600
aren't other things that end up 
taking them out ahead of it. 

823
00:43:27,600 --> 00:43:29,700
And that's where it's like, it's
hard to really project. 

824
00:43:29,700 --> 00:43:32,700
It would be easier though, going
back to Adams question, if 

825
00:43:32,700 --> 00:43:37,800
Purdue just ended up as the one 
seed in the East, that's about 

826
00:43:37,800 --> 00:43:38,700
it. 
As far as the overall. 

827
00:43:38,900 --> 00:43:42,900
Bracketing stuff today we'll 
with there was one question 

828
00:43:42,900 --> 00:43:48,200
actually so so Alex G asked in 
terms of picking the NCAA field.

829
00:43:48,600 --> 00:43:52,500
What are the three or four? 
Best metrics are criteria to way

830
00:43:52,500 --> 00:43:55,300
when deciding the outcome of the
individual games? 

831
00:43:56,300 --> 00:43:59,400
And he says, you know, most most
very, but the past couple 

832
00:43:59,400 --> 00:44:02,100
Seasons I've looked at adjusted 
offensive efficiency versus 

833
00:44:02,100 --> 00:44:07,500
adjusted defensive efficiency. 
Roster comparison, favoring 

834
00:44:07,500 --> 00:44:10,300
teams with seniority, height and
Efficiency and then how each 

835
00:44:10,300 --> 00:44:13,300
team has fared in the last 10, 
regular season games. 

836
00:44:13,600 --> 00:44:16,000
So it's funny, you mentioned all
that Alex, because I've always 

837
00:44:16,000 --> 00:44:19,800
said like I'm pretty good at 
picking the bracket. 

838
00:44:19,800 --> 00:44:22,100
I'm pretty bad at actually 
picking what's going to happen 

839
00:44:22,100 --> 00:44:25,600
once the bracket is selected and
it's to some degree. 

840
00:44:25,600 --> 00:44:30,700
I think I overdose on the 
rankings of how teams look and 

841
00:44:30,700 --> 00:44:32,500
what they should be relative to 
each other. 

842
00:44:33,000 --> 00:44:36,500
And it's funny because you know,
then the tournament starts And 

843
00:44:36,500 --> 00:44:39,000
all that goes out the window and
you end up with one seeds losing

844
00:44:39,000 --> 00:44:42,300
early you end up with upsets in 
the first round teams that 

845
00:44:42,300 --> 00:44:45,100
shouldn't be upset. 
Like that's that's what makes 

846
00:44:45,100 --> 00:44:47,100
picking the bracket for me very 
difficult. 

847
00:44:47,100 --> 00:44:52,500
So to some degree I try to go 
like just fully based upon how 

848
00:44:52,500 --> 00:44:55,900
do these two teams look like 
they match up in terms of 

849
00:44:55,900 --> 00:44:59,300
efficiency on the offensive and 
defensive ends in terms of tempo

850
00:44:59,700 --> 00:45:04,900
and in terms of overall quality 
of play, you know, where are 

851
00:45:04,900 --> 00:45:06,600
they at? 
I think your Idea of, you know, 

852
00:45:06,600 --> 00:45:10,200
how do these teams look coming 
into the selection process and 

853
00:45:10,200 --> 00:45:13,300
into the tournament? 
That's a big one because it's 

854
00:45:13,300 --> 00:45:17,200
not a misconception that teams 
as they're struggling to come 

855
00:45:17,200 --> 00:45:20,300
into a tournament. 
Might not necessarily perform 

856
00:45:20,400 --> 00:45:22,900
that. 
Well in that first game, you 

857
00:45:22,900 --> 00:45:26,500
know but it's just it's not a 
foregone conclusion, you know? 

858
00:45:26,500 --> 00:45:31,200
I mean last year Miami made it 
to the elite eight Miami didn't 

859
00:45:31,200 --> 00:45:35,100
light, the world on fire. 
They lost you know what one two 

860
00:45:35,100 --> 00:45:37,500
three they lost. 
We're their last seven games. 

861
00:45:38,200 --> 00:45:40,900
They almost lost in the first 
round of the ACC tournament. 

862
00:45:40,900 --> 00:45:43,800
They got taken to overtime by 
Boston College, and they almost 

863
00:45:43,800 --> 00:45:45,800
lost in the first round of the 
NCAA tournament. 

864
00:45:45,800 --> 00:45:48,000
They only beat you see, you USC 
by 2. 

865
00:45:48,300 --> 00:45:50,700
But then they turn around, they 
beat Auburn in the second round.

866
00:45:50,700 --> 00:45:53,200
Nobody saw that coming. 
They beat Iowa State, who 

867
00:45:53,200 --> 00:45:57,900
themselves was upset, you know, 
and upset team, essentially. 

868
00:45:57,900 --> 00:46:01,400
Iowa State of course, beating 
LSU and then beating Wisconsin. 

869
00:46:01,400 --> 00:46:03,400
They know they went as a six, 
they win. 

870
00:46:04,000 --> 00:46:06,300
And then they, they, they went 
to, I think against It's who, 

871
00:46:06,300 --> 00:46:07,800
what was Wisconsin in that 
tournament? 

872
00:46:07,800 --> 00:46:09,700
They were the three seed they 
shouldn't have been, but they 

873
00:46:09,700 --> 00:46:14,300
were the three seed. 
So that's where the projections 

874
00:46:14,300 --> 00:46:16,100
are really, really difficult to 
figure out. 

875
00:46:17,700 --> 00:46:21,700
I will say this and this has 
become more of a trend if I were

876
00:46:21,700 --> 00:46:25,200
you from a picking perspective, 
I would really lean heavily on 

877
00:46:25,200 --> 00:46:28,700
teams that are very efficient 
offensively, you know? 

878
00:46:28,700 --> 00:46:31,300
So like Miami last year was a 
great example of this and 

879
00:46:31,300 --> 00:46:33,500
they're actually pretty good 
example this year, like Miami 

880
00:46:33,700 --> 00:46:37,300
should not have been able to 
advance but Despite being 41st 

881
00:46:37,300 --> 00:46:41,100
in kampong, they were 19th in 
adjusted offensive efficiency 

882
00:46:41,400 --> 00:46:43,400
and they were right around the 
middle of the pack. 

883
00:46:43,400 --> 00:46:47,100
In terms of tempo you know, you 
look at other teams last year 

884
00:46:47,100 --> 00:46:51,800
and how they fared you know 
you've got a similar sort of 

885
00:46:51,800 --> 00:46:53,300
pattern, it doesn't always work 
out. 

886
00:46:53,300 --> 00:46:56,400
But like LSU loses their first 
game last year they were one of 

887
00:46:56,400 --> 00:46:58,100
the best defensive teams in the 
country. 

888
00:46:59,100 --> 00:47:03,000
And they end up losing, you know
in the first round to a team 

889
00:47:03,000 --> 00:47:05,100
that was not very good 
defensively but was really good 

890
00:47:05,100 --> 00:47:09,200
offensively. 
I'll almost always opt for the 

891
00:47:09,200 --> 00:47:12,400
better offensive team when 
trying to pick a game that looks

892
00:47:12,400 --> 00:47:15,900
relatively even otherwise, you 
know, so this year this is 

893
00:47:15,900 --> 00:47:21,300
where, you know, you look at the
the top 25 teams in can palm and

894
00:47:21,600 --> 00:47:24,000
the two teams, I'd really keep 
an eye out for in that. 

895
00:47:24,000 --> 00:47:28,300
I would be afraid to pick 
against UConn, looks really good

896
00:47:28,300 --> 00:47:30,600
on both. 
Sides of the ball gonzaga's. 

897
00:47:30,600 --> 00:47:32,500
The best offensive team in the 
country. 

898
00:47:32,700 --> 00:47:35,700
Arizona is one of the best 
offensive teams in the country. 

899
00:47:35,900 --> 00:47:37,800
Marquette's a great offensive 
team. 

900
00:47:37,800 --> 00:47:41,000
Baylor's a great offensive team,
Xavier is a great offensive 

901
00:47:41,000 --> 00:47:42,800
team. 
These are not teams with the 

902
00:47:42,800 --> 00:47:46,600
exception of Yukon that have, 
you know, great credentials 

903
00:47:46,600 --> 00:47:49,700
defensively. 
They're all under 50th in 

904
00:47:49,700 --> 00:47:51,400
defensive efficiency and can 
pom. 

905
00:47:51,800 --> 00:47:54,600
But I like the offense and I 
like their abilities on that. 

906
00:47:54,600 --> 00:47:56,900
Front. 
On the flip side, I be really 

907
00:47:56,900 --> 00:48:02,700
cautious of picking Tennessee, 
I'd be really cautious of 

908
00:48:03,900 --> 00:48:06,900
picking. 
Let's see, who else would fall 

909
00:48:06,900 --> 00:48:08,400
into this category. 
Iowa. 

910
00:48:08,400 --> 00:48:11,300
State is a big stay away for me 
this year for a variety of 

911
00:48:11,300 --> 00:48:12,400
reasons. 
Not the least of which is 

912
00:48:12,400 --> 00:48:14,200
they're just, they're great 
defensively and they're really 

913
00:48:14,200 --> 00:48:19,100
really mediocre offensively. 
Frankly, Alabama UCLA, maybe not

914
00:48:19,100 --> 00:48:22,400
in the first and second round, 
but those teams hang their hats 

915
00:48:22,400 --> 00:48:25,800
so much on their defensive 
efforts and Alabama and 

916
00:48:25,800 --> 00:48:29,300
particular hang their hat. 
So much on being the esteem or 

917
00:48:29,300 --> 00:48:30,900
one of the fastest teams in the 
country. 

918
00:48:31,500 --> 00:48:33,800
I think they can get slowed down
and then I don't know if their 

919
00:48:33,800 --> 00:48:35,800
offense is good enough to 
actually win the games. 

920
00:48:36,200 --> 00:48:37,700
This is where is what's going to
make Indiana? 

921
00:48:37,700 --> 00:48:39,300
Really interesting. 
Because on the season there, a 

922
00:48:39,308 --> 00:48:42,600
better offensive team than they 
are defensive team by a pretty 

923
00:48:42,600 --> 00:48:44,800
significant margin and that was 
the case. 

924
00:48:44,800 --> 00:48:47,800
Even before the Iowa game, I 
think Indiana. 

925
00:48:47,800 --> 00:48:52,600
If you look at them right now, 
they have the offense to win a 

926
00:48:52,600 --> 00:48:56,500
first-round game, a second-round
game and give a, you know, if 

927
00:48:56,500 --> 00:48:58,700
Indiana is firing on all 
cylinders, which they don't do. 

928
00:48:58,800 --> 00:49:01,600
That often. 
But when they do if they're 

929
00:49:01,600 --> 00:49:04,300
playing a team that isn't as 
good as them offensively, I like

930
00:49:04,300 --> 00:49:07,700
their chances. 
So, we'll see what happens as 

931
00:49:07,700 --> 00:49:10,500
far as that's concerned. 
You know, from a picking 

932
00:49:10,500 --> 00:49:12,400
perspective. 
It feels like we've swung very 

933
00:49:12,400 --> 00:49:15,800
much into an era where offense 
Will trump defense in a 

934
00:49:15,808 --> 00:49:17,500
tournament setting the other 
team? 

935
00:49:17,500 --> 00:49:19,800
I'll mention that's a dark horse
right now. 

936
00:49:19,800 --> 00:49:21,800
Based upon these numbers is West
Virginia. 

937
00:49:22,400 --> 00:49:25,100
West Virginia is get the 16th 
best offense in the country. 

938
00:49:25,300 --> 00:49:28,300
They play pretty fast. 
They've been really unlucky. 

939
00:49:28,300 --> 00:49:32,500
This We're in a lot of their 
results and man, you get with 

940
00:49:32,700 --> 00:49:37,400
like West Virginia as like a 
nine seed or a 10 seed, if they 

941
00:49:37,400 --> 00:49:40,100
get out of their first-round 
game, I'd be terrified of them 

942
00:49:40,100 --> 00:49:43,000
as a one-seater, a two-seat 
because I think that's where 

943
00:49:43,000 --> 00:49:45,400
they're going to land. 
And they have all of the the 

944
00:49:45,400 --> 00:49:49,000
earmarks of a team that could 
come in and really create 

945
00:49:49,000 --> 00:49:51,400
problems. 
They get to the free-throw line 

946
00:49:51,400 --> 00:49:53,600
a lot. 
They offensive rebounding is 

947
00:49:53,600 --> 00:49:57,100
really, really good. 
And they, they don't rely so 

948
00:49:57,100 --> 00:50:00,800
much on just holding another 
Teams shooting percentages down.

949
00:50:01,300 --> 00:50:04,300
They do a great job of speeding,
the other teams up forcing 

950
00:50:04,300 --> 00:50:07,300
turnovers. 
They commit a lot of fouls, but 

951
00:50:07,400 --> 00:50:11,000
overall, I think that's a team 
that once they get into a 

952
00:50:11,008 --> 00:50:14,000
tournament, you know, 
environment, where they're on a 

953
00:50:14,008 --> 00:50:16,500
neutral floor, they could really
make some hay. 

954
00:50:16,600 --> 00:50:21,100
So, that's what I would say 
about picking games, just be 

955
00:50:21,100 --> 00:50:24,700
careful. 
As as I think, is a good advice 

956
00:50:24,700 --> 00:50:28,600
overall with all of this, don't 
you? 

957
00:50:28,700 --> 00:50:31,300
You know, use use the the 
statistical measures that are 

958
00:50:31,300 --> 00:50:33,300
out there. 
Don't make dumb decisions in 

959
00:50:33,300 --> 00:50:36,100
terms of who you're picking and 
why, and just remember that 

960
00:50:36,100 --> 00:50:39,100
offense is probably better than 
defense in a lot of cases. 

961
00:50:39,500 --> 00:50:41,700
Anyway, that'll wrap it up for 
us here on the bracket bracket. 

962
00:50:41,700 --> 00:50:44,900
Thanks for joining us. 
A lot of great basketball. 

963
00:50:45,000 --> 00:50:49,100
This whole week starting today, 
and really all the way through 

964
00:50:49,100 --> 00:50:51,300
the next week. 
This is my favorite week of the 

965
00:50:51,300 --> 00:50:53,900
year even more so than the first
week of the NCAA tournament. 

966
00:50:53,900 --> 00:50:57,800
So I hope you guys enjoy and 
gals, enjoy watching the games, 

967
00:50:57,900 --> 00:50:59,900
picking the games. 
It should be a lot of fun. 

968
00:51:00,100 --> 00:51:02,900
I look forward to chatting with 
you all later on in the week 

969
00:51:02,900 --> 00:51:04,300
will update. 
What's going on in the bracket 

970
00:51:04,300 --> 00:51:05,900
will give you our seating 
projections? 

971
00:51:06,000 --> 00:51:09,900
Be sure to follow Crimson cast 
on Twitter where the brackets 

972
00:51:09,900 --> 00:51:11,600
get posted about five days a 
week. 

973
00:51:11,600 --> 00:51:14,400
I'll probably do one every day 
this week leading into the field

974
00:51:14,400 --> 00:51:17,800
selection on Sunday. 
This is the bracket bracket part

975
00:51:17,800 --> 00:51:20,100
of the back home network. 
Thanks to home field apparel and

976
00:51:20,100 --> 00:51:21,900
thanks to all of our partners on
the back home network. 

977
00:51:21,900 --> 00:51:24,300
I'm Galen clavius will catch you
folks on the flip side. 

978
00:51:24,300 --> 00:51:25,000
So long, everybody.