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This is Geology Bytes with 
Oliver Strimple. 

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Every half billion years or so, 
most of the Earth's continental 

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lithosphere appears to have 
converged to form a 

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supercontinent, A phenomenon 
known as a supercontinent cycle.

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The most recent supercontinent 
was Pangaea, which lasted from 

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about 330 million years ago 
until about 170 million years 

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ago. 
Until recently, the amalgamation

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and subsequent breakup of 
supercontinents was thought to 

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result from processes happening 
on or near the Earth's surface. 

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Specifically, the idea was the 
subduction of cold oceanic 

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plates consumes the oceans lying
between the continents, a 

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process that only stops when 
continents bordering the 

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subducting oceanic plates 
collide and a supercontinent is 

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formed. 
Once assembled, the 

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supercontinent was thought to 
behave like a thermal blanket 

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that traps the heat generated in
the mantle immediately beneath 

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it, causing it to uplift thin 
and eventually break apart. 

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But over the past decade or two 
we've learned a great deal about

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the mantle, mostly from seismic 
tomography and computer 

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modelling. 
We now believe, for example, 

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that subduction of cold oceanic 
plates can reach the base of the

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mantle and that subduction of 
the oceans that close up to form

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a supercontinent may interact 
with a deep mantle in such a way

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as to produce rising plumes of 
hot mantle material that impinge

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on the base of the 
supercontinent and foster it's 

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break up. 
This has LED us to overhaul our 

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ideas about what drives the long
term motions and configurations 

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of the continents and even 
whether we should be calling it 

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the supercontinent cycle. 
Damien Nantz studies tectonic 

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activity and the large scale 
dynamics of the lithosphere. 

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Recently, he has concentrated 
his research on reconstructing 

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past geographies of the 
continents, and particularly on 

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whether or not a supercontinent 
called Panosha formed towards 

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the end of the Proterozoic, 
before Pangaea, but after the 

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previous supercontinent called 
Rodinia. 

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He is Distinguished Professor 
Emeritus of Geological Sciences 

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at Ohio University. 
Damien Nance. 

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Welcome to Geology Bytes. 
Thank you, Oliver. 

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It's a great pleasure to be 
here. 

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Could you remind us as to how we
reconstruct the past positions 

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of the continents and thus infer
the existence of 

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supercontinents? 
Let's start with the most direct

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evidence. 
Well, the two most important 

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sources of data come from 
paleomagnetism, which allows us 

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to reconstruct the former 
position of continents at a 

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particular time, at least with 
respect to latitude, and from 

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absolute age constraints which 
allow us to determine when that 

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time was. 
So those are the two key areas. 

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But in reconstructing 
supercontinents, it's a bit like

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putting together a jigsaw 
puzzle. 

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The geologic picture, if you 
like, on each continent, must 

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also make sense in their 
reconstructed positions. 

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There are also several indirect 
sources of evidence or proxies 

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for the existence of 
supercontinents. 

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Can you describe the most 
important of those? 

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Yes, in fact there are a lot, 
but the two most important are 

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the most obvious. 
Since the assembly of a 

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supercontinent requires 
continents to collide, then 

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their assembly should coincide 
with global orogeny and the 

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things that go with it, like 
granitoid magnetism and zircon 

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age peaks. 
Conversely, supercontinent 

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breakup requires continents to 
rift, and so it should be marked

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by the things that indicate 
rifting, such as mafic dike 

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swarms and the emplacement of 
usually hotspot related large 

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igneous provinces, which are 
referred to as lips. 

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But assembly and breakup 
influence a whole host of 

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things. 
They should, for example, have a

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profound effect on sea level and
climate, and therefore are 

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likely to influence things like 
extinctions and major 

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evolutionary radiations. 
They also have major impacts on 

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things like the sedimentary 
record, the chemistry of 

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seawater, the composition of the
atmosphere, the list goes on and

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on. 
Do all these proxies then 

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approximately line up and agree 
as to when a particular 

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supercontinent formed and then 
broke up? 

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They certainly do for Pangaea. 
They appear to for Panosha and 

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those that we can use for 
earlier super continents appear 

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to coincide. 
Some we lose. 

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It's very difficult to judge sea
level. 

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As you get further back in time,
things like major evolutionary 

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radiations and extinctions 
become very difficult when all 

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you're dealing with is little 
tiny creatures. 

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But yes, they do. 
In my introduction, I briefly 

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mentioned that until recently we
explained the formation and 

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breakup of supercontinents in 
terms of surface processes or 

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near surface processes. 
Can you fill out that picture a 

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bit more? 
Yes. 

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Well, you have to remember that 
when the idea of the 

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supercontinent cycle was first 
introduced, we knew precious 

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little about the mantle. 
And we were of the view that 

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supercontinents, as you 
mentioned, acted like thermal 

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blankets on the underlying 
mantle, that this trapped mantle

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heat beneath them and that that 
caused the supercontinent to 

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thermally uplift and eventually 
break up. 

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That process may be part of the 
story, but I think today we 

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would say it is only part of the
story. 

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Now, on the other hand, the 
oceans that opened when a 

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supercontinent breaks up can be 
expected to eventually close. 

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They're going to subduct and 
eventually close, and hence they

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may reunite another 
supercontinent. 

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So we were sort of the view that
supercontinents sowed the seeds 

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of their own destruction, if you
like, and would eventually break

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up. 
But in doing so, they would 

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create new oceans that 
themselves had limited life 

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expectancies and would 
ultimately close. 

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But the cycle was very much 
viewed as a lithospheric upper 

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mantle process. 
Everything we're talking about 

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is relatively shallow, and we 
thought of it as a governing 

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mechanism for plate tectonics. 
Things like what happened to 

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subducting slabs after they 
subducted and what was going on 

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in the deep mantle were 
completely unknown quantities at

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that time. 
OK, so we've learned a lot more 

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about the mantle in the last few
decades, and this has indeed 

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caused us to rethink the 
picture. 

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First of all, how did we 
actually gain this new knowledge

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of the Mantle? 
And then what did it reveal 

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about the mantle? 
As you mentioned, the 

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breakthroughs really came from 2
areas, from seismic tomography 

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and from computer modelling. 
For example, seismic tomography,

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which is really just a means of 
X raying the Earth's deep 

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interior, revealed that 
subducting oceanic slabs didn't 

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simply sort of dissipate in the 
upper mantle as was generally 

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presumed, but actually sink all 
the way down to the core mantle 

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boundary. 
And the core mantle boundary 

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seismic tomography revealed the 
existence of two Thermo chemical

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features that were antipodal to 
each other and which affected 

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seismic velocities and were 
known as large low shear 

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velocity provinces, or LLSVPS. 
I'll interject here that while 

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seismic tomography reveals the 
enormous extent of these large, 

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low shear velocity provinces, 
each of which extends several 

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1000 kilometres across and rises
about 1000 kilometres up from 

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the core mantle boundary, we 
don't really know why the 

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seismic shear wave slowed down 
there. 

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It could be a higher 
temperature, a different denser 

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composition, or some of both. 
And importantly, one of these 

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LLSVPS was centred directly 
under the former position of 

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Pangaea, So that in itself 
strongly suggested a link 

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between supercontinents and the 
deep mantle, which was something

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we certainly never considered. 
And that connection has in fact 

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been strengthened with the 
recognition that some of the 

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hotspots, most of the hotspots 
that formed in the wake of 

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Pangea breakup actually 
represented the surface 

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manifestation of mantle plumes 
that emanated from the edges of 

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these LLSVPS. 
Again, another connection 

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between the Deep Mantle and 
Pangaea breakup, suggesting a 

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Deep Mantle involvement, which 
we hadn't considered. 

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How, then, do we use this 
knowledge to look at the 

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mechanism of supercontinent 
formation, and particularly of 

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the supercontinent cycle? 
It's hugely important because it

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demonstrates a link between 
supercontinence or the 

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supercontinent cycle and the 
deep mantle And in doing that it

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actually elevates the importance
of the cycle significantly from 

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simply being a near surface 
phenomena that influences or 

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controls plate tectonics to 
being a whole mantle process. 

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And what we take from this is 
that the assembly of 

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supercontinents somehow 
influences a mantle in a way 

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that causes a major region of 
downwelling to become a major 

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region of upwelling. 
So that the mantle downwelling, 

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which we would expect to be 
associated with the closing 

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oceans of the assembly of a 
supercontinent, somehow evolves 

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into mantle upwelling, which is 
evident in the rise of these 

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mantle plumes responsible for 
the breakup of the 

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supercontinent. 
So somehow the cycle has taken 

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an area of major mantle 
downwelling and caused it to 

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evolve into one of upwelling. 
So the original idea of 

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supercontinents acting as 
thermal blankets on the 

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underlying mantle may still be 
part of the story, and maybe an 

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important part of the story. 
But that would not involve the 

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deep mantle. 
So it does not explain this 

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relationship, and instead it is 
more likely that this change is 

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linked to the seducting slabs of
the oceans that close to form a 

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supercontinent. 
And if you think about it, as 

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you are bringing a 
supercontinent together, you've 

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got seduction in the closing 
oceans and subducting slabs 

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sinking down towards the core 
mantle boundary beneath what 

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will be the future position of 
the supercontinent once it 

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assembles. 
So that process clearly 

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contributes to the downwelling 
beneath the supercontinent. 

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But once these subducting slabs 
reach the core mantle boundary, 

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they somehow managed to cause 
plumes to rise beneath the 

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supercontinent that foster its 
breakup. 

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Now, exactly how they do this is
not yet known. 

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There are a variety of 
possibilities, all or none of 

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which may be correct. 
They may interact, for example, 

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with these LLSVPS and existing 
LLSVP in such a way as to 

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trigger the rise of mantle 
plumes at its edges. 

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Or they may actually form an 
LLSVP at the core mantle 

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boundary, and in doing so 
generate edge effect mantle 

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plumes. 
Or they may simply act as 

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thermal blankets themselves, but
this time on the core ponding 

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heat that way that then rises in
the form of mantle plumes. 

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Now, in addition to all that, 
once a supercontinent assembles,

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all of the seduction that was 
going on in the closing oceans 

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beforehand, stops and must move.
It has to relocate, and it will 

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relocate to the edges of the 
supercontinent, to the ocean 

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surrounding the supercontinent. 
And if you imagine that you now 

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have a supercontinent with a 
sort of girdle of subduction all

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the way around it, or most of 
the way around it, and a bunch 

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of new subduction slabs or 
subducting oceanic slabs now 

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sinking down towards the core 
mantle boundary as a curtain 

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around the Super Canton. 
And that downward motion alone 

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might be sufficient to cause a 
return flow in the form of 

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upwelling beneath the Super 
Canton. 

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So that's another way you might 
be able to convert this 

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downwelling to an upwelling. 
But whatever the path is, the 

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effect is to cause the mantle 
downwelling associated with 

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assembly to evolve into mantle 
upwelling responsible for break 

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up. 
Why should the subduction when 

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it shuts off underneath the 
downwelling that has brought the

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supercontinent together? 
What's the mechanism? 

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Why should that flip into this 
curtain or girdled around the 

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supercontinent? 
Why doesn't the subduction just 

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shut off and happen in some 
random place somewhere else on 

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the planet? 
This is a tendency of subduction

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systems to jump back towards the
ocean continent margin. 

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So there is a likelihood then 
that and certainly modeling 

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shows this, that the subduction 
system would bounce out to the 

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margins of the supercontinent. 
This is certainly what happened 

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with Pangaea. 
It was almost entirely 

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surrounded by subduction 
systems, and some of those still

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survive in the modern Pacific 
Ocean. 

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So you said that we find that 
there's one of these large below

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shear velocity provinces sitting
underneath the former location 

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of Pangaea. 
I wasn't clear if that province 

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was thought to have predated the
formation of Pangaea and somehow

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rather caused it to form above 
it or the other way round, or 

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what exactly is the connection 
thought to be? 

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We're not certain about that. 
What we can see, however, is 

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that there is an amazing 
coincidence between the position

230
00:15:51,960 --> 00:15:56,960
of one and the reconstructed 
position of Pangaea that sits 

231
00:15:56,960 --> 00:16:00,680
slap dab underneath it and 
currently sits under Africa, 

232
00:16:00,760 --> 00:16:05,120
which is the one piece of 
Pangaea that hasn't moved very 

233
00:16:05,120 --> 00:16:09,320
much since it broke up. 
Everything is moved away from 

234
00:16:09,320 --> 00:16:13,280
Africa and Africa hasn't done 
very much and the current LLSVP 

235
00:16:13,280 --> 00:16:15,760
in that hemisphere sits right 
under Africa. 

236
00:16:15,760 --> 00:16:19,480
So it's a kind of correlation 
that cries out for explanation, 

237
00:16:19,480 --> 00:16:22,440
and we don't really have it yet.
Exactly so. 

238
00:16:22,440 --> 00:16:26,400
And when you couple that with 
the fact that all of these 

239
00:16:26,400 --> 00:16:31,680
hotspots that are clearly linked
to Pangaea breakup coincide with

240
00:16:31,680 --> 00:16:36,840
the edges of this thing, that 
likewise begs an explanation. 

241
00:16:37,280 --> 00:16:40,440
We don't have one yet. 
We have ideas, but we certainly 

242
00:16:40,440 --> 00:16:43,320
don't know yet. 
And I think that is probably 

243
00:16:43,320 --> 00:16:47,720
where the future of this whole 
story will take us into trying 

244
00:16:47,720 --> 00:16:52,040
to resolve those kind of issues 
in today's world rather than 

245
00:16:52,040 --> 00:16:54,560
trying to do it in the distant 
past. 

246
00:16:55,160 --> 00:16:58,440
What is the role of computer 
modelling being in helping us 

247
00:16:58,440 --> 00:17:02,400
understand what's going on here?
Computer modelling confirms the 

248
00:17:02,400 --> 00:17:06,920
idea that supercontinents form 
over areas of mantle dam 

249
00:17:06,920 --> 00:17:11,520
welding, but that they 
preferentially do so in what is 

250
00:17:11,520 --> 00:17:14,400
known as a degree. 
One structure that is a 

251
00:17:14,400 --> 00:17:19,440
supercontinent will form over an
area of mantle dam welling that 

252
00:17:19,560 --> 00:17:22,800
is antipodal to an area of 
upwelling. 

253
00:17:23,119 --> 00:17:26,960
So you have a mantle with a 
relatively simple overall 

254
00:17:26,960 --> 00:17:31,760
convection system, a single area
of dam welling, and an antipodal

255
00:17:31,760 --> 00:17:37,640
area of upwelling. 
But as it sits there, the effect

256
00:17:37,640 --> 00:17:42,760
of the amalgamation is to start 
generating these plumes at the 

257
00:17:42,760 --> 00:17:46,760
core mantle boundary underneath 
it, which of course rise and 

258
00:17:46,760 --> 00:17:50,160
foster its break up. 
But in doing so they change the 

259
00:17:50,160 --> 00:17:54,680
overall structure of the mantle 
from a degree one structure to 

260
00:17:54,680 --> 00:17:59,640
what is known as a degree two. 
That is a mantle with antipodal 

261
00:17:59,640 --> 00:18:04,480
areas of upwelling, because the 
original area of upwelling is 

262
00:18:04,480 --> 00:18:07,920
still there and you've now 
created another one underneath 

263
00:18:07,920 --> 00:18:10,200
the supercartinent, antipodal to
it. 

264
00:18:11,280 --> 00:18:15,760
And between these, what you see 
is a girdle of downwelling, 

265
00:18:16,360 --> 00:18:19,880
which is where subduction is 
going to be focused, and that 

266
00:18:19,880 --> 00:18:21,560
forms a girdle all the way 
around. 

267
00:18:21,560 --> 00:18:24,360
It's referred to as the 
subduction girdle. 

268
00:18:25,040 --> 00:18:29,920
And interestingly, that then 
bears on how supercontinents 

269
00:18:29,920 --> 00:18:33,080
might assemble after they break 
up. 

270
00:18:34,200 --> 00:18:38,200
Because in a world like that, 
once your supercontinent breaks 

271
00:18:38,200 --> 00:18:43,760
up, the dispersing continents 
are going to move towards an 

272
00:18:43,760 --> 00:18:47,440
area of mantle damwelling. 
And that area of mantle 

273
00:18:47,440 --> 00:18:52,880
damwelling is now this girdle. 
And so the dispersing continents

274
00:18:53,080 --> 00:18:57,640
might be expected to collect 
over this girdle of mantle 

275
00:18:57,640 --> 00:19:03,240
damwelling. 
And what they do then depends on

276
00:19:03,240 --> 00:19:06,240
what that girdle does in terms 
of movement. 

277
00:19:07,360 --> 00:19:13,800
If it moves away from the former
supercontinent by a process of 

278
00:19:13,800 --> 00:19:18,200
rollback, for example, like we 
see in the Western Pacific, it 

279
00:19:18,200 --> 00:19:24,240
may continue to move until it 
reaches the other pole antipodal

280
00:19:24,240 --> 00:19:27,920
to the former supercontinent. 
In which case the continents are

281
00:19:27,920 --> 00:19:33,240
going to coalesce there and you 
will create a new supercontinent

282
00:19:33,560 --> 00:19:38,680
antipodal to the former one. 
And in doing so you will have 

283
00:19:38,680 --> 00:19:43,640
closed the ocean surrounding the
supercontinent. 

284
00:19:44,800 --> 00:19:49,680
So in the modern world, if we 
think about the breakup Pangaea,

285
00:19:49,960 --> 00:19:55,560
the effect of that would be to 
close the Pacific and reunite 

286
00:19:55,560 --> 00:19:57,720
the continents as a result of 
doing that. 

287
00:19:58,040 --> 00:20:02,720
And that's referred to as 
extroversion closure of the 

288
00:20:02,760 --> 00:20:05,320
ocean surrounding the 
supercontinent. 

289
00:20:06,640 --> 00:20:09,440
Conversely, it may collapse, 
this girdle may collapse on 

290
00:20:09,440 --> 00:20:14,000
itself, and the continents will 
then come back to their former 

291
00:20:14,000 --> 00:20:19,200
positions, more or less, and you
will recreate a supercontinent 

292
00:20:20,040 --> 00:20:23,240
in much the same position as the
one you've just broken up. 

293
00:20:24,160 --> 00:20:26,360
That process known as 
introversion. 

294
00:20:26,720 --> 00:20:31,200
And in today's world, that would
be like saying the next 

295
00:20:31,200 --> 00:20:34,680
supercontinent forms as a result
of the closure of the Atlantic 

296
00:20:34,680 --> 00:20:39,640
Ocean, which would reunite the 
continents to form a 

297
00:20:39,640 --> 00:20:43,320
supercontinent in much the same 
position that Pangaea was in. 

298
00:20:44,800 --> 00:20:50,360
Now, 1/3 of possibility is a 
girdle doesn't move, and that 

299
00:20:50,360 --> 00:20:54,640
the supercontinent effectively 
assembles on the girdle 

300
00:20:54,640 --> 00:20:57,920
somewhere. 
And if that's the case, then the

301
00:20:57,920 --> 00:21:04,480
new supercontinent forms sort of
about 90° to the former one, and

302
00:21:04,480 --> 00:21:07,800
that's referred to as author 
version. 

303
00:21:08,920 --> 00:21:12,760
And in today's world, that would
be akin to forming a 

304
00:21:12,760 --> 00:21:17,880
supercontinent by closing up the
Arctic Ocean and closing up the 

305
00:21:17,880 --> 00:21:21,240
Caribbean, for example, and 
bringing the continents together

306
00:21:21,240 --> 00:21:25,360
that way. 
So those are the three methods 

307
00:21:25,360 --> 00:21:29,120
of reuniting A supercontinent 
that are often banded around at 

308
00:21:29,120 --> 00:21:31,600
the moment. 
Do we know enough about the 

309
00:21:31,600 --> 00:21:34,560
actual positions of former 
supercontinents? 

310
00:21:35,000 --> 00:21:39,120
Going back, maybe Pangaea, 
possibly Panosha, Radinia, maybe

311
00:21:39,280 --> 00:21:42,720
Canola? 
And before that to know if they 

312
00:21:42,720 --> 00:21:47,880
did indeed reassemble in the 
same place, Antipodele, or at 

313
00:21:47,880 --> 00:21:49,600
90°? 
In other words, which of these 

314
00:21:49,600 --> 00:21:52,080
three theories is borne out by 
the data? 

315
00:21:52,520 --> 00:21:56,240
There are certainly folks out 
there who have argued, yes, that

316
00:21:56,520 --> 00:22:00,400
the relationship has been one of
90° and that we see author 

317
00:22:00,400 --> 00:22:05,240
version in the past. 
When we first advocated the 

318
00:22:05,240 --> 00:22:09,800
cycle, the one we thought most 
likely was introversion. 

319
00:22:10,440 --> 00:22:13,840
And the reason was not because 
we had any great idea of how 

320
00:22:13,880 --> 00:22:19,280
these things happened, but we 
simply looked at Pangaea and 

321
00:22:19,280 --> 00:22:24,400
Pangaea formed by the closure of
oceans like Iapetus, the 

322
00:22:24,400 --> 00:22:30,440
Tonquist, the Raik, et cetera. 
And these were all oceans that 

323
00:22:30,440 --> 00:22:34,880
formed when what we thought was 
the previous supercontinent, 

324
00:22:34,880 --> 00:22:41,200
Panosha, broke up. 
And so from that perspective, it

325
00:22:41,200 --> 00:22:48,000
looked as if Pangaea had formed 
by closing oceans produced by 

326
00:22:48,000 --> 00:22:50,560
the breakup of the previous 
supercontinent. 

327
00:22:51,160 --> 00:22:55,440
And that's introversion. 
But in truth, I don't think we 

328
00:22:55,440 --> 00:22:59,960
can be specific about it. 
The relative positions of 

329
00:22:59,960 --> 00:23:03,480
successive supercontinents seems
to be quite a important 

330
00:23:03,800 --> 00:23:08,000
observation to resolve these 
large scale mantle processes 

331
00:23:08,000 --> 00:23:10,760
that we're talking about here, 
and I'm wondering whether either

332
00:23:11,200 --> 00:23:17,240
the global distribution of these
relict or slab graveyards might 

333
00:23:17,240 --> 00:23:20,320
give us some indication, or 
whether indeed it's the computer

334
00:23:20,320 --> 00:23:22,360
modeling that can come to the 
rescue here. 

335
00:23:22,800 --> 00:23:25,160
I think it's more likely to be 
the computer modelling. 

336
00:23:25,400 --> 00:23:27,840
You could argue, for example, 
that the reason we have 

337
00:23:27,840 --> 00:23:32,680
antipodal slab graveyards or 
large low velocity provinces is 

338
00:23:32,680 --> 00:23:37,800
because one formed under Pangaea
and the other one formed under 

339
00:23:37,800 --> 00:23:40,720
the previous supercontinent. 
It hasn't dissipated yet. 

340
00:23:41,040 --> 00:23:43,000
And if that was the case, of 
course we're dealing with 

341
00:23:43,000 --> 00:23:46,000
extroversion because they're on 
opposite poles. 

342
00:23:46,640 --> 00:23:49,400
And our problem with 
establishing the precise 

343
00:23:49,400 --> 00:23:55,120
existence of supercontinents is 
we don't have much longitudinal 

344
00:23:55,120 --> 00:23:58,560
constraints. 
Paleomagnetism will get us 

345
00:23:58,760 --> 00:24:03,520
latitudinal constraints, but 
it's often rather difficult to 

346
00:24:03,520 --> 00:24:06,640
know whether we're on this side 
of the world or that side of the

347
00:24:06,640 --> 00:24:10,200
world. 
So exactly, positioning 1 

348
00:24:10,200 --> 00:24:14,120
supercontinent with respect to 
another is not an easy process. 

349
00:24:14,280 --> 00:24:18,440
And on top of that, we have this
issue of true polar wonder, 

350
00:24:19,120 --> 00:24:22,920
which may very well impact all 
supercontinents. 

351
00:24:23,480 --> 00:24:28,960
And that is a feature of physics
that requires the mass imbalance

352
00:24:29,560 --> 00:24:31,880
that is produced when you put 
all the continents together in 

353
00:24:31,880 --> 00:24:37,440
one place to cause the Earth to 
rotate in such a fashion as to 

354
00:24:37,440 --> 00:24:40,600
bring that mass imbalance to the
equator. 

355
00:24:41,440 --> 00:24:45,680
It's a whole Earth rotation of 
the mantle and the lithosphere. 

356
00:24:46,160 --> 00:24:50,080
So to detach somewhere at the 
core mantle boundary, which 

357
00:24:50,080 --> 00:24:55,280
brings the entire mass of a 
super continent, say one that 

358
00:24:55,520 --> 00:24:58,760
assembled at the pole. 
This process of true polar 

359
00:24:58,760 --> 00:25:03,880
wonder would slowly but surely 
bring that down to the equator, 

360
00:25:04,240 --> 00:25:06,400
and in fact I think brings it 
down quite fast. 

361
00:25:06,400 --> 00:25:08,800
I believe the rates of true 
polar wonder are quite a bit 

362
00:25:08,800 --> 00:25:11,760
faster than the rates of plate 
motion, for example. 

363
00:25:12,120 --> 00:25:15,080
So that means that all super 
continents, given enough time, 

364
00:25:15,080 --> 00:25:18,240
will end up on the equator, 
regardless of where they formed.

365
00:25:18,960 --> 00:25:23,440
There is a lot of debate as to 
whether Panosia existed during a

366
00:25:23,440 --> 00:25:28,040
period between about 630 million
years ago and 530 million years 

367
00:25:28,040 --> 00:25:33,880
ago, pretty much midway between 
Rodinia and Pangaea, and you're 

368
00:25:33,880 --> 00:25:37,600
an advocate of its existence. 
What brought you to this 

369
00:25:37,600 --> 00:25:39,840
conclusion? 
Well, I would certainly like to 

370
00:25:39,880 --> 00:25:42,200
think Panosia existed, but I may
be wrong. 

371
00:25:42,880 --> 00:25:49,000
And interestingly, whether or 
not it did, Penosha is central 

372
00:25:49,280 --> 00:25:52,120
to some of the issues we've been
talking about. 

373
00:25:53,080 --> 00:25:58,160
It's also a bit ironic because 
poor old Penosha was the first 

374
00:25:58,640 --> 00:26:04,600
pre Pangaean supercontinent to 
be proposed, and when we were 

375
00:26:04,600 --> 00:26:08,720
putting the case of the 
supercontinent cycle together, 

376
00:26:09,200 --> 00:26:13,360
it seemed to us the one for 
which the case was strongest. 

377
00:26:13,840 --> 00:26:19,960
But the problem is that are two 
key tools for establishing 

378
00:26:19,960 --> 00:26:23,960
supercontinents, namely 
paleomagnetism and absolute age 

379
00:26:23,960 --> 00:26:27,880
dating, have failed to establish
its existence. 

380
00:26:29,000 --> 00:26:32,880
Paleomagnetic data for the IDIAC
run, that is, the period during 

381
00:26:32,880 --> 00:26:37,640
which this supercontinent would 
have existed if it did, is very 

382
00:26:37,640 --> 00:26:40,280
inconclusive. 
The data are notoriously 

383
00:26:40,280 --> 00:26:44,200
dispersed, and that may well 
mean that the Earth's magnetic 

384
00:26:44,200 --> 00:26:47,040
field was misbehaving at that 
time. 

385
00:26:47,400 --> 00:26:51,640
There may have been true polar 
wander going on, or it may not 

386
00:26:51,640 --> 00:26:55,600
have been a dipole, but 
something odd was going on with 

387
00:26:55,600 --> 00:26:59,120
the magnetic field, which means 
it's difficult to use 

388
00:26:59,120 --> 00:27:03,320
paleomagnetic data to say yay or
nay. 

389
00:27:03,320 --> 00:27:07,640
If we look at the age dating, 
the problem there is age dating 

390
00:27:07,640 --> 00:27:11,520
suggests that the supercontinent
was breaking up before it ever 

391
00:27:11,520 --> 00:27:14,880
got together. 
And if that's the case, then it 

392
00:27:14,880 --> 00:27:18,760
never really existed. 
And even if it did, I think even

393
00:27:18,760 --> 00:27:22,480
I would concede that if it did 
exist, it was a very short lived

394
00:27:22,640 --> 00:27:25,600
supercontent. 
But why did we think it was a 

395
00:27:25,600 --> 00:27:28,360
supercontent? 
The reason is because the proxy 

396
00:27:28,360 --> 00:27:32,440
signals are unmistakable and 
these include all the ones that 

397
00:27:32,440 --> 00:27:34,960
you'd expect. 
Things like global hierogeny, 

398
00:27:35,280 --> 00:27:39,320
zircon age peak, evidence of 
widespread rifting and mayfic 

399
00:27:39,320 --> 00:27:43,600
dyke, swarms and lips and 
changes in sea level and climate

400
00:27:43,600 --> 00:27:47,600
and extinctions and radiations, 
and just a host of geochemical 

401
00:27:47,600 --> 00:27:51,160
and isotopic tracers, they're 
all there. 

402
00:27:51,560 --> 00:27:55,520
The problem is, while they are 
collectively compelling, they 

403
00:27:55,520 --> 00:28:01,160
are individually contestable and
therefore they cannot be 

404
00:28:01,160 --> 00:28:05,240
considered definitive. 
For example, you could argue 

405
00:28:05,240 --> 00:28:09,720
that the orogenic activity and 
zircon age peak, which are very 

406
00:28:09,720 --> 00:28:15,600
real, record the assembly of 
Gondwana, not Pernosa, and 

407
00:28:15,600 --> 00:28:19,000
conversely the evidence of 
rifting and lips, et cetera. 

408
00:28:19,560 --> 00:28:26,200
This was just a continuation of 
the break up of Rodinia and not 

409
00:28:26,200 --> 00:28:28,480
the break up of a subsequent 
supercon. 

410
00:28:29,560 --> 00:28:34,000
So there is an argument against 
each of them that can be made so

411
00:28:34,000 --> 00:28:39,200
that they're contestable. 
So although the proxy evidence, 

412
00:28:39,200 --> 00:28:43,280
which was the only evidence we 
had at the time, was strong, it 

413
00:28:43,280 --> 00:28:48,320
is not definitive. 
But interestingly, even if 

414
00:28:48,320 --> 00:28:55,840
Penosha did not exist, what this
proxy evidence suggests is there

415
00:28:55,840 --> 00:29:01,200
is actually a far more important
question going on here, and that

416
00:29:01,200 --> 00:29:07,880
is, is a full blown 
supercontinent needed to make 

417
00:29:07,880 --> 00:29:14,480
the supercontinent cycle work? 
Or might a close gathering of 

418
00:29:14,480 --> 00:29:19,560
continents be sufficient to 
change mantle circulation in the

419
00:29:19,560 --> 00:29:25,360
way we've been talking about and
cause the converging continents 

420
00:29:25,480 --> 00:29:29,600
to reverse their convergence? 
So the key here is to convert 

421
00:29:29,600 --> 00:29:32,800
that downwelling that's 
underneath where the newly 

422
00:29:32,800 --> 00:29:37,560
forming supercontinent is 
forming into an upwelling. 

423
00:29:37,560 --> 00:29:40,800
And that's why you're really 
saying this is perhaps more of a

424
00:29:41,160 --> 00:29:46,480
deep mantle cycle rather than a 
supercontinental, which implies 

425
00:29:46,480 --> 00:29:48,840
a surface cycle. 
And the question then is, I 

426
00:29:48,840 --> 00:29:52,080
suppose, what does it take to 
get that reversal? 

427
00:29:52,080 --> 00:29:56,480
Do you actually have to close 
them up completely and produce 

428
00:29:56,480 --> 00:30:01,040
that thermal blanket with no 
cracks or gaps in it, or is just

429
00:30:01,040 --> 00:30:03,920
proximity good enough? 
Exactly so. 

430
00:30:04,160 --> 00:30:07,880
And if you don't need a 
supercontinent, then it isn't a 

431
00:30:07,880 --> 00:30:12,080
supercontinent cycle. 
But although it involves the 

432
00:30:12,080 --> 00:30:16,000
deep mantle as you just 
mentioned, it is not a mantle 

433
00:30:16,000 --> 00:30:21,240
cycle either because the 
supercontinent or this near 

434
00:30:21,240 --> 00:30:24,600
supercontinent obviously plays a
vital role. 

435
00:30:25,320 --> 00:30:30,280
So it is a mantle lithosphere 
cycle, but I think we're going 

436
00:30:30,280 --> 00:30:33,880
to have to come up with a sexier
title than that if we want it to

437
00:30:33,880 --> 00:30:35,960
catch on. 
Why are we so concerned as to 

438
00:30:35,960 --> 00:30:39,400
whether Panosha actually 
happened or not? 

439
00:30:39,680 --> 00:30:43,200
The existence of Panosha is 
critical for a number of 

440
00:30:43,200 --> 00:30:45,280
reasons. 
If we don't actually need a 

441
00:30:45,280 --> 00:30:49,800
supercontinent, and Panosha is 
an example of, well we didn't 

442
00:30:49,800 --> 00:30:54,440
have one and yet we change 
mantle circulation, then the 

443
00:30:54,440 --> 00:30:58,200
question is, are there other 
times when this has happened? 

444
00:30:58,920 --> 00:31:02,400
Do we have other proximate 
supercontinents that have 

445
00:31:02,400 --> 00:31:06,000
affected the cycle in the past 
that we haven't even thought 

446
00:31:06,000 --> 00:31:08,400
about? 
There are other sort of key 

447
00:31:08,640 --> 00:31:11,040
issues. 
The existence or non existence 

448
00:31:11,040 --> 00:31:16,120
of Panosha obviously affects the
interval between supercontinents

449
00:31:16,640 --> 00:31:22,320
and therefore it influences 
whether or not the cycle has 

450
00:31:22,320 --> 00:31:25,680
experienced secular change 
through time. 

451
00:31:26,680 --> 00:31:31,200
Without Panosha, the interval 
between supercontinents has 

452
00:31:31,200 --> 00:31:35,760
remained pretty much constant 
since the end of the Archaean at

453
00:31:36,080 --> 00:31:41,840
around 606, fifty million years 
or so, suggesting A broadly 

454
00:31:41,840 --> 00:31:46,800
steady state cycle. 
If we put Panosha in the picture

455
00:31:46,800 --> 00:31:50,880
and say it was a supercontinent,
then the interval looks to be 

456
00:31:50,960 --> 00:31:54,880
shortening towards perhaps 300 
million years or so. 

457
00:31:55,520 --> 00:31:58,120
And this would imply that the 
cycle is accelerating. 

458
00:31:58,960 --> 00:32:02,080
And if that's the case, it's 
telling us something very 

459
00:32:02,080 --> 00:32:04,960
important about mantle 
evolution. 

460
00:32:05,520 --> 00:32:09,520
And the other thing that it 
influences is a question that 

461
00:32:09,640 --> 00:32:12,920
geologists are tantalised by. 
And that is OK, we've got a 

462
00:32:12,920 --> 00:32:16,360
cycle, when's the next one? 
So when does the next 

463
00:32:16,360 --> 00:32:19,720
supercontinent assemble? 
Well that depends very much on 

464
00:32:19,720 --> 00:32:25,800
the interval between them and 
without Kenosha we can expect 

465
00:32:25,800 --> 00:32:30,160
another supercontinent in 300 
million years or so, but with 

466
00:32:30,160 --> 00:32:35,800
Kenosha it might form in as 
little as 100 million years and 

467
00:32:35,800 --> 00:32:39,840
so a significant difference. 
So there are lots of quite 

468
00:32:39,840 --> 00:32:45,760
important questions hinging on 
the existence or non existence 

469
00:32:45,760 --> 00:32:52,720
of Kenosha, and I think perhaps 
more important than did it 

470
00:32:52,720 --> 00:32:55,240
actually all come together to 
form a supercontinent? 

471
00:32:55,560 --> 00:32:59,480
Is the answer to the question 
did Panosha, whether it formed 

472
00:32:59,480 --> 00:33:04,920
or not, impact mantle 
circulation in such a way as to 

473
00:33:04,920 --> 00:33:09,160
turn an area of downwelling into
upwelling. 

474
00:33:09,560 --> 00:33:13,520
If it did, then it is a 
supercontinent as far as a 

475
00:33:13,520 --> 00:33:17,200
supercontinent cycle is 
concerned, regardless of whether

476
00:33:17,200 --> 00:33:20,080
or not it is a supercontinent by
definition. 

477
00:33:21,000 --> 00:33:26,360
I'm struck that these ideas are 
based on rather small number 

478
00:33:26,360 --> 00:33:30,240
statistics and some of the 
sources of evidence we discussed

479
00:33:30,240 --> 00:33:33,320
have significant uncertainties 
associated with them. 

480
00:33:33,920 --> 00:33:38,560
I'm wondering what observations 
or computer modelling or other 

481
00:33:38,560 --> 00:33:43,480
line of research would you most 
like to see to help us get more 

482
00:33:43,480 --> 00:33:46,400
confidence that we know what the
long term dynamics of the 

483
00:33:46,400 --> 00:33:48,720
continents are and what drives 
them. 

484
00:33:49,920 --> 00:33:52,000
Well, you're absolutely right, 
I'm afraid. 

485
00:33:52,000 --> 00:33:57,160
The topic is plagued by the 
fallacy of small numbers, but we

486
00:33:57,160 --> 00:33:58,600
have to work with what we've 
got. 

487
00:33:59,160 --> 00:34:02,720
And as you mentioned, it's also 
plagued by uncertainties 

488
00:34:02,760 --> 00:34:06,000
associated with the proxy record
which bedeviled its 

489
00:34:06,000 --> 00:34:08,639
interpretation. 
So there are a lot of issues 

490
00:34:08,639 --> 00:34:13,000
here, but as to where we go from
here, as I mentioned before, I 

491
00:34:13,000 --> 00:34:19,040
think the answer lies not in 
scratching our heads over deep 

492
00:34:19,040 --> 00:34:24,120
time, but it lies in the modern 
world and the improvements of 

493
00:34:24,120 --> 00:34:27,679
the techniques we already have 
for studying the thermal 

494
00:34:27,679 --> 00:34:31,440
structure of the mantle and 
modelling its evolution through 

495
00:34:31,440 --> 00:34:34,920
time. 
And I'm fairly confident that 

496
00:34:35,120 --> 00:34:39,080
within the next five years, 
certainly within the next 

497
00:34:39,480 --> 00:34:44,719
decade, the increased resolution
in seismic tomography and 

498
00:34:44,719 --> 00:34:50,480
increased sophistication in 
modelling will allow us to 

499
00:34:50,480 --> 00:34:54,239
understand the relationship 
between things like plate 

500
00:34:54,239 --> 00:34:59,000
tectonics, mantle circulation, 
subducting slabs, mantle plumes.

501
00:34:59,640 --> 00:35:03,880
This will finally come together 
in a comprehensive picture. 

502
00:35:04,840 --> 00:35:09,880
And once we've got that, it will
provide us with a powerful new 

503
00:35:10,080 --> 00:35:14,360
insight for interpreting the 
dynamics of the Earth in deep 

504
00:35:14,360 --> 00:35:17,000
time. 
So once we've sorted out the 

505
00:35:17,000 --> 00:35:20,080
present, then we can go back and
have a look at all this 

506
00:35:20,320 --> 00:35:23,840
information and see if we can't 
make much better sense of it. 

507
00:35:24,720 --> 00:35:26,880
Damien Nance, thank you very 
much. 

508
00:35:27,440 --> 00:35:29,520
Well, thank you, Oliver. 
It's been a real pleasure. 

509
00:35:31,120 --> 00:35:33,800
To see pictures and 
illustrations that support this 

510
00:35:33,800 --> 00:35:39,400
podcast, go to geologybytes.com,
where you'll also find 

511
00:35:39,400 --> 00:35:43,720
transcripts and a subject matter
index of all the episodes there.

512
00:35:43,720 --> 00:35:47,320
You can also give me feedback, 
which I welcome, as well as sign

513
00:35:47,320 --> 00:35:49,720
up to get my emails about new 
episodes.

