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So I think if you're interested 
in global policy, I, if you're 

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interested in your stance and 
how the world is working around 

3
00:00:07,040 --> 00:00:09,920
you and how that impacts you, I 
think this is a very, very 

4
00:00:09,920 --> 00:00:13,840
important podcast, right? 
Ultimately, you don't live in 

5
00:00:13,840 --> 00:00:17,280
your own economy better self. 
You're living in a competitive 

6
00:00:17,280 --> 00:00:20,120
environment and whatever happens
somewhere else in the world, it 

7
00:00:20,120 --> 00:00:22,840
impacts you in one way or the 
other, maybe with massive 

8
00:00:22,840 --> 00:00:26,680
delays, but it impacts you. 
So being educated about global 

9
00:00:26,680 --> 00:00:29,840
policy, being educated by 
international economics is 

10
00:00:29,840 --> 00:00:32,479
critically important to see 
where you stand in the world and

11
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what affects you and how you can
actually monetize that. 

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So that that's what I would 
argue is, is how critical to 

13
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this. 
Number two, it's any podcasts 

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and and podcasts are a great way
of becoming more in tuned when 

15
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the industries and segments that
you're in and learning from 

16
00:00:51,600 --> 00:00:54,880
other people's experiences, 
right, is to build a larger 

17
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library of experience knowledge.
And you don't have to experience

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everything yourself, but you can
actually read about it and learn

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from other people's experiences.
So that's why podcasts become so

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critically important. 
Before we dive back into today's

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conversation, I want to share 
something important. 

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This episode includes a pay 
partnership with Better Help, a 

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platform designed to make 
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I know for my own journey as a 
leader and entrepreneur that 

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life can sometimes feel 
overwhelming. 

26
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There are seasons, severe 
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pressure pewed up, and you need 
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Therapy isn't only for people 

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facing clinical challenges. 
It't the space to reflect, grow,

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and find better ways to see my 
stress, relationships, and 

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personal goals. 
It takes courage to see how, but

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it's also one of the smartest 
investments you can make in your

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mental and emotional welding. 
That's why I'm proud to 

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partnership with their help and 
I encourage you to take that 

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first step. 
If you've been thinking about 

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it. 
Sometimes the best investment 

50
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you can make easy yourself. 
Welcome to the King Dems 

51
00:02:11,870 --> 00:02:15,190
Podcast, where we share the 
stories of extraordinary people 

52
00:02:15,190 --> 00:02:18,390
and dissect hot, relevant topics
that shape our world. 

53
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From visionary leaders to 
trailblazing creatives, we 

54
00:02:21,430 --> 00:02:24,750
uncover the mindset, strategy, 
and grit behind greatness. 

55
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Whether it's business, culture 
or personal growth, we ask the 

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real questions. 
This isn't just conversation, 

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it's transformation. 
The Kingdom's podcast, Your Next

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00:02:34,280 --> 00:02:38,080
Breakthrough, starts here. 
Music licensing reimagined. 

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Your life, ladies and gentlemen,
who once again welcome to the 

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00:02:44,520 --> 00:02:48,080
Kingdom's podcast and Diary of a
CFO. 

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00:02:48,160 --> 00:02:52,680
Today our club will be a very, 
very important guest fighting 

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out of New York by way of 
Washington, DC, United States of

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America. 
Beck, Walker, Bobberg or Fuzzy. 

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How are you, Bobby? 
Oh good, thank you. 

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Wow, now I feel like I'm boxing 
and the lights are missing. 

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Whoa, that is the Bruce Bluffer 
introduction. 

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That's big special arts. 
You know, life is a fight 

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anyway, so welcome to the 
economic fight. 

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Wow. 
So I've actually prepared your 

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your fantastic introduction 
based off your fantastic 

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profile. 
So sit back and let me give you 

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your flowers today on the King 
James Podcast and Diary of a 

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00:03:34,800 --> 00:03:36,920
CFO. 
We are joined by a global 

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business strategist, news 
advisors, shaped Fortune 500 

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CEOs, governments, investors and
entrepreneurs across continents.

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From guiding Morgan Stanley 
during the IPO to advising 

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international government and 
scaling companies worldwide, 

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Baba Khashezi needs a true 
authority in strategy, risk 

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growth and international market 
expansion. 

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As the founder and CEO of Hafezi
Capital International Consulting

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and agent, Professor of the 
International Business Arts, 

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American University, Babak, a 
wealth of experience that blames

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academic figure with the real 
world impact. 

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Bob Buck, it's a privilege to 
have you on here. 

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Welcome to the show once again. 
Thank you very much. 

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Thank you. 
And that was a mouthful, that. 

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Was a mouthful because your 
career is a handful. 

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No, no, no. 
It's one that hard for maybe 

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maybe a globe for because it's 
amount of the whole globe. 

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Well, it's good to have an 
impact, right? 

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Ultimately, I think that we all 
live to make impact. 

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Absolutely. 
That that's, that's the main 

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goal. 
You know, I always tell people 

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that I'd rather impact obedient 
lives than make a billion 

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dollars because that is what 
legacy is about. 

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But you know, talking about the 
globe, right, it's interesting 

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for us to know about 
globalization and that's 

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something that is very, very 
what I say important to you as 

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well, given how your body of 
work has been able to keep 

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global impact. 
Our love for each educators 

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about globalization and how it 
speaks to what we have been put 

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together Many thanks to quoted 
right. 

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We talk about the China U.S. 
Trade and industrialization 

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policies. 
So let's start from 

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globalization. 
Yeah, I think one of the key 

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elements of globalization and I 
think one of the key reasons 

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that we became so globalized is 
because we lived in a world, you

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know, pre World War Two, in a 
world that was very combative, 

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where, you know, friends and 
foes were always at war. 

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And that it did not allow for 
economic development on a large 

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scale and limited people. 
And it created a lot of 

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instabilities, economically 
speaking. 

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So we designed a system after 
World War 2 with the Bretton 

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Woods agreement to to really 
integrate the world and and 

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create institutions. 
And this is a keyword 

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institutions to really be able 
to systemize and and allow us to

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engage in trade. 
And that system became very 

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America centric early on in the 
50s and 60s and all the way to 

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about the early set, America was
a big recipient and a winner of 

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that because the factors around 
Japan and the European markets 

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had, you know, this is created 
after World War 2 and America 

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was the only fact that was open 
for business. 

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But then when competition 
started, when Japan came back to

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the market, when Europe came 
back to the market, it relocated

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positive competition. 
And then in the late 70's, the 

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beginning of the late 70s and 
early 80s, we have the financial

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behemoth, which is China, which 
back then was really nothing 

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economically speaking. 
And they started becoming 

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competitive in a global market 
sale. 

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And in the 80s and 90s and 
2000s, they became the 

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manufacturing hub of the world. 
And we have seen massive 

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dislodgements globally in terms 
of manufacturing jobs in in 

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terms of economic growth in 
certain sectors. 

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And so this has become a social 
challenge. 

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It started in economics, entered
politics and then now it's 

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social. 
So it's impacting us on, on, on 

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multi layers. 
Social Economy wow, so you know,

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00:07:32,440 --> 00:07:37,640
I remember doing my first degree
in economics and being taught 

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the theory of comparative 
advantage, right. 

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So there are sectors in which 
China, for example, has 

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comparative advantage and 
America has comparative 

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advantage. 
The basics in economics is a 

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country should focus on the area
where they have the comparative 

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advantage, right And I from 
other countries, you know 

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products guarantee not or they 
lack the comparative advantage, 

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right. 
So bringing it to like a 

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personal and individual level. 
But for me growing up, I was 

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talented at music as talented as
speaking, but I always met 

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people who were more talented 
musically, but I really did not 

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meet people who were that 
talented as me speaking wise and

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I decided to focus on speaking 
right. 

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So taking it back to America 
versus China, right, there's 

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something I love to see. 
Why hate when you can 

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collaborate, right? 
So globalization has broken down

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the pivotal physical walls or 
physical barriers that we used 

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to have prior to technology to 
advancement. 

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So what is your opinion on what 
really needs to be done right in

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order for US, China, the rest of
the world to collaborate instead

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00:09:02,920 --> 00:09:08,480
of Haiti and, you know, we have 
global economic prosperity. 

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So absolutely the notion of 
comparative advantage at this is

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a critical notion economics that
that is that part in central. 

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But you have to understand 
economics is not always foreign 

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00:09:19,600 --> 00:09:22,480
policy, right? 
And this is where economics and 

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00:09:22,480 --> 00:09:25,800
foreign policy kind of go in two
different critical ways. 

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And in a sense that if you're a 
hegemonic power like the United 

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States is, and you want to 
maintain hegemonic power, 

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economic coercion and economic 
power is critically important 

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00:09:34,600 --> 00:09:39,200
because that is what you need to
force other countries into to be

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able to, to still remain 
powerful, right? 

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I would argue that globalization
can actually be divided into 

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kind 6 narratives. 
And those six narratives are 

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kind of the establishment 
narrative, right? 

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00:09:48,920 --> 00:09:51,240
The the establishment narrative.
Is that what you're talking 

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about? 
That comparative advantage is 

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important. 
We we win in certain industries,

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we lose in certain industries, 
but everybody wins in the 

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process. 
You also have this what's called

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the left wing narrative, which 
is a win lose situation. 

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We have actually four win, lose 
situations, right, depending on 

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00:10:07,880 --> 00:10:10,240
where on the political spectrum 
that you're in. 

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00:10:10,600 --> 00:10:14,160
And that is that the elites are 
the ones who are winning, right?

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00:10:14,400 --> 00:10:16,800
That in this case of 
globalization, the elites are 

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00:10:16,800 --> 00:10:19,320
the winners and everybody else 
loses in the process. 

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00:10:19,360 --> 00:10:23,760
The third way is the corporate 
of power narrative, which is the

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00:10:23,760 --> 00:10:26,480
corporations win, especially 
multinational corporations win 

186
00:10:26,840 --> 00:10:30,480
at the expense of people. 
The the right wing populist 

187
00:10:30,480 --> 00:10:33,720
argument is that the people on 
the other side of the world in 

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00:10:33,720 --> 00:10:36,800
developing countries are winning
against us, that we'll lose it 

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00:10:37,000 --> 00:10:40,280
in the process, right. 
And then again still win, lose. 

190
00:10:40,360 --> 00:10:42,640
Then you have a Geo economic 
narrative. 

191
00:10:42,640 --> 00:10:45,640
This one is the one in 
economics, you know, for us to 

192
00:10:45,640 --> 00:10:49,920
maintain our competitive powers 
economically that we need to 

193
00:10:50,360 --> 00:10:54,040
diminish other people's economic
powers and we're becoming too 

194
00:10:54,040 --> 00:10:58,200
reliant at others. 
And the last one is the global 

195
00:10:58,200 --> 00:11:02,240
threat narrative, which is a 
lose, lose narrative, is that 

196
00:11:02,240 --> 00:11:04,960
everybody loses in this right. 
We're losing our jobs, we're 

197
00:11:04,960 --> 00:11:07,520
losing our autonomy, we're 
losing all these different 

198
00:11:07,520 --> 00:11:09,120
elements. 
And everybody else is, you know,

199
00:11:09,520 --> 00:11:13,600
and then you don't have you 
don't have critical critical 

200
00:11:13,600 --> 00:11:16,480
manufacturing domestically, you 
lose talents. 

201
00:11:16,480 --> 00:11:18,360
So all of those are kind of the 
narrative. 

202
00:11:18,360 --> 00:11:21,040
So those are the six narratives 
of globalization and where you 

203
00:11:21,040 --> 00:11:24,960
fall economically, where do you 
fall socio politically? 

204
00:11:25,600 --> 00:11:27,200
It impacts the way you see the 
world. 

205
00:11:27,320 --> 00:11:29,960
And I wouldn't argue. 
And so the way you perceive it, 

206
00:11:29,960 --> 00:11:33,800
the way where you where you see 
the world impacts the policies 

207
00:11:33,800 --> 00:11:36,720
you implement. 
Absolutely. 

208
00:11:37,280 --> 00:11:39,600
So think about it from a Brexit 
perspective, right? 

209
00:11:40,720 --> 00:11:43,760
The, the Brexit perspective was 
to certain degree of Geo 

210
00:11:43,760 --> 00:11:47,720
economic narrative that that we 
don't want to give power up to 

211
00:11:47,720 --> 00:11:50,480
the EU, that we wouldn't have 
our own autonomy, that we 

212
00:11:50,480 --> 00:11:55,640
wouldn't grow internally, right?
That was an argument and we only

213
00:11:55,640 --> 00:11:59,160
dominate by somebody else. 
So that that Geo economic is 

214
00:11:59,160 --> 00:12:03,720
also a geopolitical argument. 
And that got intensified more 

215
00:12:03,720 --> 00:12:07,640
after COVID, like if you think 
about what the impact of COVID 

216
00:12:07,640 --> 00:12:11,440
and the inability for us to 
access materials easily globally

217
00:12:11,440 --> 00:12:13,000
because of supply chain 
disruptions. 

218
00:12:13,520 --> 00:12:17,680
And that really impacted our 
mental models per SE of how we 

219
00:12:17,680 --> 00:12:21,080
see the world. 
And that has kind of changed the

220
00:12:21,080 --> 00:12:24,600
narratives of how we see the 
world and hence economics. 

221
00:12:24,680 --> 00:12:28,160
This is actually very true and a
lot to unpack. 

222
00:12:28,320 --> 00:12:31,800
Right? 
The Geo economics is looking at 

223
00:12:32,560 --> 00:12:39,880
the way perspectives are aligned
based off the geography. 

224
00:12:39,920 --> 00:12:44,320
And you really can't blame 
people for wanting to protect 

225
00:12:44,320 --> 00:12:47,080
their territory because man is a
social animal. 

226
00:12:47,640 --> 00:12:50,000
Human beings are territorial in 
nature. 

227
00:12:50,680 --> 00:12:54,920
You identify with the territory 
in which you inhabit, right? 

228
00:12:55,240 --> 00:13:00,280
To protect it. 
But a lot of times we cannot see

229
00:13:00,320 --> 00:13:02,920
the bigger picture and that's 
why I I see this. 

230
00:13:02,920 --> 00:13:06,640
I've said this on the podcast 
before that the capacity of a 

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man is dependent on 4E's, right?
That is their education, their 

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exposure, their experience and 
their enlightenment. 

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And that is why we have 
platforms like this, you know, 

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to bring that enlightenment to 
help people understand the 

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bigger future, right? 
The the, the, the first law of 

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the jungle is self preservation.
But a lot of times you don't 

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realize that being greedy and 
not looking out for others is 

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counter intuitive in pursuing 
self preservation. 

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So I'd like for you to touch on 
that from an economic 

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perspective and also within the 
industrial policies, right, 

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00:13:48,680 --> 00:13:50,320
Titus? 
Industrial policies. 

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00:13:50,640 --> 00:13:55,000
How does you know industrial 
policies and instances of 

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overproduction? 
EG you know steel, solar, 

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impacts of global markets and US
based industries. 

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Right. 
So I think there's another 

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element that there's an R 
missing in your word, which is 

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risk that humans are in 
generally not willing to take 

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excess amount of risk, right. 
And when your livelihood is 

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being threatened, that is 
because that becomes the, the 

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nasty, the protectionism. 
It's how can I protect my, you 

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know, my industry? 
How can I protect my livelihood?

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It's the best. 
And then sometimes in that 

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process, I mean, you thinking 
you're doing a good thing, 

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00:14:28,400 --> 00:14:31,520
you're actually creating more 
barriers for your sustainability

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and you're making yourself less 
competitive in the global market

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space. 
And that's where human. 

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00:14:37,240 --> 00:14:41,520
Exactly, exactly, exactly. 
So that is where where we are, 

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you know, we were being 
challenged. 

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So when we talk about, I think 
it's really important that we 

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look at when we use the word 
China, we shouldn't look at it 

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00:14:51,120 --> 00:14:55,160
from a Chinese perspective in 
terms of a country, because many

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00:14:55,160 --> 00:14:59,240
times the in the West, when we 
use the word China, we think of 

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00:14:59,240 --> 00:15:01,960
the central government making 
this decisions, which if we look

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at from a, from a company 
perspective, it's not, it's 

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actually much more distributed. 
You know, there is no central 

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authority in in China that's 
setting policy in terms of 

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economic, in terms of business 
policy, right? 

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00:15:16,360 --> 00:15:18,400
What I mean by that is that 
there's no person in the Chinese

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government says this is how much
steel we're going to produce 

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00:15:20,240 --> 00:15:22,280
every single year. 
And it's what's happening very 

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similar to what the USSR used to
do. 

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It doesn't exist per SE is 
corporations. 

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These are capitalistic 
corporations that have access to

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raw materials that they have 
created infrastructures with the

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00:15:32,440 --> 00:15:34,720
help of government. 
Obviously in sourcing Robert 

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products. 
Most of us are coming from 

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emerging markets and frontier 
markets. 

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00:15:38,840 --> 00:15:42,040
So we're talking about Africa as
a continent, We're talking about

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South America as a continent. 
That's where the Roth models are

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00:15:45,000 --> 00:15:47,600
coming from. 
So that's because they have that

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much capacity, they're producing
to decrease the cost as much as 

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the possible can to remain 
globally competitive. 

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00:15:54,440 --> 00:15:57,480
And that's why you have 
overproduction in China now. 

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In the early 2000s, you did have
dumping where they brought 

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things like tires into the US 
market, right? 

286
00:16:06,240 --> 00:16:08,000
And they dumped it into the US 
market. 

287
00:16:08,000 --> 00:16:09,080
Don't. 
Forget. 

288
00:16:09,080 --> 00:16:09,920
Africa. 
Don't. 

289
00:16:09,920 --> 00:16:13,400
Forget Africa 100% of course, 
but the problem with Africa and 

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00:16:13,400 --> 00:16:16,320
institutions are weak, right? 
And because institutions are 

291
00:16:16,320 --> 00:16:18,920
weak, they they cannot contact. 
Individuals. 

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00:16:18,960 --> 00:16:21,520
Weak institutions. 
Correct, correct. 

293
00:16:21,520 --> 00:16:24,280
Correct. 
So because Africa, the African 

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00:16:24,280 --> 00:16:26,800
continent in general does not 
have strong institutions to 

295
00:16:26,800 --> 00:16:30,400
protect businesses, what ends up
happening is the African economy

296
00:16:30,400 --> 00:16:34,680
suffers from it, but the US was 
able to actually win and they 

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00:16:34,680 --> 00:16:36,320
won. 
In the case of tires in the 

298
00:16:36,320 --> 00:16:39,560
United States, the problem again
is the institutions are too 

299
00:16:39,720 --> 00:16:42,040
weak. 
They were designed for the 1960s

300
00:16:42,040 --> 00:16:45,360
and 70s and 80s or all the way 
to the 90s, but they're not 

301
00:16:45,360 --> 00:16:48,160
designed for the 2000s where 
speed is critical. 

302
00:16:48,400 --> 00:16:51,000
So when you take a case to the 
World Trade Organization, it may

303
00:16:51,000 --> 00:16:55,760
take 3456 years for it to be 
fully determined. 

304
00:16:55,760 --> 00:16:57,920
Right By that time any industry 
is dead. 

305
00:16:58,160 --> 00:17:03,040
So we need to refine 
institutions, including the WTO 

306
00:17:03,360 --> 00:17:06,880
to, to, to short to showcase 
faster processes of 

307
00:17:06,880 --> 00:17:10,240
enlightenment, of, of legal 
enlightenment and, and, and 

308
00:17:10,240 --> 00:17:11,960
education. 
So it's really, really 

309
00:17:11,960 --> 00:17:14,000
critically important. 
But unfortunately what's 

310
00:17:14,000 --> 00:17:16,079
happening is that our 
institutions are not keeping up 

311
00:17:16,079 --> 00:17:19,359
with the rate of business, where
businesses speed has 

312
00:17:19,359 --> 00:17:24,200
dramatically increased and the 
instant institutions that are 

313
00:17:24,200 --> 00:17:28,680
behind it are not keeping up. 
And it's creating massive gaps 

314
00:17:28,960 --> 00:17:31,520
that are created that's creating
these uncertainties in the 

315
00:17:31,520 --> 00:17:33,360
market. 
Industrial policy is being 

316
00:17:33,360 --> 00:17:36,600
damaged in one way or the other,
and delays are happening and job

317
00:17:36,600 --> 00:17:38,320
losses are. 
You know, Speaking of the speed,

318
00:17:39,320 --> 00:17:43,040
the speed keeps increasing over 
time, and we now have something 

319
00:17:43,040 --> 00:17:47,040
that is very, very dear to my 
heart and links to my government

320
00:17:47,040 --> 00:17:49,880
name, AI Artificially 
Intelligent. 

321
00:17:50,240 --> 00:17:53,280
I often joke about it that it's 
like my parents saw something 

322
00:17:53,280 --> 00:17:54,840
that other people did not see 
coming. 

323
00:17:55,440 --> 00:18:00,240
My name is Adam. 
And why am I sharing the same 

324
00:18:00,240 --> 00:18:02,480
initials as artificial 
intelligence? 

325
00:18:02,480 --> 00:18:05,560
And artificial intelligence is 
something I have personally 

326
00:18:05,640 --> 00:18:08,160
used, you know, to build my 
video career. 

327
00:18:08,160 --> 00:18:15,120
My company and I see the speed 
of this large language models. 

328
00:18:15,160 --> 00:18:22,640
I train AI models and I see that
speed at which they respond and 

329
00:18:22,640 --> 00:18:27,560
adapt, innovate. 
It's really, really what I see 

330
00:18:27,560 --> 00:18:31,200
alarming that the institutions 
that are meant to be protecting 

331
00:18:31,200 --> 00:18:36,400
our interests, right, are not 
adapted to the times. 

332
00:18:36,560 --> 00:18:39,960
So like, what do we need to be 
saying to the policy makers? 

333
00:18:39,960 --> 00:18:43,800
How do we need to drum these 
into the ears that if you don't 

334
00:18:44,280 --> 00:18:50,240
speed up in terms of your 
adapting to what is happening, 

335
00:18:50,240 --> 00:18:54,080
especially with AI in business, 
I think we we are probably going

336
00:18:54,080 --> 00:18:56,840
to have another World War. 
I don't know. 

337
00:18:56,840 --> 00:19:01,160
I think that's probably I. 
Mean don't don't forget the both

338
00:19:01,160 --> 00:19:04,240
things can be true right? 
Large learning models are 

339
00:19:04,240 --> 00:19:06,920
extracting data from from 
outside sources. 

340
00:19:07,160 --> 00:19:09,680
So large language laws to 
certain degree are actually 

341
00:19:10,000 --> 00:19:12,920
infringing in IP laws. 
Think about all the data that 

342
00:19:12,920 --> 00:19:15,280
are extracting to create the LM 
models, right? 

343
00:19:15,640 --> 00:19:18,280
Many of them are based on 
extraction of IP laws. 

344
00:19:18,480 --> 00:19:22,520
So we there's no protection in 
IP in that sense. 1 #2 What 

345
00:19:22,520 --> 00:19:29,440
happens if a an adversary wants 
to degrade our LM and create 

346
00:19:29,440 --> 00:19:32,040
content that is absorbed by the 
AI? 

347
00:19:32,400 --> 00:19:34,280
So we don't have any systems 
around that either yet. 

348
00:19:34,680 --> 00:19:38,200
So I think that we're in a 
completely blue ocean over here 

349
00:19:38,680 --> 00:19:41,280
and that there is no regulation.
We don't know where we're going 

350
00:19:41,640 --> 00:19:44,680
and there could be massive 
social implications and 

351
00:19:44,680 --> 00:19:48,760
challenges ahead of time. 
We have had remember that we had

352
00:19:48,760 --> 00:19:52,120
a different word for artificial 
intelligence up to about 3 or 4 

353
00:19:52,120 --> 00:19:55,760
years ago and that was called 
machine learning, right. 

354
00:19:56,040 --> 00:19:58,760
Machine learning was very 
systemized, was very, very, you 

355
00:19:58,760 --> 00:20:00,200
know, there, there were systems 
in place. 

356
00:20:00,200 --> 00:20:03,400
But artificial intelligence has 
taken at a different route and, 

357
00:20:03,800 --> 00:20:06,920
and for example, things like 
things like landing an airplane 

358
00:20:07,800 --> 00:20:10,080
and, and flying an airplane, 
they have been part of the 

359
00:20:10,080 --> 00:20:11,880
machine learning process for 
decades. 

360
00:20:12,200 --> 00:20:14,960
We have ample amount of data, 
but because we have such refined

361
00:20:14,960 --> 00:20:18,200
data, because we have had so 
many issues that we were able to

362
00:20:18,200 --> 00:20:20,400
solve. 
Because we know what the 

363
00:20:20,400 --> 00:20:23,440
outliers are, where the 
anomalies are, when we're going 

364
00:20:23,440 --> 00:20:25,840
to solve for that. 
We haven't had that right now 

365
00:20:26,160 --> 00:20:29,000
with AI because it's on a 
massive scale, right? 

366
00:20:29,280 --> 00:20:32,520
And I think that we're going to 
see massive amounts of legal 

367
00:20:32,520 --> 00:20:35,360
issues and social issues that 
are going to come up in a 

368
00:20:35,920 --> 00:20:38,240
negative way. 
So both positive, but also in 

369
00:20:38,240 --> 00:20:41,520
the negative way that we have no
legal protection from, which is 

370
00:20:41,520 --> 00:20:47,480
going to be quite worrisome. 
It's, it's really crazy, you 

371
00:20:47,480 --> 00:20:49,800
know, how can you regulate 
something that you don't 

372
00:20:49,800 --> 00:20:52,000
understand? 
Well, the same, you know, we 

373
00:20:52,000 --> 00:20:53,520
don't understand. 
I mean, I mean, think about it. 

374
00:20:53,520 --> 00:20:57,280
I mean, for example, right now 
we let's talk about artificial 

375
00:20:57,280 --> 00:21:01,680
intelligence in in, in an 
autonomous driving cars, right? 

376
00:21:01,800 --> 00:21:04,600
As of right now, main insurance 
companies in the United States, 

377
00:21:04,640 --> 00:21:08,320
if you get an interaction with 
an autonomous car, the automatic

378
00:21:08,320 --> 00:21:11,560
fault is on you, the human, and 
not on the on the machine. 

379
00:21:12,760 --> 00:21:14,680
So what they're saying is the 
machine could not actually 

380
00:21:14,680 --> 00:21:16,440
create an error. 
It is you that created the 

381
00:21:16,440 --> 00:21:21,040
error, right? 
So even our mental models around

382
00:21:22,080 --> 00:21:25,840
AI still not refined correctly 
and we're saying that the 

383
00:21:25,840 --> 00:21:29,440
machine makes better choices 
than humans do, which in many 

384
00:21:29,440 --> 00:21:32,800
cases they may, but it doesn't. 
That's not totally true for all 

385
00:21:32,800 --> 00:21:34,880
circumstances because the 
variables are difficult. 

386
00:21:35,840 --> 00:21:38,480
So this idea that that's the way
that we're, we should go ahead 

387
00:21:38,480 --> 00:21:40,640
and, and be is, is, is, is 
weird. 

388
00:21:40,800 --> 00:21:43,600
So I think that the fact is, I 
think people do not understand 

389
00:21:43,600 --> 00:21:45,040
and comprehend the fatality of 
it. 

390
00:21:45,480 --> 00:21:48,680
And rather than saying, listen, 
we're going to put this in a in 

391
00:21:48,680 --> 00:21:51,640
a box and and figure out how 
this played in a box and then 

392
00:21:51,640 --> 00:21:54,560
extract the T humanity in 
general, we have just unleashed 

393
00:21:54,560 --> 00:21:58,040
in the humanity and say, let's 
figure it out and go along as we

394
00:21:58,040 --> 00:22:02,320
can and see what happens. 
And that is freewilling 

395
00:22:02,440 --> 00:22:05,400
optimism. 
And freewilling optimism can 

396
00:22:05,400 --> 00:22:08,920
actually lead to so many 
undesired or unwanted 

397
00:22:09,240 --> 00:22:11,600
consequences and outcome, Right,
right, right. 

398
00:22:12,040 --> 00:22:15,040
We can only hope for the best. 
So let's talk about, you know, 

399
00:22:15,040 --> 00:22:17,600
the trade negotiations. 
Like in your own view, how 

400
00:22:17,640 --> 00:22:22,080
effective are current US, China 
trade negotiations that's 

401
00:22:22,080 --> 00:22:25,640
addressing long term economic 
imbalances? 

402
00:22:27,000 --> 00:22:29,120
And the the first thing I'm 
going to say is I don't think 

403
00:22:29,120 --> 00:22:32,400
tariffs by the nature are bad. 
Let me explain what I mean is 

404
00:22:32,400 --> 00:22:35,640
tariffs if they're implemented 
cohesively and concurrently with

405
00:22:35,720 --> 00:22:39,360
a very well designed foreign 
policy can actually be very 

406
00:22:39,360 --> 00:22:43,240
effective as a form of really 
feeding change in the market, 

407
00:22:43,240 --> 00:22:45,240
positive change in the market. 
And we have seen that 

408
00:22:45,280 --> 00:22:47,480
throughout. 
You know, we have for example, 

409
00:22:47,480 --> 00:22:50,520
sanction, sanctions are also 
form of tariffs, right? 

410
00:22:50,520 --> 00:22:52,720
It's the restrictive trade 
policy as well. 

411
00:22:53,040 --> 00:22:56,120
So you can see how sanctions can
be effective in economic 

412
00:22:56,400 --> 00:23:00,240
limitation and, and, and create 
increases in cost for certain 

413
00:23:00,240 --> 00:23:02,160
countries. 
We've seen them in Iran, we're 

414
00:23:02,160 --> 00:23:04,280
seeing that in Russia. 
So we've seen in, in, in 

415
00:23:04,280 --> 00:23:06,040
Myanmar. 
So we've seen those throughout 

416
00:23:06,040 --> 00:23:08,840
history. 
And they and yes, they're not a 

417
00:23:08,840 --> 00:23:12,440
panacea for regime change or for
anything else, but economically 

418
00:23:12,440 --> 00:23:14,840
speaking, they're pretty 
powerful and increasing domestic

419
00:23:14,840 --> 00:23:17,880
costs. 
But the current unfortunate, the

420
00:23:17,880 --> 00:23:21,000
current process of tariffs and 
the way they have been 

421
00:23:21,000 --> 00:23:25,760
implemented by US are quite half
hazard, I would argue. 

422
00:23:25,760 --> 00:23:30,080
Meaning that they actually did 
not achieve any real goal other 

423
00:23:30,080 --> 00:23:34,680
than creating, you know, a, a 
system of making America an 

424
00:23:34,680 --> 00:23:39,360
antagonist against even it's 
friends, even it's allies, right

425
00:23:39,800 --> 00:23:45,000
to to, to have high tariffs 
against Canada, against Mexico, 

426
00:23:45,160 --> 00:23:48,560
which are your key trading 
partners against the United 

427
00:23:48,560 --> 00:23:54,000
European Union in general. 
It is honestly a repressive form

428
00:23:54,000 --> 00:23:57,640
of economic warfare that does 
not help in any meaningful way 

429
00:23:58,600 --> 00:24:01,160
the US economy. 
As a matter of fact, it 

430
00:24:01,160 --> 00:24:03,520
decreases foreign direct 
investment into United States. 

431
00:24:03,920 --> 00:24:07,560
It creates massive uncertainty 
in terms of where the US stands 

432
00:24:07,560 --> 00:24:11,240
and what the policy is. 
And #3 it decreases innovation 

433
00:24:11,320 --> 00:24:14,440
as well because ultimately we 
need for us to invest our 

434
00:24:14,440 --> 00:24:17,120
country to increase innovation 
because there's a lot of things 

435
00:24:17,120 --> 00:24:20,720
that we do not know. 
And hence foreign people bring 

436
00:24:21,000 --> 00:24:23,320
new knowledge, new know house 
into the US market. 

437
00:24:23,720 --> 00:24:26,720
And that's the, the, the beauty 
of, of, of global trade is that 

438
00:24:26,720 --> 00:24:29,400
you, you bring different minds 
together and you create 

439
00:24:29,400 --> 00:24:31,560
something completely new that 
you wouldn't do individually. 

440
00:24:31,960 --> 00:24:35,080
So I think that the, the form 
and the method methodology 

441
00:24:35,080 --> 00:24:39,080
that's been imposed is actually 
creating a system which is 

442
00:24:39,320 --> 00:24:44,280
making the US less competitive 
globally and as making the US 

443
00:24:44,440 --> 00:24:47,840
less investable. 
And I don't believe that 

444
00:24:48,320 --> 00:24:50,880
manufacturing is going to come 
back and mass the United States.

445
00:24:51,320 --> 00:24:53,280
And if it does, it's 
predominantly going to be 

446
00:24:53,280 --> 00:24:55,800
automated manufacturing. 
It's going to be things that are

447
00:24:56,120 --> 00:24:58,840
that you know that that 
automation can handle much 

448
00:24:58,840 --> 00:25:00,480
easier. 
So I agree with. 

449
00:25:00,640 --> 00:25:01,840
You. 
Yeah. 

450
00:25:01,840 --> 00:25:06,840
So automation is going to be the
key element of of job reduction 

451
00:25:06,840 --> 00:25:09,200
in the US at a larger scale. 
And I'll give you, for example, 

452
00:25:09,200 --> 00:25:13,480
one nuanced case. 
McDonald's right now is working 

453
00:25:13,480 --> 00:25:17,760
on a process to limit the number
of employees to about 3 to 4 

454
00:25:17,760 --> 00:25:20,640
employees per McDonald's. 
Everything is going to be all 

455
00:25:20,640 --> 00:25:22,360
automated. 
So that's a lot of low income 

456
00:25:22,360 --> 00:25:25,560
jobs that are going to be gone. 
And if McDonald's is good at 

457
00:25:25,560 --> 00:25:27,600
doing it, correct. 
If McDonald's is doing it, then 

458
00:25:27,640 --> 00:25:30,480
all the other competitors have 
to do it as well to remain 

459
00:25:30,480 --> 00:25:33,000
competitive and to remain to 
regain pricing power. 

460
00:25:33,240 --> 00:25:36,800
So ultimately the machines are 
the one that that have been the 

461
00:25:36,800 --> 00:25:41,520
biggest evil in human history. 
You know, it is not different 

462
00:25:41,520 --> 00:25:43,200
colored people from different 
parts of the world. 

463
00:25:43,600 --> 00:25:47,040
It is machines who are the 
biggest job destroyers in our 

464
00:25:47,040 --> 00:25:48,840
livelihood. 
And honestly, artificial 

465
00:25:49,000 --> 00:25:50,920
intelligence is going to make it
even worse. 

466
00:25:51,000 --> 00:25:55,880
So it's the, it's the extension 
of that machinery from Steam 

467
00:25:55,880 --> 00:25:59,880
into, you know, LLM that's going
to completely change the way 

468
00:25:59,880 --> 00:26:03,440
that we actually do. 
I hope, I hope I'm not going to 

469
00:26:03,440 --> 00:26:08,120
get new enemies because of my 
because of my initials. 

470
00:26:08,120 --> 00:26:11,800
AIA lot of people already 
showing me hate. 

471
00:26:12,240 --> 00:26:15,320
They're like your AI. 
I heard you're coming for our 

472
00:26:15,320 --> 00:26:17,600
jobs, but I'm not coming for 
jobs. 

473
00:26:18,280 --> 00:26:22,160
I'm here to help you. 
I mean, like for example, the 

474
00:26:22,160 --> 00:26:26,440
steel industry, right, 8090 
years ago had 300,000 employees.

475
00:26:26,440 --> 00:26:29,120
Now you're running with 2030 
thousand employees. 

476
00:26:29,400 --> 00:26:33,840
You just don't need the issues. 
And even even in cheap, cheap 

477
00:26:33,840 --> 00:26:36,600
countries like labor, in terms 
of Labor compared to the 

478
00:26:36,600 --> 00:26:41,120
developed world, right, like 
China, Chinese are also using 

479
00:26:41,120 --> 00:26:43,920
automation and it's creating 
less jobs in China, right? 

480
00:26:44,120 --> 00:26:45,320
So this. 
Is not. 

481
00:26:45,320 --> 00:26:48,880
This is not a purely, you know, 
Western concept. 

482
00:26:48,880 --> 00:26:52,320
It's a global concept. 
So this is no, and you're not 

483
00:26:52,320 --> 00:26:54,320
getting it. 
You're not getting. 

484
00:26:54,320 --> 00:26:56,040
It sadly, sadly. 
You know what? 

485
00:26:56,080 --> 00:27:00,560
When people ask me like why are 
we losing jobs? 

486
00:27:00,640 --> 00:27:06,920
Why are jobs being caught, I 
tell them just two words. 2 

487
00:27:06,920 --> 00:27:11,480
words are the answer number one 
word is automation #2 word is 

488
00:27:11,480 --> 00:27:13,360
recession. 
There you go. 

489
00:27:13,360 --> 00:27:15,440
I don't know, do you? 
Do you have an opposing view? 

490
00:27:16,360 --> 00:27:18,440
No, no, I would. 
I would add another is lack of 

491
00:27:18,440 --> 00:27:20,520
innovation. 
I think lack of innovation is 

492
00:27:20,520 --> 00:27:23,440
another one, right, Because how 
do you produce new jobs, good 

493
00:27:23,440 --> 00:27:25,400
jobs? 
It's innovation, it's new fields

494
00:27:25,560 --> 00:27:27,840
that it cannot be replicated in 
cheaper country because of 

495
00:27:27,840 --> 00:27:30,360
knowledge, isn't there. 
The best example I'll give you 

496
00:27:30,440 --> 00:27:35,600
is back in 2008, 2009, when the 
US and economy was hemorrhaging 

497
00:27:36,280 --> 00:27:39,800
about jobs, specifically in the 
car industry, there was a small 

498
00:27:39,800 --> 00:27:43,680
little electronic car company 
called Tesla that was producing 

499
00:27:43,680 --> 00:27:46,240
jobs and increasing jobs and 
creating a new market that 

500
00:27:46,240 --> 00:27:49,120
didn't exist, right. 
Whatever you think about you 

501
00:27:49,120 --> 00:27:52,040
think about politically from 
Elon Musk, let's put that aside.

502
00:27:52,360 --> 00:27:56,120
But from what he's done in in 
creating a market in the US that

503
00:27:56,120 --> 00:27:58,800
it was, it was one of the 
hardest markets probably to to 

504
00:27:58,800 --> 00:28:01,080
enter. 
He did a fabulous job in 

505
00:28:01,080 --> 00:28:03,360
entering the market and changing
it and creating jobs, 

506
00:28:03,600 --> 00:28:07,280
manufacturing jobs when the the 
audit industry in the US was 

507
00:28:07,280 --> 00:28:11,240
hemorrhaging jobs and and went 
bankrupt because of it, right. 

508
00:28:12,120 --> 00:28:15,560
And that's a great example of 
where we need innovation and 

509
00:28:15,560 --> 00:28:19,120
innovation is a critical 
component to our growth, which 

510
00:28:19,120 --> 00:28:21,880
means for innovation to happen, 
we in good education systems, 

511
00:28:22,280 --> 00:28:25,640
not just the college level, but 
from primary all the way to 12th

512
00:28:25,640 --> 00:28:28,800
grade and then also into the 
college system and, and, and 

513
00:28:28,800 --> 00:28:31,640
post post, you know, bad for 
system. 

514
00:28:31,880 --> 00:28:34,360
So we need good education. 
That's critically important. 

515
00:28:34,360 --> 00:28:36,880
Those are the kind of things and
elements that we really need is 

516
00:28:36,880 --> 00:28:39,120
innovation. 
That's what's going to create 

517
00:28:39,120 --> 00:28:40,520
new industries. 
That's what's going to create 

518
00:28:40,520 --> 00:28:45,480
new jobs and good quality jobs. 
I one of the things that I, that

519
00:28:45,480 --> 00:28:50,000
frustrates me so much is that we
don't necessarily want our kids 

520
00:28:50,000 --> 00:28:54,080
to go and work in a factory 
floor working 10-15 hours, you 

521
00:28:54,080 --> 00:28:57,720
know, in a job that may not have
a great quality of life. 

522
00:28:57,720 --> 00:29:01,360
I mean, that was the point of, 
of growth and, and development 

523
00:29:01,360 --> 00:29:04,320
is that we don't want to be in a
really, really dirty jobs, 

524
00:29:04,520 --> 00:29:06,280
right? 
We want to be in clean 

525
00:29:06,280 --> 00:29:08,560
educational jobs that we add 
value to society. 

526
00:29:08,840 --> 00:29:10,840
I'm not diminishing the value of
dirty jobs. 

527
00:29:10,840 --> 00:29:14,120
They're they're in critically 
important, but everybody, every 

528
00:29:14,120 --> 00:29:16,600
parent wants their two kids to 
have a better quality of life. 

529
00:29:16,800 --> 00:29:20,080
So why are we regressing now? 
Why are we thinking that a 

530
00:29:20,080 --> 00:29:22,960
regression is the model that's 
going to impact humanity in a 

531
00:29:22,960 --> 00:29:24,640
positive way? 
And that's the answer big 

532
00:29:24,640 --> 00:29:29,000
challenge it's. 
Actually very true. 

533
00:29:29,040 --> 00:29:33,640
You know, dignity in labor is 
very, very important, right? 

534
00:29:34,080 --> 00:29:36,560
And nobody deserves to use that 
dignity. 

535
00:29:36,560 --> 00:29:41,000
I respect every, every job, you 
know, I say I respect hustle, 

536
00:29:41,160 --> 00:29:45,480
people's hustles hard percent. 
It's as legitimate, right? 

537
00:29:45,680 --> 00:29:49,080
Right. 
Dirty hands make clean money. 

538
00:29:49,920 --> 00:29:53,680
100% this is not, this is not an
issue of degrading jobs, right? 

539
00:29:53,840 --> 00:29:57,360
It's an issue of that as a 
society, we, we, we don't want 

540
00:29:57,360 --> 00:29:59,360
everybody to be a farmer. 
That's why we, we moved from 

541
00:29:59,360 --> 00:30:02,720
farming 400 years ago into now 
having different jobs. 

542
00:30:02,720 --> 00:30:04,040
Otherwise we could still be in 
farming. 

543
00:30:04,120 --> 00:30:05,600
I mean. 
Well, somebody has to do it. 

544
00:30:06,480 --> 00:30:08,440
You're 100%. 
I'm not, I'm not diminishing 

545
00:30:08,440 --> 00:30:11,480
farming, right, But I'm just 
saying that we have moved from 

546
00:30:11,480 --> 00:30:14,360
farming because there are other 
jobs that are also the pay 

547
00:30:14,360 --> 00:30:16,400
better that have a higher 
quality of life, right. 

548
00:30:16,480 --> 00:30:18,720
And even farming, think about 
how much technology plays in 

549
00:30:18,720 --> 00:30:21,760
farming and that created massive
amounts of efficiencies. 

550
00:30:21,960 --> 00:30:24,560
And we're not doing everything 
by hand anymore or with animals 

551
00:30:24,560 --> 00:30:26,040
anymore. 
We're doing with machines and 

552
00:30:26,040 --> 00:30:28,080
ideal curve has gone up 
dramatically in that. 

553
00:30:28,080 --> 00:30:32,360
So it's an notion of innovation 
and innovation is critically 

554
00:30:32,360 --> 00:30:36,200
important to a better quality of
life for all of us, number one. 

555
00:30:36,200 --> 00:30:39,920
And #2 to also create new 
industries and new segments that

556
00:30:39,920 --> 00:30:45,000
will pay high quality jobs. 
I, I love, I love that word 

557
00:30:45,000 --> 00:30:47,040
innovation. 
It's a word that is very, very 

558
00:30:47,040 --> 00:30:49,520
dear to my heart. 
As a matter of fact, if you go 

559
00:30:49,560 --> 00:30:54,040
onto my company's website, it 
reads where finance expertise 

560
00:30:54,080 --> 00:30:58,920
meets tech and media innovation.
So if it wasn't documented, it 

561
00:30:58,920 --> 00:31:03,240
wasn't done innovation because 
like you rightly said, with 

562
00:31:03,240 --> 00:31:08,080
innovation, we were able to 
execute view ocean strategies 

563
00:31:08,360 --> 00:31:13,280
and then to uncontested market 
spaces and create, you know, new

564
00:31:13,280 --> 00:31:16,320
opportunities for yourself and 
for people and create new 

565
00:31:16,320 --> 00:31:20,200
livelihoods for people. 
I think I very much appreciate 

566
00:31:20,200 --> 00:31:22,840
that perspective. 
But let's talk about the noble 

567
00:31:22,840 --> 00:31:26,400
supply chains. 
With the shifts in supply chain 

568
00:31:26,400 --> 00:31:29,480
strategies like, how should 
businesses and policymakers 

569
00:31:29,480 --> 00:31:33,360
think about diversification and 
resilience outside of China? 

570
00:31:35,320 --> 00:31:36,880
So I think that that has already
happened. 

571
00:31:36,960 --> 00:31:39,960
If we look at for example, 
Walmart and one of the largest 

572
00:31:39,960 --> 00:31:43,600
companies in terms of sales in 
the world, retail companies 

573
00:31:43,600 --> 00:31:46,640
around the world. 
Walmart back in the since before

574
00:31:46,640 --> 00:31:50,400
the first trip administration, 
their total exposure in in 

575
00:31:50,400 --> 00:31:53,520
procurement from products from 
China was somewhere in the 80 to

576
00:31:53,520 --> 00:31:55,560
90th percentile depending on the
quarter. 

577
00:31:55,560 --> 00:31:59,840
So about 80 to 90% of everything
came from when it came when it 

578
00:31:59,840 --> 00:32:03,280
came to Walmart. 
Today that number is about 60%, 

579
00:32:03,800 --> 00:32:06,720
right. 
So it's a pretty large shift if 

580
00:32:06,720 --> 00:32:10,080
you think about it from the 
largest retailer in the world. 

581
00:32:10,880 --> 00:32:15,160
We are seeing this notion of 
shifts depending on what country

582
00:32:15,240 --> 00:32:17,280
you're from. 
If you're in the US as an 

583
00:32:17,280 --> 00:32:21,920
example, the shifts went from 
China to Vietnam, Cambodia, 

584
00:32:21,920 --> 00:32:25,800
Indonesia and Malaysia. 
And so that's where the shifting

585
00:32:25,800 --> 00:32:29,360
happened also to Mexico, 
obviously, you know, for, for 

586
00:32:29,360 --> 00:32:32,960
the, the lower production price 
qualities, they shifted there. 

587
00:32:33,480 --> 00:32:36,760
So we, we're seeing that the 
shifts are happening to other 

588
00:32:36,760 --> 00:32:39,720
countries around the world. 
Another element of, of this is 

589
00:32:39,720 --> 00:32:45,360
that the, the, the issue 
simultaneously is that because 

590
00:32:45,520 --> 00:32:48,720
the US system, the way that it's
being run right now is in silos,

591
00:32:49,000 --> 00:32:52,600
meaning that immigration is not 
aligned with trade policy. 

592
00:32:53,040 --> 00:32:56,320
When you have a company like 
Hyundai who is investing in the,

593
00:32:56,520 --> 00:32:59,920
you know, 4 is creating a 
factory, investing $4 billion in

594
00:32:59,920 --> 00:33:03,320
the US and they are about 6 
months before opening and they 

595
00:33:03,320 --> 00:33:05,160
send their engineers to train 
everybody. 

596
00:33:05,680 --> 00:33:09,760
And then ICE picks all the 
engineers up, puts them in, in, 

597
00:33:09,800 --> 00:33:12,920
in, you know, in handcuffs and 
jails them without water. 

598
00:33:13,360 --> 00:33:16,720
And then that creates a massive 
economic imbalance, risks that 

599
00:33:16,720 --> 00:33:19,880
were not there before. 
So if you're looking for foreign

600
00:33:19,880 --> 00:33:22,720
direct investment into the US 
and manufacturing into the US, 

601
00:33:23,040 --> 00:33:26,760
your immigration policy and 
every single other vertical has 

602
00:33:26,760 --> 00:33:29,360
to align to be able to allow for
that. 

603
00:33:29,880 --> 00:33:33,440
You cannot say you need to 
invest $4 billion into the US, 

604
00:33:33,760 --> 00:33:36,120
but you cannot have any of your 
employees come over here and 

605
00:33:36,120 --> 00:33:39,920
train people. 
That just can't happen, right? 

606
00:33:40,240 --> 00:33:42,160
So you cannot have one without 
the other. 

607
00:33:42,160 --> 00:33:43,480
You need everything to be 
aligned. 

608
00:33:44,000 --> 00:33:47,800
So when it comes to policies, we
are not running cohesive 

609
00:33:47,800 --> 00:33:51,200
structured policies. 
Now, one of the key elements 

610
00:33:51,200 --> 00:33:55,240
that kind of COVID implemented 
is that it taught us that we 

611
00:33:55,240 --> 00:33:59,880
need to rethink cost versus 
security, meaning that, you 

612
00:33:59,880 --> 00:34:02,600
know, this comparative advantage
notion was that we have to go to

613
00:34:02,600 --> 00:34:04,160
the cheapest country around the 
world. 

614
00:34:04,800 --> 00:34:08,199
I think that COVID showed us 
that no no longer should go to 

615
00:34:08,199 --> 00:34:09,280
the cheapest country in the 
world. 

616
00:34:09,280 --> 00:34:11,560
We need to go to the securest 
country in the world, or we can 

617
00:34:11,560 --> 00:34:13,199
make sure that we have good 
relations with them. 

618
00:34:13,199 --> 00:34:16,000
We can extract and do things 
whenever we need to. 

619
00:34:16,320 --> 00:34:19,760
So we we, we, we are in this 
process of going through what we

620
00:34:19,760 --> 00:34:25,679
call a re establishment of 
production autonomy, right? 

621
00:34:25,679 --> 00:34:28,920
That's kind of in the process 
that we're going through and I 

622
00:34:28,920 --> 00:34:31,800
think it's a very healthy thing.
I think that that's going to 

623
00:34:31,800 --> 00:34:34,920
obviously increase costs. 
So we're probably going to be in

624
00:34:34,920 --> 00:34:37,600
an environment where inflation 
is going to be continuous. 

625
00:34:38,520 --> 00:34:41,600
And the reasoning is because we 
went from the lowest production 

626
00:34:41,600 --> 00:34:44,719
country in the world to now 
going to the securest country in

627
00:34:44,719 --> 00:34:46,880
the world. 
And that obviously is going to 

628
00:34:46,880 --> 00:34:51,560
have inflationary elements built
into it until we can create mass

629
00:34:51,560 --> 00:34:55,199
scale, until we can create 
structures that enable price 

630
00:34:55,199 --> 00:34:57,720
decreases. 
But in the short term we're 

631
00:34:57,720 --> 00:35:01,000
going to be there. 
And then also I think we're 

632
00:35:01,000 --> 00:35:04,040
trying to re establish who are, 
who do we want to deal with? 

633
00:35:04,560 --> 00:35:07,880
Are their values concurrent with
ours believe there that's where 

634
00:35:07,880 --> 00:35:11,360
we are figuring or assess. 
We're figuring where we are. 

635
00:35:11,360 --> 00:35:13,120
We're assessing where our trade 
policy is. 

636
00:35:13,600 --> 00:35:17,200
And I think that's where we find
ourselves both in the EU, in the

637
00:35:17,200 --> 00:35:21,360
UK, in in North America. 
That's where we are right now. 

638
00:35:21,880 --> 00:35:25,080
Obviously if we look at the 
bricks they are looking at very 

639
00:35:25,080 --> 00:35:28,600
differently from the Burke's 
perspective is how can we make 

640
00:35:28,600 --> 00:35:31,920
sure that the powerful countries
that we have been dealing with, 

641
00:35:32,280 --> 00:35:35,240
who in many times were our 
colonizers, how do we create 

642
00:35:35,240 --> 00:35:39,080
independence from them and allow
the ourselves to actually run 

643
00:35:39,080 --> 00:35:42,520
our economic policy without 
dependency on them in terms of 

644
00:35:42,520 --> 00:35:45,640
economic policy, in terms of 
trade policy, in terms of 

645
00:35:45,640 --> 00:35:48,160
banking. 
So where can we create systems 

646
00:35:48,160 --> 00:35:51,040
where we can, in a sense of the 
front, run them or circumvent 

647
00:35:51,040 --> 00:35:53,200
them if they decide not to work 
with us? 

648
00:35:53,880 --> 00:35:56,440
And I think that's where BRICS 
is becoming the powerful player 

649
00:35:56,440 --> 00:36:01,920
there. 
I had that block of countries 

650
00:36:01,960 --> 00:36:09,440
with, would I say, strong 
economic power on a global 

651
00:36:09,440 --> 00:36:12,200
scale. 
So just for the lead man, I 

652
00:36:12,200 --> 00:36:16,000
think the BRICS countries we're 
looking at Brazil, Russia, 

653
00:36:16,360 --> 00:36:17,760
India. 
India. 

654
00:36:18,520 --> 00:36:20,080
Who? 
Else China and it's. 

655
00:36:20,160 --> 00:36:21,760
China. 
South Africa. 

656
00:36:22,080 --> 00:36:23,240
Korea. 
Africa has been added. 

657
00:36:23,800 --> 00:36:26,080
Yeah, Korea. 
South Korea. 

658
00:36:26,080 --> 00:36:26,960
There's not Korea. 
Korea. 

659
00:36:26,960 --> 00:36:28,960
Sorry that. 
There's no key, right? 

660
00:36:29,120 --> 00:36:30,960
China, South Africa, right? 
Yeah. 

661
00:36:31,120 --> 00:36:31,880
Yeah. 
So we're looking. 

662
00:36:31,920 --> 00:36:35,120
At how many countries here BRICS
right? 

663
00:36:36,000 --> 00:36:38,000
Yes, but we have others that 
have joined as well. 

664
00:36:38,000 --> 00:36:40,960
For example, Iran has joined 
them, North Korea has joined 

665
00:36:40,960 --> 00:36:42,760
them. 
So we have, you know, so, yeah. 

666
00:36:42,760 --> 00:36:46,480
So this bricks is the acronym 
for the for the, you know, it's 

667
00:36:46,480 --> 00:36:50,920
1980s acronyms of the biggest 
countries of his growth, but 

668
00:36:51,040 --> 00:36:54,040
they have been expanded down to 
include other countries as well.

669
00:36:55,400 --> 00:37:01,320
So like from a global economy 
perspective, right, for the 

670
00:37:01,320 --> 00:37:05,480
audience to be able to 
understand the implication of 

671
00:37:06,320 --> 00:37:11,120
decisions made by bricks, you 
know, on the global economy. 

672
00:37:11,120 --> 00:37:15,160
So if you're looking at from a 
percentile or percentage 

673
00:37:15,160 --> 00:37:19,600
perspective, what percentage of 
the global economy the bricks 

674
00:37:20,000 --> 00:37:23,760
are blocked? 
They're somewhere between a 30 

675
00:37:23,760 --> 00:37:26,680
to 40 and 40% of the global 
economy, right? 

676
00:37:27,040 --> 00:37:29,440
They're pretty substantial, 
large amount of economy. 

677
00:37:30,200 --> 00:37:34,960
They're also growing rapidly. 
They some of them are very raw 

678
00:37:34,960 --> 00:37:37,600
commodity focused. 
So think about Brazil as an 

679
00:37:37,600 --> 00:37:40,560
example. 
Heavily raw commodity South. 

680
00:37:40,760 --> 00:37:43,560
Africa. 
Heavily raw commodity, right. 

681
00:37:44,160 --> 00:37:47,520
Russia have a raw commodity, you
know, and then China is 

682
00:37:47,520 --> 00:37:50,160
manufacturing has less raw 
commodities, right. 

683
00:37:50,400 --> 00:37:54,800
India has some raw commodities 
in natural, in some natural 

684
00:37:54,800 --> 00:37:58,360
resources, but also again very 
similar to China, the next 

685
00:37:58,360 --> 00:38:01,680
manufacturing hub there, right. 
And it's the secondary 

686
00:38:01,680 --> 00:38:04,600
implications, what we call 
second derivatives are all the 

687
00:38:04,600 --> 00:38:09,320
contracts and negotiations that 
can go into developing blocks 

688
00:38:09,560 --> 00:38:13,480
that allow trade to, to decrease
the the frictions of trade to 

689
00:38:13,480 --> 00:38:15,840
decrease between countries. 
And I think that that's exactly 

690
00:38:15,840 --> 00:38:20,000
what BRICS is doing is how can 
we create systems within our 

691
00:38:20,000 --> 00:38:24,120
existing network of countries to
decrease the friction of trade 

692
00:38:24,120 --> 00:38:29,880
between US and to also limit the
choke points that countries in 

693
00:38:29,880 --> 00:38:33,400
the in the West could have, for 
example, choke points on 

694
00:38:33,400 --> 00:38:36,160
banking, right? 
Think about that, this idea that

695
00:38:36,160 --> 00:38:39,160
everything has to be determined 
into dollars first before it 

696
00:38:39,160 --> 00:38:42,720
clears into the system. 
If we circumvent that in the US 

697
00:38:42,720 --> 00:38:45,320
loses a certain type of a 
hegemony and the dollar uses a 

698
00:38:45,320 --> 00:38:47,680
certain type of value. 
And that's what they're working 

699
00:38:47,680 --> 00:38:51,200
on right now is how they can go 
ahead and limit the, the, the 

700
00:38:51,400 --> 00:38:54,800
the issues around that is how 
can we go ahead and trade 

701
00:38:54,800 --> 00:38:58,240
directly within our currencies 
without converting it into 

702
00:38:58,240 --> 00:39:02,360
either EUR or dollars? 
So. 

703
00:39:02,840 --> 00:39:06,600
From. 
An automation perspective. 

704
00:39:07,120 --> 00:39:15,000
Now, how has industrialization 
and technology right we shaped 

705
00:39:15,120 --> 00:39:18,080
that industrial landscape 
globally? 

706
00:39:18,120 --> 00:39:24,880
And what is the role of the 
Greeks in this power play? 

707
00:39:26,480 --> 00:39:28,840
Well, they are. 
I mean, that's where the raw 

708
00:39:28,840 --> 00:39:31,040
commodity comes from. 
I mean, every single cell phone 

709
00:39:31,040 --> 00:39:34,800
manufactured starts somewhere in
the African continent, right? 

710
00:39:35,080 --> 00:39:36,960
That's where the raw commodities
are. 

711
00:39:37,360 --> 00:39:39,120
When you talk about raw 
commodities, that's where they 

712
00:39:39,120 --> 00:39:41,480
come from. 
And they need to be taking away,

713
00:39:41,480 --> 00:39:46,400
you know, away from think about 
this, a small piece of metal of 

714
00:39:46,400 --> 00:39:49,960
some sort keep gold, silver, 
whatever it is, is extracted 

715
00:39:49,960 --> 00:39:55,600
from somewhere in Africa, moved,
you know, by by truck to a port,

716
00:39:56,040 --> 00:39:59,920
maybe transferring from anywhere
from, you know, Nigeria all the 

717
00:39:59,920 --> 00:40:02,560
way to Djibouti. 
To be able to, to from Djibouti 

718
00:40:02,560 --> 00:40:07,240
to be placed on a, on a boat to 
travel to China and then to be 

719
00:40:07,240 --> 00:40:10,080
redeveloped into a part of the 
chip, right. 

720
00:40:10,360 --> 00:40:14,040
So this entire supply chain is, 
is dependent on rock 

721
00:40:14,040 --> 00:40:17,000
commodities. 
So how can you speed up 

722
00:40:17,000 --> 00:40:19,000
industrialization? 
How can you speed up 

723
00:40:19,000 --> 00:40:21,600
manufacturing of chips? 
How can the speed of the 

724
00:40:21,600 --> 00:40:24,960
manufacturing of natural 
products that go into what we 

725
00:40:24,960 --> 00:40:28,600
call intermediary products that 
go into larger products, How can

726
00:40:28,600 --> 00:40:32,120
you all do that systematically? 
And if we look at China, for 

727
00:40:32,120 --> 00:40:36,160
example, one of the numbers I 
saw was they control about 90% 

728
00:40:36,400 --> 00:40:39,840
of rare earth middle development
and about 60% of the raw aspects

729
00:40:39,840 --> 00:40:42,760
of it. 
So they have a monopoly of raw 

730
00:40:42,760 --> 00:40:47,320
earth minerals, and that's what 
goes entirely into modern 

731
00:40:47,320 --> 00:40:49,800
technology. 
Everything from missiles that we

732
00:40:49,800 --> 00:40:55,480
use to bomb those parts go into 
there all the way to your newest

733
00:40:55,480 --> 00:40:58,080
iPhone. 
So that is necessary. 

734
00:40:58,280 --> 00:41:00,680
You know, that is not that this 
is a necessary tool. 

735
00:41:01,040 --> 00:41:04,920
And China has been very, very 
good at creating monopolistic 

736
00:41:05,000 --> 00:41:08,520
powers, both on the raw side as 
well as on the naturalization 

737
00:41:08,520 --> 00:41:13,920
side, which again, if we moved 
out towards security, you see 

738
00:41:13,920 --> 00:41:16,920
how that becomes kind of 
critically important for for 

739
00:41:17,240 --> 00:41:20,800
demonic powers to create 
resilience against that. 

740
00:41:22,640 --> 00:41:24,440
Yeah. 
And of course, you know from a 

741
00:41:24,440 --> 00:41:28,320
broader global impact 
perspective, what are the 

742
00:41:28,320 --> 00:41:32,560
brother implications of the US 
China tree relations for 

743
00:41:33,000 --> 00:41:37,920
international trade, policy, 
geopolitics, and of course, the 

744
00:41:37,920 --> 00:41:42,280
global economy at large. 
Well, the way it's looking right

745
00:41:42,280 --> 00:41:44,800
now and if if we move forward 
and I think that this is where 

746
00:41:44,800 --> 00:41:48,240
it's going everybody segment A 
multiplarity where we're we're 

747
00:41:48,240 --> 00:41:51,960
going to go back from A1 unified
system of global trade to a 

748
00:41:52,000 --> 00:41:54,320
multi polar system of global 
trade. 

749
00:41:54,760 --> 00:42:00,520
We're varying hegemonic powers, 
regional hegemonic powers are 

750
00:42:00,520 --> 00:42:03,360
going to go into different 
segments and and trading blocks.

751
00:42:03,360 --> 00:42:06,200
And so that we're see we're 
going to see a multipolarity. 

752
00:42:06,200 --> 00:42:08,160
I don't believe in the 
multipolarity argument. 

753
00:42:08,160 --> 00:42:11,400
I think that one of the things 
in trade is the larger the 

754
00:42:11,400 --> 00:42:14,640
systems are, the better it is. 
So I believe that we're probably

755
00:42:14,640 --> 00:42:17,560
most likely going to go into 
bipolar model and we may go into

756
00:42:17,560 --> 00:42:20,560
multipolar beginning and then 
eventually go into bipolar 

757
00:42:20,640 --> 00:42:22,600
model. 
And the bipolar model is going 

758
00:42:22,600 --> 00:42:25,760
to be an American LED system of 
global trade, a meaning that the

759
00:42:25,760 --> 00:42:28,400
American system will be American
banking institutions, American 

760
00:42:28,400 --> 00:42:32,240
economic, economic and political
institutions and dollar based 

761
00:42:32,480 --> 00:42:34,600
trade. 
And we're going to go most 

762
00:42:34,600 --> 00:42:39,160
likely in a Chinese based model 
of international trade, which is

763
00:42:39,160 --> 00:42:43,160
based on not necessarily on the 
RMB, because I don't think China

764
00:42:43,160 --> 00:42:46,760
wants to actually make the RMB a
global market because there's a 

765
00:42:46,760 --> 00:42:50,440
lot of issues domestically that 
creates and allows for, you 

766
00:42:50,440 --> 00:42:54,280
know, for for for flight of 
capital outside of China. 

767
00:42:54,600 --> 00:42:57,880
So they mean use a BRICS 
currency, a secondary currency 

768
00:42:57,880 --> 00:43:01,760
to be able to achieve that and 
protect their domestic currency.

769
00:43:02,200 --> 00:43:06,440
And so we, we most likely will 
see a BRICS style or a secondary

770
00:43:06,520 --> 00:43:10,360
currency that will challenge it.
So we may have more integration 

771
00:43:10,360 --> 00:43:15,920
between the EU, the UK and and 
the US and Canada and Mexico. 

772
00:43:16,320 --> 00:43:18,960
And then we're going to have a 
bipolarization of the world with

773
00:43:18,960 --> 00:43:22,760
China and many of the developing
markets joining them. 

774
00:43:23,400 --> 00:43:26,000
And so the, the, the question 
from a global perspective is 

775
00:43:26,000 --> 00:43:28,240
what do you do if you Saudi 
Arabia as an example? 

776
00:43:28,680 --> 00:43:31,800
So Saudi Arabia's largest 
trading partner is China. 18% of

777
00:43:31,800 --> 00:43:36,280
Saudi oil is sold to China. 
It's it's its largest partner in

778
00:43:36,280 --> 00:43:38,480
terms of oil. 
Whereas in militarist, 

779
00:43:38,520 --> 00:43:42,200
militaristically you are based 
into the US, but economically 

780
00:43:42,200 --> 00:43:44,560
you're dependent on China. 
Which one will you choose, 

781
00:43:45,160 --> 00:43:46,920
right. 
So those are the kinds that are 

782
00:43:46,920 --> 00:43:50,760
in particular dilemma. 
No, those are the questions that

783
00:43:50,760 --> 00:43:52,600
you're going to have. 
Or for example, a country like 

784
00:43:52,600 --> 00:43:55,480
Mongolia, right? 
A country like Mongolia, which 

785
00:43:55,480 --> 00:43:59,040
is trapped between Russia and 
China, but it's looking, it 

786
00:43:59,040 --> 00:44:03,080
prefers to look to Washington 
for economic, you know, liberty.

787
00:44:03,280 --> 00:44:05,920
So what do you do when you're 
those countries, when you are 

788
00:44:06,240 --> 00:44:08,960
when you do so this is the 
challenge of the next 

789
00:44:08,960 --> 00:44:11,360
multipolarity system. 
These are the elements which 

790
00:44:11,360 --> 00:44:14,720
will, you know, countries will 
have to decide based on their 

791
00:44:14,720 --> 00:44:18,120
own self-interest and 
motivations by the different 

792
00:44:18,120 --> 00:44:20,480
blocks to entice them to come 
into under system. 

793
00:44:20,960 --> 00:44:25,240
And so we're going to see is it 
reshaping of the global system 

794
00:44:26,120 --> 00:44:29,520
in a probably once it's one of 
those once in a lifetime shifts.

795
00:44:29,880 --> 00:44:33,320
The same way that I talked about
the Bretton Woods system, how 

796
00:44:33,320 --> 00:44:36,120
critical that was in reshaping 
global economic policy. 

797
00:44:36,440 --> 00:44:38,640
I think this next move is going 
to be one of those. 

798
00:44:38,880 --> 00:44:41,800
It's going to impact our next 
global economic policy for at 

799
00:44:41,800 --> 00:44:46,120
least 50 to 100 years. 
Interesting stuff. 

800
00:44:46,120 --> 00:44:48,680
So let's let's look into the 
future, right? 

801
00:44:48,760 --> 00:44:54,920
If you were advising the US 
government or multinational CEOs

802
00:44:54,920 --> 00:45:00,520
today, C-Suite executives, what 
strategies would you recommend 

803
00:45:00,880 --> 00:45:05,320
to navigate news uncertainties 
around the US, China trade 

804
00:45:05,400 --> 00:45:08,680
relations? 
So one of the, in the short 

805
00:45:08,680 --> 00:45:11,840
term, it's really hard, right? 
In the short term, it's very, 

806
00:45:11,840 --> 00:45:14,120
very hard because you don't know
what's happening if you wake up 

807
00:45:14,120 --> 00:45:16,600
1 morning and then you have 
another tariff. 

808
00:45:16,600 --> 00:45:20,600
Like for example, over the 
weekend we woke up to in the US 

809
00:45:20,840 --> 00:45:23,760
having new tariffs on 
pharmaceutical products, as an 

810
00:45:23,760 --> 00:45:26,920
example, or kitchen cabinets. 
So right now it's exceptionally 

811
00:45:26,920 --> 00:45:30,200
hard to kind of do anything 
because you have to assume that 

812
00:45:30,200 --> 00:45:33,240
eventually they'll get to your 
industry and sector in terms of 

813
00:45:33,240 --> 00:45:36,520
tariffs. 
So the question becomes, what do

814
00:45:36,520 --> 00:45:39,520
you do outside of the US? 
Right now, the powers of most of

815
00:45:39,520 --> 00:45:42,400
these organizations is outside 
of the US because it's much more

816
00:45:42,400 --> 00:45:45,400
stable, right? 
So I think that what you do is 

817
00:45:45,400 --> 00:45:48,200
you have to create outside 
entities and you have to create 

818
00:45:48,480 --> 00:45:52,120
those identities with, you need 
to use those outside entities as

819
00:45:52,120 --> 00:45:55,600
a means of trading and and also 
creating relationships with the,

820
00:45:55,640 --> 00:45:56,920
with the regional governments 
there. 

821
00:45:57,360 --> 00:46:00,160
Saying that just because of this
is more corporate perspective, 

822
00:46:00,160 --> 00:46:04,240
just because of the government 
is doing AB and C, We as company

823
00:46:04,240 --> 00:46:07,480
A do not believe necessarily in 
the same policies and we would 

824
00:46:07,480 --> 00:46:10,720
like to still be heavily 
invested here and then maybe not

825
00:46:10,720 --> 00:46:14,240
trade with the US, but to trade 
with other markets that we're 

826
00:46:14,240 --> 00:46:16,400
in. 
It's important to understand 

827
00:46:16,400 --> 00:46:23,440
that 60 percent, 60 percent of 
the S&P 500 brings its money 

828
00:46:23,440 --> 00:46:25,640
from outside of the US, So 
they're selling out to the US. 

829
00:46:25,640 --> 00:46:29,040
So global sales for US 
corporations are critically 

830
00:46:29,040 --> 00:46:33,120
important, critically important.
So we cannot, we, we cannot walk

831
00:46:33,120 --> 00:46:35,320
away from that. 
That has become, so it becomes 

832
00:46:35,320 --> 00:46:37,640
to look outside of the US versus
in the US. 

833
00:46:37,640 --> 00:46:41,800
Once we have much more clarity 
and we know what the policy is 

834
00:46:41,800 --> 00:46:44,800
and it's not going to change 
every weekend, that's when we 

835
00:46:44,800 --> 00:46:47,880
can start looking domestically 
as to what to do then and how do

836
00:46:47,880 --> 00:46:50,680
we reshape those relationships 
that we have created externally.

837
00:46:51,040 --> 00:46:53,360
We're the ones that we have 
domestically, right. 

838
00:46:54,240 --> 00:46:57,200
We also have to look at 
resiliency in terms of what 

839
00:46:57,200 --> 00:47:00,600
other supply chains and where 
other where, where else we can 

840
00:47:00,600 --> 00:47:02,280
do our supply chains fairly 
quickly. 

841
00:47:02,760 --> 00:47:06,760
So creating options A through Z 
in terms of countries and 

842
00:47:06,760 --> 00:47:09,040
identifying production 
facilities outside will become 

843
00:47:09,040 --> 00:47:13,200
critically important just so we 
know where we can go to just in 

844
00:47:13,200 --> 00:47:16,800
case of tariffs are implemented.
And the number 3 is how can we 

845
00:47:16,800 --> 00:47:21,120
use arbitrage as it comes out to
A minimizing the tax 

846
00:47:21,120 --> 00:47:22,920
liabilities. 
So we know that we have tax 

847
00:47:22,920 --> 00:47:26,400
liabilities from 125% all the 
way to 10%. 

848
00:47:26,680 --> 00:47:30,000
How can we use arbitrage to 
minimize the cost and move it to

849
00:47:30,000 --> 00:47:33,280
countries that are much more 
efficient in terms of tariff 

850
00:47:33,280 --> 00:47:35,680
policy? 
So those are the elements that 

851
00:47:35,680 --> 00:47:38,960
we're we have to go through and 
that's what most corporations 

852
00:47:38,960 --> 00:47:41,520
right now are going through. 
Unfortunately, by the time they 

853
00:47:41,520 --> 00:47:45,280
go through it, it may be null, 
void, because it's a very strong

854
00:47:45,280 --> 00:47:47,520
chance, very, very strong chance
that most of these tariff 

855
00:47:47,520 --> 00:47:51,760
policies are going to be deemed 
unconstitutional by the Supreme 

856
00:47:51,760 --> 00:47:53,560
Court. 
We already have two courts in 

857
00:47:53,560 --> 00:47:55,920
the United States that I've said
that they're, they're, they're 

858
00:47:55,920 --> 00:47:58,120
unconstitutional. 
We're waiting for it to go to 

859
00:47:58,120 --> 00:48:00,160
Supreme Court next. 
And, and, and there's a very 

860
00:48:00,160 --> 00:48:04,680
strong chance, somewhere between
a 60 to 80% chance the, the 

861
00:48:04,720 --> 00:48:06,240
Supreme Court will say the same 
thing. 

862
00:48:06,560 --> 00:48:10,040
So if that happens, then we're 
back to .0, right? 

863
00:48:11,840 --> 00:48:14,760
Exactly. 
But the, the issue is that one 

864
00:48:14,760 --> 00:48:17,600
thing about this administration 
is that they're consistently 

865
00:48:17,600 --> 00:48:20,520
looking for other small points 
to go after. 

866
00:48:20,520 --> 00:48:23,640
So just because this one is 
teaming unconstitutional, it 

867
00:48:23,640 --> 00:48:26,160
does not mean they have three or
four other things that they can 

868
00:48:26,160 --> 00:48:29,200
go in and implement. 
And then it will have to go 

869
00:48:29,200 --> 00:48:31,560
through the judiciary system. 
And we'll take another a year 

870
00:48:31,560 --> 00:48:33,680
and a half to two years to 
figure it out. 

871
00:48:34,000 --> 00:48:38,600
And, and so we, we, we may be in
a different dilemma, same 

872
00:48:38,600 --> 00:48:42,880
dilemma, different circumstances
in the next 18 months. 

873
00:48:43,080 --> 00:48:48,800
So that's why holding tight and 
not investing domestically is 

874
00:48:48,800 --> 00:48:51,720
going to be probably the the 
smartest policies right now. 

875
00:48:52,240 --> 00:48:55,520
Also domestic manufacturing, you
cannot base your domestic 

876
00:48:55,520 --> 00:48:58,680
manufacturing on a one to five 
year timeline. 

877
00:48:58,960 --> 00:49:01,520
You're generally looking at a 10
to 30 year timeline for this. 

878
00:49:01,760 --> 00:49:05,040
So you, you, you again, you 
cannot repatriate everything and

879
00:49:05,040 --> 00:49:08,520
create things domestically if 
you do not have clarity on that.

880
00:49:09,880 --> 00:49:12,400
So those are all the issues that
you have. 

881
00:49:12,600 --> 00:49:15,880
And obviously every corporation 
has its own sub issues because 

882
00:49:15,880 --> 00:49:17,720
how they manage the 
organization, how to manage the 

883
00:49:17,720 --> 00:49:21,480
supply chain, always implement 
all those, actually implement 

884
00:49:21,880 --> 00:49:25,040
differences and striations and 
implementation. 

885
00:49:25,040 --> 00:49:26,800
So that those are all the 
elements that we got to take a 

886
00:49:26,800 --> 00:49:30,160
look at. 
I'll say follow the money, 

887
00:49:30,160 --> 00:49:33,000
chill. 
Even Peter Piper dictates the 

888
00:49:33,000 --> 00:49:36,960
tune. 
So I hope, I hope that pirable 

889
00:49:36,960 --> 00:49:39,960
sounds thus far right. 
Wow. 

890
00:49:40,360 --> 00:49:43,320
So thank you very much again for
being on the show. 

891
00:49:43,320 --> 00:49:48,040
I have to close this with the 
five question quick fire round. 

892
00:49:48,200 --> 00:49:51,640
Are you ready to rumble? 
Let's see what happens. 

893
00:49:52,320 --> 00:49:55,440
OK. 
So number one question, what's 

894
00:49:55,440 --> 00:49:58,680
one book that has profoundly 
shaped your thinking on East as 

895
00:49:58,680 --> 00:50:02,920
and leadership? 
So it wasn't a book. 

896
00:50:02,920 --> 00:50:08,000
It was a class that I took in 
System Dynamics and it is a 

897
00:50:08,000 --> 00:50:13,640
system dynamics book, right? 
And it is it was a great book. 

898
00:50:13,640 --> 00:50:15,160
It was a great class that I 
took. 

899
00:50:15,160 --> 00:50:18,680
And it was all about how to 
think outside of the general 

900
00:50:18,680 --> 00:50:21,680
notions of black and white and 
to look at the Gray area. 

901
00:50:22,360 --> 00:50:25,800
I think that we live more in 
Gray matter that then we look in

902
00:50:25,800 --> 00:50:28,080
the black and white. 
And I think that that's that was

903
00:50:28,080 --> 00:50:32,160
a the system dynamics class, and
the book was the most critical 

904
00:50:32,160 --> 00:50:35,400
part of how it changed my 
perspective of life. 

905
00:50:36,960 --> 00:50:39,040
Interesting. 
I love that it's quite 

906
00:50:39,040 --> 00:50:40,880
documented. 
I always talk about kicking 

907
00:50:40,920 --> 00:50:44,200
outside of the box, but who 
wrote that book so we can have 

908
00:50:44,200 --> 00:50:46,960
that book in the description? 
It was Professor Sherman. 

909
00:50:47,240 --> 00:50:49,000
Professor Sherman, I think, 
wrote the book. 

910
00:50:49,000 --> 00:50:51,480
OK. 
I will find that it will keep. 

911
00:50:51,480 --> 00:50:55,320
You It's a very, very thick 
college book, but the amount of 

912
00:50:55,320 --> 00:51:01,480
the plethora of stories that it 
has on, on mental models, on how

913
00:51:01,480 --> 00:51:04,680
we see the world and how we 
structured the world and how 

914
00:51:04,680 --> 00:51:08,920
that impacts our cognitive and 
how cognitive biases impact our 

915
00:51:09,240 --> 00:51:13,440
perspective of life really, 
really is absolutely amazing. 

916
00:51:14,360 --> 00:51:17,720
I love that you mentioned the 
cognitive biases because I have 

917
00:51:17,720 --> 00:51:22,480
identified that in a number of 
people and you know that you 

918
00:51:22,480 --> 00:51:26,800
realize that you're actually 
making decisions based on a 

919
00:51:26,800 --> 00:51:29,480
cognitive bias, but people 
cannot see it. 

920
00:51:29,760 --> 00:51:31,760
A very good example is a recency
bias. 

921
00:51:32,320 --> 00:51:34,960
You're making a decision based 
on recency bias. 

922
00:51:35,400 --> 00:51:38,600
You should know that because 
that's the last item that was 

923
00:51:39,200 --> 00:51:41,520
that had an impression on your 
mind and that's why you think 

924
00:51:41,520 --> 00:51:44,560
that is the best, but that is 
not necessarily the best. 

925
00:51:44,760 --> 00:51:49,400
So I think it is any time we 
need to learn to be when I say 

926
00:51:49,480 --> 00:51:52,520
unbiased, neutral, you know, you
know that you'll be able to 

927
00:51:52,520 --> 00:51:55,200
make, you know a better informed
decisions. 

928
00:51:55,400 --> 00:51:56,760
Thank you very much for that 
one. 

929
00:51:57,720 --> 00:52:02,800
OK, so the next one is if you 
could give one piece of advice 

930
00:52:02,800 --> 00:52:06,040
to your 25 year old self, what 
would it be? 

931
00:52:08,640 --> 00:52:12,240
So I always tell my students, if
you're not growing, you're 

932
00:52:12,240 --> 00:52:14,360
dying. 
And what I mean by that is that 

933
00:52:14,360 --> 00:52:18,160
if you're not learning every 
single day something new, you're

934
00:52:18,160 --> 00:52:21,680
falling behind and you're 
becoming you're, you're left 

935
00:52:21,680 --> 00:52:26,280
behind, right? 
Think about going back 345000 

936
00:52:26,280 --> 00:52:30,000
years when we're trying to fight
for food every single day, 

937
00:52:30,040 --> 00:52:31,520
right? 
The difference between living 

938
00:52:31,520 --> 00:52:34,120
and dying is people who, you 
know, they tried new things. 

939
00:52:34,520 --> 00:52:38,000
And if you know, if they found 
different foods to eat, the one 

940
00:52:38,000 --> 00:52:41,000
nutritious, they found two 
different ways of actually 

941
00:52:41,000 --> 00:52:44,400
engaging in warfare to be able 
to hunt and to eat right. 

942
00:52:44,960 --> 00:52:48,480
That was all about learning. 
So if you're not learning, 

943
00:52:48,600 --> 00:52:51,800
you're dying. 
I love that survival of the 

944
00:52:51,840 --> 00:52:55,520
fetus that there is there is a 
proof of we are come from a 

945
00:52:55,520 --> 00:53:02,360
Nigeria in Yoruba land PC that 
the day we die is the day we 

946
00:53:02,360 --> 00:53:07,600
rest that learning is a lifelong
exercise right We keep learning 

947
00:53:07,640 --> 00:53:09,840
every day and. 
Every single day. 

948
00:53:09,880 --> 00:53:12,920
Learning is the day you die. 
It just didn't stuff. 

949
00:53:13,200 --> 00:53:16,320
So coffee, tea or something 
stronger. 

950
00:53:16,320 --> 00:53:21,560
What fills your work days? 
So I'm very biased towards 

951
00:53:21,560 --> 00:53:24,040
coffee. 
Very good guys, what's coffee? 

952
00:53:25,240 --> 00:53:27,880
The point that one of my 
students actually opened up a 

953
00:53:27,880 --> 00:53:29,800
coffee shop and I joined them in
the process. 

954
00:53:30,120 --> 00:53:35,320
So I am very biased towards 
coffee and yes, there's nothing 

955
00:53:35,320 --> 00:53:37,120
more refreshing. 
Listen, I come from a Middle 

956
00:53:37,120 --> 00:53:39,520
Eastern tea drinking 
establishment. 

957
00:53:39,520 --> 00:53:45,400
A good tea always hits the spot,
but a good latte is also 

958
00:53:45,400 --> 00:53:48,080
amazing. 
OK, OK, OK. 

959
00:53:48,080 --> 00:53:49,280
Cheers. 
Just do that. 

960
00:53:49,560 --> 00:53:53,440
OK, So which country or culture 
has influenced your world view 

961
00:53:53,680 --> 00:53:59,560
the most and why? 
So I'm a so I grew up. 

962
00:53:59,600 --> 00:54:02,520
I'm an Iranian who fled Iran 
because of the revolution. 

963
00:54:02,960 --> 00:54:06,960
We went to Austria. 
I grew up in Austria, I grew up.

964
00:54:06,960 --> 00:54:10,360
And then from there, we ended up
moving to Spain from Spain, we 

965
00:54:10,360 --> 00:54:12,520
ended up moving to Australia, 
from Australia to the United 

966
00:54:12,520 --> 00:54:13,640
States. 
And then I went to boarding 

967
00:54:13,640 --> 00:54:16,920
school in Madrid. 
I believe that every single 

968
00:54:16,920 --> 00:54:22,000
country, every single country in
the world has an amazing way of 

969
00:54:22,000 --> 00:54:25,200
reshaping and shaping us. 
So every touch point with every 

970
00:54:25,200 --> 00:54:31,360
country for me is an awakening 
as as as a person, as an 

971
00:54:31,360 --> 00:54:33,280
awakening in in terms of 
learning. 

972
00:54:33,320 --> 00:54:35,720
And it's also seeing the world 
from a different perspective. 

973
00:54:36,640 --> 00:54:41,200
It also sheds discrimination 
because as you see the world, as

974
00:54:41,200 --> 00:54:45,360
you see how other people live, 
as you humanize everybody else, 

975
00:54:45,360 --> 00:54:50,240
in the process, it allows you to
really see that we are 99.9% the

976
00:54:50,240 --> 00:54:52,920
same, right? 
As humans are differentiating 

977
00:54:52,920 --> 00:54:57,680
factors and our DNA is minimal. 
So I don't want to say there's 

978
00:54:57,760 --> 00:54:59,760
one country because it's not 
true. 

979
00:55:00,000 --> 00:55:02,840
It's every country, right? 
Every country, every touch 

980
00:55:02,880 --> 00:55:06,360
point, every background, every 
form of learning makes me more 

981
00:55:06,360 --> 00:55:09,360
complete as a human and it makes
me see the world from a 

982
00:55:09,360 --> 00:55:12,400
different perspective, which I 
think is the beauty of life. 

983
00:55:12,960 --> 00:55:15,720
That there's no one true sense. 
It's the multiple sense, the 

984
00:55:15,720 --> 00:55:19,120
multi layered sense. 
And that how every single person

985
00:55:19,120 --> 00:55:21,560
lives their life is a is a 
natural beautiful thing. 

986
00:55:21,960 --> 00:55:24,840
And for us to be in their shoes 
to live it is what makes us 

987
00:55:24,840 --> 00:55:26,520
human. 
But empathy? 

988
00:55:27,480 --> 00:55:30,200
Well, I, I love that and how 
that, you know, it's interesting

989
00:55:30,200 --> 00:55:34,040
how you mention it, a couple of 
countries, Austria, Spain, we 

990
00:55:34,040 --> 00:55:39,400
are on the Apple top 100 charts 
in Spain, in Austria. 

991
00:55:39,480 --> 00:55:42,520
Beautiful. 
I think in India, in Poland, I 

992
00:55:42,520 --> 00:55:47,160
think we're #17 in Poland today 
#5 in Zimbabwe, top 100 in the a

993
00:55:47,160 --> 00:55:49,680
number of countries. 
That's quite interesting. 

994
00:55:49,760 --> 00:55:53,880
And you think about it, even in 
Saudi Arabia as well-being top 

995
00:55:53,880 --> 00:55:58,640
100, It speaks to what you say. 
Yeah, I mean. 

996
00:55:59,120 --> 00:56:02,200
Information. 100% I think that 
one of the things that, you 

997
00:56:02,200 --> 00:56:05,040
know, one of the things I always
thought is, oh, I'm educated. 

998
00:56:05,400 --> 00:56:08,320
I will not fall for propaganda. 
And sometimes you realize, wow, 

999
00:56:08,800 --> 00:56:10,560
you really fell for the 
propaganda. 

1000
00:56:11,800 --> 00:56:15,680
You really fell for that, right?
Your biases are really, really 

1001
00:56:15,680 --> 00:56:17,400
bad. 
And when you go to foreign 

1002
00:56:17,400 --> 00:56:20,480
countries and you see what's on 
the ground versus everything you

1003
00:56:20,480 --> 00:56:24,480
have been fed, you start 
realizing, wow, there's a huge 

1004
00:56:24,480 --> 00:56:26,520
difference. 
And that's why I love 

1005
00:56:26,560 --> 00:56:28,120
travelling. 
That's why I love seeing people 

1006
00:56:28,120 --> 00:56:31,000
for who they are, not to be 
informed by others in the 

1007
00:56:31,000 --> 00:56:32,720
process. 
Exactly, exactly. 

1008
00:56:32,720 --> 00:56:37,080
I I left that, you know, quite 
interesting have some countries 

1009
00:56:37,080 --> 00:56:40,320
that I'm from Africa, you know, 
the way people, especially the 

1010
00:56:40,320 --> 00:56:42,560
western world paid. 
So African countries, they're 

1011
00:56:42,560 --> 00:56:44,960
like. 100%. 
Have you been there? 

1012
00:56:44,960 --> 00:56:49,040
You see what is on ground like 
it's a deeper reality. 

1013
00:56:49,240 --> 00:56:51,640
So say less. 
I go there and find out by 

1014
00:56:51,640 --> 00:56:52,640
yourself. 
Wow. 

1015
00:56:52,920 --> 00:56:56,800
I mean, they'd love to put 
Africa like the 1984 Ethiopian 

1016
00:56:56,800 --> 00:56:59,360
famine crisis. 
And that's the mental model that

1017
00:56:59,440 --> 00:57:03,320
Africa lives in, sadly, right? 
They have not seen the level of 

1018
00:57:03,320 --> 00:57:09,360
wealth of Lagos, of Casablanca, 
of Rabat, Alexandria. 

1019
00:57:09,360 --> 00:57:12,840
So you haven't seen the level of
development that has happened. 

1020
00:57:12,880 --> 00:57:14,920
And then what happens is that's 
the issue, right? 

1021
00:57:15,160 --> 00:57:17,520
When you, when you have good 
leadership and you when you have

1022
00:57:17,520 --> 00:57:21,120
good institutions that are 
redeveloping the country and 

1023
00:57:21,120 --> 00:57:23,480
then where the West is not 
investing in that. 

1024
00:57:23,840 --> 00:57:26,760
And then you you start traveling
there, you see the airports are 

1025
00:57:26,760 --> 00:57:29,000
better than our airports. 
There's an issue. 

1026
00:57:30,200 --> 00:57:33,520
It's a massive issue. 
I, you know, was it 2 years ago?

1027
00:57:33,520 --> 00:57:35,600
I was in Morocco and I had a 
good time. 

1028
00:57:35,600 --> 00:57:40,200
I'm like, OK, why interested. 
Yes, exactly. 

1029
00:57:40,200 --> 00:57:41,960
Wow. 
So it's kind of interesting. 

1030
00:57:41,960 --> 00:57:45,040
I think people should travel 
more and you know. 100%. 

1031
00:57:45,480 --> 00:57:49,800
Find out more by traveling more.
Last year I was in Lithuania. 

1032
00:57:49,800 --> 00:57:52,600
And so it was asking like, what 
did you go to do in Lithuania? 

1033
00:57:52,960 --> 00:57:54,640
OK. 
I'm like, OK, I got this. 

1034
00:57:54,640 --> 00:57:56,040
I got this from Lithuania, you 
know. 

1035
00:57:56,320 --> 00:57:57,480
Nice, I think. 
Very. 

1036
00:57:57,480 --> 00:57:59,640
Were you in Vilnus? 
Were you in Vilnus? 

1037
00:58:00,320 --> 00:58:03,400
Yeah, I was in juniors. 
I was in the corners as well. 

1038
00:58:03,960 --> 00:58:06,280
I am beautiful, beautiful 
country. 

1039
00:58:06,280 --> 00:58:08,400
I am. 
Beautiful place, beautiful 

1040
00:58:08,400 --> 00:58:09,920
place. 
And of course you've got 

1041
00:58:09,920 --> 00:58:12,640
Estonia. 
You've also got Latvia as well. 

1042
00:58:13,080 --> 00:58:15,840
Correct. 
Amazing place, amazing people, 

1043
00:58:15,840 --> 00:58:19,400
but you know, people only want 
to travel to the popular places.

1044
00:58:19,840 --> 00:58:21,600
I'm not both about popular 
places, you know. 

1045
00:58:21,800 --> 00:58:24,400
So I, I think that that's 
changing, right, especially with

1046
00:58:24,400 --> 00:58:27,120
like for example, we talked 
about before we came on the, 

1047
00:58:27,120 --> 00:58:30,080
the, the, the depreciation of 
price of cost of travel. 

1048
00:58:30,080 --> 00:58:32,800
Think about that how how much 
that has changed right from the 

1049
00:58:32,800 --> 00:58:36,760
70s until the 80's, the price of
travel has substantially 

1050
00:58:36,760 --> 00:58:39,080
decreased. 
The quality has also decreased 

1051
00:58:39,080 --> 00:58:42,480
to certain decree. 
But the, but the, the, the 

1052
00:58:42,480 --> 00:58:47,440
accessibility of traveling right
for, for, for a person, for a 

1053
00:58:47,440 --> 00:58:52,040
person to pay 1617 lbs and to 
travel from, you know, one of 

1054
00:58:52,040 --> 00:58:56,040
the airports in, in London to, 
to anywhere in Europe. 

1055
00:58:56,040 --> 00:59:00,640
It's pretty, pretty amazing. 
So, but the point is, don't go 

1056
00:59:00,640 --> 00:59:03,560
to Ibiza. 
Choose other markets. 

1057
00:59:05,080 --> 00:59:08,320
Now, now you're attempting me. 
You're attempting me to call out

1058
00:59:08,800 --> 00:59:14,560
to airlines. 
You're attempting me anyways. 

1059
00:59:15,440 --> 00:59:17,640
I'm going to call them out. 
I'm going to call them out. 

1060
00:59:17,920 --> 00:59:19,120
Don't call them out. 
They could become. 

1061
00:59:19,120 --> 00:59:27,440
Partners EasyJet a riot air 
please you guys can do better, 

1062
00:59:27,440 --> 00:59:29,600
right? 
You guys can do better and of 

1063
00:59:29,600 --> 00:59:31,280
course PG can become partners, 
you know? 

1064
00:59:31,440 --> 00:59:34,800
Exactly, exactly, exactly. 
We'll do our next podcast from 

1065
00:59:34,800 --> 00:59:35,840
the aircraft. 
How about that? 

1066
00:59:36,960 --> 00:59:39,040
That would be great. 
That would be fantastic. 

1067
00:59:39,480 --> 00:59:43,400
I I I need to play, I need a 
seat in was a pool in business 

1068
00:59:43,400 --> 00:59:45,400
class. 
But the crazy thing is I think a

1069
00:59:45,400 --> 00:59:49,200
lot of EasyJet and right air fly
study will have a business 

1070
00:59:49,200 --> 00:59:50,560
class. 
So how can you do that? 

1071
00:59:50,560 --> 00:59:51,440
No, they don't. 
They don't. 

1072
00:59:51,440 --> 00:59:52,680
They don't. 
OK. 

1073
00:59:52,680 --> 00:59:55,880
So let me call my preferred 
partner, British Airways. 

1074
00:59:55,960 --> 01:00:00,400
Yeah, you are. 
What's up, British Airways? 

1075
01:00:00,400 --> 01:00:03,160
I think British Airways was the 
first one, the very first 

1076
01:00:03,160 --> 01:00:06,840
business class. 
Flight I I ever had I I did have

1077
01:00:06,840 --> 01:00:10,240
a good time with them. 
So guys, I spent my money on you

1078
01:00:10,240 --> 01:00:11,480
guys. 
So it's time for you guys to 

1079
01:00:11,480 --> 01:00:16,040
spend your money on me following
you guys Co sponsor the podcast 

1080
01:00:16,040 --> 01:00:18,640
at first. 
Let us have our next episode. 

1081
01:00:18,800 --> 01:00:22,840
Myself and Barbara Percy on the 
British Airways. 

1082
01:00:22,840 --> 01:00:26,360
I'm pulling it now and of 
course, you guys, I'll get to 

1083
01:00:26,360 --> 01:00:29,200
tag you. 
So the last question right here 

1084
01:00:29,200 --> 01:00:33,080
is what's 1 quote for mantra you
need by that our listeners can 

1085
01:00:33,080 --> 01:00:37,240
take away today? 
So one of the things I feature 

1086
01:00:37,240 --> 01:00:39,760
glad on learning from failure, 
right? 

1087
01:00:40,320 --> 01:00:43,680
And and and anything related to 
failure. 

1088
01:00:43,680 --> 01:00:46,720
I think it's wonderful. 
I think that ultimately failure 

1089
01:00:46,720 --> 01:00:49,080
is what allows humans to good 
failure. 

1090
01:00:49,080 --> 01:00:54,080
Intelligent failures allows us 
to to really become better at 

1091
01:00:54,080 --> 01:00:57,520
what we are. 
So to me, again, it goes back to

1092
01:00:57,520 --> 01:00:59,080
this notion. 
If you're not trying new things 

1093
01:00:59,080 --> 01:01:02,040
and learning new things every 
single day that you are falling 

1094
01:01:02,040 --> 01:01:04,040
behind and you're dying and 
you're failing. 

1095
01:01:04,640 --> 01:01:07,640
So that to me is the mantra of 
life is try new things. 

1096
01:01:08,360 --> 01:01:12,400
Don't be, you know, learn 
research as much as you can, 

1097
01:01:13,280 --> 01:01:15,640
learn with others where others 
have failed and why. 

1098
01:01:16,440 --> 01:01:21,120
And then try, if it's a really, 
really big risk, try and small, 

1099
01:01:21,960 --> 01:01:24,880
small portions. 
And then as you become 

1100
01:01:24,880 --> 01:01:29,080
successful and learn scale. 
So that's kind of a the mantra 

1101
01:01:29,080 --> 01:01:33,240
of my life is so you are ever 
evolving, you're ever learning, 

1102
01:01:33,240 --> 01:01:36,400
the mark is changing on you. 
And the only way you can become 

1103
01:01:36,400 --> 01:01:39,120
competitive is really to 
understand where the market is 

1104
01:01:39,120 --> 01:01:42,720
and where you are and how you 
can finance yourself and become 

1105
01:01:43,240 --> 01:01:47,560
the best version of yourself. 
I love that absolutely this is a

1106
01:01:47,560 --> 01:01:49,400
man that allies with my 
philosophies. 

1107
01:01:49,400 --> 01:01:52,600
I really appreciate and of 
course, you know, I always love 

1108
01:01:52,600 --> 01:01:54,920
to say not even gratitude is 
good attitude. 

1109
01:01:54,920 --> 01:01:57,320
And when a person shares the 
time with you, they share their 

1110
01:01:57,320 --> 01:02:00,720
life with you because the SI 
unit of veteran life this time. 

1111
01:02:00,880 --> 01:02:02,560
So once again, thank you very 
much. 

1112
01:02:02,640 --> 01:02:06,920
I love and respect to you, to 
the audience, to the audience, 

1113
01:02:07,160 --> 01:02:10,000
conceive beliefs, try to thrive 
and achieve. 

1114
01:02:10,040 --> 01:02:12,160
For me, it's goodbye. 
Brethren. 

1115
01:02:12,160 --> 01:02:15,800
Barber, do you want to leave a 
shout out to anybody? 

1116
01:02:15,800 --> 01:02:17,080
And who do you want us to go 
back to? 

1117
01:02:18,440 --> 01:02:20,880
I just wanted to say that the 
world's inclusive. 

1118
01:02:20,880 --> 01:02:22,760
An inclusive world is better 
than an exclusive world. 

1119
01:02:23,120 --> 01:02:26,840
So let's strive to to bring 
everybody in and make everybody 

1120
01:02:27,840 --> 01:02:32,880
live a better life. 
Wow, thank you very much guys. 

1121
01:02:33,000 --> 01:02:34,120
It's goodbye for me.
